3Q13 Conference Call Gerdau S.A. Consolidated IFRS

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Transcription:

3Q13 Conference Call Gerdau S.A. Consolidated IFRS André Gerdau Johannpeter President and CEO Andre Pires Vice-president and IR Director October 31st, de 2013 1

Industry Overview World steel production of 396.4 million tonnes in 3Q13, up 4.1% from 3Q12; Brazil: output of 8.9 million tonnes, up 2.5% from 3Q12; Latin America (ex Brazil): production of 8.6 million tonnes, up 11%; United States: output of 22.0 million tonnes, up 1.2% from 3Q12. World Outlook: World GDP growth forecast at 2.9% for 2013 and 3.6% for 2014; Steel consumption expected to grow by 3.1% in 2013 and 3.3% in 2014. Note: Comparisons of 3Q13 vs. 3Q12. Source: worldsteel, Instituto Aço Brasil and Alacero. 2

Gerdau Highlights SHIPMENTS CREDU STEEL PRODUCTION 3Q13 3Q12 % 2Q13 Unit % Million tonnes 4,775 4,774 0.0% 4,634 3.0% Million tonnes 4,507 4,747-5.1% 4,646-3.0% NET SALES R$ million 10,494 9,819 6.9% 9,882 6.2% EBITDA R$ million 1,413 1,033 36.8% 1,196 18.1% NET INCOME R$ million 642 408 57.4% 401 60.1% CAPEX R$ million 715 904 635 3

2013 Outlook BRAZIL Economy: GDP growth forecast at 2.5%; Steel consumption: growth of 3.2% compared to the prior year, to 26.0 million tonnes; Construction Industry: growth of 1.9% in construction GDP; Manufacturing Industry: industrial GDP estimated to grow 1.4%; Agriculture: growth of 9.9% in agriculture GDP. Source: Instituto Aço Brasil, Focus e BACEN. 4

2013 Outlook NORTH AMERICA Indicators show gradual recovery in the economy; Forecast for U.S. GDP growth: 1.6%; U.S. steel consumption: growth of 0.7% to 96.9 million tonnes; LATIN AMERICA Healthy economic growth in the region, led by Peru (GDP +5.4%), Chile (GDP +4.4%) and Colombia (GDP +3.7%); Steel consumption: expected consumption of 42.4 million tonnes, growing 0.7% compared to 2012. Source: worldsteel, FMI, Bloomberg e Alacero. 5

2013 Outlook SPECIAL STEEL BRAZIL: Total vehicle production expected to grow, driven mainly by a recovery in truck production; Light vehicle production should set a new record with projected growth of 12%; NORTH AMERICA: Prospect of maintaining good demand in the auto industry. EUROPE: Prospect for slight recovery in late 2013 driven by the implementation of Euro 6 in early 2014. INDIA: Growth in the market, though at a more moderate pace than in previous years. 6

Closing Remarks We continue to focus our efforts on increasing efficiency throughout Gerdau s operations: Higher EBITDA generation; Improvement in liquidity and debt indicators; Working Capital reduction: over R$700 million in 12 months; The challenge posed by excess installed capacity in the world steel industry remains a source of concern for 2014; Gerdau continues to pursue higher levels of efficiency and competitiveness. 7

Performance Gerdau 3Q13 x 3Q12 Consolidated In R$ million 1,033 EBITDA Evolution (R$ million) 3Q13 3Q12 3Q13/3Q12 2Q13 3Q13/2Q13 NET SALES 10,494 9,819 6.9% 9,882 6.2% Costs of Sales (8,960) (8,621) 3.9% (8,540) 4.9% SG&A (672) (630) 6.7% (636) 5.7% Other operating income and expenses 5 3 66.7% 13-61.5% Equity in earnings of unconsolidated companies 18 (3) - - - Financial result, net (206) (134) 53.7% (548) -62.4% Income and Social Contribution taxes (37) (26) 42.3% 230 - NET INCOME 642 408 57.4% 401 60.1% EBITDA 1,413 1,033 36.8% 1,196 18.1% EBITDA Margin 13.5% 10.5% - 12.1% - SHIPMENTS (thousand tonnes) 4,775 4,774 0.0% 4,634 3.0% 675 (276) (42) 23 1,413 EBITDA (R$ million) and EBITDA Margin 10.5% 1,033 9.9% 8.8% 891 805 12.1% 1,196 1,413 13.5% EBITDA 3Q12 Net Sales Costs of Sales SG&A Others EBITDA 3Q13 3Q12 4Q12 1Q13 2Q13 3Q13 EBITDA Margem EBITDA 8

Performance Gerdau 3Q13 x 3Q12 Brazil BO1 Shipments: +6.8% Stronger domestic demand (+15.3%). Lower exports (-18.4%). Net sales: +11.7% Costs: +4.6% Improved mix of markets. Higher net sales per tonne shipped. Higher shipments. SHIPMENTS ( 000 tonnes) NET SALES, EBITDA (R$ million) & EBITDA Margin (%) 1,791 1,768 25% 15% 75% 85% 1,913 19% 81% Exports Domestic Market 3,567 3,679 19.4% 20.3% 691 748 3,986 24.6% 982 Net Sales EBITDA EBITDA Margin Note1: includes all operations in Brazil (except special steel) and the Colombia metallurgical coal and coke operation. 9

Performance Gerdau 3Q13 x 3Q12 North America BO1 Shipments: -9.0% High levels of imports in the period. Net sales: +0.8% Lower price in USD, offset by exchange variation in the period. Costs: +3.2% Exchange variation in the period. SHIPMENTS² ( 000 tonnes) 1,768 1,608 1,545 NET SALES², EBITDA (R$ million) & EBITDA Margin (%) 3,415 3,092 3,443 6.0% 5.1% 3.7% 205 158 129 Note 1: Includes all operations in North America, except Mexico and specialty steel Note 2: Excludes data from associated companies and jointly controlled entities. Net Sales EBITDA EBITDA Margin 10

Performance Gerdau 3Q13 x 3Q12 Latin America BO1 Shipments: +2.1% Strong demand in the region. Net sales: +7.9% Higher net sales per tonne shipped. Costs: 0% Higher dilution of fixed costs. SHIPMENTS² ( 000 tonnes) 726 720 705 NET SALES², EBITDA (R$ million) & EBITDA Margin (%) 1,322 1,332 1,426 8.2% 9.2% -0.2% 109 131-3 Net Sales EBITDA EBITDA Margin Note 1: Includes all operations in Latin American, except Brazilian operations and Colombian metallurgical coal and coke operation. Note 2: Excludes data from associated companies and jointly controlled entities 11

Performance Gerdau 3Q13 x 3Q12 Special Steel BO1 Shipments: +14.1% Higher volumes in Brazil and India. Net sales: +16.9% Higher shipments. Costs: +18.1% Higher shipments. SHIPMENTS ( 000 tonnes) NET SALES, EBITDA (R$ million) & EBITDA Margin (%) 625 766 713 2,122 2,045 1,750 13.3% 13.0% 13.3% 233 276 273 Net Sales EBITDA EBITDA Margin Note 1: Includes all Special Steel operations in Brazil, Spain, USA and India. 12

Indebtedness and Liquidity R$ billion 15.3 15.5 14.6 14.4 14.5 Em R$ billion AMORTIZATION SCHEDULE Debt Average Term: 5.5 years 8.9 2.7x 2.8x 3.2x 3.1x 2.8x 3.7 0.3 1.3 0.9 0.4 3.5 3.0 2.5 3.0 1.8 sep.12 dec.12 mar.13 jun.13 sep.13 4Q13 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 and after WORKING CAPITAL AND CASH CONVERSION CICLE 10.1 9.7 10.0 9.4 9.3 Gross Debt Principal (R$ billion) Cash (R$ billion) Net Debt/EBITDA¹ COST OF DEBT: 6.4% Local Currency: 8.1% Foreing Currency: 6.0% + FX Companies Abroad: 5.9 % (1) EBITDA in last 12 months. 98 92 97 85 80 sep.12 dec.12 mar.13 jun.13 sep.13 Working Cappital (R$ billions) Cash Conversion Cicle (days) 13

Statement This presentation may contain forward-looking statements. These forward-looking statements rely upon estimates, information or methods that may be incorrect or inaccurate and may not actually occur. These estimates are also subject to risks, uncertainties and assumptions, including, among others: general economic, political and commercial conditions in Brazil and in the markets where we operate and existing and future government regulations. Potential investors are hereby informed that these estimates do not constitute a guarantee of future performance as they involve risks and uncertainties. The Company does not undertake, and specifically denies, any obligation to update any estimate, which only speak as of the date they are made. Contact information: +55 (51) 3323 2703 inform@gerdau.com.br www.gerdau.com 14