Financial Results Presentation Q2 FY12: Quarter ended 30 September November 2011 Chua Sock Koong Group CEO

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Transcription:

Financial Results Presentation Q2 FY12: Quarter ended 30 September 2011 10 November 2011 Chua Sock Koong Group CEO

Forward looking statement important note The following presentation contains forward looking statements by the management of Singapore Telecommunications Limited ("SingTel"), relating to financial trends for future periods, compared to the results for previous periods. Some of the statements contained in this presentation that are not historical facts are statements of future expectations with respect to the financial conditions, results of operations and businesses, and related plans and objectives. Forward looking information is based on management's current views and assumptions including, but not limited to, prevailing economic and market conditions. These statements involve known and unknown risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results, performance or events to differ materially from those in the statements as originally made. Such statements are not, and should not be construed as a representation as to future performance of SingTel. In particular, such targets should not be regarded as a forecast or projection of future performance of SingTel. It should be noted that the actual performance of SingTel may vary significantly from such targets. S$ means Singapore dollars and "A$" means Australian dollars unless otherwise indicated. Any discrepancies between individual amounts and totals are due to rounding. 2

Agenda 01 // Overview 02 // Singapore 03 // Australia 04 // Associates & joint ventures 05 // Financial position 3

Resilient operations across the Group Results impacted by adverse currency movements Group performance Revenue up 4% S$4,610m Net profit down 1% S$882m Singapore Revenue up 1% S$1,601m EBITDA 1 up 5% S$553m Optus Revenue up 1% A$2,337m EBITDA up 1% A$560m Regional Mobile Customers 2 up 15% 424m Pre-tax earnings 3 down 12% down 6% in constant currency S$471m 1. Excludes Group and International Business corporate costs 2. Group mobile subscribers, including SingTel, Optus and Regional Mobile Associates 3. Based on the Group s share of Regional Mobile Associates profit before tax and exceptionals 4

Group Q2 FY12 highlights Proportionate EBITDA 1 77% outside Singapore Group Declared interim dividend 6.8 Per share Optus Others 1% Singapore Expanded SingTel s cloud solution offerings >150,000 users 30% 46% Jia Le first aggregated Asian entertainment channel Singapore 23% Regional Mobile Optus Regional Mobile Announced LTE rollout Continued launch of marketleading digital services Upstake in AIS 2 Airtel Africa acquired license to operate in Rwanda Optus Go Places 1. Based on 3 months to Sep 2011 2. Subject to regulatory and other approvals 5

Q2 FY12: strong underlying results but affected by fair value losses 3 months 3 months YoY % 3 months Sequential to Sep 11 to Sep 10 change to Jun 11 % change Operating revenue 4,610 4,436 3.9% 4,605 0.1% EBITDA 1,249 1,188 5.2% 1,284 (2.7%) - margin 27.1% 26.8% 27.9% Associates pre-tax earnings 1 498 567 (12.1%) 500 (0.5%) EBITDA & share of associates pre-tax earnings 1,747 1,755 (0.4%) 1,792 (2.5%) Depreciation & amortisation (494) (481) 2.7% (501) (1.4%) Net finance expense (72) (88) (17.5%) (93) (22.0%) Exceptional Items 2 (4) 1 N.M. 61 N.M. Pre-tax profit 1,177 1,187 (0.8%) 1,259 (6.5%) Tax (296) (296) 0.2% (342) (13.3%) Net profit 882 892 (1.2%) 916 (3.8%) Underlying net profit 885 891 (0.7%) 873 1.4% 1. Excludes exceptionals 2. Comparatives for Jun 2011 includes the Group s share of AIS results for the quarter ended 31 Mar 2011and Optus one-off provision for ex-gratia costs arising from organisation restructuring 6

1H FY12: earnings affected by weaker regional currencies 6 months to Sep 11 6 months to Sep 10 YoY % change Operating revenue 9,215 8,725 5.6% EBITDA 2,534 2,444 3.7% - margin 27.5% 28.0% Associates pre-tax earnings 1 998 1,117 (10.6%) EBITDA & share of associates pre-tax earnings 3,539 3,551 (0.3%) Depreciation & amortisation (996) (965) 3.1% Net finance expense (165) (167) (0.8%) Exceptional Items 2 58 1 N.M. Pre-tax profit 2,436 2,421 0.6% Tax (638) (588) 8.6% Net profit 1,798 1,835 (2.1%) Underlying net profit 1,758 1,834 (4.1%) 1. Excludes exceptionals 2. Includes the Group s share of AIS results for the quarter ended 31 Mar 2011 and Optus one-off provision for ex-gratia payment arising from organisation restructuring. 7

Foreign exchange movements Currency Exchange rate Exchange rate 1 1 Currency appreciation / (depreciation) against S$ S$ 1.00 YoY QoQ 1 AUD 2 S$1.2870 4.9% (2.3%) INR 37.3 (9.1%) (3.3%) IDR 7,042 (6.3%) (1.4%) PHP 34.8 (4.5%) - THB 24.6 (5.6%) (0.8%) BDT 60.6 (18.1%) (2.4%) PKR 70.9 (12.0%) (2.8%) 1. Average exchange rates for the quarter ended 30 Sep 11 2. Average A$ rate for translation of Optus operating revenue 8

Trends in constant currency terms 1 3 months to Sep 11 2Q FY12 (reported S$m) YoY % change (reported S$) YoY % change (at constant FX) 1 Group revenue 4,610 3.9% 0.8% Group underlying NPAT 885 (0.7%) 0.6% Optus revenue 3,008 5.6% 0.7% Associates pre-tax earnings 2 498 (12.1%) (6.7%) 6 months to Sep 11 1H FY12 (reported S$m) YoY % change (reported S$) YoY % change (at constant FX) 1 Group revenue 9,215 5.6% 1.6% Group underlying NPAT 1,758 (4.1%) (3.1%) Optus revenue 6,056 7.8% 1.6% Associates pre-tax earnings 2 998 (10.6%) (4.9%) 1. Assuming constant exchange rates from corresponding periods in FY11 2. Based on the Group s share of associates earnings before exceptionals 9

Agenda 01 // Overview 02 // Singapore 03 // Australia 04 // Associates & Joint Ventures 05 // Financial position 10

Singapore: mobile leading growth Q2 FY12 Revenue S$m YoY Change Highlights Total revenue S$1,601m +1% up 3% excluding fibre rollout Mobile S$477m +9% strong customer growth Data & Internet S$398m -1% price decline in International Leased Circuits offset growth in Managed Services IT & Engg S$368m -2% lower fibre rollout revenue NCS revenue up 8% with delivery of infrastructure set-up for an MOE project International telephone S$126m -4% lower inpayment revenue 11

Mobile: strong customer growth Strong revenue growth +9% Market share 45.5% 1 consecutive quarter of market share gain Mobile customers ( m) 4.0 3.5 3.0 2.5 2.0 1.5 1.0 0.5 $437 $465 $455 $472 $477 1.68 1.73 1.78 1.83 1.87 1.48 1.50 1.53 1.58 1.62 40k 31k Mobile revenue (S$m) 500 400 300 200 100 Postpaid ARPU S$85 reported ARPU down 4% stable excluding data-only SIMs Wireless BB subs up 59% 2 1.1m Total data as % of ARPU 41% 19% non-sms data 0.0 Sep-10 Dec-10 Mar-11 Jun-11 Sep-11 0 Subscriber acquisition cost S$300 down 19% YoY Mobile revenue Prepaid customers Postpaid customers 1. As at Aug 2011 2. Mobile subscribers who registered for monthly mobile broadband data subscription plans, including data packs attached to voice services 12

Expanding Managed Services & ICT-Telco solutions Data & Internet revenue S$398m NCS Group revenue up 8% S$326m 402 398 Internet related Infrastructure services Revenue by business Revenue by geography Overseas LLC Managed Services ILC 69% 31% Business solutions 87% 13% Singapore Q2 FY11 Q2 FY12 Others NCS Group order book 1 S$2.0b 1. As at 30 Sep 2011 13

Leading the digital revolution mio TV revenue S$25m Growing our digital presence Customers ( 000) 400 350 300 250 200 150 100 50 0 $22 $21 $23 $23 245 264 292 313 $25 335 Sep-10 Dec-10 Mar-11 Jun-11 Sep-11 miotv revenue miotv customers mio TV customers up 22k Revenue (S$m) 30 Customers on bundles 1 271k up 16k approx 24% of Singapore households 25 20 15 10 5 0 335k Fibre customers 2 up 14k 1. Bundled plans comprised mio Plan (mobile, fixed broadband & fixed voice), mio Home & explore Home (mio TV, fixed broadband & fixed voice) 2. Refers to residential and corporate subscriptions to broadband Internet services using optical fibre networks 37k Innovative local apps & content complements consumer lifestyles insing.com: 1.6m unique monthly visitors def!nd: digital concierge service location-based app for dining, entertainment, deals and more AMPed: 88,000 active users 14

EBITDA growth with lower SG&A Singapore Business EBITDA up 5% S$553m Operating expenses -2% Telco EBITDA S$493m 89% 11% IT & Engg EBITDA S$60m Selling & Admin -5% lower mobile subscriber acquisition and retention costs stable content costs Telco EBITDA up 9% EBITDA margin 40.0% IT & Engineering EBITDA up 21% 1 EBITDA margin 16.2% S$493m S$60m Cost of sales -5% lower costs for fibre rollout Staff costs +10% higher headcount at NCS Traffic expenses -3% lower lease expense 1. Excluding one-off write-back of provisions in corresponding quarter last year 15

Agenda Get the best entertainment, for a lot less than you think 01 // Overview 02 // Singapore 03 // Australia 04 // Associates & Joint Ventures 05 // Financial position 16

Optus: resilient performance Q2 FY12 A$m YoY Change Highlights Total revenue A$2,337m +1% Mobile A$1,509m +1% customer growth lower blended ARPU Business & Wholesale Fixed A$509m +5% higher Satellite and ICT & Managed Services revenues Consumer & SMB Fixed A$321m -6% continuing exit of resale lower on-net broadband ARPU Total EBITDA A$559m +1% margin: 23.9% (Q2FY11: 23.9%) 17

Mobile: continuing customer growth in a competitive market Service revenue growth +1% Customer growth in Postpaid and Prepaid Net Adds ( 000) 450 $1,262 $1,261 $1,261 $1,238 $1,279 Service Revenue (A$m) 1,350 Net adds Postpaid customers Prepaid customers +116k +15k 300 1,200 1,050 Wireless BB customers 1.5m up 33% 150 0-150 143 46 Sep-10 150 151-62 -47 Dec-10 Mar-11 113-85 Jun-11 116 15 Sep-11 900 750 600 450 Postpaid ARPU down 4% down 2% excluding wireless BB Total data % of ARPU 21% non-sms data A$67 46% Total Service Revenue Prepaid net adds Postpaid net adds Subscriber acquisition cost down 3% YoY and down 6% QoQ A$208 EBITDA Stable EBITDA margin stable at 25% 18

Business Fixed revenue (A$m) Wholesale Fixed revenue (A$m) Business & Wholesale Fixed: EBITDA growth with higher on-net mix Business: growth in ICT & Managed Services Wholesale: Higher satellite and Data & IP revenue +2% 316 322 105 105 119 119 Voice Data & IP 168 37 63 +11% 187 36 Voice 66 Data & IP 92 98 ICT & Managed Services 68 85 Satellite Q2 FY11 Q2 FY12 Q2 FY11 Q2 FY12 EBITDA +4% EBITDA margin down 1 ppt to 25% 19

Consumer & SMB Fixed: customer growth offset by increased data inclusions On-net customer growth in a competitive market Managing profitability despite ARPU declines Customers (000s) 1050 1000 950 $52 935 $50 946 $50 960 $49 965 $48 972 ARPU (A$) 60 50 40 30 20 10 0-10 EBITDA (A$m) 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 17% 58 17% 56 18% 61 18% 58 EBITDA margin (%) 18% 56 20 15 10 5-20 10 0 Q2FY11 Q3FY11 Q4FY11 Q1FY12 Q2FY12-30 0 Q2FY11 Q3FY11 Q4FY11 Q1FY12 Q2FY12 0 On-net broadband customers On-net ARPU EBITDA EBITDA margin EBITDA -3% EBITDA margin up 1 ppt to 18% 20

Tight cost management while driving strategic differentiation Operating expenses +1% Leading the market with differentiated digital services and rewards Selling & Admin lower customer acquisition and retention costs Cost of sales higher ICT revenues -2% +5% Traffic expenses higher interconnect costs partly offset by lower international outpayments Staff costs lower headcount and accruals +5% -5% Optus Smart Safe TV Now Optus Go Places 21

Agenda 01 // Overview 02 // Singapore 03 // Australia 04 // Associates & Joint Ventures 05 // Financial position 22

Significant footprint across Asia & Africa #4 in Pakistan 30% #5 in Bangladesh 45% 1 2 3 Africa Shareholding by Airtel 5 7 8 1.Sierra Leone 100% 2.Burkina Faso 100% 3.Ghana 75% 4.Niger 90% 5.Nigeria 65.7% 6.Chad 100% 7.Gabon 90% 8.Congo Brazzaville 90% 9. DR Congo 98.5% 4 11 13 9 12 14 10 South Asia Bangladesh 70%, Sri Lanka 100% 6 15 #1 in India 16 17 32% 10.Zambia 96.4% 11.Uganda 100% 12.Rwanda 100% 13.Kenya 100% 14.Tanzania 60% 15.Malawi 100% 16.Madagascar 100% 17.Seychelles 100% #1 in Singapore 100% % denotes equity interest #1 in Thailand 21% #1 in Indonesia 35% #2 in Australia 100% #2 in Philippines 47% 23

Growing our Pan-Asia & Africa customer base 21% 179 12% Mobile customers (m) 104 Growth in customers (%) South Asia 21% 48 Africa 7% 33 15% 29 5% 16 8% 1.8 Effective stake (%) 32.3% 35.0% 21.3% 47.3% 30.0% 45.0% Mobile penetration 72% 1 100% 116% 97% 66.0% 49% Market position #1 1 #1 #1 #2 #4 #5 Market share (%) 20% 1,2 43% 44% 31% 3 15% 2% 1. For India market only 2. As at Aug 11 3. As at Jun 11 24

Regional mobile associates Q2 FY12 PBT 1 (S$m) % Change (S$) % Change (local curr) Highlights Regional Mobile 471-12% N.A. down 6% in constant currency Telkomsel 233 +1% +8% strong data growth stabilised market conditions Airtel 131-37% -32% South Asia: strong revenue growth offset by 3G costs & higher interest expense Africa: strong growth in revenue and operating profit; offset by acquisition financing costs and fair value losses on foreign currency loans AIS 78 +17% +24% strong data growth Globe 48-1% +4% robust mobile & broadband growth 1. Excluding exceptional items compared to 3 months to Sep 10 25

Agenda 01 // Overview 02 // Singapore 03 // Australia 04 // Associates & Joint Ventures 05 // Financial position 26

Group free cash flow (S$m) Sound financial position Strong cash flow S$1,829m Solid balance sheet 1,872-2% 1,829 Net debt S$7.6b 554 520 Singapore down S$34m Net gearing 1 25% 673 685 645 624 Optus up S$12m Assoc div down S$21m Net debt: EBITDA & share of associates pre-tax profits 2 EBITDA & share of associates pre-tax profits : Net interest expense S&P s rating A+ Moody s rating 1.1x 20x Aa2 1H FY11 1H FY12 1. Ratio of net debt to net capitalisation, which is the aggregate of net debt, shareholders funds and minority interests 2. On an annualised basis 27