TransUnion Fourth Quarter 2018 Earnings. Jim Peck, President and CEO Todd Cello, CFO Chris Cartwright, President, USIS

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Transcription:

v v v TransUnion Fourth Quarter 2018 Earnings Jim Peck, President and CEO Todd Cello, CFO Chris Cartwright, President, USIS

Forward-Looking Statement This presentation contains forward-looking statements within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. These statements are based on the current beliefs and expectations of TransUnion s management and are subject to significant risks and uncertainties. Actual results may differ materially from those described in the forwardlooking statements. Factors that could cause TransUnion s actual results to differ materially from those described in the forward-looking statements can be found in TransUnion s Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2018, as modified in any subsequent Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q or Current Report on Form 8-K, which are filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission and are available on TransUnion's website (www.transunion.com/tru) and on the Securities and Exchange Commission's website (www.sec.gov). TransUnion undertakes no obligation to update the forward-looking statements to reflect the impact of events or circumstances that may arise after the date of the forward-looking statements. 2019 Trans Union LLC All Rights Reserved 2

TransUnion Delivered Another Strong Quarter and Full Year Double-digit Adjusted Revenue, Adjusted EBITDA and Adjusted EPS growth in the fourth quarter Five consecutive years of doubledigit growth on each of these metrics Strong top and bottom line performance in all three segments Powerful, effective business model and culture built to continue to deliver relative outperformance 2019 Trans Union LLC All Rights Reserved 3

Rapidly Bringing the TransUnion International playbook to the U.K. Implementing proven approach to innovation, expanded capabilities and go-to-market Positioned business for accelerating constant currency revenue growth in 2019 Clear line of sight to more than $15 million of cost savings in 2019 Expect to deliver these ahead of schedule Will reinvest some to drive top line and let some fall to the bottom line

TransUnion International Continues to Deliver Strong Growth Canada delivered another year of double-digit adjusted revenue growth Outstanding performance driven by TransUnion's International playbook India growth remains outstanding Changes and investments in Africa helped drive a return to revenue growth 2019 Trans Union LLC All Rights Reserved 5

Consumer Interactive Focused on Empowering Consumers Directly and Through Partners Direct channel continues to grow through good customer retention and consumer awareness of the value of credit and identity monitoring Indirect channel continues to see solid growth with strategic partners Credit Karma agreed to purchase Noddle, the direct-to-consumer business we acquired with Callcredit Includes a multi-year data agreement

Innovation Continues to Drive Strong Results and Differentiate TransUnion with Customers CreditVision and CreditVision Link grew ~25% in the fourth quarter on a very large base as a result of further customer penetration TransUnion s legacy fraud prevention suite IDVision was combined with iovation to create a truly unique solution Prama continues to expand its capabilities while adding new customers 2019 Trans Union LLC All Rights Reserved 7

Financial Services Vertical Continues to Deliver Above-Market Growth Consumer Lending both traditional and FinTechs continues to deliver substantial growth and that should continue in 2019 Mortgage markets weakened in the second half of 2018, especially the fourth quarter; market is expected to be soft again in 2019 Credit card originations were strong in 2018 and consumers with access to cards hit an all-time high; 2019 should be another year of good growth Auto growth continues to come from solid used car sales as well as greater adoption of solutions like CreditVision, CreditVision Link, IDVision and collections; 2019 should be another solid year 2019 Trans Union LLC All Rights Reserved 8

Healthcare and Insurance Verticals Well Positioned Heading Into 2019 5 Back-end Healthcare contracts of $1mm+ signed in the fourth quarter; largest combined dollar value of contracts in the vertical s history in the fourth quarter and should monetize mid-2019 34 States covered by new National Driving Record solution, which combines DriverRisk and full MVR delivery acquired with DataLink; very positive customer response and expectation of incremental revenue for our Insurance vertical as 2019 progresses 2019 Trans Union LLC All Rights Reserved 9

Consolidated Fourth Quarter 2018 Highlights YOY change Adjusted Revenue +23% Constant Currency Adjusted Revenue +25% Organic Adjusted Revenue +10% Organic Constant Currency Adjusted Revenue +11% Organic CC Adj. Revenue ex. monitoring impact +11% Adjusted EBITDA +27% Constant Currency Adjusted EBITDA +29% Organic constant currency Adjusted EBITDA +16% Cost of Services increased 22% and SG&A increased 23% as a result of higher operating and integration costs related to recent acquisitions, investments in strategic initiatives and higher data costs associated with revenue growth Adjusted Diluted EPS +32% 2019 Trans Union LLC All Rights Reserved 10

TransUnion s Underlying Business Continues to Deliver Attractive EBITDA Margin Expansion 1Q17 2Q17 3Q17 4Q17 FY17 1Q18 2Q18 3Q18 4Q18 FY18 Adjusted EBITDA margin* 37.7% 39.2% 39.0% 38.8% 38.7% 37.7% 39.2% 39.4% 39.9% 39.1% Impact of acquisition integration costs Impact of lower margins from acquisitions Underlying Adjusted EBITDA margin 5bps 20bps 20bps 25bps 15bps 20bps 15bps 30bps 10bps 60bps 65bps 125bps 25bps 65bps 37.7% 39.2% 39.1% 39.2% 38.8% 38.5% 40.0% 40.9% 40.3% 40.0% Year-over-year change NA NA NA NA NA +80bps +80bps +190bps +150bps +130bps *For a reconciliation of Adjusted EBITDA and Adjusted EBITDA margin see press release dated February 14, 2019 or Form 10-K for 2018. Adjusted EBITDA and Adjusted EBITDA margin excludes the integration costs associated with the acquisition of Callcredit. 2019 Trans Union LLC All Rights Reserved 11

Proactively Reducing Balance Sheet Risk $60mm Prepaid debt in the fourth quarter 72% Fixed portion of debt after new financial instrument put in place in the fourth quarter 4.1x Pro forma leverage ratio, down from 4.2x at end of the third quarter; expected to be below 3.5x by end of 2019 2019 Trans Union LLC All Rights Reserved 12

USIS Fourth Quarter 2018 Financial Highlights YOY change (Reported) Less: FX Impact Less: Inorganic growth from M&A YOY Change (Organic Constant Currency) Adj. Revenue 19% (7)% 12% Financial Services 19% (4)% 15% Emerging Verticals 18% (10)% 9% Adj. EBITDA 17% (5)% 12% Note: Rows may not foot due to rounding. 2019 Trans Union LLC All Rights Reserved 13

International Fourth Quarter 2018 Financial Highlights Note: Rows may not foot due to rounding. YOY change (Reported) Less: FX Impact Less: Inorganic growth from M&A YOY Change (Organic Constant Currency) Adj. Revenue 57% +7% (47)% 17% Canada 12% +4% 16% Latin America 5% +9% 14% U.K. Africa 11% +5% 17% India 23% +14% 37% Asia Pacific (1)% +1% Adj. EBITDA 68% +9% (50)% 27% 2019 Trans Union LLC All Rights Reserved 14

Consumer Interactive Fourth Quarter 2018 Financial Highlights YOY change (Reported) Less: FX Impact Less: Inorganic growth from M&A YOY Change (Organic Constant Currency) Adj. Revenue 6% 6% Adj. EBITDA 9% 9% 2019 Trans Union LLC All Rights Reserved 15

Full Year 2019 Guidance Adjusted Revenue $2.590 to 2.610 billion, up 10.5 to 11.5% Organic CC growth of 7.5 to 8.5% (ex. monitoring) Assumptions: 5 points of M&A, 1 point of FX headwind, 1 point of lower monitoring headwind Adjusted EBITDA $1.017 to 1.032 billion, up 11 to 13% Adjusted EBITDA margin up 20 to 40 bps 1 point of FX headwind Adjusted EPS of $2.57 to 2.63, up 3 to 5% Tax rate of 27% Total D&A ~$355mm; D&A ex step-up and subsequent M&A ~$160mm Net interest expense ~$180 million CapEx ~8% of revenue 2019 Trans Union LLC All Rights Reserved 16

EPS Will Be Effected by a Number of Non- Operational Items in 2019 2018 2019E* Prior year Adjusted Diluted EPS $1.87 $2.50 Impact of: Adjusted EBITDA growth 0.88 0.60 Net interest expense (0.26) (0.25) Taxes 0.14 (0.05) D&A, excluding step-up and subsequent M&A (0.12) (0.17) Adjusted Net Income 0.63 0.14 Shares outstanding (0.01) (0.01) Year-end Adjusted EPS $2.50 $2.63 Year-over-year change +33% +5% *Based on high-end of Adjusted EPS guidance provided on February 14, 2019. Note: Columns may not foot due to rounding. Based on current plan, we expect Adjusted EBITDA and Adjusted EPS to return to their historical relationship with Adjusted EPS growing as fast as or faster than Adjusted EBITDA 2019 Trans Union LLC All Rights Reserved 17

First Quarter 2019 Guidance Adjusted Revenue $614 to 619 million, up 14 to 15% Organic CC growth of 6 to 7% (ex. monitoring) Assumptions: 12 points of M&A, 3 points of FX headwind, 1 point of monitoring headwind Adjusted EBITDA $233 to 236 million, up 15 to 17% 3 points of FX headwind Adjusted EPS $0.58 or 0.59, up 2 to 4% 2019 Trans Union LLC All Rights Reserved 18

Final Comments

Questions and Answers