Managing Risk for the Present and the Future IDRM Planning in Thua Thien Hue province Natural Disaster Risk Management Project Presenter: Trần Hoàng Yến for Symposium on Disaster Impact and Assessment in Asia Hue, August 2010 9/8/2010 Natural Disaster Risk Management Project_Vietnam 1
Overview of the presentation Introduction Natural disasters in Vietnam and Thua Thien Hue province IDRM Planning under NDRMP IDRM Planning in Thua Thien Hue Lessons learned, challenges and recommendations 9/8/2010 Natural Disaster Risk Management Project_Vietnam 2
Introduction Name: Tran Hoang Yen Position: IDRM Planning Specialist for TANDRM funded by AusAID Main duty: Support 12 selected provinces in development of IDRM Plans Email: hoangyen208@gmail.com 9/8/2010 Natural Disaster Risk Management Project_Vietnam 3
Natural disasters in Vietnam One of the most hazard-prone areas in Asia Pacific region Annually affected by natural hazards typhoons, floods, storm surge, landslides and droughts Major hazards are typhoons and floods 6,500 lives and US$5.2 billion lost in 14 recent years (1997-2009) due to natural disasters A decreasing trend in lives lost but an increasing trend in economic losses 9/8/2010 Natural Disaster Risk Management Project_Vietnam 4
Natural disaster losses 1997-2009 1000 800 Lives lost 600 400 200 0 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 Year Source: CCFSC Economic lost (US$ million) 1,200 1,000 800 600 400 200 0 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 Year Source: CCFSC 9/8/2010 Natural Disaster Risk Management Project_Vietnam 5
Geographical distribution of natural disaster impacts 1800 1600 1400 1200 1000 800 600 400 200 0 North East North West Red River Delta North Central Central Coast Central Highlands Eastern South Cuu Long Delta Deaths from natural disaster 1997 to 2006 18,000 16,000 14,000 12,000 10,000 8,000 6,000 4,000 2,000 - North East North West Red River Delta North Central Central Coast Central Highlands Eastern South Source: CCFSC Damage cost from natural disaster 1997 to 2006 (B VND) Cuu Long Delta 9/8/2010 Natural Disaster Risk Management Project_Vietnam 6
Natural disasters in T.T.Hue Natural hazards affecting Thua Thien Hue are typical of the Central Region: typhoons, floods, droughts, seawater intrusion, storm surges and erosion typhoons and floods are the most damaging 572 lives and US$375 million lost in recent 14 years decreasing trend in lives loss but an increasing trend in economic loss 9/8/2010 Natural Disaster Risk Management Project_Vietnam 7
Natural disaster losses 1997-2009 100 352 80 60 40 20 0 31 31 18 20 23 17 10 8 6 1 1 4 5 9 5 10 7 9 5 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 Lives lost Source: T.T.Hue IDRMP 3000 2500 2000 1500 1000 500 0 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 Economic lost (B.VND) 9/8/2010 Natural Disaster Risk Management Project_Vietnam Source: T.T.Hue IDRMP 8
NDRM Project Executing Agency: Ministry of Agricultural and Rural Development Central Project Office Funded by the World Bank and governments of Japan, the Netherlands and Australia Implementation period 2006-2011 Risk management capability enhancement under component 4 includes: development of Integrated Disaster Risk Management Plans (IDRMPs) for 12 disaster-prone provinces in Central and Southern Vietnam 9/8/2010 Natural Disaster Risk Management Project_Vietnam 9
Rationale for IDRM Planning National Strategy for Natural Disaster Prevention, Response and Mitigation to 2020 Provincial action plan NDRM Project development objective Integrates and balances Stakeholder and Community needs All economic sectors Harmonized with socio-economic development plan 9/8/2010 Natural Disaster Risk Management Project_Vietnam 10
Overall connection Central Government CCFSC MARD/ CPO WB Donors Socio-Economic Development Plan National Strategy for ND PR&M to 2020 PPC NDRMP C4 Provincial Socio- Economic Plan PFSC Provincial Action Plan DARD IDRM Plan 9/8/2010 Natural Disaster Risk Management Project_Vietnam 11
Benefits of IDRM Planning Increased public safety Reduced damage Increased community involvement Increased inter-agency cooperation Effectiveness & coordination of funding increased Better long-term return on investment 9/8/2010 Natural Disaster Risk Management Project_Vietnam 12
Approach Prepared and owned by the province Responds to community and stakeholder needs via process of engagement Identifies and assesses risks of all natural hazards Identifies and assesses existing provincial capacities Develops risk reduction measures Set priorities on the basis of need Ensure linkages with socio-economic plans Enables implementation at local level 9/8/2010 Natural Disaster Risk Management Project_Vietnam 13
IDRM Planning under NDRMP Mid-2008 3 provinces Ha Tinh, Quang Tri, Quang Nam Completed by mid-2009 Mid-2009 to Mid-2010 Thanh Hoa Nghe An Quang Binh Thua Thien Hue Quang Ngai Binh Dinh Ninh Thuan Ben Tre Dong Thap 9/8/2010 Natural Disaster Risk Management Project_Vietnam 14
IDRMP development process Based on IDRM planning Manual 3 Phases/14 steps 1. Preparation 2. Assessment 3. Plan Development 9/8/2010 Natural Disaster Risk Management Project_Vietnam 15
Outputs y Provincial Integrated Disaster Risk Management Plans for 12 Provinces, including a set of integrated products: y Framework Report y Investment Plan y Atlas of thematic maps 9/8/2010 Natural Disaster Risk Management Project_Vietnam 16
Thua Thien Hue IDRM Planning Provincial planning team (PPT) was established with 7 members (DARD, DoIrrigation and FSC, DPI, DoC, DoT, DoNRE and Hyro-meteorological service) DARD deputy director as PPT leader Fulltime local planning consultant employed Implemented from August 2009 to March 2010 Followed same procedure as other 11 provinces 9/8/2010 Natural Disaster Risk Management Project_Vietnam 17
Thua Thien Hue IDRMP Framework report Overall situation of natural hazards/disasters Natural and socio-economic conditions Natural disaster impacts Capacity to respond to and manage disasters Disaster risk management needs Atlas of maps 8 thematic maps to illustrate and support planning IDRM Investment Plan Structural and non-structural investment projects costing around USD 450 million (89% and 11%) Proposed implementation plan (activities, expected outputs, time, budget, responsible parties, priorities) 9/8/2010 Natural Disaster Risk Management Project_Vietnam 18
Lessons Learned Direction and support from PPCs are essential and decisive Close inter-sector cooperation is critical PPT members should be experienced experts with knowledge of risk assessment Solutions should respond directly to the risk analysis and be confirmed in workshops and meetings Specific, defined and practical implementation schedule. 9/8/2010 Natural Disaster Risk Management Project_Vietnam 19
Lessons learned (cont.) Use workshops at the critical stages to share information and get broad support Communicate regularly with stakeholders Research background information from a wide range of sources Ensure consistency with provincial Action Plans and socio-economic development plans Review and update frequently to maintain relevance 9/8/2010 Natural Disaster Risk Management Project_Vietnam 20
Challenges Limited horizontal coordination between different sectors Limited information and knowledge on risk assessment and climate change Limited quality of relevant data to underpin decision-making DRM continues to be viewed as an add-on to core development activities Some trade-offs between development goals, poverty reduction and DRM are difficult to negotiate 9/8/2010 Natural Disaster Risk Management Project_Vietnam 21
Recommendations Expand the IDRM planning into other provinces Strengthen the concept that IDRM plan is the focal point for DRM activities in the province Strengthen horizontal coordination between different sectors Give higher priority to non-structural solutions IDRM Plan should be reviewed and revised annually 9/8/2010 Natural Disaster Risk Management Project_Vietnam 22
Thank you for your attention! 9/8/2010 Natural Disaster Risk Management Project_Vietnam 23