Q Trading update and guidance change. 15 October 2018

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Transcription:

Q3 2018 Trading update and guidance change 15 October 2018 0

Disclaimer THIS PRESENTATION IS NOT FOR RELEASE, PUBLICATION OR DISTRIBUTION, IN WHOLE OR IN PART, IN OR INTO THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA, ITS TERRITORIES OR POSSESSIONS, OR TO ANY RESIDENT THEREOF OR ANY OTHER JURISDICTION WHERE SUCH DISTRIBUTION WOULD BE UNLAWFUL OR TO ANY OTHER PERSON. This presentation (the Presentation ) is being furnished to each recipient in connection with ConvaTec Group Plc ( ConvaTec and, together with its subsidiaries, the Group ) and has been prepared from publicly available information. For the purposes of this notice, Presentation means this document, its contents or any part of it, any oral presentation, any question or answer session and any written or oral material discussed or distributed before, during or after the Presentation meeting. This information, which does not purport to be comprehensive, has not been verified by or on behalf of the Group. 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Nothing herein shall be taken as constituting investment advice and this Presentation should not be construed as a prospectus or offering document and investors should not subscribe for or purchase any securities on the basis of this Presentation and it is not intended to provide, and must not be taken as, the basis of any decision and should not be considered as a recommendation to acquire any securities of the Group. The recipient must make its own independent assessment and such investigations as it deems necessary. This Presentation includes statements that are, or may be deemed to be, forward looking statements. These forward-looking statements involve known and unknown risks and uncertainties, many of which are beyond the Group s control. 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Past performance of the Group cannot be relied on as a guide to future performance. Forward-looking statements speak only as at the date of this Presentation and the Company and its directors, officers, employees, agents, affiliates and advisers expressly disclaim any obligations or undertaking to release any update of, or revisions to, any forward-looking statements in this Presentation. To the extent available, the industry and market data contained in this Presentation has come from third party sources. Third party industry publications, studies and surveys generally state that the data contained therein have been obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but that there is no guarantee of the accuracy or completeness of such data. In addition, certain of the industry and market data contained in this Presentation come from the Company's own internal research and estimates based on the knowledge and experience of the Company's management in the market in which the Company operates. While the Company believes that such research and estimates are reasonable and reliable, they, and their underlying methodology and assumptions, have not been verified by any independent source for accuracy or completeness and are subject to change without notice. Accordingly, undue reliance should not be placed on any of the industry or market data contained in this Presentation. Unless otherwise stated all stated financial metrics in this presentation are adjusted; for a full definition of the adjustments see 2017 Annual Report. 1

Q3 2018 Key points Guidance for FY 2018 revised Primarily due to change in inventory policy by biggest customer in Infusion Devices: $18 to $23 million impact in Q4 Challenging dynamics in specific Wound Care markets FY 2018 organic revenue growth now expected to be flat to +1.0% Adjusted EBIT margin guidance now 23% to 24%, reflecting lower revenues and adverse mix Q3 Group revenue +0.4% organic 1 ; +2.9% CER 2 ; +1.5% reported Advanced Wound Care disappointing Ostomy Care improved performance vs Q2 Continence & Critical Care impacted by Slovakia repackaging, as previously indicated Infusion Devices negative growth, as expected 1 Organic growth is growth at constant exchange rates ( CER ), excluding M&A activities 2 Constant exchange rates 2

Q3 2018: Franchise Summary Advanced Wound Care Q3 2018 Revenue ($m) 146.8 Q3 Organic Growth 1 +0.8% Ostomy Care 131.4 +1.5% Continence & Critical Care Infusion Devices 107.5 66.5 +1.4% -3.7% Total Revenue 452.2 +0.4% 1 Organic growth is growth at constant exchange rates ( CER ), excluding M&A activities. M&A contributed $12.3 million of revenue in Q3 2018, all in Continence & Critical Care. In addition, Q3 2017 included $1.4 million of revenue for the Symbius respiratory business which was divested on 1 March 2018. 3

Advanced Wound Care Growth below expectations Q1 18 +2.2% 1 Q2 18-0.2% 1 Good performance from AQUACEL TM Ag+ anti-biofilm and Foam Q3 +0.8% 1 Trends in Base AQUACEL TM and DuoDERM TM normalising. Skin care remains a drag Surgical cover dressing recovery taking longer than expected UK challenging market dynamics AQUACEL TM Ag Advantage 2 launched in US 1 Organic growth is growth at constant exchange rates ( CER ), excluding M&A activities 2 AQUACEL TM Ag Advantage is the US brand name for AQUACEL TM Ag+ 4

Ostomy Care New products and impact of patient losses Q1 18-2.5% 1 Q3 +1.5% 1 Q2 18 +0.3% 1 Impact of patient loss at top of 50 100 bps range for Group organic revenue growth Good performance in Latam, Asia Pacific, positive trends in smaller European markets Strong performance from new products: Natura Accordion Flange, Esteem + Flex Convex, and EuroTec s Varimate strips me+ momentum continues Vizient GPO contract 2 year extension 2 1 Organic growth is growth at constant exchange rates ( CER ), excluding M&A activities 2.Contract extension until June 2021 5

Continence & Care Strong underlying momentum offset by expected headwinds Q1 18 +5.6% 1 Q3 +1.4% 1 Q2 18 +5.9% 1 c. 5.5% organic growth excluding packaging recall and product rationalisation Strong performance from US Home Distribution Group 3 GentleCath Glide performing well in US Q3 impacted by Slovakia packaging recall c.$3.5m and product rationalisation 2 c.$0.5m Next gen catheter CE marked and being trialled in Europe 1 Organic growth is growth at constant exchange rates ( CER ), excluding M&A activities. CER growth of 12.8% in Q3 18 included $9.7 million revenue from Woodbury Holdings and $2.6 million from J&R Medical. Revenue in Q3 2017 included $1.4 million from the Symbius respiratory business which was divested on 1 March 2018. 2 FY 2018 product rationalisation impact expected to be c.$2.4 million, $1.6 million YTD 3 Home Distribution Group, a business unit formed in 2017 for catheter and incontinence related products, encapsulating the US distribution companies of 180 Medical, Symbius Medical, South Shore Medical Supply, Wilmington Medical Supply, Woodbury Holdings and J&R Medical. 6

Infusion Devices Performance impacted by inventory changes and ordering patterns Q1 18 +16.3% 1 Q3-3.7% 1 Q2 18 +2.7% 1 Continuing good underlying demand in insulin pump market Q3 performance reflects strong tailwinds in H1 and prior year comparator Change in inventory policy by biggest customer and distorted ordering patterns in Q4 Expect $18 $23 million lower revenue in Q4 1 Organic growth is growth at constant exchange rates ( CER ), excluding M&A activities. 7

Summary and Outlook Q3 2018 Advanced Wound Care disappointing Improved performance from Ostomy Care Performance in Continence & Critical Care reflects headwinds, as expected Infusion Devices performance reflects tailwinds in H1 and strong prior year comparator FY 2018 Anticipate $18 to $23 million lower revenue in Q4 in Infusion Devices 11.4% 23.1% 11.9% FY 2018 organic revenue growth now expected to be flat to +1.0% 1 Adjusted EBIT margin guidance now 23% to 24% 22.4% Cost out update in February 2019 1 Organic growth is growth at constant exchange rates ( CER ), excluding M&A activities 8

Q&A 9

Appendix 10

Quarterly Revenue Performance Quarterly reported revenues by franchise Organic 1 growth rate by franchise (%) 2017 2018 2017 2018 $m Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 AWC 138.4 147.9 157.8 147.1 142.9 146.8 2.6 1.4 2.3 2.2 (0.2) 0.8 11.4% Ostomy Care 132.9 132.1 11.9% 142.2 128.0 138.0 131.4 3.6 (1.8) 0.3 (2.5) 0.3 1.5 C&CC 89.6 96.2 111.6 108.4 111.7 107.5 (2.0) 4.5 4.6 5.6 5.9 1.4 23.1% 22.4% ID 67.3 69.3 76.2 74.7 70.5 66.5 1.7 17.3 6.3 16.3 2.7 (3.7) Group 428.2 445.5 487.8 458.2 463.1 452.2 1.8 3.3 2.8 3.7 1.7 0.4 1 Organic growth presents year on year growth at constant exchange rates ( CER ), excluding M&A activities 11

Revenues By Geography Q3 2018 reported ($m) Reported growth Organic growth 1 EMEA 184.6 (0.4)% +1.3% Americas 231.9 +2.8% (1.1)% APAC 35.7 +3.2% +5.5% Group 452.2 +1.5% +0.4% 1 Organic growth presents year on year growth at constant exchange rates ( CER ), excluding M&A activities 12

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