ANALYSIS OF BALANCE OF PAYMENTS OF INDIAN ECONOMY

Available online at : http://euroasiapub.org/current.php?title=ijrfm, pp. 112~12 Thomson Reuters Researcher ID: L-5236-215 ANALYSIS OF BALANCE OF PAYMENTS OF INDIAN ECONOMY Dr. Sunil Dutt Assistant Professor-Deshbandhu Gupta Govt. College Sec-18- Panipat ABSTRACT India has become the fastest growing economy in the world. The balance of payments represents the transactions of economy and plays essential role in determining the position of an economy. International trade is vital for all nations over the world. Trade stimulates the growth of various sectors of economy. The growth of economy depends on the exports and imports as these increases the foreign currency which leads to the overall development. The present study intends to examine the performance of balance of trade and analyze status of the indicators of balance of payments of Indian economy. The data has been collected for last 1 years (25-215) and from the secondary sources. The findings conclude that the balance of trade and balance of payments are the important components of Indian economy and these are moving in positive direction. Key words: economy. balance of trade, balance of payment, current and capital account, Indian I INTRODUCTION The balance of payments is considered as the balance of international payments which presents the record of all economic transactions of a country and with world. These transactions are mainly generated by companies, residents, and government. The balance of payments contains the two types of external transactions of a nation. These are: The visible The non-visible This shows the addition of claims of current demand and supply of a nation on the foreign currencies. This includes the foreign claims on the domestic currency. These transactions include the payments for import and exports. The payments such as cash, cash capital, and cash transfers are taken into consideration. The Sources of funds are the surplus such as receipts of export payments, investments. The Uses of funds are the negative things such as payment for import in foreign countries. BOP is considered 112

as a summarized statement which shows the transactions of a nation with the world. The balance of payments is regarded as the balance of international payments that includes all transactions between a nation and foreign consisting the various claims, product, income, services, transfers and liabilities. The balance of payments represents these transactions in current accounts and capital account. The current account contains the transactions in transfers, gain, product and services. The capital account takes the transactions basically in cash instruments. The current account shows the net amount which a nation is earning. Balance of trade = earnings on exports- payments for imports Current account = balance of trade + factor income + cash transfers. The capital account includes the net adjustments in the foreign assets. Current account + capital account + balancing item = Visible trade means recording the imports and exports of physical goods. Invisible trade is the recording of services including the transfer and gain. BOP surplus=current account surplus + capital account surplus The present paper intends to analyze the status of balance of payment of India. This has been done through the analysis of indicators of balance of payments. These are as: invisible items, current account items and capital account items. II REVIEW OF LITERATURE Konya and Singh (26) explained that export and import growth is very important for providing the base for economic growth in developing nations and international trade provides the link between output and growth. Awokuse (28) explored the total share of trade related to exports and imports for increasing the economic growth and concluded that export promotion contributes in the economic growth and development. Gazi et.al (21) made an attempt to study the relationship between GDP and import. The performance of international trade has been measured from 198 to 25. Thus, export growth has been proven in various economies. Both export and GDP leads to more import, because international trade is very significant for the development of the nations. Athukorala (211) examined the components of balance of payments Asian countries and China The author showed that a nation with positive balance of trade and effective trade policy can increase the export performance and national output. Mukherjee and shahana (212) analyzed the performance of exports of India and the indicators of balance of payment. There are many factors which are determined by the authors for contributing the growth. The authors concluded that total share of exports of India is more in overall balance of trade. 113

Kumari and Malhotra (214) made an attempt to examine the effect of negative balance of payment and trade on economic growth of a nation. The authors revealed that China is fastest growing nation of Asia. The author concluded that balance of payment affects the overall economy. Ghose and Thankur (215) explained that instrumental in the development of an economy, particularly developing nations. The major factors have been found out for promoting the export. The authors conclude that balance of payment determines the growth of export and trade in economies. Mahesh et. al (215) explored the International Trade as important component of economy. The economic performance of a country depends on the contribution of exports and strong position of balance of trade. III OBJECTIVES OF THE STUDY To examine the performance of trade balance of Indian economy. To analyze the status of indicators of balance of payments of economy of India. IV RESEARCH METHODOLOGY The present study is based on descriptive research. Secondary data has been collected from various sources such as online publications, magazine, Economic Survey, Books and Journals. The data were taken for the period of ten years 25-215. The result has been analyzed using the graphs and charts predicting the status of balance of payments of Indian economy. V DATA ANALYSIS 1). TRADE BALANCE Table: 1.1 TRADE BALANCE Financial year Exports Imports Trade balance 25-6 456418 6649-23991 26-7 571779 881515-39736 27-8 655864 112312-356448 28-9 84755 1374436-53368 29-1 845534 1363736-51822 21-11 1136964 1683467-54653 211-12 1465959 2345463-87954 212-13 1634318 2669162-134844 213-14 19511 2715434-81423 214-15 1465171 2134283-669111 114

Figure: 3 Trade balance 25 2 15 1 5-5 -1-15 Exports Imports Trade balance Interpretation: the above graph shows the exports, imports and trade balance for the period of ten years. There was a sharp increase in exports and imports after 25. Imports were higher than exports throughout the period of study. The highest value of export and import was seen in 213-14, calculated at 19511 and 2715434 respectively. But in 214-15, there was a decrease in exports, imports and trade balance. Trade balance was found negative during the study period. Table 1.2: IMPORTS AND EXPORTS OF GOODS AND SERVICES AT CURRENT PRICE Financial year Exports of goods and services at Imports of goods and services at current prices current prices 25-6 712.87 8134.66 26-7 948.72 145.35 27-8 1189.7 12191.9 28-9 13287.64 1614.4 29-1 12987.8 16471.4 21-11 1711.93 251.82 211-12 2153.26 27219.47 212-13 24268.7 16957.43 213-14 28177.74 3226.89 214-15 14644. 3184.3 115

Figure 1.2: IMPORTS AND EXPORTS OF GOODS AND SERVICES AT CURRENT PRICE 35 3 25 2 15 1 5 IMPORTS AND EXPORTS OF GOODS AND SERVICES AT CURRENT PRICE Exports of goods and services at current prices Imports of goods and services at current prices Interpretation: The chart depicts the exports and import of goods and services at current prices. After 21, exports of goods and services at current price have sharply increased. The highest value of exports of goods and services at current price has been found in 213-14 reached at 28177.74. But, in 214-15 there was a rapid decline in exports of goods and services at current prices. The greater value of imports of goods and services at current prices was seen in 213, estimated at 3226.89. 2. ANALYSIS OF BALANCE OF PAYMENTS Table: 2.1 INVISIBLE ITEMS OF BALANCE OF PAYMENTS Financial years Receipts/ GDP Payments/ GDP Net/ GDP 25-6 1.8 5.7 5 26-7 12.1 6.6 5.5 27-8 12 5.9 6.1 28-9 13.7 6.2 7.5 29-1 12 6.1 5.9 21-11 11.1 6.5 4.6 211-12 11.9 5.8 6.1 212-13 12.2 6.3 5.9 213-14 12.4 6.3 6.1 214-15 11.6 5.9 5.7 Source Reserve Bank of India: Economic Survey 116

Figure: 16 INVISIBLE ITEMS OF BALANCE OF PAYMENTS 14 12 1 8 6 4 2 Receipts/ GDP Payments/ GDP Net/ GDP Interpretations: The chart presents the invisible items of balance of payments consisting receipts and payments as percentage of GDP. Receipts were higher than payments in last ten years. In initial years, an increasing rate was found in receipts. The receipts were found higher in 29, shown at 13.7% and payments depicted higher in 26-7, calculated at 6.6%. Table: 2.2 CURRENT ACCOUNT ITEMS OF BALANCE OF PAYMENTS Financial years Current Receipts/ GDP Current payments/ GDP CAD/ GDP 25-6 23.3 94.8-1.2 26-7 25.6 96-1 27-8 25.4 95-1.3 28-9 29.1 92.6-2.3 29-1 25.3 89.9-2.8 21-11 26.1 9.2-2.8 211-12 28.7 87-4.2 212-13 28.9 85.7-4.8 213-14 29.4 94.3-1.7 214-15 27 95.1-1.4 Source Reserve Bank of India: Economic Survey 117

Figure: 12 CURRENT ACCOUNT ITEMS OF BALANCE OF PAYMENTS 1 8 6 4 2-2 Current Receipts/ GDP Current payments/ GDP CAD/ GDP Source Reserve Bank of India: Economic Survey Interpretations: The chart shows the current account items of balance of payments. Current payments were observed higher than current receipts. Currents receipts depict the increasing trend and reached at 29.4 in 213-14. Current payments were seen higher in 23-4, found at 112.6. Table: 2.3 CAPITAL ACCOUNT ITEMS OF BALANCE OF PAYMENT Financial years Foreign Investment/ Exports Foreign Investment/ GDP Import of cover of Reserves 25-6 2.3 2.6 11.6 26-7 23.1 3.1 12.5 27-8 37.3 5 14.4 28-9 14.8 2.3 9.8 29-1 35.9 4.8 11.1 21-11 23.6 3.5 9.5 211-12 16.3 2.7 7.1 212-13 17.8 3 7 213-14 11.2 1.9 7.8 214-15 23.8 3.7 8.9 118

Figure: 4 35 3 25 2 15 1 5 CAPITAL ACCOUNT ITEMS OF BALANCE OF PAYMENT Foreign Investment/ Exports Foreign Investment/ GDP Import of cover of Reserves Interpretation: The chart presents the value of the items of capital account of balance of payments. There were found both increasing and decreasing trend in capital account items. The rapid increase was depicted in 28, 21 and 215. Capital account items such as foreign investment/ exports, foreign investment/ GDP and import cover of reserves were higher in 27-8. VI CONCLUSIONS Exports and imports are the significant elements of balance of trade which show the status of trade of economy. The present study concludes that various items of balance of payments namely capital items, current items and visible items are moving in positive direction. There has been observed a change under the period of study. The balance of trade shows the amount of total exports and imports which predicts the condition of exchange reserve of a nation. Trade balance was negative throughout the period of study. The Indian economy needs to focus on the negative trade balance. The corrective actions should be taken to resolve the negative trade balance. The government should strengthen the policy of trade to increase the level of export so that the problem of negative balance can be solved. 119

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