1Q19 FINANCIAL RESULTS. November 7, 2018

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Transcription:

1Q19 FINANCIAL RESULTS November 7, 2018

1Q19 FINANCIAL HIGHLIGHTS A CHALLENGING QUARTER REFLECTING IMPACT OF DISRUPTION ~2,137 $1,150M (+150M) -90 1Q19 Net Revenue LFL (7.7%), or ~(2.5%) when excluding temporary external and internal supply chain disruptions related to: LFL (7.7%) Adj Op Margin 6.9% Underlying ~(2.5%) -90 ~203 Adj Op Margin ~9.5% $1,150M (+150M) Supply chain footprint consolidation Supplier component shortages U.S. hurricane Adjusted gross margin of 60.4% (-120bps), driven primarily by these factors Adjusted operating income of $141M (-28% YoY), or ~$203M (+4% YoY) excluding these impacts Adjusted EPS of $0.11 (+10%) * Supply chain impacts are calculated on the basis of estimated lost net revenues and gross profit, with no assumed impact to other operating expenses 2

Resolution Issue OVERVIEW OF TEMPORARY Q1 SUPPLY HEADWINDS Internal Supply Chain Consolidation ~2/3 of Impact External Supply Disruption ~1/3 of Impact European planning hub European warehouse U.S. warehouse Certain component shortages (pumps and glass bottles) U.S. Hurricane Florence impacting North Carolina warehouse Largely resolved in 2Q19, with residual impact in 3Q19 Expect to extend into 3Q19 Impact fully reverses in 2Q19 3

1Q19 RESULTS MASK UNDERLYING PERFORMANCE STRONG CONSUMER DEMAND IN 2 DIVISIONS Supply chain headwinds are a temporary setback in achieving our financial targets We continue to see strong underlying consumer demand in Luxury and Professional Beauty Consumer Beauty results not where they should be; we are accelerating a number of strategic interventions 4

Reduced costs Top line growth EARNINGS MODEL TO REACH HIGH TEEN ADJUSTED OPERATING MARGIN UNDERPINS OUR STRATEGIC CHOICES Luxury Sustain above-market top line expansion through strong innovation capabilities, geographic expansion & development of prestige skincare and colour cosmetics offering Professional Beauty Accelerate growth of untapped potential of OPI and ghd and capitalize on Wella s market-leading position High teen Consumer Beauty Cost synergies Stabilize the business by driving aggressive growth from new channels, new markets, and new businesses, & by improving our share performance in Western Europe & North America Fully deliver remaining cost synergies and continued operating leverage adjusted operating margin in FY23 Cost saving Program New program to drive simplicity and generate flexibility in our P&L to fuel strategic investments 5

LUXURY 1Q19 RESULTS LFL (2.1%) -90 ~844 $1,150M (+150M) Underlying +~5% 1Q19 Net Revenue LFL (2.1%), or up ~5% when excluding temporary external and internal supply chain disruptions Adjusted operating income of $102M (+13% YoY), reaching 12.8% adjusted operating margin Share gains in core brands Gucci, Tiffany, Marc Jacobs and Chloe * Supply chain impacts are calculated on the basis of estimated lost net revenues and gross profit, with no assumed impact to other operating expenses 6

LUXURY HIGHLIGHTS 7

PROFESSIONAL BEAUTY 1Q19 RESULTS 1Q19 Net Revenue LFL (2.6%), or up ~1.5% when excluding temporary supply chain headwinds LFL (2.6%) ~426-90 $1,150M Underlying + ~1.5% (+150M) Adjusted operating income of $24M (+41% YoY), with adjusted operating margin of 5.8% Continued growth of Coty s largest brand Wella (over $1B in sales), fueled by launch of breakthrough Wella Koleston Perfect with ME+ * Supply chain impacts are calculated on the basis of estimated lost net revenues and gross profit, with no assumed impact to other operating expenses 8

PROFESSIONAL BEAUTY HIGHLIGHTS WELCOME TO WELLASTORE 9

CONSUMER BEAUTY 1Q19 RESULTS 1Q19 Net Revenue LFL (14.0%), or down ~(9%) when excluding temporary headwinds LFL (14.0%) -90 ~867 $1,150M (+150M) Underlying ~ (9%) Adjusted operating income of $15M (-83% YoY) Strong growth in Brazil and Middle East & Africa Strong innovation performance in Wella retail and CoverGirl Division is operating with a significant sense of urgency to strengthen operational discipline and re-allocate investments towards higher potential brand-country combinations * Supply chain impacts are calculated on the basis of estimated lost net revenues and gross profit, with no assumed impact to other operating expenses 10

CONSUMER BEAUTY HIGHLIGHTS 11

CONSUMER BEAUTY TURNAROUND PLAN Critical First Steps Strengthening Operational Discipline FY19 Actions Strategic Changes Restoring service levels Refocusing investment to higher-potential businesses Innovation focus and execution Continued fixed cost savings Greater discipline in trade and promo spend Investment in new growth channels 12

NET DEBT INCREASE IN 1Q19 LARGELY TIED TO SUPPLY CHAIN DISRUPTION $ Millions -90 7,661 $1,150M (+150M) Net Debt increased by $370M in 1Q19, resulting in Net Debt / Adj. EBITDA ratio of 5.8x Supply chain disruptions had significant repercussions on working capital, driving poor Free Cash Flow result in 1Q19 Expect positive free cash flow remaining quarters & in FY19 Deleveraging remains a top priority in FY19 and beyond. We remain committed to our target of achieving a Net Debt/ Adj. EBITDA ratio of below 4.0x by the end of calendar 2020 13

OUTLOOK 2Q19 FY19 Expect an improved LFL trend vs. 1Q19, across all three divisions, inclusive of expected supply chain headwinds Expect Luxury and Professional Beauty to return to LFL growth, while Consumer Beauty trends vs. prior year should improve to a high single digit decline Expect adjusted operating income to be moderately lower YoY, driven by remaining supply chain impacts and FX headwinds EPS comparison will be pressured by the $42 million positive tax settlement recorded in 2Q18. Continue to expect operating profit and margin growth, driven by significant progress in fixed cost reductions and synergy delivery Maintain synergies commitment of $225 million in FY19 and $750 million total by the end of FY20 Need more time to assess the financial impacts of the continuing supply disruptions; not providing any further guidance, but expect to update on outlook on the next earnings call Committed to target of Net Debt/ Adj. EBITDA ratio of below 4.0x by the end of calendar 2020 Expect positive free cash flow in the remaining quarters and in FY19 14

1Q19: KEY TAKE-AWAYS 1Q19 was a setback in achieving our financial targets and bold strategic goals, driven by our temporary supply chain headwinds We remain absolutely convinced that the fast paced and ambitious transformational agenda we are pursuing is ultimately building a much stronger Coty for the long term We will increasingly shift our focus from internal to external as we overcome the internal supply headwinds and complete all other major integration related milestones We see tremendous potential for Coty to create significant value for our shareholders and consumers in the coming years 15

DISCLAIMER Forward-Looking Statements Certain statements in this presentation are forward-looking statements. These forward-looking statements reflect Coty Inc. s ( Coty s ) current views with respect to, among other things, Coty s targets and outlook for future reporting periods (including the extent and timing of revenue and profit trends and the Consumer Beauty division s stabilization), establishing Coty as a global leader and challenger in beauty, its future operations and strategy (including brand relaunches and performance in emerging markets and channels), synergies, savings, performance, cost, timing and integration relating to our recent acquisitions (including The Proctor & Gamble Company s beauty business (the P&G Beauty Business )), ongoing and future cost efficiency and restructuring initiatives and programs (including the expected timing and impact), strategic transactions (including mergers and acquisitions, joint ventures, investments, divestitures, licenses and portfolio rationalizations), future cash flows and liquidity, future performance in digital and e-commerce and the expected impact of our digital transformation agenda, future effective tax rates, timing and size of cash outflows and debt deleveraging, and impact and timing of supply chain disruptions. These forward-looking statements are generally identified by words or phrases, such as anticipate, are going to, estimate, plan, project, expect, believe, intend, foresee, forecast, will, may, should, outlook, continue, temporary, target, aim, potential and similar words or phrases. These statements are based on certain assumptions and estimates that we consider reasonable, but are subject to a number of risks and uncertainties, many of which are beyond the control of Coty, which could cause actual results to differ materially from such statements. Such risks and uncertainties are identified in the Earnings Release dated November 7, 2018 to which this presentation relates, including, but not limited to: Coty s ability to achieve its global business strategies, compete effectively in the beauty industry and achieve the benefits contemplated by its strategic initiatives within the expected time frame or at all, the continued integration of the P&G Beauty Business and other recent acquisitions with Coty s business, operations, systems, financial data and culture and the ability to realize synergies, avoid future supply chain and other business disruptions, reduce costs and realize other potential efficiencies and benefits (including through its restructuring initiatives) at the levels and at the costs and within the time frames contemplated or at all, and managerial, integration, operational, regulatory, legal and financial risks, including diversion of management attention to and management of cash flows, expenses and costs associated with multiple ongoing and future strategic initiatives, internal reorganizations and restructuring activities. The foregoing review of important factors should not be construed as exhaustive and should be read in conjunction with the other cautionary statements that are included elsewhere. More information about potential risks and uncertainties that could affect Coty s business and financial results is included under Risk Factors and Management s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations in Coty s Annual Report on Form 10-K for the fiscal year ended June 30, 2018, and other periodic reports Coty has filed and may file with the Securities and Exchange Commission (the SEC ) from time to time. Any forward-looking statements made in this presentation are qualified in their entirety by these cautionary statements. All forward-looking statements are made only as of the date of this presentation, and, Coty undertakes no obligation, other than as may be required by applicable law, update or revise any forward-looking or cautionary statements to reflect changes in assumptions, the occurrence of events, unanticipated or otherwise, or changes in future operating results over time or otherwise. Non-GAAP Financial Measures In this presentation, Coty presents certain-gaap financial measures that we believe enable management and investors to analyze and compare the underlying business results from period to period. Adjusted and pro forma metrics exclude nonrecurring items, purchase price accounting related amortization, acquisition-related costs, restructuring costs and certain other information as noted within this presentation. These non-gaap financial measures should not be considered in isolation, or as a substitute for, or superior to, financial measures calculated in accordance with GAAP. A reconciliation from reported to adjusted results can be found in our Earnings Release dated November 7, 2018, available in the Investor Relations section of our website at Coty.com. Outlook Information In this presentation, Coty presents outlook information as of November 7, 2018, as reported in its Earnings Release of such date. Definitions and Notes Fiscal year represents Coty s fiscal year ended June 30. 16

APPENDIX 17

RECONCILIATION OF REPORTED TO LFL AND UNDERLYING NR & REPORTED TO ADJUSTED OPERATING INCOME 1Q FY19 Net Revenue Change YoY QTD Reported Basis Foreign Exchange Impact from Acquisitions Organic LFL NR Supply Chain Disruptions Hurricane Impact New Revenue Recognition Guidance Underlying NR Coty Inc. (9.2)% 2.5 % (1.0)% (7.7)% 3.9 % 1.0 % 0.3 % (2.5)% (in millions) 1QFY19 Reported Operating Loss $ (21) Amortization Expense 93 Restructuring and other business realignment costs 56 Asset Impairment 13 Adjusted Operating Income $ 141 Supply Chain Disruptions 43 Hurricane Impact 13 New Revenue Recognition Guidance 6 Q1 19 Adj OI excl Impacts $ 203 *Refer to the September 30, 2018 Earnings Release for the full reconciliation of Reported Operating Loss to Adjusted Operating Income. Supply chain impacts are calculated on the basis of estimated lost net revenues and gross profit, with no assumed impact to other operating expenses. 18