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Welsh Government Housing Policy - Regulation Financial Viability Judgement March 2014

Financial Viability Judgement The Welsh Ministers have powers under the Housing Act 1996 to regulate Registered Social Landlords (RSLs) in Wales in relation to the provision of housing and matters relating to governance and financial management. Part 1 of the 1996 Act is amended by Part 2 of the Housing (Wales) Measure 2011 ( The Measure ) and provides the Welsh Ministers with enhanced regulatory and intervention powers concerning the provision of housing by registered social landlords and the enforcement action that may be taken against them. The Welsh Ministers are publishing this financial viability judgement under section 35 of the Housing Act 1996. This report sets out the Welsh Government s financial viability judgement and is designed to provide the RSL, its tenants, service users and other stakeholders with an understanding of the RSL s financial viability. The term Association has been used throughout the report to refer to Registered Social Landlords (RSLs). Housing Regulation Team Welsh Government Housing Division Merthyr Tydfil Office Rhydycar CF48 1UZ e mail: housingregulation@wales.gsi.gov.uk WG20492 Crown Copyright 2014

Description of the Association Tai Calon Community Housing Limited (Tai Calon) is an Industrial and Provident Society with charitable rules. It was created following a large scale voluntary transfer from Blaenau Gwent County Borough Council on 26 July 2010. The Association owns and manages around 6,180 general needs homes and provides services to around 335 leaseholders. Its current focus is the investment in its existing housing stock, to meet the requirements of the Welsh Housing Quality Standard (WHQS) by its target date of 2015. For the year ending 31 March 2013, the Association s turnover was 19.7m (2012: 19.3m), its retained deficit was 2.7m (2012: surplus 1.2m) and it employed 286 staff (2012: 282). 1

Overall Conclusion Our judgement of the Association s financial viability remains unchanged from last year. As at 31 March 2014, the judgement is: Pass The Association has adequate resources to meet its current and forecasted future business and financial commitments. Our judgement is explained as follows: 1. The 30 year financial forecast has been prepared using a reasonable set of assumptions and shows the Association continuing to meet its lenders covenants. 2. The Association has adequate secured loan facilities in place in order to fund its forecasted spending on property maintenance and improvements. It has sufficient income generating ability to service and repay such borrowings. The Association, at present, has 59% of its debt at a fixed rate of interest, thereby having a reasonable level of certainty in relation to this cost. The assumptions made in relation to the debt, at the variable rate of interest, are reasonable. 3. The Association s 30 year forecast shows that it should continue to operate within the lenders covenants under most scenarios. 4. The level of costs included in the forecast appears reasonable in order to deliver the WHQS by its target date of 2015. 5. The Association s financial results to date and its 30 year forecast demonstrates that it does not rely on property sales and commercial activities to fund its operations. 6. The impact of the UK Government s welfare reforms, to date, has been within the expectations of the Association. It has assumed that its current bad debt provision of 0.95% in 2013/14 and 2014/15, will revert back to 0.4% in 2015/16, however the Association has made further provisions elsewhere within the forecast which should be sufficient to accommodate the impact of the UK Government s Universal Credit provisions. We are satisfied that the assumptions made by the Association are reasonable given its current experience. 7. The Association receives 4.2m per year dowry funding from the Welsh Government. The Welsh Ministers currently intend to offer financial assistance for 30 years from the date of transfer (subject to the terms and conditions set out in the offer letter) and acknowledge that the Association s 30 year business plan is predicated on the assumption that financial assistance will continue to be offered for that period. 2

Sources of information and regulatory activity The following information is received from Associations and reviewed by the Welsh Government: Audited annual accounts, including the internal controls assurance statement; External auditors management letter; 30 year financial forecasts; Quarterly management accounts; Private finance returns; 5 year business plans; Welfare Reform data collection; Internal Audit reports; Board papers, as requested; Financial and risk management information collected through undertaking regulatory engagement. This is in addition to regulatory engagement with the Association. Basis of financial viability judgement This judgement is based on information submitted by the RSL and our accumulated knowledge and experience of the RSL, its management and the RSL sector as a whole. In preparing this report, the Welsh Ministers have relied on the information supplied by or on behalf of the RSL. The Board and the Directors of the RSL remain responsible for the completeness and accuracy of such information. This report has been prepared for the RSL as a regulatory assessment. It must not be relied upon by any other party or for any other purpose. Any other parties are responsible for making their own investigations or enquiries. The financial element of the regulatory assessment is undertaken throughout the year and culminates in a financial viability judgement which is issued to each housing association at the end of March each year. There are three categories of financial viability judgement: pass, pass with closer regulatory monitoring, or fail. Where the judgement is pass with closer regulatory monitoring, the Welsh Ministers are of the view that additional work and/or scrutiny, is required to provide stronger assurance on financial viability. Where a judgement of fail applies, the Welsh Ministers will have already been working closely with the association to address the underlying issues. 3

Annex 1: Glossary Gearing is defined as the level of a company s debt compared to its equity capital, usually expressed in percentage form. For housing associations this is typically calculated as debt divided by net assets and capital grants. Most associations have gearing covenants that they need to comply with as part of their loan agreements. Interest cover is defined as the ability of a company to pay its interest cost on its outstanding debt. This is typically calculated as earnings before interest divided by interest payment. This is another common covenant that associations need to comply with as part of their loan agreements. 4