Q Results - MTU Aero Engines. Conference Call with Investors and Analysts, 23 October 2013

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Transcription:

Q3 2013 Results - MTU Aero Engines Conference Call with Investors and Analysts, 23 October 2013

Agenda Business Highlights Financial Highlights Segment Reporting Group Key Figures Guidance Appendix 2

Business Highlights First flight C-Series Good trading in Q3 /13 Guidance 2013 confirmed Global Passenger Traffic 30% 20% 10% 0% -10% Volcanic ash plume Strong growth due to low April 2010-20% Jan-09 Jan-10 Jan-11 Jan-12 Jan-13 500 400 300 200 100 0 Market Environment Global passenger traffic up 6.8% y-o-y in August (5.1% ytd) Growth was led by Middle-East (14.1% y-o-y), and by Asia/Pacific 10.4% IATA forecasts revised its passenger traffic growth to 5% in Sept. (prev. 5,3% in June) IATA cuts its airline profits forecast to $11.7 bn (prev. $12.7 bn) in 2013 IATA 2014 forecast: passenger traffic up 5.8%; airline profits at $16.4 bn Growth rate (year-on-year) Monthly traffic (bn. RPKs) 3

Commercial OEM Business Over 4,700 GTF engines on order incl. options* PW1500G engines successfully powered Bombardier s CSeries aircraft on its maiden flight in September New engine sales up high single digit y-o-y Spare parts sales up low single digit y-o-y *) number includes announced and unannounced orders 4

Commercial MRO Business Contract wins of ~ US$ 1 bn in 9M 2013 Expanding lease engine business with Sumitomo Corporation First GE90 shop visit successfully completed MRO US$-revenues flat y-o-y Military Business First A400M aircraft delivered to France Ramp up of TP400-D6 series production Military revenues up 23% y-o-y 5

Agenda Business Highlights Financial Highlights Segment Reporting Group Key Figures Guidance Appendix 6

Financial Highlights Revenues (m ) EBIT adj. / EBIT adj. Margin (m / %) 2.800 2.400 2.000 2.468 +13% 2.778 300 11,3% -3% 9,7% 10% 1.600 1.200 800 200 100 278 271 05% 400 0 9M 2012 9M 2013 0 9M 2012 9M 2013 00% Net Income adj. / EPS adj. (m / )* Free Cash Flow (m ) 200 160 120 80 40 0 3,41 3,27-4% 173 166 9M 2012 9M 2013 3,50 3,00 2,50 2,00 1,50 1,00 0,50 0,00 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 0% 66 66 9M 2012 9M 2013 * w/o market-to-market valuations of US$, Nickel and Options and others 7

Agenda Business Highlights Financial Highlights Segment Reporting Group Key Figures Guidance Appendix 8

OEM Segment Order book 31/12/2012 30/09/2013 Change Order book (m ) 5,640.4 5,376.1-5% Commercial Business (mus$) 6,218.3 5,986.9-4% Military Business (m ) 927.4 943.0 2% (m ) 9M 2012 9M 2013 Change Revenues 1,490.3 1,770.9 19% Commercial Business 1,141.9 1,402.9 23% Military Business 348.4 368.0 6% Order book does not yet include order intake from Paris Air Show of US$ 1.3 bn Commercial series up 35% in 9M 2013 Commercial spare parts up mid to high single digit in 9M 2013 Military revenues increased by 6% 9

OEM Segment (m ) 9M 2012 9M 2013 Change Revenues 1,490.3 1,770.9 19% Gross Profit 293.7 269.7-8% Gross Profit Margin % 19.7% 15.2% R&D according to IFRS (P&L) 76.8 66.3-14% EBIT adj. 194.1 186.8-4% EBIT adj. Margin % 13.0% 10.5% Gross profit impacted by business mix effects R&D down by 10.5 m EBIT adj. margin at 10.5% 10

Commercial MRO Business (mus$) 31/12/2012 30/09/2013 Change Order Book 7.704,2 7.525,6-2% (m ) 9M 2012 9M 2013 Revenues 1.001,8 1.030,8 3% Gross Profit 134,8 134,7 0% Gross Profit Margin % 13,5% 13,1% EBIT adj. 85,6 82,4-4% EBIT adj. Margin % 8,5% 8,0% Order book down by -2% US$ revenues up 6% EBIT adj. margin at 8.0% 11

Agenda Business Highlights Financial Highlights Segment Reporting Group Key Figures Guidance Appendix 12

P&L Highlights (m ) 9M 2012 9M 2013 Change Revenues 2,468.0 2,778.1 13% EBIT adj. 278.0 270.5-3% Interest Result -2.6-8.7 Interests for pension provisions -18.6-15.0 Financial Result * -21.2-23.7-12% EBT adj. * 256.8 246.8-4% Tax (tax rate 32,6%) -83.7-80.5 Net Income adj. * 173.1 166.3-4% EPS adj. * 3.41 3.27-4% * w/o mark-to-market valuations of US$, Nickel and Options and others 13

Free Cash Flow Cash Flow (m ) Comments Cash Flow from operating activities 150 Decreased by 22.2 to 138.6 m (9M 12: 160.8 m) 100 139 Cash Flow from investing activities* at - 72.9 m (9M 12: -94.5 m) 50 66 66 Investment in PPE at 50.1 m (9M 12: 63.8 m) Investment in intangible assets at 26.7 m (9M 12: 30.9 m ) 0 CF from operating activities CF from investing activities * 9M 2013 Free Cash Flow 9M 2012 Free Cash Flow Free Cash Flow -50-73 at 65.7 m ( 9M 12: 66.3 m) Net debt -100 at 401.3 m ( year end 2012: 391.3 m) * w/o IAE stake increase and non direct operating activities 14

US$ Exchange Rate / Hedge Portfolio Hedge book as of October 23, 2013 (% of net exposure) (mus$) 825 (=78%) 665 (=68%) 470 (=45%) 150 (=14%) 2013 2014 2015 2016 1.31 Average hedge rate (US$/EUR) 1.31 1.27 1.24 15

Agenda Business Highlights Financial Highlights Segment Reporting Group Key Figures Guidance Appendix 16

Guidance 2013 confirmed: (m ) FY 2012 Guidance 2013 new Revenues 3,378.6 ~3,700 (+10%) EBIT adj. 374.3 EBIT adj. Margin 11.1% ~375 ~ 10% Net Income adj. 233.4 ~235 Series revenues expected to increase by 25% Spare parts revenues up +5% Military business roughly stable MRO expected to be up high single digit 17

Agenda Business Highlights Financial Highlights Segment Reporting Group Key Figures Guidance Appendix 18

Appendix Profit & Loss (m ) Q3 2012 Q3 2013 Change 9M 2012 9M 2013 Change Revenues 909.0 925.9 2% 2,468.0 2,778.1 13% Total Cost of Sales -754.2-784.9-2,032.6-2,369.7 Gross Profit 154.8 141.0-9% 435.4 408.4-6% Gross Profit Margin 17.0% 15.2% 17.6% 14.7% R&D company funded -25.9-22.6-79.4-69.1 SG&A -41.5-37.2-115.7-118.5 Other operating income (expense) -0.7 2.6 3.1 5.7 Operating income from investments 0.5 0.7 10.2 0.9 EBIT reported 87.2 84.5-3% 253.6 227.4-10% Adjustment (PPA Depreciation & Amortization) 9.4 8.9 28.5 26.8 Adjustment (IAE Upshare) 5.6 5.4-4.1 16.3 EBIT adj. 102.2 98.8-3% 278.0 270.5-3% Financial Result -14.6-5.1-25.3-31.7 Profit before tax (EBT) 72.6 79.4 9% 228.3 195.7-14% Taxes -26.6-27.6-67.9-71.2 Net Income reported 46.0 51.8 13% 160.4 124.5-22% Net Income adj. 63.4 61.2 173.1 166.3 EPS 0.91 1.01 3.16 2.45 EPS adj. 1.25 1.20 3.41 3.27 19

Appendix Segment Revenues and EBIT adj. in m Q3 2012 Q3 2013 Change 9M 2012 9M 2013 Change Revenues Group 909.0 925.9 2% 2,468.0 2,778.1 13% OEM Commercial 438.9 449.3 2% 1,141.9 1,402.9 23% OEM Military 117.8 144.8 23% 348.4 368.0 6% MRO 360.6 339.7-6% 1,001.8 1,030.8 3% Consolidation -8.3-7.9-24.1-23.6 EBIT adj. Group 102.2 98.8-3% 278.0 270.5-3% OEM (Commercial / Military) 71.6 70.4-2% 194.1 186.8-4% MRO 31.8 26.9-15% 85.6 82.4-4% Consolidation -1.2 1.5-1.7 1.3 EBIT margin adj. Group 11.2% 10.7% 11.3% 9.7% OEM (Commercial / Military) 12.9% 11.8% 13.0% 10.5% MRO 8.8% 7.9% 8.5% 8.0% 20

Appendix Research & Development (m ) Q3 2012 Q3 2013 Change 9M 2012 9M 2013 Change Company expensed R&D 37.4 38.3 2% 113.3 107.1-5% OEM 36.4 37.0 110.1 103.6 MRO 1.0 1.3 3.2 3.5 Capitalization of R&D -11.5-15.7-33.9-38.0 OEM -11.3-15.4-33.3-37.3 MRO -0.2-0.3-0.6-0.7 R&D according to IFRS 25.9 22.6-13% 79.4 69.1-13% Customer funded R&D 18.1 14.1 60.2 41.0 Total R&D 55.5 52.4-6% 173.5 148.1-15% 21

Appendix Cash Flow (m ) 9M 2012 9M 2013 Change Net Income IFRS 160.4 124.5-22% Depreciation and amortization 106.3 121.8 Change in provisions * -14.2-73.2 Change in Working Capital -74.0-46.7 Taxes 1.5 14.1 Interest, derivatives, others -19.2-1.9 Cash Flow from operating activities 160.8 138.6-14% Cash Flow from investing activities adjusted -94.5-72.9-23% Free Cash Flow 66.3 65.7-1% Adjustments -212.5-30.2 Cash Flow from financing activities 113.9 15.8-86% Effect of exchange rate on cash and cash equivalents 1.0-3.9 Change in cash and cash equivalents -31.3 47.4 * includes pension provisions and other provisions 22

Appendix Working Capital (m ) 31/12/2012 30/09/2013 Change Change in % Gross inventories 808.8 845.2 36.4 Prepayments -604.0-504.5 99.5 Receivables 789.9 755.5-34.4 Payables -797.7-884.4-86.7 Working Capital 197.0 211.8 14.8 8% 23

Appendix Net debt of 401.3 m Dec. 31, 2012 Sept 30, 2013 750 600 619 16 686 6 271 (m ) Financial assets Derivative financial assets Cash and cash Equivalents / Short-term financial securities 450 300 150 Net debt 391 m 228 66 161 300 38 12 253 Net debt 401 m 285 76 209 48 12 349 Financial liabilities Derivative financial liabilities V2500 / IAE Flight-Hour- Payments Other financial liabilities Promissory notes Euro bond & Private placement 0 Financial assets Financial liabilities Financial assets Financial liabilities 24

Appendix PPA Depreciation / Amortization (in m ) Total depreciation / amortization Q3 2012 Q3 2013 9M 2012 9M 2013 MTU total 39.3 41.6 106.3 121.8 OEM 31.7 33.3 83.5 96.6 MRO 7.6 8.3 22.8 25.2 PPA depreciation / amortization Q3 2012 Q3 2013 9M 2012 9M 2013 MTU total 9.4 8.9 28.5 26.8 OEM 8.5 8.0 25.8 24.2 MRO 0.9 0.9 2.7 2.6 Depreciation / amortization w/o PPA Q3 2012 Q3 2013 9M 2012 9M 2013 MTU total 29.9 32.7 77.8 95.0 OEM 23.2 25.3 57.7 72.4 MRO 6.7 7.4 20.1 22.6 25

Cautionary Note Regarding Forward-Looking Statements Certain of the statements contained herein may be statements of future expectations and other forward-looking statements that are based on management s current views and assumptions and involve known and unknown risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results, performance or events to differ materially from those expressed or implied in such statements. In addition to statements that are forward-looking by reason of context, the words may, will, should, expect, plan, intend, anticipate, forecast, believe, estimate, predict, potential, or continue and similar expressions identify forward-looking statements. Actual results, performance or events may differ materially from those in such statements due to, without limitation, (i) competition from other companies in MTU s industry and MTU s ability to retain or increase its market share, (ii) MTU s reliance on certain customers for its sales, (iii) risks related to MTU s participation in consortia and risk and revenue sharing agreements for new aero engine programs, (iv) the impact of non-compete provisions included in certain of MTU s contracts, (v) the impact of a decline in German or other European defense budgets or changes in funding priorities for military aircraft, (vi) risks associated with government funding, (vii) the impact of significant disruptions in MTU s supply from key vendors, (viii) the continued success of MTU s research and development initiatives, (ix) currency exchange rate fluctuations, (x) changes in tax legislation, (xi) the impact of any product liability claims, (xii) MTU s ability to comply with regulations affecting its business and its ability to respond to changes in the regulatory environment, (xiii) the cyclicality of the airline industry and the current financial difficulties of commercial airlines, (xiv) our substantial leverage and (xv) general local and global economic conditions. Many of these factors may be more likely to occur, or more pronounced, as a result of terrorist activities and their consequences. The company assumes no obligation to update any forward-looking statement. Any securities referred to herein have not been and will not be registered under the U.S. Securities Act of 1933, as amended (the Securities Act ), and may not be offered or sold without registration thereunder or pursuant to an available exemption therefrom. Any public offering of securities of MTU Aero Engines to be made in the United States would have to be made by means of a prospectus that would be obtainable from MTU Aero Engines and would contain detailed information about the issuer of the securities and its management, as well as financial statements. Neither this document nor the information contained herein constitutes an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any securities. These materials do not constitute an offer of securities for sale in the United States; the securities may not be offered or sold in the United States absent registration or an exemption from registration. No money, securities or other consideration is being solicited, and, if sent in response to the information contained herein, will not be accepted. 26