Lendlease Presentation at CLSA Investors Forum

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Transcription:

13 September 2018 Lendlease Presentation at CLSA Investors Forum Attached is the presentation to be given by Lendlease Group Chief Executive Officer and Managing Director, Steve McCann at today s CLSA Investors Forum in Hong Kong. ENDS FOR FURTHER INFORMATION, PLEASE CONTACT: Investors: Media: Justin McCarthy Stephen Ellaway Mob: +61 422 800 321 Mob: +61 417 851 287 Lendlease Corporation Limited ABN 32 000 226 228 and Lendlease Responsible Entity Limited ABN 72 122 883 185 AFS Licence 308983 as responsible entity for Lendlease Trust ABN 39 944 184 773 ARSN 128 052 595 Level 14, Tower Three, International Towers Sydney Telephone +61 2 9236 6111 Exchange Place, 300 Barangaroo Avenue Facsimile +61 2 9252 2192 Barangaroo NSW 2000 Australia lendlease.com

LENDLEASE PRESENTATION TO CLSA INVESTORS FORUM 2

LENDLEASE PRESENTATION TO CLSA INVESTORS FORUM 3 By 2030, over 60% of the world s population is expected to live in urban areas 1 Global infrastructure spending is estimated to rise to an average of US$5.1 trillion per year between now and 2035 4 $55.9b Urbanisation pipeline 2 18 major urbanisation projects 3 across 10 gateway cities A leading tier 1 Engineering business in Australia c.$10b PPPs secured 5 Emerging telecommunications infrastructure business in the US Global assets under management are forecast to rise from US$85 trillion in 2016 to US$145 trillion by 2025 6 16.6% annual growth in Funds Under Management last five years With two thirds of the world s population living in urban areas by 2050 1, the built environment faces increasing challenges Internationally, people aged 60+ are projected to grow three times faster than the overall population (2.4% vs 0.8% pa) in average annual terms between 2015 and 2050 8 Recognised by GRESB as an international leader 7 Leader in environment, community and employee wellbeing initiatives Operate one of the largest Retirement Living businesses in Australia Seeking to establish a scale platform in China. In FY18 secured first senior living project in Shanghai 1. World Urbanization Prospects: The 2018 Revision, United Nations. 2. Remaining estimated development end value. 3. Urbanisation development projects with end value >$1b. 4. McKinsey Global Institute: Bridging Infrastructure Gaps Has the World Made Progress? October 2017. Includes some Group Research calculations. 5. Cumulative data from FY12 to FY18. Global investment in real estate technology start ups has grown from US$1.8b in 2015 to US$12.6b in 2017 9 A pioneer of new delivery technologies e.g. Cross Laminated Timber, digital design, pre-fab, online sales channels; a leader in new safety initiatives 6. Asset & Wealth Management Revolution: Embracing Exponential Change, PwC 2017. 7. Lendlease managed Australian Prime Property Fund Commercial ranked first out of 850 respondents in the 2017 Global Real Estate Sustainability Benchmark. 8. World Population Prospects: The 2017 Revision, United Nations. 9. RE: Tech: Real Estate Tech Annual Report 2017.

LENDLEASE PRESENTATION TO CLSA INVESTORS FORUM 4 $29.3b Development pipeline 1 $1.5b Construction backlog $1.4b FUM $5.2b Development pipeline 1 $6.3b Construction backlog $0.3b Investments $6.9b Development pipeline 1 $0.9b Construction backlog $6.3b FUM $0.4b Investments 1. Remaining estimated development end value. $29.7b Development pipeline 1 $12.4b Construction backlog $22.4b FUM $2.7b Investments

LENDLEASE PRESENTATION TO CLSA INVESTORS FORUM 5 Integrated model synergies Target EBITDA mix: 35-45% Development 30-40% Investments 20-30% Construction 2 Focused on gateway cities 50-70% capital in Australia 20% max per international region 1 3 Group ROE 10-14% Development ROIC 9-12% 1 Investments ROIC 8-11% 1 Construction EBITDA margin 3-4% 5 4 Payout 40-60% of earnings Capital management discipline Investment grade credit rating Optimised WACC Gearing 2 10-20% 1. Through-cycle target based on rolling three to five year timeline. 2. Net debt to total tangible assets, less cash.

LENDLEASE PRESENTATION TO CLSA INVESTORS FORUM 6 Diverse international capital partnerships: US residential for rent investment partnership with US$1b equity commitment 1 UK residential for rent investment partnership with initial target of 1.5b US telecommunications infrastructure JV with medium term target of US$5b Retirement Living investment partnership Capital solutions on three office buildings that will add $1b to future FUM Euston Station, London 3 Pivot to international markets with four new major urbanisation projects in Europe: Euston Station, London: $10.2b 2 Silvertown Quays, London: $6.1b 2 Milano Santa Giulia, Milan: $3.6b 2 High Road West, London: $2.0b 2 Two new asset classes added to funds management platform: residential for rent and telecommunications infrastructure Milano Santa Giulia, Milan 3 Extended retirement living capabilities into Shanghai 1. Partnership closed post balance date. 2. Estimated development end value. 3. Artist s impression as at 2018 (image subject to change and further design development and planning approval). Silvertown Quays, London 3

FY14 FY15 FY16 FY17 FY18 FY14 FY15 FY16 FY17 FY18 FY14 FY15 FY16 FY17 FY18 LENDLEASE PRESENTATION TO CLSA INVESTORS FORUM 7 70 Development pipeline ($b) 25 Construction backlog revenue ($b) 30 Funds under management ($b) 60 50 40 30 20 10 20 15 10 5 25 20 15 10 5 - - -

LENDLEASE PRESENTATION TO CLSA INVESTORS FORUM 8 Well placed for future success: Resilient and diversified business model High earnings visibility from a growing pipeline across business segments Financial strength, capital discipline, strong track record Development pipeline of $71.1b: Four major urbanisation projects secured: Euston Station, Silvertown Quays and High Road West in London; and Milano Santa Giulia in Milan 18 major urbanisation projects across 10 gateway cities Pivot to targeted international markets expected to provide a key source of growth in future years Construction backlog revenue of $21.1b: Diversified by client, sector and geography Ongoing focus on underperforming Engineering projects, infrastructure pipeline remains strong Investments segment with $3.4b of investments and $30.1b in FUM: Integrated model key source of product with c.$4b 1 of additional secured future FUM Two additional asset classes for investment platform: residential for rent and telecommunications infrastructure Focused on execution excellence through strong risk management and governance frameworks: Unwavering commitment to health and safety Disciplined approach to origination and managing individual project and property cycle risk Diversification across segment, sector and geography provides resilience 1. Represents secured future FUM from funds or mandates with development projects in delivery.

LENDLEASE PRESENTATION TO CLSA INVESTORS FORUM 10 23 major apartment buildings 3 in delivery, across 3,070 presold units and 1,513 units for rent, expected completion FY19 to FY21 3,070 Units 1,513 Units presold⁴ $3.2b presold⁴ for rent 25,917 Units remaining 30,500 Units $1.1b⁵ for rent $27.1b remaining $31.4b Target annual turnover 2 c.1,000-2,000 completions 13 major buildings 6 in delivery, expected completion FY19 to FY22 486,000 sqm in delivery 1,516,000 sqm remaining 2,002,000 sqm c.2-3 buildings $7.2b⁷ in delivery $17.3b remaining $24.5b commenced 3,231 Lots presold 49,102 Lots remaining 52,333 Lots $0.8b presold $14.3b remaining $15.1b c.3,000-4,000 completions 1. Remaining estimated development end value. Includes Infrastructure. 2. Subject to market conditions. 3. Refer to the Apartments Completion Profile on page 33 for a breakdown of the major buildings. 4. Presales balance on major buildings in delivery only. 5. Total estimated development end value of c.$1.3b, with c.$0.2b realised to date. 6. Refer to the Commercial Buildings Completion Profile on page 34 for a breakdown of the major buildings. 7. Total estimated development end value of c.$8.3b, with c.$1.1b realised to date. 8. Excludes Australian retirement development units. Includes built form units to be sold with land lots and Asian retirement development units. $71.1 billion Total pipeline 1

LENDLEASE PRESENTATION TO CLSA INVESTORS FORUM 11 Project Project secured 1 Delivery commenced 1 Completion date 1,2 Residential backlog units Commercial backlog sqm 000 3 Remaining end value ($b) 4 Land payment model Euston Station, London 2018 2026 2040+ 2,000 400 10.2 Land management Silvertown Quays, London 2018 2020 2032 3,000 440 6.1 Land management Milano Santa Giulia, Milan 2018 2019 2035 2,558 253 3.6 Land management Barangaroo South, Sydney 2009 2012 2023 775 16 3.3 Staged payment Paya Lebar Quarter, Singapore 2015 2016 2020 429 113 3.2 Upfront payment The Lifestyle Quarter, Kuala Lumpur 2014 2017 2025 2,326 124 3.1 Staged payment Elephant Park, London 2010 2012 2025 2,051 12 3.0 Staged payment International Quarter London 2010 2014 2026-199 2.6 Land management Victoria Harbour, Melbourne 2001 2004 2025 2,333 47 2.5 Land management Melbourne Quarter, Melbourne 2013 2016 2024 1,680 137 2.3 Land management Brisbane Showgrounds, Brisbane 2009 2011 2029 2,268 83 2.2 Land management High Road West, London 2018 2019 2027 2,501 14 2.0 Land management Circular Quay Tower, Sydney 2012 2017 2022-55 1.9 Upfront payment Southbank 5, Chicago 2015 2016 2026 2,108 1 1.7 Upfront payment Darling Square, Sydney 2013 2013 2019 967 5 1.4 Staged payment 30 Van Ness, San Francisco 2017 2020 2023 366 24 1.3 Upfront payment Waterbank, Perth 2013-2028 1,305 12 1.3 Land management The Timberyard 6, Deptford, London 2014 2016 2024 1,132 7 1.1 Upfront payment Other urbanisation projects 2,701 60 3.1 Total urbanisation 30,500 2,002 55.9 1. Financial year. 2. Based on expected completion date of underlying buildings, subject to change in delivery program. 3. Floor space measured as Net Lettable Area. 4. Remaining estimated development end value. 5. Formerly Riverline. 6. Formerly The Wharves.

Returns and Metrics Business LENDLEASE PRESENTATION TO CLSA INVESTORS FORUM 12 Urbanisation 18 major projects in 10 gateway cities Communities 15 communities projects across Australia Telco Infrastructure Infrastructure Development Military Housing Apartments Commercial Communities US Telco Towers Australian Infrastructure Development US Military Housing Portfolio Target c.1,000-2,000 completions Target c.2-3 buildings commenced Target c.3,000-4,000 completions Development margin Origination fees Development fees Pipeline 2 30,500 units $31.4b 2,002,000 sqm $24.5b 52,333 lots $15.1b 138 tower pipeline on balance sheet, SoftBank joint venture targeting US$5b assets over the medium term Periodic bids for PPP projects Periodic bids for major projects 1. Through-cycle target based on rolling three to five year timeline. 2. Remaining estimated development end value.

Backlog revenue Backlog realisation Revenue last 12 months Business LENDLEASE PRESENTATION TO CLSA INVESTORS FORUM 13 Australia Asia Europe Americas Building Engineering Services Building Building Building $3.7b $2.4b $0.9b $0.5b $0.7b $4.7b FY19 53%; FY20 29%; Post FY20 18% FY19 42% FY20 57% Post FY20 1% FY19 56% FY20 35% Post FY20 9% FY19 59% FY20 27% Post FY20 14% $6.5b $4.2b $1.7b $0.9b $1.5b $6.3b

Value drivers Value drivers Returns and Metrics Returns and Metrics Invested capital FUM / Assets LENDLEASE PRESENTATION TO CLSA INVESTORS FORUM 14 Ownership Earnings Capital intensive activities Operating Earnings Capital light activities Co-investment positions in managed funds Retirement Living US Military Housing US Telco Infrastructure Funds Management Platform Retail Asset Management Military Housing $1.7b $1.3b $195.5m $118.5m $30.1b FUM $12.7b AUM 52,595 units Distributions and capital growth Equity investment returns Equity investment returns Income and capital growth Funds management fees % of FUM Property and development management fees % of value driver Asset, property and development management fees % of SPV Revenue High quality assets, diversified across sectors and geography Occupancy rate, turnover rate, growth rate, discount rate and opex Occupancy rate, growth rate, discount rate and opex Number of operators per tower, lease term, growth rate and discount rate FUM growth and opex Asset performance, leasing and development activity, AUM growth and opex Rent growth, development activity and opex 1. Through-cycle target based on rolling three to five year timeline.

LENDLEASE PRESENTATION TO CLSA INVESTORS FORUM 15 This document has been prepared and is issued by Lendlease Corporation Limited (ACN 000 226 228) (Lendlease) in good faith. Neither Lendlease (including any of its controlled entities), nor Lendlease Trust (together referred to as the Lendlease Group) makes any representation or warranty, express or implied, as to the accuracy, completeness, adequacy or reliability of any statements, estimates, opinions or other information contained in this document (any of which may change without notice). To the maximum extent permitted by law, Lendlease, the Lendlease Group and their respective directors, officers, employees and agents disclaim all liability and responsibility (including without limitation any liability arising from fault or negligence) for any direct or indirect loss or damage which may be suffered, howsoever arising, through use or reliance on anything contained in or omitted from this document. This document has been prepared without regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any recipient of this presentation. Each recipient should consult with, and rely solely upon, their own legal, tax, business and/or financial advisors in connection with any decision made in relation to the information contained in this presentation. Prospective financial information and forward looking statements, if any, have been based on current expectations about future events and are subject to risks, uncertainties and assumptions that could cause actual results to differ materially from the expectations expressed in or implied from such information or statements. Lendlease Group s statutory results are prepared in accordance with International Financial Reporting Standards (IFRS). This document also includes material that is not included in Lendlease Group s statutory results and contains non-ifrs measures. Material that is not included in Lendlease Group s statutory results has not been subject to audit. A reference to FY18 refers to the full year period ended 30 June 2018 unless otherwise stated. All figures are as at 30 June 2018 and in AUD unless otherwise stated.