All Payer Hospital System Modernization Payment Models Workgroup. Meeting Agenda

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All Payer Hospital System Modernization Payment Models Workgroup Meeting Agenda January 16, 2018 1:00 pm to 3:00 pm Health Services Cost Review Commission Conference Room 100 4160 Patterson Avenue Baltimore, MD 21215 I II III IV Introductions and Meeting Overview Policy Update on Differential and Medicare Advantage MPA Efficiency Adjustment Adjourn

Payment Model Work Group January 16, 2019

Updates: Differential and Medicare Advantage Starting July 1 st, 2019, the public payer differential will be set at 7.7 percent 2 5.7 percent for business practices (from 4.0 to 5.7) 2.0 percent for prompt-pay practices (no change) This change is a revenue neutral adjustment and will apply to revenue with dates of discharge/visit on or after July 1 st, 2019. Beginning January 1, 2019, (for patients with dates of discharge/visit on or after January 1)Medicare Advantage Organizations may now take a two percent sequestration reduction on final payments to Maryland hospitals for services provided to Medicare Advantage beneficiaries. The adjustment does not apply to the patient responsibility portion of the bill.

MPA Efficiency Adjustment and TCOC Model Savings Approach January 16, 2019

Executive Summary TCOC Model required to save $300 million annually in Medicare expenditures by 2023 The State has several tools to get these savings, but: 4 Uncertainty in whether savings apply to Medicare target (Update Factor, PAU Savings, MPA, removing excess capacity, hospital efficiency, etc.) Savings may come from: All-payer tools vs. Medicare-specific tools Price levers vs. care transformation Under this proposed approach: Continue to set Maryland hospital revenue at an economically sustainable rate for all payers Meet Medicare savings targets using MPA Efficiency Adjustment Savings from other policy levers can be reinvested

Objectives of MPA Efficiency Adjustment and TCOC Model Savings Approach 1. Create a predictable and transparent approach to set the annual Update Factor and achieve TCOC Model Medicare Savings 2. Incentivize and prioritize participation in Care Redesign Programs to share accountability for total cost of care with other provider types 3. Establish a framework for reinvesting system savings in population health, infrastructure, or other innovative policies 5

Objectives of the TCOC Model Ensure that Maryland all-payer hospital revenue grows at an economically sustainable rate. Revenue growth target is the lesser of: 10-year GSP growth, and National Medicare TCOC growth Meet the savings requirement to reduce Maryland annual Medicare expenditures by $300 million in 2023 Approximately 2% of TCOC per capita Derived from excess costs in Maryland versus peer states 6

Medicare Specific Requirement: Incremental Savings Increase the current run rate (from 2013 base) to $300M by the end of 2023 Year 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 Required level of TCOC savings Increase in savings from prior year $120M $156M $222M $267M $300M $0 $36M $66M $45M $33M In other words, increase in annual Medicare TCOC Savings of $180M from 2019 to 2023 7

Background: Current All-Payer Hospital Rate Setting Annual all-payer revenue update to hospitals reflects several factors, including: Inflation Volume (e.g., demographic adjustment) Quality and PAU Savings Other Adjustments (e.g., categoricals, set-aside) The all-payer revenue update was set to capture the necessary Medicare savings under the All-Payer Model (2014-2018) Q: If the all-payer revenue update reflects the best estimate for all payers, but Medicare specifically requires an additional level of annual savings, should those additional savings come on a Medicare-specific basis? This proposal assumes answer is yes 8

Proposed Approach for the All-Payer Update Factor under the TCOC Model The HSCRC will ensure: The Update Factor is set to ensure that hospital all-payer revenue continues to grow at a sustainable rate The Update Factor is not intended as the tool to obtain the required incremental Medicare savings The incremental Medicare savings necessary to meet TCOC Model requirements will come from the MPA Efficiency Adjustment 9

Medicare Performance Adjustment (MPA) MPA has two components, both implemented as a percentage adjustment to hospitals Medicare payments: 1. Traditional MPA: with TCOC attribution algorithm, ±1% Medicare revenue at risk, etc. 2. MPA Efficiency Adjustment: Move money to/from hospitals on a Medicare-only basis, e.g.: A. To hospitals for performance in episode-based CRP track, ECIP B. From hospitals to get CMS their required Medicare savings 10

Proposed Approach for Incremental Medicare Savings under the TCOC Model The MPA Efficiency Adjustment will target Medicare savings necessary beyond the current total cost of care run rate For example: If the run rate is $120 million, then the MPA Efficiency Adjustment will be equal to $36 million to hit the required $156 million target for 2020 Alternatively, if the run rate is $125 million, the adjustment will be equal to $31 million Hospitals have the opportunity to recoup payment reductions from the MPA Efficiency Adjustment through participating in Care Redesign Programs 11

Applying the Medicare Savings Approach 1. Prospectively determine how the MPA Efficiency Adjustment will be allocated among hospitals a. If $36M in additional Medicare savings are required, and Hospital A has a 10% share, Hospital A s MPA Efficiency Adjustment = $3.6M b. Different allocation methods are feasible (hospital share of Medicare payments, Care Redesign opportunity, etc.) 2. Allow hospitals to recoup their savings through Care Redesign Program participation, etc. a. For example, if a Hospital A earned a $5M reconciliation payment, then they would received a net MPA efficiency adjustment of $1.4M 12

Timing of MPA Adjustments and CRP Tracks MPA Efficiency Adjustments will begin in the calendar year corresponding to the required Medicare savings CRP Tracks should begin a year prior in order to allow hospitals to earn offsetting reconciliation payments Year 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 Required Savings $120 $156 mil. $222 mil. $267 mil. $300 mil. CRP Track goes live CRP Reconciliation Payments ECIP Y1 ECIP Y2 New CRP?? ECIPY1 ECIPY2 New CRP? 13

Rationale for MPA Efficiency Adjustment Ensures that the Medicare savings are actually achieved, in a predictable, equitable manner. Incentivizes hospitals to engage in care redesign and create new CRP tracks that can earn reconciliation payments Hospitals that do not create savings through care redesign will bear a larger share of the responsibility for meeting Medicare savings target Allows Medicare savings achieved from other policy levers (outlier costs, deregulation, excess capacity, etc.) in excess of the required incremental savings to instead be reinvested in the system (population health, infrastructure, or other innovative policies) 14

15 Appendix

Background: Hypothetical Hospital A in ECIP (as currently designed) Expected annual Medicare hospital payments: $200M 1. Traditional MPA: Yields +1% adjustment = +$2M 2. MPA Efficiency Adj.: ECIP reconciliation payment = +$5M Calculation: TCOC savings in episodes = $8M CMS cut, 3% off benchmark price (officially) = ($3M) Hospital receives the remainder $8M - $3M = $5M $5M ECIP payment provided to Hospital A through MPA Efficiency Adjustment of +2.5% Result: Hospital A Medicare payments (+3.5%): $207 M 16

Example with MPA Efficiency Adjustment and ECIP Participation Producing Savings 2019 2020 2021 Beginning Yr TCOC Savings $120 million $125 million $171 million ECIP Reconciliation Payment N/A -$5 million -$15 million TCOC Savings Target $120 million $156 million $222 million MPA Adjustment $0 $156-(125-5) = $36 million $222-(171-15) = $66 million End of Year TCOC Savings $120 +5 for ECIP = $125 million 1. ECIP does not increase cumulative TCOC savings. But ECIP does a. Increase the share of savings from care transformation rather than price levers, and b. Create an opportunity for savings to come from non-hospital providers. 2. The MPA Efficiency Adjustment is allocated to hospitals prospectively so that hospitals can keep the care transformation savings they produce. 17 $125-5+36 +15 for ECIP = $171 million $171-15+66 + 0 for ECIP = $222 million