Investor presentation Full year and Q March 2017

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Transcription:

Investor presentation Full year and Q4 2016 17 March 2017

2 Introduction Forward-looking statement The statements on the future in this presentation, including expected sales and earnings, are associated with risks and uncertainties and may be affected by factors influencing the activities of the Group, e.g. the global economic environment, including interest and exchange rate developments, the raw material situation, production and distribution related issues, breach of contract or unexpected termination of contract, price reductions due to market driven price reductions, launches of competitive products and other unforeseen factors. In no event shall H+H International A/S be liable for any direct, indirect or consequential damages or any other damages whatsoever resulting from loss of use, data or profits, whether in an action of contract, negligence or other action, arising out of or in connection with the use of information in this presentation. All presented numbers are after special items unless otherwise stated. Agenda Highlights Financial performance Outlook and updated long-term financial targets Segments and market development Q&A

3 Highlights Organic growth Negative 0.3% organic growth in the fourth quarter. 6.4% organic growth full year vs. guidance of 5-6%. Investments DKK 45.1 million in the fourth quarter. DKK 83.3 million full year vs. guidance in the region of DKK 80 million. Borough Green project running to schedule. EBITDA* DKK 45 million in the fourth quarter against DKK 41 million in Q4 2015. DKK 211 million full year against DKK 182 million last year. Guidance was DKK 190-210 million. Long-term targets 2016 follow up EBIT-margin before special items for 2016 7.6% vs. target of min. 6-8%. ROIC for 2016 15.5% vs. target of min. 12%. * Before special items

4 Financial performance DKK million Q4 Q1 - Q4 2016 2015 Variance 2016 2015 Variance Revenue Actual 347 375 (8%) 1.611 1.621 (1%) Organic 374 375 (0%) 1.725 1.621 6% Gross margin 25% 31% (6%) 25% 25% 0% EBITDA EBIT margin Before special items Before special items 45 5% 41 3% 4 2% 211 8% 182 5% 29 3% After special items After special items 51 7% 63 9% (12) (2%) 214 8% 232 8% (18) (0%) Return on invested capital 16% 16% 0% Investments 45 21 24 83 61 22 Free cash flow (10) 44 (54) 76 58 18 Net interest-bearing debt DKK million 387 445 (58) Debt gearing 1.8x 2.4x Equity 278 255 23

5 Outlook 2017 and updated long-term financial targets DKK million Outlook Organic growth 5-7% EBITDA before special items 220-240 Investments excluding mergers, acquisitions and divestments ~ 120

6 Update on the UK We expect continuous growth from the UK, despite Brexit for following reasons; Structural undersupply of houses Government support Availability of financing House builders report activity on par or higher than last year. As a result, Brexit has not changed our upgrade of the Borough Green factory. The Borough Green factory upgrade will make it the most advanced aircrete facility in the UK. We are planning the upgrade to be completed in the first half of 2018. Production output will be lower in 2018. In 2017 we will substitute production of products with higher complexity in the UK with Polish products in order to produce standard product to stock to supply the market during the first half of 2018.

7 Special items 2017 Special items of approximately DKK 25 million cost are expected to be incurred as a result of the Borough Green factory upgrade and resulting need to import products from Poland. The increased transportation cost will be expensed at the point of sale and treated as a special item.

8 Specific assumptions for outlook for 2017 Economic growth of around 1-3% in our geographical footprint. The commercial and operational excellence programmes continue to deliver improvements. Exchange rates, primarily for GBP, EUR PLN and RUB, hold at their mid-march 2017 levels. Energy and raw material prices rise only in line than inflation from their March 2017 levels. The geopolitical situation does not result in changed market conditions.

9 Other selected items Investments Investments in 2017 is expected to be the highest since 2008 of around DKK 120 million. The main part is allocated to the Borough Green. Credit facility New three year credit facility in place until March 2020. Asset sales Total asset sales now DKK 77 million. Target was DKK 70 million until the end of 2017 programme completed! Pension obligation Defined contribution obligation increased approx. DKK 60 million in 2016. Cash flow impact approx. DKK 20 million per annum in 2016 and 2017. Free cash flow 2016 positively impacted by asset sale less installments for Grupa Prefabet. Final installment for acquisition of Grupa Prefabet due mid-2017. Solvency Equity increased slightly due to profit for the year offset by the increase in the pension obligation. Solvency ratio 23%.

10 Western European segment DKK million Q4 Q1 - Q4 2016 2015 Variance 2016 2015 Variance Revenue EBITDA Actual Before special items 280 32 306 28 (8%) 4 1,260 191 1,272 174 (1%) 17 Organic After special items 311 27 306 28 2% (1) 1,358 186 1,272 169 7% 17 Investments 34 12 22 64 43 21 Decrease in sales volumes in the quarter vs. same period last year mainly due to firm execution of price increases over the summer in Germany. Continued growth in the UK and good development in the Danish market. Adverse exchange rate impact from the GBP. Cost and production output issues due to the PFA situation in the UK as previously announced.

11 Eastern European segment DKK million Q4 Q1 - Q4 2016 2015 Variance 2016 2015 Variance Revenue DKK million Actual 66 Q471 (7%) 350 Q1-351 Q4 (0%) Organic 2016 65 2015 71 Variance (8%) 2016 369 2015 351 Variance 5% EBITDA Revenue Before Actual special items 66 (5) 71 (6) (7%) 1 350 26 351 13 (0%) 13 After Organic special items 652 17 71 (8%) (15) 369 29 351 72 (43) 5% Investments Before special items 11 (5) (6) 9 21 19 26 18 13 131 EBITDA After special items 2 17 (15) 29 72 (43) Investments 11 9 2 19 18 1 Lower volumes and higher sales prices both in Poland and Russia for the quarter. Russia realised flat price development but lower volumes for the year. Good development in Poland throughout 2016, harvesting synergies from the Grupa Prefabet acquisition. Increasing prices, but also better production performance, are key contributors to the full year result improvement.

12 Q & A

13 Thank you H+H International A/S Dampfærgevej 3, 3 rd Floor 2100 Copenhagen Ø Denmark +45 35 27 02 00 info@hplush.com www.hplush.com

14 Appendices

15 Geographical footprint Production facility Sales and administration

16 Strategy and external growth drivers MISSION To supply value-added innovative aircrete solutions to buildings through profitable partnerships with distributors, contractors and housebuilders. VISION To be number one aircrete supplier in our geographical footprint. One company Highest growth Most attractive aircrete solutions

17 Commercial approach Quality aircrete - is the foundation of our company Trusted partner - is our reputation in the industry Build with ease Distributors House builders Construction companies Innovative solutions - are how we create results

18 Business model

19 Revenue allocation 2016 22% UK Germany Western Europe Poland Eastern Europe Russia Denmark 78% Other

20 EBITDA and EBIT margin development and EBITDA allocation 2016 EBITDA (DKK million) EBIT % Western Europe Eastern Europe

21 Non-current asset allocation as of 31 December 2016 UK Western Europe Eastern Europe Germany Poland Russia

22 Net interest-bearing debt development and allocation as of 31 December 2016 Net interest-bearing debt (DKK million) Gearing GBP EUR PLN DKK