Results Presentation Second quarter and half-year ended September 30, 2017 October 30, 2017

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Transcription:

Results Presentation Second quarter and half-year ended September 30, 2017 October 30, 2017 1

Safe harbor statement Statements in this presentation describing the Company s performance may be forward looking statements within the meaning of applicable securities laws and regulations. Actual results may differ materially from those directly or indirectly expressed, inferred or implied. Important factors that could make a difference to the Company s operations include, among others, economic conditions affecting demand/supply and price conditions in the domestic and overseas markets in which the Company operates, changes in or due to the environment, Government regulations, laws, statutes, judicial pronouncements and/or other incidental factors. 2

FY06 FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10 FY11 FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15 FY16 FY17 1HFY18 0.44 0.39 0.44 0.78 0.68 0.60 0.56 0.58 0.95 1.31 2.10 2.35 3.06 Tata Steel is committed towards excellence in Health and Safety LTIFR* data for Tata Steel Group Ambition: Committed to ensuring all Tata Steel sites are sustainably fatality free on our way to being the benchmark in H&S in our industry Key Focus areas: Felt Leadership programme completed for senior leaders, Union Committee Members and 80% for officers in India Learning & Sharing sessions between Tata Steel India & Europe on Process Safety Focus on road management and Infrastructure solutions to manage high volume of contractors employee As part of Contractor Safety Management, 80% vendor partners have been trained to carry out high risk jobs Key Results: Reduction in LTI rate to 0.44 in FY17 Tata Steel Thailand received World Steel Association Safety award for Contractor Safety management Tata Steel Mines (Jamadoba, Sukinda) bagged National Safety Award (Mines) for Longest Accident free period *LTIFR is Lost Time Injury Frequency Rate 3

Focused on engaging with communities and improving quality of life India Education: Delivered a total of 6 schools under 30 Model School Construction Project in Odisha 1 school was inaugurated and handed over to the state government in 2QFY18 2,192 out of school children linked back to schools under Thousand Schools Project aimed at improving quality of education in Odisha s primary government schools 1,047 villages, covered by the Thousand Schools Project, made child labour free by 2QFY18 - every child is going to school Health & Sanitation: ~1,22,000 patient footfalls recorded at static and mobile clinics, and health camps across locations in Jharkhand and Odisha 1,528 pregnant women benefitted from Ante-Natal Check-ups (ANC) & prenatal check-ups Provided treatment/ rehabilitated to 531 leprosy patients Operated 608 as a part of eye care services Constructed 1,378 slip-back toilets under Open Defecation Free drive in Jharkhand s East and West Singhbhum districts Livelihood: Over 846 youths were skilled in various vocational trades across locations Industrial Training Institute (ITI), Jagannathpur, which was taken over from Government of Jharkhand, started its first academic session. Nettur Technical Training Foundation (NTTF), Bangalore is our technical partner in running the Institute CSR Spend -India (Rs. Crs) 212 204 194 171 104 FY14 FY15 FY16 FY17 H1FY18 Europe Expanded partnership with Telstar football club by supporting summer training camps for children More than 1,000 young people took part in the latest Tata Kids of Steel mini-triathlon event in Corby, UK Introduced new digital newsletter for the IJmuiden community called RondomStaal which already has almost 1,000 subscribers 4

Building a sustainable business for the future >100 years of inclusive growth in partnership with communities Structured long term interventions for sustained impact in areas we operate Efficient use of resource through superior design and operating philosophy Sustained efforts to mitigate impact on the environment 5

Agenda 6 Consolidated Financial Performance India and South East Asia Performance Europe Performance Appendix 6

Global Steel Market update 3.2% 3.6% 6.7% GDP growth (%, YoY) 7.1% 6.8% 6.7% 1.8% 2.1% 2016 2017P 4.9% 5.2% World China India Euro Area ASEAN-5 Global economic recovery is now more broad based Manufacturing PMI s across regions are trending upwards; manufacturing activities are seeing upturn supported by more visible signs of continued investment recovery Global steel demand/supply position appear favorable with capacity closures in China The global steel production is up by 5.6%YoY in 9MCY2017 compared to demand growth forecast of 7%YoY in CY2017 Crude steel production (mn tons) CY2017 Steel demand growth forecast (mn tons) 106.2 1,267 1,200 601 639 598 628 9MCY2016 9MCY2017 84.7 21.5 121 126 71 75 3.9 3.6 3.6 World China World ex China EU India World China World ex China EU India ASEAN-5 Source: IMF, World Steel Association, Bloomberg and Tata Steel 7

Sep-12 Mar-13 Sep-13 Mar-14 Sep-14 Mar-15 Sep-15 Mar-16 Sep-16 Mar-17 Sep-17 Global Steel Market update 900 850 800 750 700 650 600 550 500 China steel production and apparent consumption* (mn tons, annualized) Crude Steel Production Apparent Steel Consumption China steel exports (mn tons) China has closed ~120MTPA steel production capacity since the start of 2016 Chinese apparent steel demand is on an increasing trend; mainstream steel producers utilization levels have improved supported partly by closure of outdated induction furnaces Chinese net exports have declined to an annualised level of 75mn tons in 3QCY2017 compared to 118mn tons in 2QCY2017 Regional steel prices rebounded with improved demand in China, better steel inventory levels and higher raw material costs 700 Global HRC prices (US$ per ton) 29.4 28.1 600 23.6 20.7 20.3 18.6 500 400 Q1 FY17 Q2 FY17 Q3 FY17 Q4 FY17 Q1 FY18 Q2 FY18 300 Germany Domestic UK Domestic CIS Export FOB China Export FOB 200 China Domestic Sep-15 Dec-15 Mar-16 Jun-16 Sep-16 Dec-16 Mar-17 Jun-17 Sep-17 Source: Bloomberg, World Steel Association, CRU, Steel First and Tata Steel *Apparent consumption = 0.96xCrude Steel Production + Imports - Exports 8

Highlights of the second quarter Deliveries of 6.45 million tonnes Consolidated revenues of Rs.32,464 crores Consolidated EBITDA of Rs.4,726 crores Consolidated EBITDA per ton of Rs.7,323/t Tata Steel Kalinganagar is close to full ramp-up 9

Strategic Developments Signed Memorandum of Understanding for a 50:50 joint venture with thyssenkrupp to create a leading European steel enterprise The Pensions Regulator has approved the Regulatory Apportionment Agreement in respect of BSPS and payment of GBP 550mn has been completed. The BSPS has been now separated from Tata Steel UK and number of affiliated companies Completed the sale of 42 inch and 84 inch pipe mills in Hartlepool to Liberty House group Acquired full intellectual property rights in Hlsarna technology which has the potential to reduce energy use and carbon emissions by at least 20%, as well to reduce the steel making costs through lower-priced raw materials 10

Quarterly Financial Performance Rs Crores Consolidated India Q2 FY18 Q1 FY18 Q2 FY17 Q2 FY18 Q1 FY18 Q2 FY17 Production (MT) 1 6.24 6.25 5.94 3.03 2.95 2.72 Deliveries(MT) 6.45 5.83 5.61 3.08 2.75 2.62 Turnover 32,464 30,973 27,120 14,221 14,422 11,718 Raw material cost 2 12,981 13,037 10,425 4530 4,482 2,857 Change in inventories 1,308 (1,967) (1,083) 919 (905) 159 EBITDA 4,726 4,939 3,093 3,408 2,922 1,991 EBITDA/t 7,323 8,480 5,517 11,078 10,623 7,610 Pre exceptional PBT from continuing operations 2,170 2,291 353 2,003 1,412 431 Exceptional Charges (45) (617) (59) (27) (617) (64) Profit/(Loss) from Discontinued operations 30 (12) 20 - - - Reported PAT 1018 921 (49) 1,294 506 250 Basic EPS(For continuing and discontinued operations) 10.04 9.04 (0.96) 12.87 4.77 2.12 All figures on a continuing operations basis (excluding Longs Products Europe and Specialty steel UK Limited), India turnover is Net of GST for 2QFY17 1. Production numbers for consolidated financials are calculated using saleable steel for India, SEA and Liquid steel for Europe, 2. Raw material cost includes raw material consumed, and purchases of finished and semi-finished products 11

Quarterly Financial Performance as per Ind-AS 1 Rs Crores Europe SEA Others & Eliminations Q2 FY18 Q1 FY18 Q2 FY17 Q2 FY18 Q1 FY18 Q2 FY17 Q2 FY18 Q1 FY18 Q2 FY17 Production (MT) 1 2.60 2.79 2.68 0.61 0.50 0.54 - - - Deliveries(MT) 2.60 2.40 2.26 0.67 0.60 0.65 - - - Turnover 15,006 14,079 12,006 2,424 1,995 1,966 813 477 1,430 Raw material cost 2 6,637 7,044 5,304 1,626 1,380 1,221 187 130 1,043 Change in inventories 423 (1,018) (1,330) 19 39 59 (53) (84) 23 EBITDA 753 1,253 1,136 135 22 69 430 742 (103) EBITDA/t 2,896 5,210 5,020 2,023 373 1,071 - - - All figures on a continuing operations basis (excluding Longs Products Europe and Specialty steel UK Limited), India turnover is Net of GST for 2QFY17 1. Production numbers for consolidated financials are calculated using saleable steel for India, SEA and Liquid steel for Europe, 2. Raw material cost includes raw material consumed, and purchases of finished and semi-finished products 12

Group EBITDA movement 2QFY18 Vs. 1QFY18 308 Crores 4,196 104 78 26 4,296 1QFY18 Selling Result Cost Changes Volume/Mix Others 2QFY18 Note: Consolidated EBITDA consists of EBITDA across four operating entities TSI, TSE, NSH & TSTH Selling result and Cost changes impacted by mainly due to lower realisations and lower spreads at Europe Deliveries increased across geographies All figures on a continuing operations basis 13

Consolidated Debt movement 2QFY18 Vs. 1QFY18 Crores 87,812 864 1,583 90,259 11,956 78,303 78,303 Gross Debt Jun 2017 Loans Movement Forex Impact & Others Gross Debt Sep 2017 Cash, Bank & Current Investments Net Debt Sep 2017 14

Agenda 1 5 Consolidated Financial Performance India and South East Asia Performance Europe Performance Appendix 15

1QFY16 2QFY16 3QFY16 4QFY16 1QFY17 2QFY17 3QFY17 4QFY17 1QFY18 1QFY16 2QFY16 3QFY16 4QFY16 1QFY17 2QFY17 3QFY17 4QFY17 1QFY18 2QFY18 Jul'17 Aug'17 India Steel Market update GDP Growth rate (% YoY) 8.0 7.9 7.5 7.5 7.0 6.4 6.1 5.7 FY14 FY15 FY16 1QFY17 2QFY17 3QFY17 4QFY17 1QFY18 Strong monsoons and initial hiccups around GST 1 implementation affected demand Passenger vehicles productions was up by 3.8%YoY and 11%QoQ in 2QFY18 Commercial vehicles witnessed sharp recovery with a 11.9%YoY production growth compared to a 21.2%YoY drop in 1QFY18 Construction was weak due to seasonal factors and impact of RERA 2 implementation in various states Consumer durables and capital goods remained subdued Vehicles production (millions) Other key steel consuming sectors (% YoY) 1.2 0 1.0 0 0.8 0 0.6 0 0.4 0 0.2 0 0.82 0.17 0.88 0.80 0.19 0.19 0.90 0.23 1.00 0.93 0.85 0.21 0.19 0.19 1.01 0.23 0.93 0.16 1.03 0.21 0.5 0 0.4 5 0.4 0 0.3 5 0.3 0 0.2 5 0.2 0 0.1 5 0.1 0 0.0 5 15.0% 12.5% 10.0% 7.5% 5.0% 2.5% 0.0% 6.2% 2.7% Consumer Durables Capital goods Construction 2.0% 5.4% 1.6% 0.0 0 0.0 0-2.5% -5.0% -3.5% -3.7% -4.4% -3.6% Passenger Vehicles* Commercial Vehicles Source: Bloomberg, SIAM, CMIE and Tata Steel, * Excludes 2 and 3 wheelers production, 1. Goods and Services Tax, 2. The Real Estate (Regulation and Development) Act, 2016 16

India Steel Market update Finished steel production, demand and imports (mn tons) 30 25 20 15 10 5 2.6 23.7 24.3 24.4 25.1 20.1 20.9 22.1 24.6 25.2 20.6 21.0 21.9 1.7 1.7 1.9 1.8 1.8 2.7 2.5 2.3 2.1 1.9 1.7 HRC prices domestic vs. China FOB (US$ per ton, Indexed to Sep 2015) 220 China Export FOB Mumbai (ex duty, VAT, GST) 180 140 100 0 Q1 FY17 Q2 FY17 Q3 FY17 Q4 FY17 Q1 FY18 Q2 FY18 Finished Steel Production Apparent Finished Steel Usage Imports 1.5 60 Sep-15 Dec-15 Mar-16 Jun-16 Sep-16 Dec-16 Mar-17 Jun-17 Sep-17 During the quarter finished steel demand grew by just ~4% QoQ primarily due to subdued demand driven by the GST related issues, slower economic activity and seasonality Indian steel exports remain marginally higher than imports for last few quarters driven by elevated international prices Steel imports jumped to 2.6mn ton during the quarter Domestic steel prices continues to be at a discount compared to international prices Source: Joint Plant Committee, World Steel Association, Steelfirst and Tata Steel 17

Tata Steel India Stronger than market growth in a seasonally weak quarter 2,624 272 17% 14% 3,075 350 12% 9% 2,750 301 1153 1310 1198 11% 8% 846 943 873 34% 25% 352 472 378 2QFY17 2QFY18 1QFY18 Auto BPRS IPPE Transfers to Downstream Deliveries grew with increase in capacity, this is despite subdued market conditions Broad based growth across the verticals Wider product range enabled entry into new segments, 27 new products developed BRPS: Branded products, Retail & Solutions, IPPE: Industrial Products, Projects & Exports 18

Tata Steel India Segment sales highlights Segments Products Key highlights Automotive & Special products Hi-end automotive steel sales grew by 23%YoY and 14%QoQ Increase market share with focus on new grades development and new vehicle models Branded products, Retail & Solutions Industrial Products, Projects & Exports Sales to emerging customer accounts increased by 14%YoY and 16%QoQ Captured demand growth in solar projects, railways, yellow goods and PEB segments due to improved government spending, festival season and re-stocking Sales grew 60%YoY and 18%QoQ in value added & new segments (PEB, L&E, C&P and API) Added new customers in PEB and L&E segments Secured orders for water pipeline projects; Better traction in MCHC and LPG segment PEB: Pre-engineered Building, L&E: Lifting & Excavation, C&P: construction projects, MCHC: Medium Carbon High Carbon, LPG: LPG Cylinders 19

Tata Steel India Building a portfolio of strong brands 20

FY 13 FY 14 FY 15 FY 16 FY17 1HFY18 FY 13 FY 14 FY 15 FY 16 FY17 1HFY18 FY 13 FY 14 FY 15 FY 16 FY17 H1 FY18 5.67 5.66 542 537 360 349 5.77 548 380 569 6.02 6.01 578 455 443 6.12 589 479 Tata Steel India Continues to improve operational efficiencies and minimize environmental impact 2 1 Specific Energy Intensity Specific Fuel Rate (Kg/thm) Specific Coke Rate Good Good Good Specific energy intensity: 7.5% reduction since FY13 Specific fuel rate : 8.8% reduction since FY13 Coke Rate: 26.9% reduction since FY13 All the above mentioned data is for Tata Steel Jamshedpur Operations 21

Tata Steel India EBITDA movement 2QFY18 vs. 1QFY18 Crores 248 2,922 62 232 (56) 3,408 1QFY18 Selling result Cost Volume/Mix Others 2QFY18 Selling result improved on the marginally improved prices Decrease in cost is mainly due to reduction in cost of coking coal Deliveries grew by 12%QoQ 22

South East Asia Market update Manufacturing PMIs South East Asia rebar-scrap spread (US$/tonne) 52 51 Singapore Thailand Scrap Rebar Gap Rebar Price Scrap Price 358 344 398 445 436 518 333 50 265 175 284 193 257 230 255 282 269 49 48 Dec-15 Mar-16 Jun-16 Sep-16 Dec-16 Mar-17 Jun-17 Sep-17 162 168 185 143 91 91 101 114 3QFY16 4QFY16 1QFY17 2QFY17 3QFY17 4QFY17 1QFY18 2QFY18 Singapore: economy recorded 4.6%YoY improvement in 3QCY2017 with 15.5%YoY growth in manufacturing sector driven mainly from Electronics, bio-medical and precision Engineering. However, construction sector declined by 6.3%YoY, primarily due to continued weakness in private sector construction activities Thailand: GDP accelerated to 3.7%YoY in 2QCY2017 from 3.3%YoY in 1QCY2017, contributed mainly by stronger growth of export and tourism sectors. However, apparent steel consumption declined by ~14% in YTD Aug 2017 due to weaker construction with subdued private investments and government project spending South East Asia rebar spreads improved with higher steel prices in domestic as well as exports market Source: Bloomberg and ISSB 23

Tata Steel South East Asia Operating performance Nat Steel Holdings Production was up by 11% YoY and 18%QoQ; Deliveries were up 4%YoY and 7%QoQ despite weak domestic market conditions EBITDA improved on higher volumes and better spreads Continued focus on key markets for exports Tata Steel Thailand Deliveries increased by 3%YoY and 17%QoQ; Wire rod sales grew by 81%YoY and 24%QoQ The profitability during the quarter improved due to improved long product realisations and deliveries 24

India & South East Asia Business Outlook The overall outlook for the steel market remains constructive, however, jump in steel imports in 2QFY18 continues to pose a risk Accelerating government reforms are expected to result in stronger growth. However, private sector investment is still muted. The implementation of GST and increased tax transparency is expected to facilitate the growth of organised players Rural demand is expected to recover due to good monsoons, higher MSP for crops, MNREGA and loan waivers Supportive government policies with respect to trade barriers reduce exposure to volatility in global steel prices Singapore construction sector is expected to improve with the commencement of the new projects The increase in public investment in Thailand on large scale infrastructure projects is expected to support steel demand 25

Agenda 2 6 Consolidated Financial Performance India and South East Asia Performance Europe Performance Appendix 26

Jan-12 Jul-12 Jan-13 Jul-13 Jan-14 Jul-14 Jan-15 Jul-15 Jan-16 Jul-16 Jan-17 Jul-17 European market context EU market supply (mn tons, annualized) and import share (%) EU sector output 1 (%YoY, 3mma 2 ) 200 150 100 Deliveries Imports Import share (%) 24% 18% 12% 120 110 100 90 Automotive Machinery Construction 50 6% 80 0 0% 70 60 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 The Eurozone economy grew by 2.3%YoY in 2QCY17 UK economic growth remained at 1.5%YoY in 3QCY17 EU steel demand growth was just 1.5%YoY in 1HCY17 In 1HCY17 domestic deliveries increased by 0.5%YoY and imports rose by 8.3%YoY Source: Eurostat, Eurofer, 1. Realised output i.e. gross value added by the sector to the economy, 2. Three month moving average, 3. HRC Spread = Price of 1t of HRC north Europe - 1.6t of iron ore (Fines, 62% Fe, Rotterdam delivered) - 0.7t HCC (Australian HCC, Rotterdam delivered) - 0.1t Scrap (Europe export FOB, Rotterdam) 27

Tata Steel Europe Improving offering to customers Five new products launched in Q2 including a coated steel with a revolutionary paint system offering superior aesthetics and colour performance KALZIP VARIO RT Cr-FREE COLORCOAT Continuing to work closely with customers to develop differentiated products and services they need Strengthened product mix with sales of higher-value differentiated products increasing to about 38% of total PROTACT 3P CANS Secured number of orders in the automotive sector, including: Supplying steel for outer panels of a sports utility vehicle made by a prestige German manufacturer Steel for suspension and seat components COLORCOAT PRISMA CELSIUS S355 (AXLE) 28

Tata Steel Europe EBITDA movement 2QFY18 vs 1QFY18 152mn (33)mn (4)mn 6mn (21)mn (11)mn 83mn 89mn 3 months to Jun 2017 Selling Result Cost Changes Production Volume Manufacturing Central & Other 3 months to Sep 2017 EBITDA lower than the prior quarter by 63mn Selling Result worsened as a result of reduced selling prices, in particular hot-rolled coil Cost Changes are broadly comparable to prior quarter Production Volume lower with reduced output at main manufacturing sites Higher costs in Central & Other due to movements in provisions for employee benefits 29

Tata Steel Europe Business Outlook EU economy is expected to grow by 2.2% in 2017. UK economy is forecasted to grow by 1.5% as higher inflation weakens consumer spending growth European steel demand expected to grow by 1.9% in 2017 in line with modest economic growth European steel mills expected to continue to be under pressure from imports Increasing protectionism may lead to global trade flow distortions 30

Agenda 3 1 Consolidated Financial Performance India and South East Asia Performance Europe Performance Appendix 31

Standalone Results QoQ Variations Rs Crores 2QFY18 1QFY18 Key Reasons Gross Sales 13,910 14,287 2Q sales excludes excise duty in line with with GST implementation. Adjusting for this, sales has increased with higher deliveries partially offset by lower ferro-chrome prices and change in the business model of our subsidiary Tinplate Other operating income 311 135 Release of deferred income related to export obligation of EPCG Raw materials consumed 4,449 4,220 Increase in production Purchases of finished, semis & other products 81 263 Lower purchase of traded goods Changes in inventories 919 (905) Decrease in inventory due to higher sales, reversal of excise duty Employee benefits expenses 1,115 1,158 Reduction due to change in actuarial estimates Depreciation and amortisation 912 966 Lower as 1Q included amortisation charge related to mines in India Other expenses 4,281 5,362 Reversal of excise duty loaded on opening inventory due to implementation of GST Other income 249 112 Increased due to higher profit on sale of mutual funds and dividend income Finance cost 709 700 At par with previous quarter Exceptional Items (27) (617) 1QFY18 includes provision relating to mining related litigation Tax 682 289 In line with increased PBT Other comprehensive income (81) (129) Lower loss on fair value adjustments to non-current investments 32

Consolidated Results QoQ Variations Rs Crores 2QFY18 1QFY18 Key Reasons Income from operations 32,101 30,803 Higher deliveries across the regions Other operating income 363 170 Primarily due to release of deferred income related to export obligation of EPCG Raw materials consumed 10,355 10,279 In line with increase in production Purchases of finished, semis & other products 2,627 2,758 Marginally lower due to lower purchases in Europe Changes in inventories 1,308 (1,967) Impact of inventory movement in India & Europe Employee benefits expenses 4,294 4,304 Almost at par previous quarter Depreciation and amortisation 1,473 1,501 Lower as 1Q included amortisation charge related to mines in India Other expenses 9,160 9,310 Primarily reduced in India and adverse forex movement Other income 253 155 Gain on sale of current investment in Inidia Finance cost 1,350 1,344 Almost at par previous quarter Exceptional Items (45) (617) Provision for advances made for Tata Teleservices, Q1 had provisions related to material litigation Tax 1,138 741 Increase primarily in India Other comprehensive income (4,234) (3,542) Mainly due to payment of GBP 550mn on account of the BSPS and adverse impact of foreign currency translation differences 33

Contact Investor enquiries : Sandep Agrawal Tel: +91 22 6665 0530 Email: Sandep.agrawal@tatasteel.com 34