Impact Healthcare REIT plc. Annual results for the period to 31 December 2017

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Transcription:

Impact Healthcare REIT plc Annual results for the period to 31 December 2017

Agenda and presentation team Agenda Company overview The portfolio Key financials Enhancing the portfolio Our market Opportunities Conclusion and outlook Presentation team Investment Adviser Andrew Cowley, Managing Partner 20 years experience managing listed and unlisted funds investing in infrastructure, real assets and private equity for Macquarie and Allianz Mahesh Patel, Managing Partner 30 years successful experience investing in, owning and operating care homes. Qualified chartered accountant David Yaldron, Finance Director Qualified at KPMG as an accountant. Real estate investment experience gained at Grosvenor Estates and Europa Capital 2

Introduction Westhaven 3

Company overview Impact Healthcare REIT PLC listed on the London Stock Exchange (Specialist Fund Segment) on 7 March 2017. Total equity raised in 2017: 193 million Dividends per share of 4.5p paid or declared in 2017, 98% covered by adjusted earnings per share Highly predictable, attractive income and growth from fixed and upwards only RPI-linked rental uplifts with long-term leases Exposure to a diversified portfolio of healthcare real estate opportunities Strong governance with very experienced non-executive directors: Rupert Barclay, Rosemary Boot, David Brooks, Paul Craig and Philip Hall Managed by the Impact Health Partners team: Closely aligned with shareholders via their shareholding in the Company 30 years track record of investing in care homes and infrastructure 4

Financial highlights 4.50p DIVIDEND PER SHARE Dividends per share of 4.50p paid or declared for the period from 7 March to 31 December 2017, delivering against the target set at the time of the IPO 100.65p per share EPRA NAV Net asset value of 100.65p per share as at 3 December 2017 7.2% EPRA NAV TOTAL RETURN EPRA NAV total return for the period from IPO to 31 December 2017 annualised was 7.19% compared to the FTSE EPRA/NAREIT UK REITs Index total return of 10.79% over the same period 9.5 million PROFIT BEFORE TAXATION Profit before taxation in the period between inception and 31 December 2017 was 9.46 million 156.2 million PORTFOLIO VALUE Portfolio independently valued at 156.17 million as at 31 December 2017, representing an uplift on purchase price and acqusition costs of 1.5% Nil DEBT The Company had no debt as at 31 December 2017 11.9 million CONTRACTED RENTAL INCOME Contracted annual rent of 11.34 million p.a. calculated from Admission, increased to 11.60 million p.a. following acquisition of Saffron Court and to 11.86 million following the initial commitment to fund capital improvements at two homes 97.6% DIVIDEND COVER Paid and declared dividends 97.6% covered by adjusted earnings per share for the period from IPO to 31 December 2017 196.8 million MARKET CAPITALISATION Market capitalisation as at 31 December 2017 5

Operational and post-balance sheet highlights 57 assets ASSETS IN THE PORTFOLIO By the period end we had acquired 57 care homes with 2,527 beds at an aggregate net purchase price of 152.20 million 100% let PORTFOLIO The portfolio was 100% let and income-producing during the period 0.5 million RENT REVIEW The portfolio is subject to annual RPI uplifts with a floor of 2% and a cap of 4%. The first rent uplift came into effect on 7 March 2018 and increased the rent roll from 11.89 million to 12.35 million 7.6% CONTRACTED YIELD At year end the Group had a contracted rent roll of 11.86 million and a portfolio market value of 156.17 million delivering an investor contracted yield of 7.59% 464 beds ASSET MANAGEMENT INITIATIVES We have planning permission to add 249 beds and are in discussions with planners for a further 215 beds. During the period, the board approved projects for the first 92 beds at a cost of 7.94 million 234 beds ASSET ACQUISITIONS Contracts were exchanged on 11 January 2018 to acquire 234 beds across three homes in the North-East of England operated by Prestige Care. The first of these three assets completed on 16 March 2018 19.2 years WAULT At 31 December 2017, the weighted average unexpired lease term ( WAULT ) was 19.2 years 25 beds PROJECT NEARING COMPLETION Our first asset management initiative at Turnpike is due to complete in April 2018, adding 25 beds to the home and increasing the rent due from Turnpike by 34% 1.2 million FURTHER RENTAL GROWTH The Prestige transaction, once fully completed, will increase contracted annual rent by 1.19 million and will be subject to the same annual RPI uplifts as the seed portfolio 6

Portfolio review Freeland 7

Attractive and diversified portfolio Since listing on 7 March 2017 we have acquired 57 homes Portfolio 100% let Cushman & Wakefield s independent valuation of these homes as at 30 June 2017 valued them at 153.4 million (versus a net acquisition cost of 152.1 million), increasing to 156.2 million as at 31 December 2017 Currently two tenants: Minster Care and Croftwood Care Neither REIT nor tenants currently have any bank debt Minster Care portfolio Croftwood Care portfolio Valuation at 31 December 2017 101.9 million Valuation at 31 December 2017 54.3 million Rent payable (FY18)¹ 7.1 million Rent payable (FY18)¹ 4.5 million Total homes 30 Total homes 27 Total beds 1,471 Total beds 1,056 Private/LA fee split Private fees: 32% Local authority fees: 68% Private/LA fee split Private fees: 43% Local authority fees: 57% EBITDARM margin 29% EBITDARM margin 30% ¹ Rent payable by tenant in their financial year ending on 31 st March 2018 ² December 2017 8

Tenants track record of providing quality care The quality of care provided by Minster and Croftwood has consistently been rated by the Care Quality Commission (CQC) as being better than the national average The CQC in England publishes on its website its current rating for each facility it regulates and the latest inspection report. Activities in Wales and Scotland are regulated by the Care and Social Services Inspectorate Wales or the Care Inspectorate in Scotland respectively Under the CQC s current rating system, homes are rated against the following standards: Person-centred care; dignity and respect; consent; safety; safeguarding from abuse; food and drink; premises and equipment; complaints; good governance; staffing; fit and proper staff; duty of candour; and display of ratings Four categories: Outstanding, Good, Requires Improvement, and Inadequate CQC rating Outstanding Good Requires Improvement Inadequate Minster and Croftwood 1 2.6% 82.1% 12.8% 2.6% National average 2 1.2% 70.6% 25.1% 2.5% ¹ Based on CQC ratings for 39 homes in England managed by Minster and Croftwood. The remaining 18 homes which comprise the seed portfolio are either (i) regulated by the Welsh or Scottish counterparts of the CQC (which use a different ratings system) or (ii) have not yet been operated by Minster and Croftwood for long enough to have been assessed by the CQC or equivalent. Of the 16 homes acquired from CLS in 2016,and which have not yet been re-inspected under Croftwood management, 76.5% are rated Good and 23.5% Requires Improvement 2 National average for medium (10-49 beds) and large (>50 beds) nursing and residential homes 9

Key financials Littleport Grange 10

Income statement 31 December 2017 Total 000 Net rental income 9,392 Administration and other expenses (2,318) Operating profit before changes in fair value Changes in fair value of investment properties 7,074 2,378 Operating profit 9,452 Net rental income 000 Rental cash income 9,453 Rent received in advance of recognition (1,712) Rent recognised in advance of receipt 1,651 Lease adjustments to rental income (61) Net rental income (per IFRS) 9,392 Change in fair value 000 Revaluation movement 2,317 Lease adjustments to rental income 61 Changes in fair value 2,378 Finance income 6 Profit before tax 9,458 Tax charge on profit for the period (1) Profit and comprehensive income 9,457 Earnings per share (pence) 5.82p Adjusted earnings 000 Per share (p) Total comprehensive income 9,457 5.82 Change in fair value (2,378) (1.47) EPRA earnings 7,079 4.35 Lease adjustments to rental payment 61 0.04 Adjusted earnings 7,140 4.39 11

Balance sheet 31 December 2017 000 Investment property 156,226 Trade and other receivables 1,770 Cash and cash equivalents 38,387 Total assets 196,383 Trade and other payables (2,933) Total net assets 193,450 EPRA net asset value per share 100.65p Investment property 000 Property acquisitions 152,154 Acquisition costs capitalised 1,184 Capital improvements 510 Revaluation movement 2,317 Value per independent valuation report 156,165 Lease adjustments to rental payment 61 Closing fair value 156,226 12

Cash flow 31 December 2017 000 Cash flows from operating activities Profit for the period 9,457 Changes in fair value of investment properties (2,378) Finance income (6) Net working capital movements 1,163 Net cashflow from operations 8,236 Net cash flow from investing activities (153,842) Net cash flow from financing activities 183,993 Net cash increase in the period 38,387 13

Enhancing the portfolio Duncote Hall 14

Capex plans to expand current assets We have planning permission to add 249 beds to the portfolio and are in discussions with planners for a further 215 beds Selectively increasing the number of beds in the current portfolio by 18% will grow rent and net asset values The board has approved the first phase of this programme to deliver 92 beds at three homes Freeland 2017 New beds at Turnpike expected to open in April 2018 Freeland extension CGI Home Existing beds New Beds Combined beds Current rent Forecast rent increases 1 Combined rent Capex Target completion date Turnpike 28 25 53 241,300 82,900 324,200 921,400 April 2018 Freeland 62 46 108 722,700 434,700 1,157,400 4,850,000 June 2019 Littleport 54 21 75 421,400 234,200 655,600 2,170,000 August 2018 Total 144 92 236 1,385,400 751,800 2,137,200 7,941,400 ¹ Based on formula agreed in Framework Agreement (master lease) with tenants: capex invested by Impact accrues 8% per annum and, after completion, the invested amount plus accruals are rentalised at 8% 15

Duncote The Lakes, Northants Duncote The Lakes is set in eight acres of well tended gardens alongside Duncote Hall Newly developed 45 bed fully ensuite, specialist dementia care unit. The home is rated Good by CQC Completed and opened in February 2017, the home has already reached 82% occupancy A high level of glazing was incorporated into the design encouraging engagement with the surrounding landscape 16

Prestige Sand Banks 17

Prestige New Acquisition Contracts exchanged on 11 January 2018 to acquire 234 beds in the North East for 17m (including costs) Acquisition supported by a C&W valuation 20 year leases, with option to extend to 30 years Upward only rent reviews at RPI with a floor of 2% and cap of 4% p.a. Day 1 asset management opportunity to add 40 beds in a unit at Parkville which is currently being refurbished. Tenant has agreed to reinvest sufficient proceeds from the transaction to reopen the unit Prestige portfolio Acquisition Q1 2018 Rent payable (FY18) 17.0m 1.2m Total homes 3 Total beds 234 Average weekly fee (2017) 570 Private/LA fee split (Dec 2017) Private fees: 34% Local authority fees: 66% EBITDARM margin 31% 18

Prestige New Acquisition Sand Banks Parkville 1 Beds 77 Beds 54 En-suite 100% (with showers) En-suite 100% (with showers) Built 2015 Built 2005 Private pay 40% Private pay 7% Roseville Parkville 2 (asset management opportunity) Beds 81 Beds 40 En-suite 50% (with showers) En-suite 100% (with showers) Built 2010 (+2012) Built 2005 Private pay 32% Private pay - 19

Market update Duncote The Lakes 20

A growing and undersupplied market Population over 85 forecast to double in next 20 years Capacity has declined over 20 years while market value has grown 10 9 8 7 6 5 4 3.6 million people over 85 14% 12% 10% 8% 6% 580,000 560,000 540,000 520,000 500,000 480,000 1996, 563,100 beds 2016: 15.7 billion 2017: 465,100 beds 17,000 15,000 13,000 11,000 3 2 1 0 1.5 million people over 85 6.3 million people aged 75-84 2014 2019 2024 2029 2034 2039 UK population aged 85 and over (million) 4% 2% 0% 460,000 440,000 420,000 1995: 9.3 billion 9,000 7,000 400,000 5,000 1990 1993 1996 1999 2002 2005 2008 2011 2014 2017 UK population aged 75-84 (million) People over 75 as % of total UK population Capacity - number of beds for elderly care in the UK (LHS) Annual spending on residential care for older people ( m) Moving average Source: ONS Source: Care of Older People, 27 th and 28 th Editions, LaingBuisson 21

Fees are rising faster than inflation The government has a legal obligation to provide care for the elderly A combination of rising demand, not enough supply and the need to reduce pressure on the NHS has led the government to announce a series of initiatives to increase funding for elderly care over the past two years: A Social Care Precept, under which local authorities can increase council tax levels by up to 2% for each year between 2016/17 and 2019/20 In December 2016, the government adjusted the Social Care Precept enabling local authorities to bring it forward by raising council tax by up to 3% in 2017/18 and 2018/19. The Treasury estimates this could produce an additional 2 billion a year by 2019/20 An improved Better Care Fund which will provide an additional 4.4 billion between 2017/18 and 2019/20 A new Adult Social Care Support Grant which will provide 240m to local authorities in 2017/18 9.60% 2,400,000 2,200,000 2,000,000 1,800,000 1,600,000 1,400,000 1,200,000 1,000,000 12.40% 12.40% South East South West 9.8 Increase in local authority budgets for elderly care: 2017/18 over 2015/16 actual spend East of England 15.90% 16.70% 17.20% 17.50% 17.90% 20.50% East Midlands North East Yorkshire West Midlands Bed blocking: hospital days lost through delayed transfers in NHS England London North West FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 National average elderly care fee increases 2017 versus 2016 11.9 6.3 5.2 Local authority Private 2 1 Sources: House of Commons Library; NHS England; and Christie % Co FOI (2017) and Operator Surveys (2016 and 2017) Max % Average % Min % 22

Investment opportunities Freeland House 23

The market opportunity A highly fragmented market 20% 13% 67% 6 operators with > 100 homes 14 operators with 15-100 homes Operators with < than 15 homes Category Yield range Multiple range Price per bed Super prime Best in class, high value location Prime Modern purpose built, fully compliant Tier 1 Older purpose built, single rooms Tier 2 Mixed converted/extended, part ensuite Obsolete Small low value conversions, compliance issues 4.25% - 4.75% > 12 > 250k 5.00% - 6.00% > 9 > 125k 6.00% - 7.50% > 7 > 70k 9.00% - 10.00% > 6 > 40k No market > 5 Up to 40k Specialist care > 5.50% > 8 N/A Hospitals prime 5.00% - 5.75% > 10 N/A Sources: CBRE United Kingdom healthcare: demand dramatically outstripping supply, December 2017; and Laing Buisson 2016 24

Investment opportunities Impact Health Partners, the Company s Investment Adviser, is reviewing potential acquisition opportunities which together comprise over 23,000 beds Seeking portfolios with new tenants who can demonstrate they: Have a consistent track record of delivering high quality care, demonstrated by regulatory performance (CQC) Are financially strong with good levels of EBITDARM margin and hence sustainable rent cover Can identify opportunities to enhance and reposition homes through well-planned capex Want to expand their businesses in partnership with a supportive landlord Preference for portfolios over single assets: Potential to reduce NAV drag through reduced level of SDLT Can negotiate lower entry valuations Will consider single asset transactions in order to establish relationship with a new tenant The Investment Adviser is confident that, through taking a selective and disciplined approach to acquisitions, it will deliver growth which is accretive and will be announcing further acquisitions shortly 25

Conclusion and outlook Littleport Grange 26

Delivery against objectives Investment objective Status Impact portfolio Our target dividend for the first 12 months from admission equates to a yield of 6% per annum on the issue price, on an ungeared basis. We aim for our dividends to be covered by ordinary earnings. We have a conservative gearing policy. Borrowings as a percentage of our gross assets may not exceed 35% LTV at the time of drawdown. After acquiring the seed portfolio and some of the optional assets, we targeted annual rent receivable from our initial tenants of between 11.0 million and 11.6 million. Minimise cash drag. We manage risk by owning a diversified portfolio, with no single asset exceeding 15% of the Group's total gross asset value. We also manage risk by limiting our exposure to our tenants 'customers. No single customer paying for care provided in our assets can account for more than 15% of our tenants aggregate revenues. We grant leases that are linked to the Retail Prices Index (RPI), have an unexpired term of at least 20 years and are not subject to break clauses. We seek to amend any leases we acquire to obtain similar terms. We will not speculatively develop assets, which means we will not develop a property which has not been leased or pre-leased. We may invest in forward funding agreements or forward commitments to pre-let developments, where we will own the completed asset. We declared and paid three dividends totalling 4.5p per share for the three quarters to 31 December 2017 without using leverage, in line with our target. Paid and declared dividend 98% covered by adjusted earnings per share. The dividend on the original IPO share placement was fully covered by adjusted earnings per share, after excluding the impact of the November share placing, whose proceeds had not been invested by the period end. The Group was ungeared at 31 December 2017. We continue to engage with finance providers for debt facilities within these gearing limits and we are seeking to align this funding with future acquisitions. Our rent roll at the period end was 11.9 million, comprising 11.6 million base rent plus a further 0.3 million in relation to rent from funded capital improvements. We invested 95% of our net IPO proceeds within two months of admission, with cash rent calculated from the admission date. 98% invested by June and committed the remainder to fund income-increasing asset management initiatives. We raised a further 32.6 million in November 2017 and committed to an acquisition of 234 beds for 17.0 million in January 2018. Other acquisitions are being actively pursed. The largest single asset is Freeland, which was valued at 11.69 million at the period end, equating to 7.5% of our gross asset value. The largest single customer paying for care represents only 8.2% of the aggregate revenues of the tenant which leases the assets. The initial portfolio is leased on 20-year terms, with no break clauses and upwardonly rent increases at RPI, with a floor of 2% and a cap of 4%. The portfolio acquired from Prestige Care Group after the period end (see the Investment Advisers Report) is let on substantially similar terms. We did not undertake any speculative development in the period. The 92 additional beds approved during the period, for development at existing assets, will enhance our rental income under a forward funding agreement through which we fund the tenant s capital expenditure at a cost to the tenant of 8% per annum. 27

Outlook Market fundamentals are supportive: growing and undersupplied market that is highly fragmented Current tenants have an established track record of providing quality care Attractive target returns: 6% p.a. target dividend with potential for NAV growth from asset management initiatives Strong and long-term lease structure: 20 years with option to extend; no break clauses; annual, upwards only rent reviews at RPI with a floor and cap of 2%/4% Selective, low risk asset management potential to current portfolio and Prestige Growth in the rent roll: the first rent uplift on the seed portfolio came into effect on 7 March 2018, increasing rent from 11.9 million to 12.4 million; Prestige will add a further 1.2 million to the rent roll Gearing opportunities are being advanced but will remain within the conservative investment policy parameters (maximum 35% LTV) Good potential for accretive growth through selective and disciplined acquisitions 28

Q & A Westhaven Freeland Littleport Grange Littleport Grange Duncote The Lakes Duncote Hall 29