Q1/2010 Results Analyst and Investor Conference 11 May 2010

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Transcription:

Q1/2010 Results Analyst and Investor Conference 11 May 2010

Overview Q1/2010 Results Despite the continued restraint amongst market participants, sales revenue in Q1/2010 ( 519.2 million) increased compared to prior quarters Total costs in Q1/2010 amounted to 298.8 million; costs decreased against 2009 level when adjusted for 27.8 million restructuring expenses EBIT amounted to 245.6 million; adjusted for restructuring expenses EBIT amounted to 273.4 million, an increase compared to prior quarters EPS in Q1/2010 amounted to 0.84; adjusted for restructuring expenses EPS stood at 0.95 The implementation of the program to optimize operational processes and costs announced in February and March 2010 is on track Deutsche Börse considers its capital position as sound; the interest coverage ratio in Q1/2010, adjusted for restructuring expenses, stood at 16.6x 1

Changes To The Financial Reporting Structure In Q1/2010 1. New segment structure 2. Netting of own expenses capitalized 3. Introduction of volume related costs / operating costs 4. Scoach deconsolidation / Stoxx consolidation The segment structure has been simplified by merging the IT and Corporate Services (CS) segments into Xetra, Eurex, Clearstream and Market Data & Analytics The external IT sales revenue are allocated to Xetra (~1/2), Eurex (~1/4) and Clearstream (~1/4); IT and CS costs are allocated according to actual usage 2009 figures are adjusted to reflect the new segment structure The own expenses capitalized (OEC) line item was in the past used to offset expenses relating to internal software development in case this software was capitalized The netting results in a decrease of total revenues and accordingly also costs by around 40 million in 2010 The change is neutral to earnings; 2009 figures are adjusted to reflect the change In order to further increase the transparency of expenses, costs have been split into: a) volume related costs and b) operating costs Volume related costs are comprised of fee and commission expenses from the banking business and other volume related costs previously booked in other operating expenses 2009 figures are adjusted to reflect the new cost structure The Scoach subgroup has been deconsolidated because of a change to the JV agreement; as a result, Scoach is not contributing sales or costs to the Xetra segment anymore, but the Scoach result attributable to Deutsche Börse is shown in the at equity result Stoxx Ltd. is newly consolidated and as a result the Stoxx sales revenue and costs are included in the MD&A segment; in Q1/2010 the sales contribution amounted to 5.8 million 2

Q1/2010 Increase Of Sales Revenue And EBIT Compared To Prior Quarters Sales revenue and EBIT ( m) 539.8 311.6 515.6 248.8 243.7 500.9 505.4 519.2 249.3 1 Exchange rate EURUSD: Q1/09 1.3249, Q4/09: 1.4413, Q1/10: 1.3436 1) Adjusted for 415.6m ISE impairment 2) Adjusted for 27.8m restructuring expenses 3) Basic EPS; based on 185.9m weighted average number of shares 273.4 2 Q1/09 Q2/09 Q3/09 Q4/09 Q1/10 Sales revenue EBIT Revenue Sales revenue: 519.2m (+3% vs. Q4/09) Net interest income: 11.0m ( 38% vs. Q4/09) Costs Total costs: 298.8m ( 11% vs. Q4/09 1 ) Thereof: 54.0m volume related and 244.8m operating Costs adjusted for restructuring expenses: 271.0m ( 6% vs. Q1/09 and 20% vs. Q4/09 1 ) Cost development in Q1/10 reflects: Stock based compensation: 3m charge in Q1/10 vs. 8m charge in Q4/09 and 3m credit in Q1/09 Earnings EBIT: 245.6m ( 1% vs. Q4/09 1 ) EBIT adjusted for restructuring expenses: 273.4m Net income: 156.9m ( 8% vs. Q4/09 1 ) Net income adjusted for restructuring expenses: 177.2m EPS 3 : 0.84 ( 8% vs. Q4/09 1 ) EPS adjusted for restructuring expenses: 0.95 3

Xetra Cash Market Business Activity Improved In Q1/2010 Compared To 2009 Monthly trading volume ( bn) 217 188 Q1/10 Development of business activity Order book volume on the electronic trading system Xetra increased 17% to 299.1 billion in Q1/10 Retail trading on the Frankfurt Floor saw an increase of volumes of 6% respectively in Q1/10 to 20.4 billion 1 103 144 95 106 103 110 126 Main initiatives Xetra International Market: New trading segment for European blue-chips launched in November 2009 Tradegate Exchange: Expansion of trading service offering for active retail investors Exchange traded funds: Continuous expansion of product offering in order to increase the variety of tradable products 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 Jan Feb Mar Apr Xetra Frankfurt Floor 1 1) Including certificates and warrants 4

Xetra Trading And Clearing Sales Revenue Slightly Improved Against Prior Quarters Business activity Cash market sales revenue ( m) Xetra electronic trading Change vs. Q1/10 Q4/09 Q1/09 74.1 73.3 73.2 12.7 61.4 62.4 10.9 11.2 62.0 71.5 11.5 60.0 15.9 16.3 18.2 15.3 65.0 17.4 Trades 43.8m +12% +1% Order book volume 1 299.1bn +9% +17% 3.7 4.5 4.7 5.0 4.6 5.6 5.8 5.4 14.1 13.2 10.2 10.3 5.0 6.0 10.9 Floor 23.1 22.8 23.1 24.0 25.7 Order book volume 1 16.4bn +9% +12% Q1/09 Q2/09 Q3/09 Q4/09 Q1/10 2 Xetra CCP Floor Connectivity 3 Others4 Scoach 1) Single-counted 2) Excluding connectivity fees (see footnote 3) 3) Line item introduced in Q1/2010; previously connectivity fees were largely included in the Xetra line item 4) External IT sales revenue included in Others line item since Q1/2010 ( 10.3m); 2009 figures adjusted 5

Eurex Surge In Fixed Income Volumes Partly Compensates Decline In Equity Based Products Monthly traded contracts (m) 264 Q1/10 257 84 67 68 80 71 60 40 49 31 36 80 33 37 35 37 26 55 21 64 57 39 49 40 49 61 55 86 63 66 63 67 70 58 41 28 141 176 225 232 221 211 209 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 Jan Feb Mar Apr Index Fixed income Equity US options 69 Development of business activity The number of contracts traded at Eurex and ISE declined 6% to 652.0 million in Q1/10, driven by index products and US options Fixed income products saw positive influences from changes in expectation regarding inflation and interest rate development; declining volatility and low cash equity volumes were negative factors for index and equity products; environment for US options remained very competitive Main initiatives Expansion of the global distribution network with a focus on Asia and Central/Eastern Europe Continuous extension of product portfolio with new asset classes and products Clearing solutions for OTC derivatives business in order to reduce systemic risks and increase integrity of financial markets 6

Eurex Sales Revenue Weakness In Equity Based Products Reflects Low Volatility In The First Quarter 2010 Business activity (traded contracts in million) Eurex sales revenue ( m) 1 Index Fixed Income Q1/10 200.0 145.6 Change vs. Q4/09 +8% +20% Q1/09 13% +26% 227.9 33.1 45.9 10.2 37.2 210.5 200.2 199.8 34.7 31.8 34.5 43.7 36.4 27.7 11.3 9.8 10.5 36.4 37.1 39.2 213.8 33.1 28.7 10.9 46.4 Single Equity 105.9 +20% 2% US Options 199.2 4% 18% 101.5 84.4 85.1 87.9 94.7 Total 652.0 +8% 6% Q1/09 Q2/09 Q3/09 Q4/09 Q1/10 Index Fixed income Equity US Options Others 1) External IT sales revenue included in Others line item since Q1/2010 ( 7.5m); 2009 figures adjusted 7

Clearstream Sequential Growth In Assets Driven By Continuous Growth In Bond Business And Equity Market Recovery Assets under Custody ( tr) 1 Q1/10 8.1 9.2 10.5 10.6 10.3 10.6 10.7 10.8 10.9 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 Jan Feb Mar Apr Settlement transactions (m) 2 Q1/10 7.4 8.7 10.3 9.5 8.5 8.7 8.8 10.4 9.7 Development of business activity Average value of assets under custody in Q1/10 amounted to 10.7 trillion (+7% y-o-y) Number of settlement transactions in Q1/10 amounted to 27.9 million, an increase of 16% year-over-year Main initiatives Growing usage of collateralized lending and borrowing of cash and securities addressed through Global Securities Financing services Expansion of Link-Up Markets with the objective to increase the efficiency of cross border settlement activity in Europe Expansion into the Asian time zone by setting up an operations hub in Singapore 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 Jan Feb Mar Apr 1) Average for the period 2) Monthly average 8

Clearstream Resilient Business Development, But Further Decline Of Net Interest Income Due To Historically Low Interest Rates Business activity Clearstream revenue ( m) Assets under custody Q1/10 10.7tr Change vs. Q4/09 Q1/09 0% +7% 220.9 211.1 31.9 25.9 204.0 204.1 198.9 21.9 17.7 11.0 32.1 28.8 28.0 29.9 33.8 International 5.7tr +4% +7% 19.1 16.8 16.7 16.0 15.0 Domestic 5.0tr 4% +7% 29.1 29.8 26.9 28.4 29.4 Settlement transactions 27.9m +3% +16% International 9.1m +10% +28% 108.7 109.8 110.5 112.1 109.7 Domestic 18.8m +1% +11% GSF outstandings Cash balances 490.8bn 5.9bn 5% +11% +9% 12% Q1/09 Q2/09 Q3/09 Q4/09 Q1/10 1 Custody Settlement GSF Others Net interest income 1) External IT sales revenue included in Others line item since Q1/2010 ( 5.9m); 2009 figures adjusted 9

Continued Focus On Growth Initiatives And Operating Efficiency While Maintaining Strong Financial Position Growth Deutsche Börse increases the annual expenses for growth initiatives and advancements of technology by more than 50% to around 100 million in 2010 Focus is on expanding the product and service offering and regional coverage in Eurex, Clearstream and Xetra as well as implementation of the new trading infrastructure for the Group Complementary external growth opportunities constantly evaluated Operating efficiency For 2010 Deutsche Börse plans with a maximum of 945 million operating costs, excluding implementation costs for efficiency measures of up to 240 million 1 As part of theses initiatives, the company expects to reduce its total costs by 150 million per annum from 2013 onwards Anticipated effective Group tax rate of slightly below 27% in 2010, depending on the exact timing of the move into the new building in Eschborn; 2011 Group tax rate expected to be around 26% Capital management Focus is on maintaining the Group s strong financial position and excellent credit and rating profile ( AA Standard & Poor s, AA Fitch 2 ); this includes achieving an interest coverage ratio of 16x Deutsche Börse considers its capital position as sound and does not expect a significant increase of capital requirements due to its transaction based business model Dividend proposal of 2.10 per share for 2009 (2008: 2.10), which translates into a payout ratio of 56% 3 ; Deutsche Börse does not currently envisage share buybacks 1) Of which 27.8m were booked in Q1/2010 2) Standard & Poor s rates Deutsche Börse AG and Clearstream Banking S.A., Fitch rates Clearstream Banking S.A. 3) Adjusted for the ISE impairment charge; 79% without adjustment 10

Operating Efficiency Introduction Of New Income Statement Line Item Operating Costs In Q1/2010 Cost Reconciliation ( m) 1,250 2010 Cost guidance 265 Volume related costs 40 Netting of "own expenses capitalized" 945 2010 Operating cost 1) E.g. purchase of price information, non-recoverable input tax, Xontro system operation, and sales revenue related costs at ISE Volume related costs Volume related costs are now disclosed separately in the income statement Line item consists of fee and commission expenses from the banking business and other volume related costs out of other operating expenses 1 Netting of own expenses capitalized Own expenses capitalized have been introduced with the IAS implementation in 2000 in order to offset expenses relating to internal software development in case this software was capitalized Own expenses capitalized are now netted against associated cost items and as a result of this netting, total revenues and costs will decrease by around 40 million in 2010, resulting in a neutral earnings impact New line item Operating costs Based on the 2010 cost guidance of max. 1,250m, 2010 operating costs are expected to be max. 945m 11

Financial Calendar And Contact Details Financial Calendar Contact Details 27 May 2010 24 Jun 2010 27 Jul 2010 28 Jul 2010 27 Oct 2010 28 Oct 2010 Annual General Meeting Investor Day 2010 Publication Half-Yearly Financial Report 2010 Analyst and investor conference Q2/2010 Publication Interim Report Q3/2010 Analyst and investor conference Q3/2010 Deutsche Börse AG Investor Relations Neue Börsenstrasse 1 60487 Frankfurt/Main Germany Phone: +49-(0) 69-2 11-1 24 33 Fax: +49-(0) 69-2 11-1 46 08 E-Mail: ir@deutsche-boerse.com www.deutsche-boerse.com/ir_e 12

Disclaimer Cautionary note with regard to forward-looking statements This document contains forward-looking statements and statements of future expectations that reflect management's current views and assumptions with respect to future events. Such statements are subject to known and unknown risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results, performance or events to differ materially from those expressed or implied and that are beyond Deutsche Börse AG's ability to control or estimate precisely. In addition to statements which are forward-looking by reason of context, the words 'may, will, should, expects, plans, intends, anticipates, believes, estimates, predicts, potential, or continue' and similar expressions identify forward-looking statements. Actual results, performance or events may differ materially from those statements due to, without limitation, (i) general economic conditions, (ii) future performance of financial markets, (iii) interest rate levels (iv) currency exchange rates (v) the behaviour of other market participants (vi) general competitive factors (vii) changes in laws and regulations (viii) changes in the policies of central banks, governmental regulators and/or (foreign) governments (ix) the ability to successfully integrate acquired and merged businesses and achieve anticipated synergies (x) reorganization measures, in each case on a local, national, regional and/or global basis. Deutsche Börse AG does not assume any obligation and does not intend to update any forward-looking statements to reflect events or circumstances after the date of these materials. No obligation to update information Deutsche Börse AG does not assume any obligation and does not intend to update any information contained herein. No investment advice This presentation is for information only and shall not constitute investment advice. It is not intended for solicitation purposes but only for use as general information. All descriptions, examples and calculations contained in this presentation are for illustrative purposes only. Registered Trademarks DAX,Deutsche Börse, Eurex, FWB Frankfurter Wertpapierbörse, MDAX, TecDAX, Xetra, XTF Exchange Traded Funds are registered trademarks of Deutsche Börse AG These names and trademarks, as well as all other trademarks and protected rights mentioned in this document are subject unreservedly to the applicable trademark law in each case and are not permitted to be used without the express permission of the registered owner. The simple fact that the document mentions them does not imply that trademarks are not protected by the rights of third parties. Deutsche Börse AG 2010. All rights reserved. 13