Responding to Shocks through the Social Protection System: Opportunities for Sri Lanka

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Responding to Shocks through the Social Protection System: Opportunities for Sri Lanka Paula Bulancea Deputy Representative H i g h - L e v e l C o n f e r e n c e C o l o m b o, 2 5 S e p t e m b e r 2 0 1 8

Overview 1. Shocks in Sri Lanka 2. UNICEF s engagement 3. Disaster response focus on social protection 4. Overview of social protection in Sri Lanka and possible use to respond to shocks 5. Moving forward

1. Shocks in Sri Lanka

Shocks in Sri Lanka Increased intensity and frequency of weather-related shocks Sri Lanka 22 times more disasters caused by natural hazards than a decade ago In 2016, Sri Lanka 4th in the Global Climate Risk Index (2015: 98th) An average of over 900,000 persons have been affected annually over the past 40 years Negative impacts on children s lives adverse coping mechanisms (reduction of food consumption, selling assets, pulling children out of school, forced migration) Difficulty in supporting affected people Floods in 2016 and 2017 parallel systems

2. UNICEF s engagement

UNICEF s engagement Around the world, more and more existing SP systems are being used to respond to shocks UNICEF supported, over the past decade, the establishment, improvement, and consolidation of SP systems in 130+ countries This includes helping them be used to mitigate risks, build resilience and respond to shocks In Sri Lanka, UNICEF is undertaking an assessment of the shock-responsiveness of the SP to support more effective and efficient response Main focus of the study was on the potential of programs that have a cash transfer feature

3. Disaster response

Disaster response: how it currently happens National DRR Policy informs response Early warning, search and rescue DMC Early relief (first 48 hr to 7 days), rehabilitation and reconstruction activities NDRSC Inter-Governmental Network and the Disaster Management Plans - Emphasis on preparedness of all the ministries and agencies, at all levels Well-established protocols for response to floods, landslides, tsunamis; not so much for droughts Financing comes from MIWRDM, NITF (droughts not included), private entities/governments, development partners Financing and implementation of programs by development partners (international agencies / NGOs) is coordinated mostly at GA level

Some observations Effectiveness of DRM improving due to fine-tuning of preparedness, leadership, good coordination especially at DS level and below relatively small scale (for floods) Yet, some weaknesses remain which results in gap-filling by non-governmental parties and parallel systems No or poor quality information and data collection on people impacted by shocks, particularly in real time Government response is focused on: immediate relief - cooked food, dry rations, non-food items emergency cash grant from NITF (10,000 LKR) short-term house rental allowances compensations for property damaged (NITF, based on actuals, the rest possibly covered by MDM and MHA) Focus on building households resilience to shocks and longer-term post-shock assistance could be strenghtened

4. Social protection system and its use in shocks

Social Protection in Sri Lanka Extensive and established SP system Large number of social assistance programmes, fragmented managed by different agencies some at national level and others under the provincial councils, which in some cases have closely related or overlapping objectives Three main categories: (i) general income support to vulnerable households; (ii) nutrition-related in-kind food assistance; and (iii) support for access to education As of now, disaster relief programmes are short-term relief operations rather than regular social transfers providing longerterm support

Samurdhi Samurdhi is by far the largest of the cash transfer schemes providing income support, with 1.48 million beneficiary households in 2013 (or approximately 20% of the population) Samurdhi subsidy alone accounts for almost one third of social protection spending (31% in 2013), when spending on government pensions and hospital supplies is excluded Programme Cash transfers for income support Implementing institution Number of beneficiaries Samurdhi (Divi Neguma) subsidy MED 1,476,607 Public Assistance Monthly Allowance Provincial councils 447,277 Elders allowance MSS/NSE 189,320 Disability allowance MSS/NSPD 16,600 Assistance to disabled soldiers MD 16,152 Foster parents allowance (Sevana Sarana and Kepakaru Deguru) Provincial councils 1,628 Nutrition-related food transfers Thriposha food supplement MH 944,047 Poshana Malla food stamp MED 55,299 Fresh milk for nursery children MCDWA 228,720 Education-related transfers Free textbooks ME 3,973,909 School uniforms ME 3,973,909 School bus ticket subsidy SLTB 317,000 School meals ME 890,404 Grade 5 scholarship (2010) ME 45,019 Sisu Diriya scholarship (2010) ME 29,212 President's A/L scholarship (2010) President's Fund 15,066 Education aid (2010) MCDWA 2,797

Disaster response: using Samurdhi

Disaster response: using Samurdhi VERTICAL EXPANSION 1. PROSPECTS Access to about 30 percent of households 2. CHALLENGES Database does not include all the poor nor clear ranking for top-up decision-making Existing database Existing implementation capacity High inclusion and exclusion errors might be exacerbated The perceived politicized nature of Samurdhi might pose acceptability problems Existing operational procedures Existing payment mechanism Requires effective communication on the temporary nature of the expansion Requires additional financial resources (contingency budgeting) Beneficiaries are familiar with the system

Disaster response: using Samurdhi HORIZONTAL EXPANSION 1. PROSPECTS Would help to include non-beneficiaries, taking on the gap filling role that humanitarian agencies do by setting up parallel system Could support creation of a social registry or vice versa Existing implementation capacity (although would be stretched) Existing operational procedures 2. CHALLENGES Difficulties in rapid registration/enrolment of new/temporary beneficiaries, especially in a displacement scenario Requires clear entry/exit design features Stress on the system that is design to provide assistance to x number of regular beneficiaries Could create false expectations for the temporary beneficiaries (if design features are not communicated properly) Existing payment mechanism Requires additional financial resources.

Disaster response: other cash transfer programmes School meals Over 1,000,000 students from poor schools Triposha food programme Nutritional supplements to over 850,000 pregnant and lactating women, or whose children are undernourished Elders assistance More than 230,000 over 70 years old with no income

Financing of the SP system (1/3) Expenditure on social welfare programmes has been declining as a percentage of GDP and government spending

Financing of the SP system (2/3) Samurdhi subsidy alone accounts for almost one third of social protection spending (31% in 2013)

Financing of the SP system (3/3) By international standards, social assistance is less generous in Sri Lanka than in many other comparable countries

5. Way forward

Moving towards a social protection system that is better able to respond to disasters COHERENT AND CLEAR POLICY: Development of a National Social Protection Strategy that establishes an inclusive, rights-based social protection system for Sri Lanka, with a clear role in preparing for shocks, responding to them and in-building resilience of households and communities

Moving towards a social protection system that is better able to respond to disasters APPROPRIATE DESIGN AND IMPLEMENTATION: Universal targeting simpler to implement than closely targeted programing, may be combined with geographical targeting to improve resource allocation to poorer/more affected areas; Increasing the benefits in times of crisis to meet needs brought on by shocks; Development of better MIS, such as a registry of HH so to pre-register potential vulnerable groups/temporary beneficiaries (even if in disaster-prone areas to begin with); Scaling up of cash transfers may be constrained by inadequate transfers/payment mechanisms; Strengthening grievance redressal and accountability; Preparing communication systems linked to vertical and horizontal expansions; Linking with early warming systems for disasters, so that the SP system can react quickly; Strengthening coordination (inter-ministerial/department and with other stakeholders).

Moving towards a social protection system that is better able to respond to disasters ADEQUATE FINANCING: Build fiscal space for social protection to allow for policy scalability, the inclusion of temporary beneficiaries, or top up for current beneficiaries, for a period of time (contingency reserves, borrowing through contingent credit facilities, insurance mechanisms, or index-based insurance and assistance at program level)

Thank you!