Q1 FY19 Earnings Release Supplemental Material December 10, 2018

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Transcription:

Q1 FY19 Earnings Release Supplemental Material December 10, 2018 1

Safe Harbor Statement Certain statements made within this presentation may constitute forward-looking statements within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Such forward-looking statements are subject to certain risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially. Forward-looking statements are statements related to future, not past, events, and often contain words such as expect, "anticipate," "intend," "plan," "believe," "seek," "see," "will," "would," estimate, forecast, "target," preliminary, or range, and include the Company s outlook for the second quarter and full year of Fiscal Year 2019. The Company does not undertake to publicly update or review its forward-looking statements even if experience or future changes make it clear that our projected results expressed or implied will not be achieved. Detailed information concerning those risks and uncertainties are readily available in the Company s filings with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission. We undertake no obligation to publicly update or revise any forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise. Where indicated, certain financial information herein has been presented on a non-gaap basis. This basis adjusts for nonrecurring items that management believes are not indicative of the Company s underlying operating performance. These measures may not be directly comparable to similar measures used by other companies and should not be considered a substitute for performance measures in accordance with GAAP such as operating income and net income. Additionally, a reconciliation of the projected non-gaap EPS, which is a forward-looking non-gaap financial measure, to the most directly comparable GAAP financial measures, is not provided because the Company is unable to provide such reconciliation without unreasonable effort. The inability to provide a reconciliation is due to the uncertainty and inherent difficulty predicting the occurrence, the financial impact and the periods in which the non-gaap adjustments may be recognized. These GAAP measures may include the impact of such items as restructuring charges, acquisition and integration related expenses, asset impairments, non-cash purchase accounting adjustments and the tax effect of all such items. As previously stated, the Company has historically excluded these items from non-gaap financial measures. The Company currently expects to continue to exclude such items in future disclosures of non-gaap financial measures and may also exclude other items that may arise (collectively, non-gaap adjustments ). The decisions and events that typically lead to the recognition of non-gaap adjustments, such as actions under the Company's Change for Growth program and impairments of certain long-lived intangible assets, are inherently unpredictable as to if or when they may occur. For the same reasons, the Company is unable to address the probable significance of the unavailable information, which could be material to future results. Reference should be made to today s earnings release for the nature of such adjustments and for a reconciliation of such non-gaap measures to the Company s financial results prepared in accordance with GAAP. 2

Q1 FY19 Earnings Highlights GAAP non-gaap (a) Q1 FY19 Q1 FY18 Q1 FY19 Q1 FY18 Comp Sales 3% (5%) Gross Margin 59.4% 60.7% 59.4% 60.7% BD&O 19.8% 20.0% 19.8% 20.0% SG&A 31.5% 31.0% 31.5% 30.9% Operating Income ($M) $38.9 $39.9 $46.8 $68.9 EPS $0.03 $0.03 $0.06 $0.11 (a) non-gaap figures are adjusted to exclude restructuring expenses, acquisition and integration expenses, and non-cash purchase accounting adjustments 3

Q1 FY19 Sales Summary Comp Sales Performance Q1 FY19 Q1 FY18 Premium Fashion 8% (6%) Ann Taylor 7% (6%) LOFT 9% (6%) Value Fashion (3%) (7%) maurices (3%) (5%) dressbarn (4%) (10%) Plus Fashion (2%) (4%) Lane Bryant (2%) (5%) Catherines (3%) (3%) Kids Fashion 12% (2%) Total Company 3% (5%) Plus 18% Q1 FY19 Sales Mix Kids 17% Value 28% Premium 37% 4

Q1 FY19 End-of-Period Inventory (Cost) Approximately half of the total company increase was caused by receipt timing shifts related to 53 rd week in prior fiscal year, with impact primarily in Kids and Premium segments Approximately half of reported increase related to prior year level (down 20%+) 38% 21% 11% 5% (8%) Premium Fashion Value Fashion Plus Fashion Kids Fashion Total Company 5

Q1 FY19 Capital Structure / Cash Flow Capital expenditures: $32 million (a) Ending cash and equivalents: $199 million Ending debt: $1,372 million (b) Ending net debt to TTM EBITDA: ~2.7x (c) TTM EBITDA cash interest coverage: ~4.5x (c,d) Current liquidity: $672 million (e) (a) Excludes change in period end accruals ($21 million as of Q4 FY18 and $14 million as of Q1 FY19) (b) Reflects term loan balance; asset-based revolver undrawn at quarter end (c) Ending debt net of cash and equivalents to TTM non-gaap EBITDA of $435 million (d) Based on TTM average Term Loan balance of $1,488 million and TTM average interest rate of approximately 6.5% (e) Ending cash and equivalents plus $473 million of availability under the asset based revolver 6

Real Estate Summary Q1 FY19 Q1 FY18 Store Store Store Store Store Locations Locations Locations Locations Locations End of Q4 Opened Closed End of Q1 End of Q1 Premium Fashion 976 5 (6) 975 1,001 Ann Taylor 304 1 (2) 303 320 LOFT 672 4 (4) 672 681 Value Fashion 1,702 0 (18) 1,684 1,780 maurices 972 0 (11) 961 1,008 dressbarn 730 0 (7) 723 772 Plus Fashion 1,097 0 (5) 1,092 1,119 Lane Bryant 749 0 (2) 747 764 Catherines 348 0 (3) 345 355 Kids Fashion 847 0 (2) 845 894 Total Company 4,622 5 (31) 4,596 4,794 7

Q1 Results vs. 9/24/18 Guidance non-gaap Basis Actual Guidance Total Company Sales $1.592B $1.54 to $1.56B Comparable Sales 3.5% Flat to up 2% Gross Margin 59.4% 60.0% to 60.5% Depreciation and amortization $82M ~$84M Operating Income $47M $22 to $42M Interest expense (a) $26M ~$27M Diluted share count 201M 200M EPS $0.06 ($0.04) to $0.06 (a) Inclusive of non-cash interest of approximately $3M related to the amortization of the term loan original issue discount and debt issuance costs (consistent with guidance). 8

Q2 and Full Year FY19 Guidance non-gaap Basis Q2 FY19 Full Year FY19 Total Sales $1.675 to $1.705B $6.45 to $6.55B Comparable Sales up 2 to 4% up low single digits Gross Margin 54.2% to 54.8% 57.6% to 58.1% Depreciation and amortization ~$84M $327 to $332M Operating (Loss) Income ($30M) to ($10M) $120 to $140M Interest expense (a) ~$26M ~$108M Diluted share count (b) 198M 201M EPS (c) ($0.25) to ($0.15) $0.00 to $0.10 Ending store count 4,375 to 4,425 (a) Inclusive of non-cash interest of approximately $3M and $11M related to the amortization of the term loan original issue discount and debt issuance costs for Q2 Fiscal 2019 and Full Year Fiscal 2019. (b) Share count for Q2 Fiscal 2019 excludes the impact of dilutive securities due to the projected loss. 9 (c) Inclusive of the statutory tax rate and changes in tax regulations on foreign sourced income and non-deductible executive compensation.

FY19 Q1 adjusted operating income walk non-gaap Basis ($ millions) 69 13 10 47 8 11 FY18 Q1 as-reported Week 53 Impact New Revenue Rec. Standard Performance-Based Compensation Reset Flow through on Comp Growth FY19 Q1 as-reported 10

FY19 Q2 adjusted operating income walk non-gaap Basis ($ millions) (12) 13 (21) 9 21 10 FY18 Q2 as-reported Week 53 Impact Performance-Based Compensation Reset New Revenue Rec. Standard Flow through on Comp Growth FY19 Q2 as-reported 11

Change for Growth program savings outlook ($ millions) FY17(A) FY18(A) FY19(E) FY20(E) Total(E) Operating model SG&A Front office efficiencies 29 37 0 66 SG&A Corporate efficiencies 7 22 13 42 SG&A Non-merch procurement 16 43 30 11 100 BD&O Fleet Optimization 11 18 23 8 60 SG&A IT efficiencies 2 15 15 32 Total Opex 63 122 81 34 300 COGS Sourcing 0 15 9 TBD 24 Total savings 63 137 90 34 324 12

Comparable Sales impact of FY18 53 rd week shift ($ millions) Comparable sales increase / (decrease) resulting from additional week Premium Value Plus Kids ascena Q1 0.4 (1.9) (2.6) (18.4) (22.5) Q2 (9.9) (9.1) (4.3) (5.2) (28.4) Q3 N / A 17.1 10.1 6.0 33.2 Q4 N / A (6.1) (3.2) 17.6 8.3 Full Year (9.5) 0.0 0.0 0.0 (9.5) Note: Premium segment 53 rd week executed in January 2018 vs. remaining segments, which were executed in July 2018 13

FY19 Q1 adjusted operating expense walk non-gaap Basis ($ millions) 9 817 809 12 11 23 16 17 FY18 Q1 as reported Change for Growth (Opex only) Store Closures Inflation (estimated) Performance-Based Comp. Reset Capability Investments Channel Shift / Other FY19 Q1 as reported 14