OCBC s Offer for KCH The Next Step Forward

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Transcription:

OCBC s Offer for KCH The Next Step Forward

Disclaimer and Responsibility Statement The Directors of OCBC (including any who may have delegated detailed supervision of this presentation) have taken all reasonable care to ensure that the facts and estimates in this presentation are fair and accurate and no material facts are omitted from this presentation. Where information contained in this presentation has been derived from publicly available sources, including forecasts of the analyst community, the sole responsibility of the Directors of OCBC has been to ensure through reasonable enquiries that such information is accurately extracted from such sources or, as the case may be, reflected or reproduced in this presentation. Conclusions and calculations are based on this information and on assumptions made. Neither UBS Warburg, a business group of UBS AG, nor any of its affiliates or staff vouch for the accuracy of the information contained herein and nothing in this document should be construed as a warranty or representation in regard to the assumptions, facts, forecasts or conclusions contained herein. You would appreciate that OCBC is subject to various laws, rules and regulations as a listed company and in the context of the current general offer, which may restrict its ability to provide certain information or to respond to certain queries. 1

The Next Step Forward The next step forward for all of us 2

Contents Section 1 Strength to strength 4 Section 2 Transaction highlights 14 Section 3 Value enhancing proposition 20 Section 4 Next steps 24 3

Strength to Strength

Group Strategy Mission To be a world-class financial institution in Asia Pacific Strategy Solidify home base Optimise capital structure Strengthen earnings stream Core markets Singapore Malaysia Greater China Pursue expansion in core markets KCH brings us a step closer to our mission 5

Strategic Objectives Enhances domestic competitiveness Moves us to a very strong Number 2 in the Singapore market Achieves critical mass in the Singapore banking market Close business fit greater competitiveness in SME and consumer markets Improves customer service proposition Provides synergistic benefits Revenue enhancements from increasing the cross-sell penetration of KCH s customer base Cost synergies from re-configuration of distribution network, elimination of overlapping functions and premises, advertising and branding, and IT expenditure Optimises capital structure Efficient use of excess capital Uses leverage to enhance ROE Supports future expansion Larger base of earnings and assets Better positioned for expansion in core markets 6

Excellent Business Fit OCBC s strengths Focus on customer service Strong Asian heritage Focus on core markets Broad product range Deep talent pool KCH s strengths Well managed niche bank SME franchise Innovative consumer banking approach Fast growing business Improved economies of scale, greater productivity and more efficient distribution network 7

2000 total Singapore assets (S$bn) Increased Scale 100 90 90 80 70 68 60 KCH 51 50 40 37 30 20 OCBC 10 0 DBS OCBC + KCH UOB OUB Source: 2000 annual reports Note: As at 31 December 2000 Scale in the Singapore market to expand further in core markets 8

2000 housing loans (S$bn) Gaining Market Share 18 16.3 16 14 12 10 8 8.9 7.5 KCH 6 4.3 4 2 OCBC 0 DBS OCBC + KCH UOB OUB Source: 2000 annual reports Note: Group level consolidated as at 31 December 2000 Estimated domestic market share of 19.1% in housing loans Second largest player in Singapore 9

2000 personal loans ex-housing (S$bn) Gaining Market Share (continued) 9 8.1 8 7 6.3 KCH 6 5 4.3 4.2 4 3 2 OCBC 1 0 OCBC + KCH DBS OUB UOB Source: 2000 annual reports Note: Group level consolidated as at 31 December 2000 Estimated domestic market share of 24.4% in personal loans ex-housing No. 1 position in Singapore 10

2000 commerce loans 6 Gaining Market Share (continued) 5 4.9 4 KCH 3.9 3.7 (S$bn) 3 2.2 2 OCBC 1 0 OCBC + KCH UOB DBS OUB Source: 2000 annual reports Note: Group level consolidated as at 31 December 2000 No. 1 in commerce sector loans (Group level) 11

Margins and Cost Efficiency Net interest margin Cost-to-income ratio % OUB 2.34 OCBC + KCH 2.26 UOB 2.22 DBS 2.02 Source: 2000 annual reports, OCBC estimates % OCBC + KCH 37 OUB 38 UOB 39 DBS 42 Note: The pro-forma consolidated financial information contained herein is provided for illustrative purposes only. It does not purport to represent what the actual results of operations or financial position of the OCBC Group would have been had the acquisition of KCH occurred on the dates assumed, nor is it necessarily indicative of future consolidated operating results or financial position of the OCBC Group KCH will set OCBC on its path to No. 1 12

Stronger Domestic Distribution Network Bank branches ATMs Finance company branches OCBC 40 283 7 KCH 34 98 16 Combined 74 381 23 Source: 2000 annual reports, OCBC estimates To service our customers better 13

Transaction Highlights

Transaction Highlights Transaction structure Voluntary offer for KCH All cash Conditions >50% of KCH Regulatory approvals Completion 3Q 2001 15

Timeline Event Timing OCBC makes offer announcement 12 June 2001 OCBC serves takeover notice and Part B statement Within 14 days of announcement OCBC despatches offer document Between 14 to 28 days of announcement Offer period Of at least 21 days We look forward to KCH s Board recommendation 16

Offer Terms General offer Share offer Listed Warrant offer Per share / Listed Warrant S$3.38 cash S$1.01 cash Other arrangements Per Allied Irish Banks warrant / ESOP Allied Irish Banks warrants ESOPs S$0.04 cash See through price Note: Under the terms and conditions of the Allied Irish Banks warrants, Allied Irish Banks cannot transfer its warrants to parties which are not related to Allied Irish Banks and without the prior consent of KCH (such consent is not to be unreasonably withheld) The implied total transaction value is approximately S$4.8 billion 17

Offer Terms (continued) KCH acquisition multiples Implied 2000 price / book 1.7x Implied 2000 price / earnings 15.7x Implied 2001 price / earnings 14.6x Source: I/B/E/S consensus estimates for 2001 earnings 18

Share offer: S$3.38 per share Attractive Proposition for All 32% premium to 90-market day average price Price / share 30 day average 60 day average 90 day average % premium 19 29 32 Note: As at market close on 11 June 2001 Listed Warrant offer: S$1.01 per Listed Warrant 125% premium to 90-market day average price Price / Listed Warrant 30 day average 60 day average % premium 48 106 125 Note: As at market close on 11 June 2001 90 day average Attractive proposition for all shareholders and warrant holders 19

Value Enhancing Proposition

Significant Synergistic Benefits Revenue enhancements from increasing the cross-sell penetration of KCH s customer base Cost synergies from rationalisation of operations Customer attrition and revenue synergies conservatively estimated Restructuring charge as a percentage of annual recurring synergies is expected to be in line with international norm Restructuring will enable an efficient organisation due to a permanent reduction in cost structure 21

Value Enhancing for OCBC Shareholders Impact pre-synergies OCBC Group 2000 2000P 1,5,7 dilution 2001F 2,6 2001P 1,2,5,6,7 dilution % accretion / % accretion / EPS (S$) Cash 3 0.65 0.80 23.1 0.71 0.87 22.5 Reported 4 0.65 0.72 10.8 0.71 0.80 12.7 ROE (%) Cash 3, 8 10.7 17.6 64.5 10.9 17.2 57.8 Reported 4, 9 10.7 11.9 11.2 10.9 12.1 11.0 Book value per share (S$) 6.34 6.17 (2.7) 7.05 6.83 (3.1) Tier 1 CAR (%) 20.7 10.9 Total CAR (%) 21.6 17.3 Notes: 1 Proforma immediately post acquisition; before synergies and after financing cost 2 I/B/E/S consensus estimates for 2001 figures. These estimates have been obtained from publicly available sources and have not been independently verified by OCBC or its advisers. Such estimates are not necessarily indicative of the operating results or the financial position of OCBC Group for the relevant period 3 One-off write off of goodwill against reserves 4 Goodwill of approximately S$2bn, amortised over 20 years 5 Approximately S$3bn of Tier 2 debt 6 Post 2000 dividend of S$386m 7 Assuming no exercise of the Allied Irish Banks warrants, Listed Warrants and ESOPs 8 Cash ROE computed by taking EPS before goodwill amortisation and dividing by NTA 9 Reported ROE computed by taking EPS after goodwill amortisation and dividing by average combined equity Note: The pro-forma consolidated financial information contained herein is provided for illustrative purposes only in respect of the OCBC Group and is not applicable to KCH. It does not purport to represent what the actual results of operations or financial position of the OCBC Group would have been had the acquisition of KCH occurred on the dates assumed, nor is it necessarily indicative of future consolidated operating results or financial position of the OCBC Group 22

Financial Objectives Cost to income ratio <40% Return on book value >15% Return on net tangible assets >20% Group Tier 1 CAR 10% Group Total CAR 14% Source: OCBC estimates 23

Next Steps

Next Steps Focus on the customer experience Seamless integration Develop retail wealth management business across the organisation Expansion in core markets 25

The Next Step Forward The next step forward for all of us 26