U.S. Multiemployer Pension Plan Withdrawals

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U.S. Multiemployer Pension Plan Withdrawals By Lisa Schilling January 2017 Introduction and Executive Summary Multiemployer pension plans (MEPPs) in the United States generally cover unionized participants from more than one participating employer. When an employer withdraws discontinues participation from a plan, the employer stops making regular contributions. If the plan is underfunded, generally the employer is assessed withdrawal liability, which is typically paid to the plan over time. Because of a variety of statutory and practical limitations, withdrawal liability actually paid may or may not be sufficient to cover any unfunded liabilities associated with the now-withdrawn employer. 1 This article provides an overview of MEPP withdrawals based on the Department of Labor Form 5500 database as of Oct. 28, 2016. The article shows relationships present among the data studied, but the relationships neither are intended to, nor should be understood to imply causation of or correlation to withdrawal. Here are some of the key findings for plan years : Slightly fewer employers withdrew in than, affecting somewhat fewer but larger plans; the percentage of MEPP participants in affected plans was the same. In general, fewer than 2% of employers withdrew in a given year. While only about of the plans experienced withdrawals, these plans represent more than 6 of MEPP participants. The dependency ratio (ratio of inactive participants to active participants) continued to be consistently greater among plans that experienced withdrawal than among those that did not. For, the aggregate dependency ratio among plans that experienced withdrawal was 1.9, while it was 1.5 for plans that did not experience withdrawal. Plans with higher dependency ratios may have greater funding challenges than plans with lower dependency ratios. For most plans that experienced withdrawal, assessed withdrawal liability was less than 1% of the plan s liabilities as measured using funding discount rates. Consistent with prior years, withdrawal liabilities assessed in exceeded 15% of plan liabilities for fewer than 1 of MEPPs. Construction Industry Withdrawals can be especially difficult to identify for plans in the construction and entertainment industries because of industry-specific dynamics, and special rules apply to recognize these differences. While there are only 1 Withdrawal liabilities are governed by the Employee Retirement Income Security Act 4201-4225, amended by the Multiemployer Pension Reform Act of.

2 a few plans associated with the entertainment industry, the construction industry holds a signficant presence in the MEPP universe. Accordingly, this article differentiates analyses by construction versus other industries. Figure 1 shows that for, 55% of plans, about two-thirds of employers, and 4 of participants were associated with the construction industry. Figure 1 PREVALENCE OF CONSTRUCTION INDUSTRY Plans Employers Participants Construction 543 656 67,188 3,899,963 135,051 5,824,138 Other Industries Withdrawal Frequency Across the MEPP universe, employer withdrawals in were similar in almost all respects to and the period in general. On average over those years, 1.6% of contributing employers withdrew annually, affecting 18% of the plans. The plans that experienced withdrawal tended to be larger plans, which generally have greater numbers of participating employers. On average since, 63% of the system s roughly 10 million participants were in plans that experienced withdrawal. Compared to, early indications for 2015 show slightly fewer employers withdrawing from slightly more but smaller plans. Figure 2 illustrates the number and percentage of employers that withdrew each year, while Figure 3 shows plans affected and Figure 4 represents participants affected. Figure 2 NUMBER OF EMPLOYERS 250,000 200,000 150,000 100,000 50,000 0 3.5% 3. 2.5% 2. 1.5% 1. 0.5% 0. Not Withdrawing (L) Withdrawing (L) Percent Withdrawing (R) * Partial year of reporting; data as of Oct. 28, 2016, represent roughly 5 of plans with roughly 6 of liabilities for 2015.

3 Figure 3 NUMBER OF PLANS 1,400 1,200 1,000 800 600 400 200 0 3 25% 15% 1 5% Without Withdrawal (L) With Withdrawal (L) Percent With Withdrawal (R) * Partial year of reporting; data as of Oct. 28, 2016, represent roughly 5 of plans with roughly 6 of liabilities for 2015. Figure 4 NUMBER OF PARTICIPANTS 12,000,000 10,000,000 8,000,000 6,000,000 4,000,000 2,000,000 0 8 7 6 5 4 3 1 In Plans Without Withdrawal (L) In Plans With Withdrawal (L) Percent In Plans With Withdrawal (R) * Partial year of reporting; data as of Oct. 28, 2016, represent roughly 5 of plans with roughly 6 of liabilities for 2015. The construction industry reported a slightly lower rate of withdrawal than other industries during these years; note that withdrawals can be especially difficult to identify in the construction industry. On average during, 1.1% of about 140,000 construction employers withdrew annually, affecting 11% of the industry s roughly 700 plans and 57% of its roughly 4 million participants. For other industries, on average 2.5% of roughly 70,000 employers withdrew annually, affecting 27% of about 600 plans and 68% of roughly 6 million participants. Impact of Withdrawal A withdrawing employer is generally assessed withdrawal liability that is typically paid over time. Regulations governing withdrawal liabilites are complex and sometimes vary by industry, with the most significant variations applying to the construction and entertainment industries. In short, assessed withdrawal liability may not represent the unfunded liability attributable to a withdrawing employer. In addition, because of statutory and practical limitations, assessed withdrawal liabilities may not be paid in full. 2 2 Withdrawal liabilities are governed by the Employee Retirement Income Security Act 4201-4225, amended by the Multiemployer Pension Reform Act of.

Liabilities (Billions) Aggregate Funded Ratio 4 When withdrawal liabilities paid do not cover unfunded liabilities attributable to the withdrawn employer, the remaining employers generally bear the burden. In addition, if the plan should become insolvent, Pension Benefit Guaranty Corporation bears part of the burden and often participants bear part of the burden through benefit cuts. The vast majority of MEPPs have an unfunded liability. Figure 5 shows that in aggregate MEPP unfunded liabilities are significant, regardless of how they re measured and Figure 6 shows the average discount rate used in the liabilities shown in Figure 5. Figure 5 AGGREGATE LIABILITIES AND FUNDED STATUS $1,000 $800 Liability at Funding Discount Rate with Smoothed Assets Aggregate Funded Ratio (R) Current Liability* with Market Value of Assets 10 8 Figure 6 AVERAGE DISCOUNT RATES 8. 7. Funding Discount Rate $600 $400 $200 Unfunded Portion (L) Funded 6 4 6. 5. 4. Current Liability Rate* $0 3. * For MEPPs, Current Liability discount rates are based on an average of Treasury rates. * Based on an average of Treasury rates Withdrawal Liability Figure 7 shows that the aggregate withdrawal liability assessed is usually a very small portion of MEPP aggregate liabilities. Across all industries, for all years but, aggregate withdrawal liabilities were less than one-half of 1% (0.5%) of liabilities, and was less than 0.06% of liabilities. 3 If compared to the higher Current Liabilities, the percentages would be markedly smaller. Figure 7 AGGREGATE ASSESSED WITHDRAWAL LIABILITIES AS A PERCENT OF AGGREGATE MEPP FUNDING RATE LIABILITIES 1.2% 1. 0.8% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0. * Partial year of reporting; data as of Oct. 28, 2016, represent roughly 5 of plans with 6 of liabilities reporting for 2015. 3 Plan liabilities are based on the Unit Credit Cost Method and the discount rates used by plan actuaries for funding purposes.

5 As previously noted, rules for determining withdrawal liabilities are complex and can vary by industry. In addition, because of industry dynamics, withdrawals can be especially difficult to identify in the construction industry. Withdrawal liabilities as a percentage of total liabilities were noticeably smaller for the construction industry than other industries. Aggregate withdrawal liabilities among the construction industry were typically less than onetenth of 1% (0.1%), although early indications for 2015 look to be an exception. While Figure 7 focuses on the MEPP system in aggregate, Figure 8 shows the relative magnitude of withdrawal liabilities for plans experiencing withdrawal. Across all industries, at least half of plans were assessed withdrawal liability that was less than one-tenth of one percent (0.1) of total liabilities measured at funding rates, and fewer than one-fifth of plans were assessed withdrawal liabilities of more than one percent (1.) of liabilities. Figure 8 WITHDRAWAL LIABILITIES AS A PERCENTAGE OF UNIT CREDIT LIABILITIES AT FUNDING DISCOUNT RATE FOR PLANS EXPERIENCING WITHDRAWAL 10 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 1 * Partial year of reporting; data as of Oct. 28, 2016, represent roughly 5 of plans with 6 of liabilities reporting for 2015. 2.0 + 1.0 1.99% 0.1 0.99% 0.01% 0.099% 0.0099% However, for roughly 1 of the plans, the assessed withdrawal liability exceeded 2% of the plan s total liability. For a small number of those plans, it exceeded 15% of liabilities. 4 While withdrawal liabilities exceeded 2% of total plan liabilities for only a small percentage of plans, in those cases the amount assessed could be quite large. In each year studied, for a handful of plans, withdrawal liabilities exceeded 15% of liabilities valued at the funding discount rate, with a few of those exceeding 3. Orphaned Participants Participants of withdrawn employers are commonly known as orphaned participants. To the extent that withdrawal liability paid does not cover the cost of orphaned participants benefits, any remaining funding costs must be borne by the remaining contributing employers and their employees. Identifying orphaned participants can be challenging, especially in some industries such as construction and entertainment. Data 4 Plan liabilities are based on the Unit Credit Cost Method and the discount rates used by plan actuaries for funding purposes.

6 presented are as reported on Form 5500; to minimize the impact of industry-specific data challenges, only allindustry data is shown. Figure 9 NUMBER AND PERCENTAGE OF ORPHANED PARTICIPANTS ALL INDUSTRIES Millions 10 8 6 4 2 0 16% 12% 8% 4% With Contributing Employers (L) Orphaned (L) Percentage Orphaned (R) * The graph shows only percentages for 2015 because it is a partial year of reporting; data as of Oct. 28, 2016, represent roughly 5 of plans with roughly 6 of liabilities for 2015. Figure 9 reveals that throughout, the number of orphaned participants increased faster than the total number of participants, and the percentage of orphaned participants across all industries increased from 12% to 16%. Early indications for 2015 suggest a further increase to 17%. Dependency Ratio With significant unfunded liabilties, MEPP dependency ratios (the ratio of inactive to active participants) are important. MEPP contributions are typically negotiated as a function of active participants (e.g., $X per hour worked). So in order to fill a given plan s funding deficit, a higher dependency ratio generally requires a higher contribution rate than if the plan had a lower dependency ratio. Figure 10 illustrates how the MEPP system s aggregate dependency ratio has increased over recent years. The ratio was consistently and significantly higher among plans experiencing withdrawal than those not experiencing withdrawal. The disparity increased in recent years, especially among nonconstruction industries. Further, withdrawals tend to increase the dependency ratio, which can exacerbate a plan s funding challenges. Figure 10 AGGREGATE DEPENDENCY RATIO 2.2 2.0 1.8 1.6 1.4 1.2 1.0 * Partial year of reporting; data as of Oct. 28, 2016, represent roughly 5 of plans with roughly 6 of liabilities for 2015. Plans With Withdrawal All Plans Plans Without Withdrawal For, the aggregate dependency ratio was 1.9 for plans experiencing withdrawal 26% higher than the corresponding ratio of 1.5 for plans not experiencing withdrawal. Early indications for 2015 show little change from for construction industries, but a decrease among nonconstruction industries.

7 Summary Given the considerable level of unfunded liabilities in the MEPP system, employer withdrawals are a significant issue. When an employer withdraws, if withdrawal liability paid does not fully cover the unfunded liability attributable to that employer, it falls to the remaining employers to fill the gap. If the plan becomes insolvent, the burden is also borne by the Pension Benefit Guaranty Corporation (PBGC) and participants via benefit cuts. The frequency and impact of withdrawals were generally consistent from year to year from to. While withdrawal liabilities assessed in any given year are generally quite small relative to a plan s total liabilities, in some cases they can be quite large. Because MEPP employer contributions are generally a function of active participants, the resulting funding challenges are exacerbated by the fact that, over the plan years, plans that experienced withdrawal had a significantly higher dependency ratio than plans that did not. Data Notes Tabulations are based on publicly available data from the Department of Labor Form 5500 as of Oct. 28, 2016. Other than adjustments for obvious errors, including missing data, data were used as reported. The use of the reported values is not intended to provide commentary on the appropriateness of the underlying assumptions and methods for funding these plans or for any other purpose. Following are some specific notes about the data: Many employers contributed to more than one plan, and many participants participate in more than one plan. Employer and participant data reflected in this article are the sum of counts for each plan. Frozen plans are included in this analysis; the analysis released in December 2015 excluded frozen plans. Criteria for errors and missing data differ slightly from previous analyses, so results for previously published years may differ slightly. Acknowledgments The author thanks the following volunteer actuaries for their arm s-length review of this article. Any opinions expressed may not reflect their opinions nor that of their employers. Any errors are the authors, not theirs: James B. Dexter, FSA, EA, FCA, MAAA Paul B. Dunlap, FSA, EA, FCA, MAAA Josh A. Shapiro, FSA, EA, FCA, MAAA

8 About the Society of Actuaries The Society of Actuaries (SOA), formed in 1949, is one of the largest actuarial professional organizations in the world dedicated to serving more than 27,000 actuarial members and the public in the United States, Canada and worldwide. In line with the SOA Vision Statement, actuaries act as business leaders who develop and use mathematical models to measure and manage risk in support of financial security for individuals, organizations and the public. The SOA supports actuaries and advances knowledge through research and education. As part of its work, the SOA seeks to inform public policy development and public understanding through research. The SOA aspires to be a trusted source of objective, data-driven research and analysis with an actuarial perspective for its members, industry, policymakers and the public. This distinct perspective comes from the SOA as an association of actuaries, who have a rigorous formal education and direct experience as practitioners as they perform applied research. The SOA also welcomes the opportunity to partner with other organizations in our work where appropriate. The SOA has a history of working with public policymakers and regulators in developing historical experience studies and projection techniques as well as individual reports on health care, retirement and other topics. The SOA s research is intended to aid the work of policymakers and regulators and follow certain core principles: Objectivity: The SOA s research informs and provides analysis that can be relied upon by other individuals or organizations involved in public policy discussions. The SOA does not take advocacy positions or lobby specific policy proposals. Quality: The SOA aspires to the highest ethical and quality standards in all of its research and analysis. Our research process is overseen by experienced actuaries and non-actuaries from a range of industry sectors and organizations. A rigorous peer-review process ensures the quality and integrity of our work. Relevance: The SOA provides timely research on public policy issues. Our research advances actuarial knowledge while providing critical insights on key policy issues, and thereby provides value to stakeholders and decision makers. Quantification: The SOA leverages the diverse skill sets of actuaries to provide research and findings that are driven by the best available data and methods. Actuaries use detailed modeling to analyze financial risk and provide distinct insight and quantification. Further, actuarial standards require transparency and the disclosure of the assumptions and analytic approach underlying the work. SOCIETY OF ACTUARIES 475 N. Martingale Road, Suite 600 Schaumburg, Illinois 60173 www.soa.org