A.P. Eagers. Broker Briefing 19 April 2011

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Transcription:

A.P. Eagers Broker Briefing 19 April 2011

A.P. Eagers 98 year old automotive retail group founded in 1913 53 years as a listed public company dividend paid every year Post acquisition A.P. Eagers will own more than 70 acres of prime real estate with land and buildings of $321m Represents all 12 of the top 12 selling vehicle brands in Australia and 31 car brands in total along with 12 truck / bus brands 97 dealership locations in Qld, NT, NSW, Vic and SA 2,900 employees

A.P. Eagers Volume Car Brands Represents 12 of the top 12 selling volume car brands in Australia

A.P. Eagers Luxury Car Brands Represents 8 of the top 9 selling luxury car brands in Australia

A.P. Eagers Truck and Bus Brands Representing 12 truck and bus brands

A.P. Eagers / Adtrans Post Merger ADG APE Combined Annually: Annually: Annually: Total Cars Sold 16,000 49,000 65,000 New Cars Sold 6,500 32,000 38,500 Used Cars Sold 7,500 17,000 24,500 New / Used Trucks 2,200 0 2,200 Retail Finance Contracts $126m $300m $426m Vehicle Servicing $32m $121m $153m Parts Sales $90m $240m $330m Annual Turnover $2.4 Billion Representing only 3.7% of Franchised Retail Industry based on VFACTS 2010

Operational Highlights for 2010 Substantial earnings accretive growth utilising only limited new equity (6% of capital). Caloundra City Auto Qld April 2010 Adtrans Group SA (Cars), Vic & NSW (Trucks) October 2010 Sydney Truck Centre NSW (Western Star/MAN) October 2010 Eblens Subaru March 2011 Geographical Spread Change (based on turnover) 2010* 2011 2010 2011 Qld 65% 45% Cars 100% 88% NSW/ACT 27% 24% Trucks 0% 12% NT 9% 6% VIC/TAS 0% 6% SA 0% 19% Based on APE $1.7bn / ADG $0.7bn Plus Eblens $0.05bn Total $2.45bn WA 0% 0% * 2010 % s do not include Adtrans

AP Eagers / Adtrans $0.0 BN 11.3% AP Eagers $0.15 BN (6%) 1.0% Adtrans/Eblens $0.48 BN (19%) Shaded % s = New motor vehicles sales market share Dec YTD 2010 6.4% VIC 27.2% AP Eagers $1.10 BN (45%) 20.1% AP Eagers $0.45 BN Adtrans $0.12 BN (24%) 30.6% Adtrans $0.15 BN (6%) $0.0 BN AP Eagers $1.7 billion Adtrans $0.7 billion Eblens (SA) $0.05billion Total $2.45 billion ACT 1.6% TAS 1.9%

Queensland Floods

Queensland Floods/Cyclone Damage and disruption to riverside operations Physical damage and business interruption covered by insurance AP Eagers donated flood relief support vehicles to charities and the Reconstruction Authority (Gov.) Qld vehicle sales bounced back in March but still trailing the nation YTD Impact after insurance recovery neutral

Japanese Earthquake Issues Car manufacturing plants mostly okay Parts supply disrupted Some power constraints Lack of certainty on parts supply resolutions

Japanese Earthquake Impact 40% of imported vehicles come from Japan Greater than 50% of vehicle sales in Australia are Japanese brands We are being informed that supply of Japanese product could be impacted by up to 50% over a three to six month period All Japanese brands are affected Product and time frames vary due to circumstances At April 19 th, AP Eagers expects ups and downs by month, but a neutral affect on calendar year 2011 results

Profitability and New Vehicle Stock Availability Jan June (1 st Half) Industry Profitability Jan June (1 st Half) Industry Vehicle Stock June Dec (2 nd Half) Industry Profitability June Dec (2 nd Half) Industry Vehicle Stock 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 V. Good & Increasing Lots, but manageable V. Good & Increasing Lots, but manageable Stable Recovering Solid, still Stimulus driven Lots and increasing, alarming levels by June Disastrous Lots, slowly decreasing at the expense of profit Decreasing fast, some short supply by June Utopia, Stimulus driven Very limited stock industry-wide, freeing up by year end Correct stock levels, but creeping upwards by June Solid, Stimulus over Relatively high stock for some Mfr s reducing to normal by year end. Forecast, Solid Forecast, correct stock levels. When vehicle stock is in line with natural demand then the industry structure produces a good return on invested capital.

Financial Highlights (Full Year 2010 vs 2009) 1. Solid margins, in a more cautious retail market» NPBT/Sales 2.6% vs 3.0%.» EBITDA/Sales 4.0% vs 4.6%. but compare well with history and industry. 2. Substantial earnings accretive growth achieved with limited new equity issued (6% of capital). Caloundra City Auto - QLD Adtrans Group - S.A (Cars), Vic & NSW (Trucks) Sydney Truck Centre (Western Star/MAN) - NSW

Group Financial Results Underlying Trading Performance Margins reduced from record levels due to a return to a more normal level of vehicle inventory, a generally more cautious retail customer environment, and weakness in the S.E. Queensland market. Underlying Trading Performance FY 2010 $m Change Revenue 1,811 +9% EBITDA 74.5-2% EBIT 67.9-5% NPBT 46.8-7% NPAT 32.6-7% EBITDA/Sales 4.0% -13% EBIT/Sales 3.8% -12% NPBT/Sales 2.6% - 13%

Ongoing margin improvement trend - albeit below record 2009 levels.

Financial Trends

Financial Trends

Group Balance Sheet - Summary Acquisitions of Caloundra City Auto, Adtrans and Sydney Truck Centre. Takeover of Adtrans eliminated the previous equity accounted investment. Use of cash reserves, debt and equity (6% of issued capital) for growth. CA-CL (excl. held for sale) FY10 $m Change ($m) Change 71.9 18.9 +37% Investments 2.7 (24.2) -90% PP&E (incl. held for sale) 355.9 32.8 +10% Intangibles 116.2 48.7 +72% Non Current Borrowings 166.3 51.1 +44% Net Assets 360.2 29.6 +9%

Borrowings Cash and debt used for earning accretive acquisitions. Inventories have adjusted to more normal levels. Adtrans $74.5m of car and truck bailment. Dec 10 $m Dec 09 $m Cash 0.2 18.9 Current - Bailment & O draft 243.6 170.9 N/Current (Bank Debt) 166.3 115.2 Total Borrowing 409.9 286.1 Total Gearing (D/D+E) 53.2% 46.4% - net of cash Gearing excl.bailment, cash (D/D+E) 32.0% 22.6% Interest Cover (EBITDA/Borrowing Cost) 3.5 times 3.6 times Bailment (floorplan) finance: industry specific, cost effective finance, secured directly to vehicle inventory, and linked to retail finance offering.

Group Cash Flow - Summary Higher tax payments ($13.5m) due to 2009 profitability. Growth investments of $43.6 m. Dividend paid in 2010 of 63 cents (2009 44 cents). FY2010 $m FY2009 $m Cash from operations 31.1 65.2 PP&E Acq./Disp (1.3) 11.8 Business Acq./Disp. (43.6) (0.2) Net proceeds from borrowings 25.0 (40.6) Repayment Share buy back (5.0) (4.0) Dividends (net DRP) (18.8) (12.1) Dividend former (9.1) - ADG s holders Inc/(Dec) in Cash (21.7) 20.1

Franchise Automotive Retail Segment Whole of Adtrans included in Franchise Auto segment. Margin/Return lower due to more cautious trading environment and higher interest costs. 2010 RONA not comparable due to inclusion of Adtrans net assets but only 2.3 months of consolidated earnings. Excluding Adtrans and business acquisition costs = 21.0%. FY2010 $m FY2009 $m Revenue 1761.5 1,606.6 Profit before tax 40.7 48.4 Total Assets 596.3 404.2 Total Liabilities 392.6 258.5 Net Assets 203.7 145.7 PBT/Revenue 2.3% 3.0% RONA (after tax) 14.0% 24.0%

Property Segment Lower property related debt and interest costs. Adtrans property assets included in Auto Franchise segment in 2010. Property valuation problematic for specific use assets in fragmented/confused market with virtually no directly relevant sales evidence. FY2010 $m FY2009 $m Rental Income 28.2 29.4 Profit before tax 10.5 9.8 Revaluation (6.1) (8.5) surplus/(deficit) (b/tax) Total Assets 300.5 327.3 Total Liabilities 146.5 146.5 Net Assets 154.0 180.9 RONA Trading (a/tax) 4.6% 3.8% RONA incl. revaluations 2.0% 0.5%

Adtrans Heavy duty truck industry remains subdued. Acquired Western Star, Man, Foton and Dennis Eagle (Nov 2010) Other truck opportunities pending Eblens added to Adtrans SA car division (March 2011) Integration benefits to flow through during 2011 and 2012.

National Heavy Commercial Sales 2002 to 2010 (15,001 kgs GVM and over)

Adtrans 2011 EPS 27% of ADG s PAT results were already in APE results due to equity accounting 73% of ADG is therefore additional earnings Acquisition funding via approximately $50m (cash and debt) and $22m in AP Eagers shares (equity) Forecast EPS accretion of 8 cents per share

AP Eagers in 2011 and Beyond IH 2011 Priority, secure value from 2010 acquisitions Maintain and improve core dealership results 2H 2011 and Beyond No shortage of growth opportunities Evaluation and decisions critical to maximise EPS