Track record. BPX Energy. Dave Lawler CEO, BPX Energy. Brian Pugh COO, BPX Energy BP UPSTREAM INVESTOR DAY AND FIELDTRIP

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Transcription:

BPX Energy Dave Lawler CEO, BPX Energy Brian Pugh COO, BPX Energy

BPX Energy core values, mission, and strategy Core values Mission Strategy Safety and the environment Build a premier independent onshore business focused on delivering free cash flow growth Develop newly acquired and legacy shale plays through efficient capital investment and advanced technology 2

Mission delivery Proven assets Proven track record Material free cash flow growth Proven top-tier assets located in the core of the Permian, Eagle Ford and Haynesville shale plays Proven track record of execution Material free cash flow growth achieved through synergies, capital efficiency, and development of additional zones 3

BHP acquisition base case + upside 1 increasing confidence that value creation can exceed model Base case Further upside potential $65 WTI $3.25 HH $55 WTI $2.75 HH Midstream $45 WTI $2.25 HH $10.5bn Upstream Purchase price BHP assets Synergies Capital efficiency Additional resource potential Environment Third-party reserve report confirms >70% of acquisition value is proved reserves 2 (1) NPV = net present value at 10% discount rate, $55/bbl WTI, and Midland discount of $7/bbl near term and around $2/bbl longer term, $2.75/mmBtu Henry Hub (2018 real). Indicative values only (2) Preliminary 2018 SEC pricing - $66/bbl oil, $32/bbl NGLs and $2.95/mmBtu Henry Hub 4

Proven Permian, Eagle Ford, and Haynesville acreage Permian Eagle Ford Haynesville 128 active rigs in Reeves, Culberson and Loving counties >1,800 wells since 2017, with average IP30 of 1.1mboed >25% of these wells with IP30s >1.5mboed 44 active rigs across 5 counties >1,800 wells in Eagle Ford since 2017, with average IP30 of 1.2mboed In under-developed Austin Chalk, 130 wells since 2017, with average IP30 of 1.7mboed 51 active rigs in Haynesville >275 wells since 2018, with average IP30 >1.7mboed Wells produce consistently over time, with low initial decline rate 5

Stellar economics across a range of prices 4.6bn boe resource base from BHP US onshore asset acquisition Breakeven WTI 1 Resources bn boe Locations Highly economic across a variety of price ranges Short-cycle position, largely held by production Additional resource potential Austin Chalk (Eagle Ford) 2.0 0.3 0.3 2.0 2,700 500 2,400 2,700 Avalon and Bone Springs (Permian) Resources by play bn boe Additional Wolfcamp zones (Permian) Bossier shale (Haynesville) Haynesville Eagle Ford Permian (1) Breakeven calculated per well using post-tax PV10, $3/mmBtu Henry Hub gas. Real 2018 prices (2) Proved developed producing 0.0 1.0 2.0 3.0 4.0 PDP 2 $35 $35-45 $45-55 6

Synergies >$350m annually from three categories On track to deliver synergies ahead of plan General & administrative $200-220m Production cost $100-120m Financial $50-60m Scaled engineering and development teams Reduced back-office headcount Simplified support processes Intelligent Operations Supply chain optimisation Trading Fiscal 7

Capital efficiency primary development high-density, multi-zone, long-lateral development strategy Permian subsurface Up to 6 wells Up to 8 wells Up to 24 wells Up to 8 wells Avalon 2nd Bone Spring Wolfcamp XY Wolfcamp A Wolfcamp B Wolfcamp Lower 1-2 mile laterals Eagle Ford subsurface Haynesville subsurface (including legacy) 3 wells 3 wells Bossier Haynesville 1-2 mile laterals High-density, long-lateral, multi-zone, sectional development leads to significant improvements in capital efficiency 8 wells Up to 8 wells Up to 16 wells Austin Chalk Upper Eagle Ford Lower Eagle Ford Optimised full life cycle artificial lift to increase production and reduce cost Multi-lateral well planning underway in all plays 1-2 mile laterals 8

Additional resource potential under-developed zones prevalent across three plays Permian subsurface Up to 6 wells Up to 8 wells Up to 24 wells Up to 8 wells Eagle Ford subsurface 8 wells Up to 8 wells Up to 16 wells Avalon 2nd Bone Spring Wolfcamp XY Wolfcamp A Wolfcamp B Wolfcamp Lower 1-2 mile laterals Austin Chalk Upper Eagle Ford Lower Eagle Ford 1-2 mile laterals Haynesville subsurface (including legacy) 3 wells 3 wells Bossier Haynesville 1-2 mile laterals Multiple benches comprise over 4,000ft of premium gross interval in Permian Over 600ft of gross interval in Eagle Ford and the prolific Austin Chalk, with industry-leading returns 500ft of combined Haynesville and Bossier targets in both Texas and Louisiana 9

Permian integrated development plan installation of midstream assets to improve capital efficiency and decrease operating costs Controlling midstream assets aligns the entire value chain for more efficient development Oil handling significantly improves price realizations through reduced trucking Completing wells Producing wells On demand water line Centralised processing Compression Water injection and recycle Permanent SWD line Gas Water injection well Electrical infrastructure enables optimum life-cycle artificial lift applications Power supply Power Oil storage and stabilisation LACT unit 10

Proven track record established top tier performance in legacy Southern Haynesville play Average single well cumulative production cumulative gross gas volume, mmboe BPX gross production in Haynesville gross production, mboed, number of wells 1.6 100 50 mmboe 1.2 0.8 0.4 mboed 80 60 40 20 40 30 20 10 number of wells 0.0 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 0 Jan-16 Jul-16 Jan-17 Jul-17 Jan-18 Jul-18 0 months BP Offset operators Gross production Well count 11

Proven track record material cost reduction achieved through proprietary intelligent operations model Traditional operating model: disparate systems and data silo information require labor intensive processes to manage outcomes Company operated unit production costs $/bbl 15 44% 2.5 Headcount 000s 54% Intelligent operations model Real time data aggregation 12 2.0 Analytics backed data visualisation 9 1.5 Advanced algorithms 6 1.0 Advanced technology (augmented reality, drones, smart glasses, etc) 3 0.5 0 2013 '14 '15 '16 '17 '18 0.0 2013 '14 '15 '16 '17 '18 12

Intelligent operations example algorithm based work management system Proprietary system more efficiently manages workforce & activity 43% fewer workers doing 10% more work, with higher value Directly translates to acquired assets Creates value through cost savings and revenue maximisation 13

Near term development Permian, Eagle Ford & Haynesville 2019 Plan Planned Divestments 2019-2021 Plan 2019 capital ~$2bn Rig count 16 operated rigs 2019 wells to be drilled >250 San Juan Wamsutter Anadarko Permian Delaware Arkoma Haynesville Capital p.a. ~$2-2.5bn Rig 15-25 count operated rigs 5-10 in Permian 5-6 in Eagle Ford 4-6 in Haynesville Eagle Ford BPX Lower 48 (pre-acquisition) Acquired assets 14

Transforming the portfolio simplifying the business and increasing liquids production BP Lower 48 before acquisition (2018) BPX Energy post-integration (2021) Operated wells 9,400 3,500 Basins 6 3 Capital budget ~$950m ~$2-2.5bn Production 1 315mboed ~500mboed Oil % of production mix ~5% ~25% (1) Net of legacy asset divestitures in 2019 and 2020 15

BHP acquisition base case + upside 1 increasing confidence that value creation can exceed model Base case Further upside potential $65 WTI $3.25 HH $55 WTI $2.75 HH Midstream $45 WTI $2.25 HH $10.5bn Upstream Purchase price BHP assets Synergies Capital efficiency Additional resource potential Environment Third-party reserve report confirms >70% of acquisition value is proved reserves 2 (1) NPV = net present value at 10% discount rate, $55/bbl WTI, and Midland discount of $7/bbl near term and around $2/bbl longer term, $2.75/mmBtu Henry Hub (2018 real). Indicative values only (2) Preliminary 2018 SEC pricing - $66/bbl oil, $32/bbl NGLs and $2.95/mmBtu Henry Hub 16