MARKET STABILITY WORKGROUP 2.0. Meeting #7 Tuesday, December 18, :30 10:30 a.m. RIPIN, 1210 Pontiac Ave, Cranston, RI 02920

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MARKET STABILITY WORKGROUP 2.0 Meeting #7 Tuesday, December 18, 2018 8:30 10:30 a.m. RIPIN, 1210 Pontiac Ave, Cranston, RI 02920

TEN WEEK SYLLABUS RI Market Stability Workgroup Schedule Topic(s) for Discussion Meeting 1 Regrouping: Workgroup 2.0 + Reinsurance Recap Meeting 2 Reinsurance Financing Options Meeting 3 Affordability Programs in Addition to Reinsurance Meeting 4 Shared Responsibility Requirement Meeting 5 Wrap-Up/Opportunity for Follow-Up Meeting 6 Reaching Recommendations Meeting 7 Recommendations (reserved if needed) Meeting Date Wednesday, October 3 rd Tuesday, October 16 th Wednesday, October 31st Tuesday, November 13 th Tuesday, November 27th Tuesday, December 11th Tuesday, December 18th 2

TEN WEEK SYLLABUS RI Market Stability Workgroup Schedule Topic(s) for Discussion Break for the holidays Meeting 8 Possible Codification of ACA Consumer and Market Protections Meeting 9 Legislative Recommendations Meeting 10 Legislative Recommendations (reserved if needed) Meeting Date Mid-December early January Tuesday, January 8 th Tuesday, January 22 nd Tuesday, February 5 th 3

TODAY S AGENDA 1. Follow-up Items from Previous Meetings 2. Discussion: a) Review Workgroup Objectives b) Review Text of Potential Recommendations 4

UPDATES SINCE OUR LAST MEETING 1. Timeline of Application 2. Uncompensated Care 3. Impact of Federal Reinsurance Program on Carrier Rates 2014 16 5

THE 1332 WAIVER PROCESS - UPDATE Step Target Timeline 1. Authorizing Legislation Complete 2. RFP for Actuarial Work Complete 3. Actuarial Work Begins November 2018 4. 1332 Waiver Application Drafting Public notice/comment period Winter/Spring 2019 30 days at minimum 2020 Rate development Late winter, 2019 5. Application Submission A final application will be submitted if/when state funding is appropriated. 2020 Rate filing May 2019 6. HHS and Treasury Prelim. Review Late Spring 2019 (30-45 days after application submission)* 7. Funding appropriated Early Summer 2019 8. Final Decision of HHS and Treasury Summer 2019 (2-6 months after the application completeness determination)* *CMS has indicated that reinsurance program waivers will be reviewed and approved quickly if they are similar to approved waivers from other states. 9

UNINSURED RATE IMPACT ON UNCOMPENSATED CARE Comparison of Change in Uninsured Rate with Change in Uncompensated Care, 2013-2015 0% % Change in Uninsured Rate 2013-2015 % Change in Uncompensated Care Costs 2013-2015** -20% -11% -40% -60% -35% -30% -43% -47% -27% -51% -60% -24% -25% -80% United States Expansion States* Non-Expansion States Rhode Island Massachusetts *Medicaid expansion state as of March 2015 **Uncompensated care costs defined as uncompensated care costs as percent of operating costs Source: Center on Budget and Policy Priorities Report, May 23, 2019, Appendix Table 1 7

RECONVENING THE RI MARKET STABILITY WORKGROUP The objectives for our work ahead include forming recommendations for policymaker s consideration, including: A method (or methods) for funding the RI Reinsurance Program; Whether RI should pursue other initiatives to address health coverage affordability and, if so, what programs; Aspects of design and implementation for a state-level shared responsibility requirement; and A package of consumer and/or market-based protections for codification in RI law. 8

OBJECTIVES - OVERVIEW Shared Responsibility Payment Design and implementation strategy RI Reinsurance Program Recommend funding source(s) Additional Affordability Programs What programs, if any, are recommended? 9

HOW DID WE GET HERE? Meeting Title Meeting 1 Regrouping: Workgroup 2.0 + Reinsurance Recap Meeting 2 Reinsurance Financing Options Meeting 3 Affordability Programs in Addition to Reinsurance Meeting 4 Shared Responsibility Requirement Meeting 5 Wrap-Up/Opportunity for Follow-Up Meeting 6 Reaching Recommendations Information Covered Reinsurance Recap Program Size in other states Funding sources from other states Premium impact, total cost, and state vs. federal share Funding options SRP, assessments narrow to broad, others Assessments premium impact for partial/full funding RI uninsured characteristics Affordability programs from other states Cost of MA/VT subsidies, MN 400%+ subsidies, young adult subsidies Reasons for, effectiveness of, and structure of federal SRP Impact of current federal SRP 4 Variations with estimated revenue change and impact to payers Tax threshold changes, existing market assessments/taxes, RI premium tax Different combinations of reinsurance, SRP, and affordability programs Actuarial estimates for reinsurance Updated scenarios 10

REACHING RECOMMENDATIONS In order to reach a consensus on recommendations, the following questions remain: 1. Should the SRP structure include any additional exemptions, such as for income 138% FPL? 2. Should there be an additional affordability program beyond reinsurance? If yes, should it be paid for by reducing the size of reinsurance? Or by finding additional revenue through an assessment? To that end, we ve put together text of potential recommendations from this group Aiming for agreement on policy recommendations which will inform cost estimates 11

POTENTIAL VERSIONS OF CORE WRITTEN RECOMMENDATIONS: Version A Version B Version C SRP SRP should be implemented close to federal model, with the addition of an exemption for those with incomes less than 138% of the Federal Poverty Level with the addition of an exemption for those who were unable to obtain coverage due to a technical barrier. SRP revenue should be specifically designated for healthcare programs. Additional Affordability Program [No additional affordability program] Outreach and support for penalty payers regarding: enrollment options, tax season SEP, & Medicaid eligibility. Reinsurance Reinsurance should be as meaningful as possible Additional affordability program Targeting young adults to maximize support of guiding principles Outreach and support for penalty payers regarding: enrollment options, tax season SEP, & Medicaid eligibility. Reinsurance should be as meaningful as possible after funding an affordability program. Additional affordability program Targeting young adults to maximize support of guiding principles Funded by an additional revenue source (general revenue or a premium assessment) Outreach and support for penalty payers regarding: enrollment options, tax season SEP, & Medicaid eligibility. Reinsurance should be as meaningful as possible Do these options support the Workgroup s Guiding Principles: (1) Sustain balanced risk pool; (2) Maintain attractive market, or; (3) Protect coverage gains achieved under the ACA? 12

DISCUSSION 13

NEXT STEPS AND UPCOMING MEETINGS Next Meeting: January 8, 2019, 8:30am 10:30am Institute for the Study and Practice of Non-Violence (ISPN) 265 Oxford Street Providence, RI 02905 14

PUBLIC COMMENT?

THANK YOU

APPENDIX

REMINDER: WHY A REQUIREMENT TO BUY INSURANCE? Phased in separately from subsidies Increased enrollment in general Significant and disproportionate effect on healthy population MA rollout accompanied by messaging campaign Source: https://www.nejm.org/doi/full/10.1056/nejmp1013067 18

REMINDER: WHY A REQUIREMENT TO BUY INSURANCE? Unsubsidized population Notable drop post-mandate implementation Mandate not the only 2014 ACA change RI Uninsured Over 400% FPL 13,610 ACA Implementation 6,485 2012 2015 3.8% 1.8% Sources: https://www.brookings.edu/wp-content/uploads/2018/02/fiedlerslidesfor030618-for-posting.pdf; 2016 RI Health Insurance Survey (RI HIS) 19