Credit Suisse Financial Services Forum 2009

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Transcription:

Credit Suisse Financial Services Forum 2009 Naples, Florida February 4, 2009 Brady W. Dougan, CEO Credit Suisse

Cautionary statement Cautionary statement regarding forward-looking and non-gaap information This presentation contains forward-looking statements within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Forward-looking statements involve inherent risks and uncertainties, and we might not be able to achieve the predictions, forecasts, projections and other outcomes we describe or imply in forward-looking statements. A number of important factors could cause results to differ materially from the plans, objectives, expectations, estimates and intentions we express in these forward-looking statements, including those we identify in "Risk Factors" in our Annual Report on Form 20- F for the fiscal year ended December 31, 2007 filed with the US Securities and Exchange Commission, and in other public filings and press releases. We do not intend to update these forward-looking statements except as may be required by applicable laws. This presentation contains non-gaap financial information. Information needed to reconcile such non-gaap financial information to the most directly comparable measures under GAAP can be found in Credit Suisse Group's third quarter report 2008. Slide 2

Agenda The market environment Credit Suisse response Slide 3

The market environment (1/2) Environment Products Short-term challenges! Weaker macro-economic trends and slower wealth creation! Volatile markets with high asset correlations! Lower asset base and less client activity! Conservative behavior leading to less complex products and lower leverage! Liquidity and transparency increasingly important.. and near-term opportunities! Generational transfers of wealth in developed markets! Increasing retirement needs! Emerging markets! Fewer competitors and better pricing! Holistic risk management solutions! Private Investment Banking! Traditional strategies will remain core product for retail investors Slide 4

The market environment (2/2) Short-term challenges.. and near-term opportunities Regulation! Focus on immediate issues! Broader remit covering stress testing, liquidity and risk management Delivery / Business model! Recognition of depth and focus in targeted business areas! Preference for strong counterparties! More reliance on large institutions and regulated platforms! Demand for access to advice and a broad choice of products across all asset types! Depth and capability of business increasingly important Slide 5

Agenda The market environment Credit Suisse response Slide 6

Accelerated implementation of our strategic plan Continued commitment to integrated business model; growth of Private Banking globally and Swiss businesses Accelerated repositioning of the Investment Banking business portfolio with a reduction in risk, volatility and costs Continue to build focused and aligned Asset Management business CHF 2 billion cost reduction, including a headcount reduction of 5,300, or 11%, and an additional reduction of 1,400 contractors Positions Credit Suisse strongly with reduced risk, lower costs and strong capital to enable us to weather the continuing market challenges, capture opportunities, and prosper when markets improve Slide 7

Capital strength as competitive advantage! Took proactive steps to raise CHF 10 bn of capital, while minimizing dilution (less shares outstanding today than at the beginning of 2006)! 3Q08 proforma positions exceed SFBC s 2013 capital targets and leverage requirements! Strongly positioned to continue building client franchises and take advantage of targeted growth opportunities Tier 1 capital and tier 1 capital ratio (CHF bn and %) 9.8% 10.2% 10.4% Tier 1 ratio Core tier 1 ratio 7.6% 8.2% 8.4% Tier 1 capital 29.4 30.8 32.2 13.7% 9.8% 42.2 SFBC = Swiss Federal Banking Commission 1Q08 2Q08 3Q08 3Q08 proforma Slide 8

Solid funding structure Asset and liabilities by category CHF bn at end of 3Q08 1,394 1,394 Reverse 379 repo Repo 338 Private banking and other customer deposits CHF bn 288 261 +10% Trading 515 and liquid assets Loans 239 Other 261 121% coverage Trading 187 Short-term 114 Long-term 165 debt Private 288 banking & other deposits Other 263 Assets Capital & liabilities Equity 39 1Q07 2Q07 3Q07 4Q07 1Q08 2Q08 3Q08 Slide 9

Continue to focus on achieving integration benefits Core and collaboration revenues CHF bn 34.9 4.9 37.9 5.9 Core revenues 1) (different scale) Collaboration revenues 19.3 4.0 Gross margin with Wealth Management clients in bps Referred to IB/AM Booked in Wealth Management 130 129 14 16 115 114 2006 2007 9M08 9M07 9M08 1) Excludes valuation reductions and fair value gains/losses on own debt of total CHF 2.9 bn and CHF 5.3 bn in 2007 and 9M08, respectively Slide 10

Agenda The market environment Credit Suisse response Private Banking Slide 11

Resilient Private Banking performance and continued global expansion Private Banking remains well positioned! Stable business with sustained profitability and strong capital position! Global presence with multiple booking capabilities! Unique value proposition based on Client Centricity and the Integrated Bank! Client advisory model will be a key differentiator Continue to judiciously invest in the growth of Private Banking globally! Build on progress made to date, e.g. hired 340 relationship managers in 2008 18 new locations and 4 new markets since January 2007! Bank-wide efficiency measures also targeted at improving efficiency in Private Banking Slide 12

Wealth Management resilience through the cycle Net New Assets (NNA) Gross margin on assets under management CHF bn basis points Transaction-based 9.7 12.0 13.5 15.4 11.3 Recurring 115 114 112 116 109 36 29 30 30 25 79 85 82 86 84 3Q07 4Q07 1Q08 2Q08 3Q08 9M07 9M08 3Q07 2Q08 3Q08 Slide 13

Agenda The market environment Credit Suisse response Investment Banking Slide 14

Repositioning the Investment Bank! Reduce volatility, improve capital efficiency and remain a valuable contributor to the Integrated Bank! Focus on client and flow-based businesses (e.g. building on strength in algorithmic trading, cash equities, prime services, rates, FX and high grade credit)! Significant reduction in cost base and risk limits for complex credit and structured products! Reduction in risk capital usage, including exit from certain proprietary and principal trading activities and aligning lending with customer franchises Slide 15

Repositioning the Investment Bank: Robust earnings and returns over the cycle with lower volatility Investment Banking revenue (USD bn) As reported Proforma 12.4 9.4 0.5 16.4 11.5 2.0 15.7 14.4 3.7 0.4 10.9 2005 2006 2007 YTD Nov 2008 Investment Banking pre-tax income (USD bn) Proforma 2.0 2005 2006 2007 YTD Nov 2008 Proforma risk-weighted assets (USD bn) 99 129 161 135! Proforma analysis of repositioned Investment Bank demonstrates robust revenues and earnings, and lower volatility of this business model over the last four years! Average margins and returns should be higher through the cycle! Significantly lower risk capital usage in Investment Bank resulting in a more balanced capital allocation across Credit Suisse Slide 16

Risk reduction in Investment Banking Continued risk reduction! On a consistent methodology basis, riskweighted assets (RWAs) expected to decline to USD 170 bn at year-end 2008, and USD 135 bn by year-end 2009 (Based on 4th December 2008 announcement)! Underlying 1-day Value-at-Risk (VaR) declined 33% vs. 3Q08 average (quarter-on-quarter) 55% vs. 2007 average (year-on-year) Investment Banking RWAs (period end in USD bn) 236 230 214 193 170 135 2007 1Q08 2Q08 3Q08 2008E 2009E Investment Banking average 1-Day VaR Dataset / methodology effect Positioning 96 174 (43%) 186 (12%) (21%) (Period end in USD m) 158 124 89 78 63 72 52 35 2006 2007 1Q08 2Q08 3Q08 Nov 30 1) VaR on November 30, 2008 1) Slide 17

Agenda The market environment Credit Suisse response Asset Management Slide 18

Continue to build focused and aligned Asset Management powerhouse! Exit businesses with mixed performance and limited scale (e.g. Aberdeen)! Focus on our Asset Allocation and Alternative Strategies! Build a dominant alternatives business by leveraging our Investment Banking origination capabilities and by greater distribution through our Private Banking channels! Expand asset allocation capability of Private Banking to our institutional client base Slide 19

Alternative Investments Scale of business Size Growth Performance Diversification! USD 165 bn in managed assets 1)! Nearly USD 75 billion since 2005! Consistent strong fund performance! Over 35 businesses The Opportunities Growing Fragmented! Small non-us footprint presents a significant opportunity! No player over 5%! 10-15 over 1% 1) Includes USD 157 billion of assets under management and USD 8 billion of Credit Suisse commitments at September 30, 2008 Slide 20

Multi-asset class solution (MACS) a core product offering for Private Banking clients Mandates for Private Clients Mandates for Institutional Clients Retail Funds Discretionary portfolio management for private clients where main distribution channel is Private Banking Discretionary portfolio management and tailor-made fund solutions for institutional clients Distribution and management of mutual funds for retail clients Key figures! CHF 152.7 bn AuM as of 3Q08! More than 400 investment specialists! More than 50,000 Discretionary Mandates for Private Clients! Worldwide network with locations in Europe, Asia and the Middle East! Highly sophisticated investment process Slide 21

Summary Business mix and strategic direction position us well Strengthened client-focused franchise Strong capital and funding position Lower levels of risk assets Significant cost reductions Positions Credit Suisse strongly to weather the continuing market challenges, capture opportunities and prosper when markets improve Slide 22

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