Investor Presentation Q Enriching Sri Lankan Lives. an axiata company

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Transcription:

Investor Presentation Q2 2009... Enriching Sri Lankan Lives an axiata company

Company P&L Highlights Q2 09 QoQ change 1H 09 YoY change Revenue Rs.7,969Mn Rs.15,678Mn EBITDA Rs.1,645Mn 24% Rs.2,976Mn Normalized EBITDA Rs.2,118Mn Rs.3,975Mn 3% 14% 5% 44% 25% PAT (Rs.7,246Mn) (Rs.8,363Mn) -549% -488% Normalized PAT (Rs.5Mn) (Rs. 603Mn) 99% 128%

(35) 368 82 77 (598) 102 (5) Net Loss Normalised Q1 09 Var. Revenue Var. Direct Cost Var. Opex Var. Depreciation/Amortisation Var. Non Opex Net Loss Normalised Q2 09 PAT Reconciliation Q1 09 to Q2 09 Operational Improvement

Impact of Non recurring charges on PAT Q1 09 to Q2 09 Non Recurring Charges (5) 39 (510) Net Loss Normalised Q2 09 Var. Direct Cost Var. Opex Var. Depreciation/Amortisation Net Loss Q2 09 (6,770) (7,246)

Revenue Trends - Company Company Revenue 3% Revenue mix Amidst intensified price competition International termination Quarterly Revenue Rs. Mn. 5% Post paid Revenue 10%

Revenue Drivers & Dynamics Mobile Q2 09 net adds 146k Blended MoUs & Revenue per minute Pre : Post mix 88% Prepaid 12% Postpaid Mobile subscriber Mn. 25% 2% 4,806 4,978 5,509 5,847 5,993 28K Postpaid 118K Prepaid 2Q 08 3Q 08 4Q 08 1Q 09 2Q 09

Cost Rescaling Initiatives Gaining Momentum Direct Cost excluding Depreciation & Non recurring expenses Q2 09 vs. Q1 09 Network related cost Rs.117Mn Link satellite cost dropped by 41% 6% BTS Site expenses dropped by 56% Network maintenance BTS/MSC dropped by 29% Levies Rs. 67Mn International telecommunication Levy increased by 12% due to increase in international termination Customer related costs Rs.25Mn Sim cards & starter packs cost dropped by 15% Cost of phone & accessories dropped by 13% Telco Depreciation As a % of Revenue 20% 3% 8% 7% 2% 4,500 4,000 3,500 3,000 2,500 2,000 1,500 1,000 500 0 32% Q2 08 37% Q3 08 Direct cost as a % of Revenue improved by 2% points 43% 42% Q4 08 Q4 08+ 41% Q1 09 42% Q1 09+ 39% 40% Q2 09 Direct Cost excl Dep DC relative to Rev Q2 09+ 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% +Normalised Performance

Cost Rescaling Initiatives Gaining Momentum Operating costs excluding Depreciation & Non recurring expenses Q2 09 vs. Q1 09 3% Opex as a % of Revenue improved by 2% points Advertising expenses Rs. 48Mn As a result of focused advertising Manpower expenses Rs. 84mn Manpower saving derived from rightsizing Expected annualized saving in Pay roll cost Rs. 443mn Employee maintenance cost Rs. 100mn Energy related expenses Rs.15Mn Cost rescaling initiative Office Rent Rs.5Mn Non - Telco Depreciation As a % of Revenue 4% 3% 34% 22% 11% 6% 5,000 4,500 4,000 3,500 3,000 2,500 2,000 1,500 1,000 500-37% 35% 57% Q2 08Q3 08Q4 08 Operating Cost 39% 41% Q4 08+ Q1 09 36% 34% Q1 09+ Q2 09++ Q2 09+ 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% -10% OC relative to Revenue +Normalised Performance ++ Q2 09 operating cost is Rs. 9,940 Mn.

EBITDA, PAT & Margins EBITDA normalised for exceptional Items at Rs. 2.2Bn growth of 14% Vs. Q1 09 EBITDA margin up 3% pts Vs Q1 09 EBITDA (Rs. Mn.) 27% Normalised PAT improved significantly improvement of 99% vs. Q1 09 Exceptional Items includes Modernization impairment - Rs. 6Bn Equipment obsolescence provisions Rs. 770Mn Provision for intercomany receivables from DTV - Rs. 410Mn 31% 27% 9% 18% 17% 24% 21% 27% PAT (Rs. Mn.) 10% 4% -37% -18% -14% -8% -91% 0% EBITDA margin 2,553 2,318 2,118 PAT margin 1,466 1,331 1,857 1,645 798 377 740 Q2 08 Q3 08 Q4 08 Q4 08* Q1 09 Q1 09* Q2 09 Q2 09* Q2 08 Q3 08 Q4 08 Q4 08* Q1 09 Q1 09* Q2 09 Q2 09* (1,435) (1,117) (598) (5) (2,920) *Normalised Performance (7,246)

Cash Flow Highlights - Company (All figures in Rs. Mn.) 30-June-2009 30-June-2008 Net cash from operating activities 5,101 1,238 Net cash used in investing activities Net cash generated from financing activities Increase/(decrease) in cash and cash equivalents Movement in cash and cash equivalents (6,032) (10,961) 5,502 6,216 4,571 (3,507) Operating Cash Flows increased four fold compared to 1H 2008 due to improvements in working capital At start of year (852) 6,062 Increase/(decrease) 4,571 (3,507) Forex adjustment 102 (33) At end of period 3,821 2,522 * Comparatives restated to conform to changes in current year s presentation

Remittances to Government of Sri Lanka (GoSL) GoSL payments composition P&L impact of GoSL remittances Rs. 945 Mn. in Q2 09 (all figures in Rs. Mn.) Q2 09 Q1 09 Change % MSL 647 631 3% ECL 113 112 1% VGF 615 547 12% VAT 99 75 33% NBT 153 40 282% TRC Frequency fees 308 308-0% Others 46 58-20% Total Levies 1,981 1,770 12% *Other include Economic Service Charge, stamp duty, turnover tax

Capital Structure Net debt/ebitda has increased mainly due to increase in borrowings (OCBC - USD 100 Mn., advances from Axiata - USD 79.5 Mn.) and reduction in earnings Reduction in Net Asset is due to a one-off provision of Rs. 6 Bn for impairment arising on account of network modernization 30-June-09 30-June-08 YoY Capex* Rs.5,284Mn Rs.9,908Mn Cash & Cash Equivalents Rs. 5,512Mn Rs.1,545Mn 46% 257% Net Debt Rs.26,188Mn Rs.23,724Mn Net Assets Rs.35,642Mn Rs.45,395Mn 21% Net debt/ equity (x) 0.73 0.52 Net debt/ EBITDA (x)** 4.40 2.83 *Capex includes CWIP additions + direct additions for the quarter ** Annualised EBITDA

Funding Position Summary of outstanding borrowings - As at 30 June 2009 Instructions Type of facility Currency Facilities amount Principal outstanding Less than one year More than one year USD Mn eqv. USD Mn eqv. USD Mn eqv. USD Mn eqv. DFCC Term Loan LKR 8.71 6.97 1.74 5.23 SCB Loan Facility LKR 21.77 21.77 21.77 0.00 OCBC Term Loan USD 100.00 100.00 0.00 100.00 Total *SCB facility is a revolving trade facility ** Above excludes vendor financing and shareholder advances Credit Lines USD 50 Mn. IFC loan prepaid in April 09 Further standby facility of USD 100 Mn. from OCBC at preferential rates Undrawn facility and operating cash flows sufficient to cover debt obligations falling due in the short term

Group P&L Highlights Q2 09 QoQ change 1H 09 YoY change Revenue Rs.8,751Mn Rs.17,194Mn EBITDA Rs.1,749Mn 58% Rs.2,854Mn Normalized EBITDA Rs.2,069Mn Rs.3,722Mn 4% 25% 5% 46% 29% PAT (Rs.7,668Mn) (Rs.9,536Mn) -310% -880% Normalized PAT (Rs.579Mn) (Rs. 1,905Mn) 56% 256%

DTV P&L Highlights Q2 09 QoQ change 1H 09 YoY change 12% Revenue Rs.409Mn Rs.775Mn 35% EBITDA (Rs.81Mn) 48% (Rs.240Mn) PAT (Rs.226Mn) (Rs.529Mn) 25% 2% 52% Pay TV Subscribers 136,384 YOY Change 34,091 5% 33%

DBN P&L Highlights Q2 09 QoQ change 1H 09 YoY change Revenue Rs.556Mn Rs.1,108Mn 1% 6% EBITDA (Rs.274Mn) (Rs.394Mn) -128% -509% Normalized EBITDA (Rs.17Mn) (Rs.117Mn) 83% 222% PAT (Rs.591Mn) -35% (Rs.1,028Mn) -84% Normalized PAT (Rs.334Mn) (Rs. 751Mn) 20% 35% CDMA & Broadband Subscribers 181,985 YOY Change 67,666 1% 59%

Modernization Rationale NGNs provide the company with the opportunity to de-scale operating costs by a significant margin, while also reducing future capital expenditure and carrying values of core network assets due to the over 80% reduction in per-subscriber core network capital costs. positive impact to P&L in terms of operating costs savings going forward. Expected EBIT (Earnings Before Interest & Tax) improvement of Rs.1.5 Bn. per annum due to reductions in; 1. Annual maintenance charges 2. Electricity cost 3. Annual depreciation charges 62% of Dialog s core network is already NGN. This will enable the Company to complete a 100% modernisation with a modest investment of Rs. 485 Mn. in 2009. supported by an Internal Rate of Return (IRR) in excess of 100% payback period is less than one calendar year from the point of commissioning.

Modernization Competitive advantages of NGN technology Capacity & Density Many Generations All in One Solution Legacy High space High Power consumption NGN Less space Low power consumption GSM 3G LEGACY Not Scalable Technology silo s Higher time to market for new services Limited Evolution Legacy Non real-time DR (manual configuration) NGN Real-Time DR (Automatic) GSM/3G combined NGN Scalable Less time to market new services Legacy & Next Generation Multi Media services in one box Ability to Evolve

Thank You