Profitability & solidity

Similar documents
Delivering. Oliver Bäte Chief Executive Officer. Deutsche Bank Conference New York, May 31, Allianz Investor Relations App

CORPORATE RESPONSIBILITY AT ALLIANZ GROUP

Allianz Group Fiscal Year 2012

In good shape. Jay Ralph, Member of the Board of Management of Allianz SE. Commerzbank German Investment Seminar. New York, January 2015

In good shape. Clement B. Booth Member of the Board of Management. Morgan Stanley European Financials conference March 27th, 2012

Allianz achieves an operating profit of 3 billion euros in the third quarter of 2018

Allianz Group Fiscal Year 2014

Allianz reports strong results for the second quarter of 2018 and confirms full-year outlook

Allianz 1Q results signal good start into 2018, on track to meet targets

Debt Investor Presentation FY 2018

Corporate Responsibility. at Allianz Group Communications and. Group Investor Relations. Paris, November 2017

Moving forward. Oliver Bäte Member of the Board of Management. Morgan Stanley European Financials Conference London, March 19, 2013

Moving forward. Michael Diekmann Chief Executive Officer. BoA Merrill Lynch Banking and Insurance CEO Conference London, September 2013

Allianz delivers as promised

Quarterly and first nine months Earnings Release

Allianz Group: First Half of 2015

FIT for the New Normal

Investment and capital management

Ordinary Annual General Meeting of Allianz SE Munich, May 21, 2008

Group financial results 1Q 2014

Delivering. Analyst conference call Munich, February 17, Allianz Investor Relations App

Simplicity wins. Allianz Capital Markets Day. Telephone Conference for Journalists November 30, 2018

Allianz Re. Company Presentation. May Understanding Risk Creating Value

Investments. Maximilian Zimmerer Member of the Board of Management Allianz SE. Analyst conference call February 19, 2016

Investor Relations Release

Quarterly results

Sustainability at Allianz

2016 Annual Results. SCOR records net income of EUR 603 million, increases its dividend to EUR 1.65 and envisages share buy-backs

Aon Risk Solution Seminar -AGCS perspective. Axel Theis, CEO Allianz Global Corporate & Specialty September 16, 2010

Group financial results for the first nine months 2003

1Q Dieter Wemmer Chief Financial Officer. Media conference call May 11, 2016

Allianz delivering on our promises German Corporate Conference Frankfurt, June 2, 2005

Allianz delivers strong 2017 results, proposes 5 percent dividend increase

HR Fact Book 2010 Allianz Group. HR Controlling Munich / April 2011

AXA. Gérald Harlin. Group CFO. May 28, Deutsche Bank Global Financial Services Investor Conference 2014

Glossary. Annual Media Conference Munich, February 16, 2018

Delivering 2.0. Analyst conference call Munich, February 16, Allianz Investor Relations App

Quarterly results

Zurich Financial Services Group Competing in the Age of Austerity

Full Year 2017 Earnings. Press Conference February 22, 2018

12M 2013 Financial results

Results Reporting for the Three Months to March 31, 2009

Sustainable Development at Allianz. Nomura European Sustainable & Responsible Investment Conference Paris, 17 th March 2011

Building a global asset manager

NN Group. NN Group. Delfin Rueda, CFO Bernstein conference 27 September 2018

AXA HALF YEAR 2016 EARNINGS. Presentation. August 3, 2016

1Q Giulio Terzariol Chief Financial Officer. Analyst conference call May 15, Allianz SE 2018

Conference Call on Half-yearly Report 2016

Annual Media Conference. Simplicity wins. Munich, February 15, Please note: presentations based on 2018 preliminary figures.

Press Conference. Annual Results Hannover, 7 March 2019

Glossary (1) AFS APE. Allianz. Bps Basis points = 0.01% Allianz SE 2016

Credit investor introduction 2017

Understanding RISK Creating VALUE

Talanx Strategy Frankfurt, 23 October Torsten Leue, CEO

Investor Relations Release

AXA. Bank of America Merrill Lynch 21st Annual Financials CEO Conference London September 29, Thomas Buberl Chief Executive Officer

Investor Presentation: Issuance of Subordinated Debt

+ One. Annual General Meeting 2005 of Allianz AG

H Financial results

Zurich Insurance Group

Creating value through reinsurance

Conference Call on Interim Report 3/2017

AXA MORGAN STANLEY CONFERENCE

1Q 2017 Results. CFO candidate. The Hague May 11, Helping people achieve a lifetime of financial security

12M 2016 Financial Results

LA MONDIALE HALF YEAR 2018 EARNINGS. October 18, 2018

12M 2017 Financial Results. Financial Analysts Call Friday, February 9 th, 2018

3Q Dieter Wemmer Chief Financial Officer. Analyst conference call November 10, 2017

AVIVA Solvency and Financial Condition Report ( SFCR )

BMO Capital Markets Fixed Income Insurance Conference June Gord Menzie Senior Vice-President, Corporate Finance and Treasury

Annual Results Reporting 2004 Analyst presentation. Zurich, February 17, 2005

9M 2016 Financial Results

Simplification and growth

Deutsche Bank - Swiss Equities Conference Martin Strobel, Group CEO

GROUPAMA GROUP FULL YEAR 2016 RESULTS PRESENTATION. Analysts Conference Call 17 March 2017

Stability and reliability

2016 FULL YEAR EARNINGS

Group financial results 3Q 2014

BMO Fixed Income Conference

GROUPAMA GROUP FULL YEAR 2017 RESULTS PRESENTATION. Analysts Conference Call 16 March 2018

Sustainable Development at Allianz. Nomura European SRI Conference Paris, 23rd May 2013

3M 2017 Financial Results

Half Year Earnings Press conference August 2, 2018

Financial transformation and capital framework

Capital position and risk profile

Conference Call on Q1/2018 results

Property & Casualty: Accelerating Profitable Growth

Digital evolution transforms the insurance. Christof Mascher KBW London / 3 March 2016

Paul Achleitner. Allianz in +One-Mode. Goldman Sachs 10th Annual European Financials Conference June 7, 2006

Balance Sheet Review. Shareholders equity increased by 8.6 bn to 53.6 bn. Strong solvency ratio up by 18 percentage points to 197 %.

Hannover Re's Analysts' Conference

Welcome to Hannover Re's Analysts' Conference. Annual Results 2017

9M 2018 Results 12 November Torsten Leue, CEO Dr. Immo Querner, CFO

A Guide to Investing In Corporate Bonds

SCOR records strong net income of EUR 603 million, increases its dividend to EUR 1.65 per share and envisages share buy-backs

ALLIANZ REAL ESTATE REAL ESTATE INVESTMENTS FROM A GLOBAL INVESTOR S PERSPECTIVE

Group financial results 3Q 2014

JP Morgan 2006 Insurance Conference. March 29, 2006

Half Year 2013 Earnings

An Insurance Perspective of Opportunities in Risk

Transcription:

Profitability & solidity Group Treasury & Corporate Finance Group Investor Relations Allianz SE Bank of America Merrill Lynch European Credit Conference London, September 2018 Allianz Investor Relations App Apple App Store Google Play Store Copyright Allianz SE

Allianz a globally leading financial services provider Strong global market positions 1 Strong brand names P/C #1 L/H Top 5 AM Top 5 Strong capital Strong profitability Solvency II capitalization 2 230% Shareholders equity 2 EUR 60.3bn Operating profit 3 EUR 11.1bn Operating SII capital generation 3 +35%-p 1) Ranking based on currently available peer data 2) End of 2Q 2018. 227% excl. EUR 1bn share buy-back 3) FY 2017. Operating SII capital generation before tax and dividend Copyright Allianz SE 2

Strategic focus downside protection, upside potential Upside potential 5% EPS growth Renewal Agenda External growth opportunities Scale benefits 50% payout 180% - 220% Solvency II target range Disciplined capital management 1 Dividend ratchet Dividend policy subject to sustainable Solvency II ratio >160% Downside protection Best-in-class risk management Excellent capital position Well diversified business High quality debt portfolio 1) The dividend policy may be revised in the future. Also, the decision regarding dividend payments in any given year is subject to specific dividend proposals by the management and supervisory boards, each of which may elect to deviate from this dividend policy if appropriate under the then prevailing circumstances, as well as to the approval of the annual general meeting. The entire dividend policy is subject to a sustainable SII ratio >160% Copyright Allianz SE 3

Well diversified business model Stable operating profit in volatile environment 6.3 6.9 9.0 10.1 7.5 7.3 8.3 7.9 9.5 10.2 10.3 10.6 11.1 11.1 Operating profit (EUR bn) 1 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 supported by effective diversification 14 16 13 13 12 17 22 25 28 28 23 20 19 20 15 23 23 25 28 34 31 27 28 24 29 32 35 37 Operating profit by business segment (%) 2 64 60 62 59 1) 2004-2015: Historically reported figures excluding Banking segment. Operating profit 2016/2017 includes Banking. Operating profit 2016 restated for changed accounting policy (as reported: EUR 10.8bn) 2) Based on historically reported figures excluding Corporate & Other, Banking and Consolidation 73 49 47 47 44 47 48 48 46 42 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 AM L/H P/C Copyright Allianz SE 4

Capital management: solvency II target range 180% 220% 220% 180% 160% 145% Management actions Target range Management actions Re-assessment of dividend policy Minimum level Stated dividend policy 1 50% pay-out ratio Dividend ratchet Flexible payout of excess capital Highlights Very strong SII ratio of 230% (2Q 2018) 2 35%-p SII capital generation pre-tax and pre-dividend (FY 2017) We anticipate annual SII capital generation net of tax and dividend to stay above 10%-p going forward 1) The dividend policy may be revised in the future. Also, the decision regarding dividend payments in any given year is subject to specific dividend proposals by the management and supervisory boards, each of which may elect to deviate from this dividend policy if appropriate under the then prevailing circumstances, as well as to the approval of the annual general meeting. The entire dividend policy is subject to a sustainable SII ratio >160% 2) 227% excluding EUR 1bn share buy-back Copyright Allianz SE 5

Conservative capital structure with 187% unrestricted tier 1 (UT1) coverage (in % / EUR, June 30, 2018) Tier 3 e.g., net DTA, T3 equivalent own funds Tier 2 e.g., subordinated liabilities, T2 sect. / equiv. own funds Tier 1 restricted grandfathered subordinated liabilities Tier 1 unrestricted e.g., paid-in capital, available surplus funds, T1 equivalent and sectoral own funds 1% 14% 4% 81% 75.4bn 187% 32.7bn 6% AM / Banking / other 8% Third country equivalence 18% Standard model 67% Internal model SFCR FY 2017 3 Allianz EU G-SII 4 SII ratio 229% 186% UT1 / SCR 186% 134% Non-UT1 / SCR 44% 51% 1H 2018 Allianz SII ratio 230% UT1 / SCR 187% Non-UT1 / SCR 44% Own funds Own funds 1,2 SCR SCR 2 1) Requirements: Tier 2+3 50%, Tier 3 15% of consolidated insurance group SCR 2) Immaterial non-eea (re)insurance entities included via book value deduction (Art. 229 SII directive). Main internal model entities: AGCS, France, Germany, Italy, UK; main standard model entities: Belgium, Brazil, Poland, Spain, Taiwan, Turkey 3) Source: company disclosure, Allianz 4) Mean of EU-domiciled G-SII excluding Allianz Copyright Allianz SE 6

Leverage ratios 1 well within AA-range Financial leverage 2 32.5% 28.1% 28.1% 26.9% 28.5% 26.0% 25.7% 23.1% 24.2% 24.0% AA-limit 30% 26.0% 27.3% In EUR bn 13.4 Hybrid bonds 4 Shareholders equity 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 1H 2018 60.3 Senior debt leverage 3 Senior debt 5 20.6% 18.5% 14.0% 13.8% 12.1% 11.4% 12.5% 11.0% 10.6% 9.6% 12.3% 12.6% 1H 2018 9.3 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 1H 2018 1) As reported in respective years, calculated in accordance with Allianz methodology 2) Senior debt and hybrid bonds divided by the sum of senior debt, hybrid bonds and shareholders equity 3) Senior debt divided by the sum of hybrid bonds and shareholders' equity 4) Subordinated liabilities excluding bank subsidiaries; nominal value 5) Certificated liabilities (bonds, commercial papers) excluding bank subsidiaries; nominal value Copyright Allianz SE 7

Refinancing long-term oriented maturity structure Bond maturity profile (EUR bn; as of June 30, 2018) Senior bonds Subordinated (no step-up 1,2 ) Subordinated (step-up 1 ) EUR 8.1bn EUR 3.4bn EUR 10.0bn 3.4 Callable bonds at final maturity 2.5 1.5 1.25 1.5 1.5 1.5 0.75 0.75 0.75 0.75 0.85 1.0 3.0 0.5 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2041 2042 2043 2044 2045 2046 2047 2048 2049 Perp 2.5 1.5 Callable bonds at next call date 1,2 1.5 0.9 1.2 1.3 0.75 0.75 0.75 0.75 0.85 1.25 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.0 0.5 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2041 2042 2043 2044 2045 2046 2047 2048 2049 Perp 1) Neither the first occurrence of an issuer call option nor a coupon step-up should be construed as an indication by Allianz as to when the instrument will be called for redemption 2) Marginal rounding difference in case of subordinated bonds (no step-up) Copyright Allianz SE 8

Allianz with AA S&P rating for 10 years, now best-in-class Selected rating components 1 S&P financial strength rating / outlook 2 Business risk profile Excellent AA+ 2007 2018 Financial risk profile ERM Very strong Very strong AA stable AA+ AA+ AA AA AA Peer 1 Peer 2 Peer 3 Peer 4 Peer 5 Peer 8 AA- Liquidity Excellent AA- Peer 6 Peer 7 Peer 2 Peer 3 Peer 5 Peer 7 AA- Management Strong A+ A+ Peer 8 Peer 6 A+ Peer 1 1) Evaluation as of December 28, 2017 2) Outlook indicated by arrows. 2018 ratings as shown on company webpages in August 2018 Copyright Allianz SE 9

High quality investment portfolio End of 2Q 2018 Asset allocation Total: EUR 668.6bn Debt instruments by rating 2 Debt instruments 86% Equities 10% Real estate 1 2% Cash/Other 3% AAA 21% AA 26% A 20% BBB 26% Non-investment grade 3% Not rated 3 3% By segment (EUR bn) Duration 5 Assets Liabilities Group P/C 4 L/H 4 8.9 8.8 9.6 9.3 Debt instruments 575.6 83.2 458.5 Equities 64.4 9.6 51.7 Real estate 1 11.6 2.8 8.4 Cash/Other 17.0 4.3 7.3 Total 668.6 100.0 525.9 1) Excluding real estate held for own use and real estate held for sale 2) Excluding seasoned self-originated private retail loans 3) Mostly mutual funds and short-term investments 5.3 4.2 Group P/C L/H 4) Consolidated on Group level 5) For the duration calculation a non-parallel shift in line with SII yield curves is used. Internal pensions are included in Group data, while they are excluded in P/C and L/H segments Copyright Allianz SE 10

Allianz results 1H 2018 6M EPS up 5 percent Group Property-Casualty Life/Health Asset Management Total revenues 6M 18 in EUR bn (internal growth vs. prior year in %) 67.3 (+5.6%) 30.0 (+5.9%) 34.2 (+4.9%) 3.3 (+10.9%) Operating profit 6M 18 in EUR mn (vs. prior year in %) 5,753 (-1.8%) 2,729 (+0.9%) 2,144 (-6.0%) 1,247 (+7.9%) Shareholders net income (in EUR mn) Combined ratio (in %) New business margin (in %) Cost-income ratio (in %) +0.5% -0.2%-p +0.1%-p -1.2%-p 3,810 3,830 94.6 94.4 3.3 3.4 62.9 61.7 8.45 8.86 1.1 3.3 2.0 3.4 +74.3 +11.7 6M 17 6M 18 6M 17 6M 18 6M 17 6M 18 6M 17 6M 18 EPS (in EUR) NatCat impact 1 3rd party net flows (EUR bn) Run-off ratio 1) NatCat costs (without reinstatement premiums and run-off). Copyright Allianz SE 11

Ambitious targets for 2018 in reach +1.2%-p Operating profit (EUR bn) 10.7 11.1 11.6 10.6 RoE (%) 12.5% 11.8% 12.2% adjusted 2 13.0% 2015 2017 2018 target range 2015 2017 2018 ambition EPS 3 (EUR) 14.6 CAGR 5% 15.2 +11% Non-operating items Share buy-backs US tax reform 1 16.9 DPS 3 (EUR) 7.3 CAGR 5% 8.0 +5% 8.4 2015 2017 2018 ambition 2015 2017 2018 ambition 1) Impact from US tax reform EUR ~ -0.1bn in 2017 and EUR ~ +0.3bn in 2018ff 2) Adjusted for OLB disposal 3) Based on average (EPS) and actual (DPS) number of shares Copyright Allianz SE 12

In a nutshell Our competitive advantages Sustainable, diversified profit generation Strong capitalization and financial flexibility Conservative investment portfolio Best-in-class risk management Best-in-class ratings Copyright Allianz SE 13

Appendix Copyright Allianz SE 14

Appendix Allianz bonds senior debt Coupon Nominal amount (mn) Denomination Currency Issue date Maturity Coupon structure 1 S&P / Moody s FRN 500 100,000 EUR 2017 12/07/2020 Reset (Euribor) AA, Aa3 0.0% 750 100,000 EUR 2016 04/21/2020 FFL AA, Aa3 0.25% 750 100,000 EUR 2017 06/06/2023 FFL AA, Aa3 0.875% 750 100,000 EUR 2017 12/06/2027 FFL AA, Aa3 1.375% 750 100,000 EUR 2016 04/21/2031 FFL AA, Aa3 3.0% 750 100,000 EUR 2013 03/13/2028 FFL AA, Aa3 3.50% 1,500 100,000 EUR 2012 02/14/2022 FFL AA, Aa3 4.50% 750 100,000 GBP 2013 03/13/2043 FFL AA, Aa3 4.75% 1,500 50,000 EUR 2009 07/22/2019 FFL AA, Aa3 1) FFL = Fixed for life Copyright Allianz SE 15

Appendix Allianz bonds subordinated debt Coupon Nominal amount (mn) Denomination Currency Issue date Maturity 1st call date Coupon structure 1 Tiering S&P / Moody s 2.241% 1,500 100,000 EUR 2015 07/07/2045 07/07/2025 FTF Tier 2 A+, A2 3.099% 1,000 100,000 EUR 2017 07/06/2047 07/06/2027 FTF Tier 2 A+, A2 3.25% 500 5,000 CHF 2014 undated 07/04/2019 FTF Tier 2 A+, A2 3.375% 1,500 100,000 EUR 2014 undated 09/18/2024 FTF Restr. Tier 1 2 A+, A2 3.875% 1,500 200,000 USD 2016 undated 03/07/2022 FFL Tier 2 A+, A2 4.75% 1,500 100,000 EUR 2013 undated 10/24/2023 FTF Tier 2 A+, A2 5.10% 600 200,000 USD 2017 01/30/2049 01/30/2029 FTF Tier 2 A+, A2 5.375% 800 1,000 EUR 2006 undated 03/03/2011 FFL Restr. Tier 1 2 A+, A3 5.50% 1,000 200,000 USD 2012 undated 09/26/2018 FFL Restr. Tier 1 2 A+, A2 5.625% 1,500 100,000 EUR 2012 10/17/2042 10/17/2022 FTF Tier 2 2 A+, A2 5.75% 2,000 100,000 EUR 2011 07/08/2041 07/08/2021 FTF Tier 2 2 A+, A2 1) FFL = Fixed for life; FTF = fixed to float (including fixed-fixed-reset) 2) Group Solvency and Financial Condition Report 2017: instrument counted under transitionals rules Copyright Allianz SE 16

Disclaimer These assessments are, as always, subject to the disclaimer provided below. Forward-looking statements The statements contained herein may include prospects, statements of future expectations and other forward-looking statements that are based on management's current views and assumptions and involve known and unknown risks and uncertainties. Actual results, performance or events may differ materially from those expressed or implied in such forwardlooking statements. Such deviations may arise due to, without limitation, (i) changes of the general economic conditions and competitive situation, particularly in the Allianz Group's core business and core markets, (ii) performance of financial markets (particularly market volatility, liquidity and credit events) (iii) frequency and severity of insured loss events, including from natural catastrophes, and the development of loss expenses, (iv) mortality and morbidity levels and trends, (v) persistency levels, (vi) particularly in the banking business, the extent of credit defaults, (vii) interest rate levels, (viii) currency exchange rates including the EUR/USD exchange rate, (ix) changes in laws and regulations, including tax regulations, (x) the impact of acquisitions, including related integration issues, and reorganization measures, and (xi) general competitive factors, in each case on a local, regional, national and/or global basis. Many of these factors may be more likely to occur, or more pronounced, as a result of terrorist activities and their consequences. No duty to update The company assumes no obligation to update any information or forwardlooking statement contained herein, save for any information required to be disclosed by law. Copyright Allianz SE 17