The governance-natural resources nexus has been intensely debated in recent decades, and many economists have highlighted the intrinsic role played

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Transcription:

The governance-natural resources nexus has been intensely debated in recent decades, and many economists have highlighted the intrinsic role played by institutions and good governance practices in escaping the resource curse (Barro 1991; Sachs-Warner, 1995; Barro and Sala-i-Martin, 1995; Sala-i-Martin, 1997; Mehlum et al., 2006; Robinson et al, 2006). According to Elbra (2013) the resource curse can be perceived as

A- The Natural Resource Trap: How Much Do Governance and Institutions Matter? B- Diversification: A Way Out of The Resource Curse, But What About The Main Binding Constraints Facing This Process? C- The Triptych Good Governance-Diversification-Economic Growth: Is Natural Resource Wealth a Boon or a Bane?

Table 1. Empirical Evidence on the Link between Resource Curse, Institutional Quality and Economic Growth Source: Constructed By Authors

Table 1. Empirical Evidence on the Link between Resource Curse, Institutional Quality and Economic Growth Source: Constructed By Authors

3.1. Oil Rents and Challenges Confronting Oil-Abundant MENA Countries.

3.2. Economic Growth in Oil-Abundant MENA Countries

3.3. Good Governance in Oil-Abundant MENA Countries

A. Data The present paper aims, on the one hand, to test the impact of oil rents on economic growth and examine the main symptoms of the resource curse phenomenon in oil-abundant MENA countries, and on the other hand, to investigate the role of governance in avoiding the resource curse and turning oil rents into a tool for economic diversification in 11 MENA oil exporters (Algeria, Bahrain, Iran, Iraq, Kuwait, Libya, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates, and Yemen) over the period 1996-2017, this time period has been chosen on the basis of data availability for the following variables: GDP: GDP per capita growth (annual %) is used as a proxy for economic growth, from the World Development Indicators database. OILR: Oil rents (% of GDP) (they represent the difference between the value of crude oil production at world prices and total costs of production), from the World Development Indicators database. AGR: Agriculture, value added (% of GDP), from the World Development Indicators database.

IND: Industry, value added (% of GDP), from the World Development Indicators database. SER: Services, etc., value added (% of GDP), from the World Development Indicators database. DIV: The export diversification index indicates whether the export structure of each country or country grouping differs from the world patterns, this index takes values between 0 (a high degree of diversification) and 1(a low degree of diversification), the data are from UNCTAD's database. CONC: The export concentration index shows how exports of individual countries or country groupings are concentrated on several products or otherwise distributed in a more homogeneous manner among a series of products, this index takes values between 0 (minimum concentration) and 1 (maximum concentration), the data are from UNCTAD's database. GI: presents the Governance Index which is constructed as a simple average of the following World Bank s Worldwide Governance Indicators: Voice and Accountability (VA), Political Stability and Absence of Violence (PSAV), Government Effectiveness (GE), Regulatory Quality (RQ), Rule of Law (RL), Control of Corruption (CC), these indicators range from -2.5 (bad) to 2.5 (good), the data are from the World Bank's Worldwide Governance Indicators (WGI) database. EF: Economic Freedom is used as a proxy for economic institutions, introduced by Heritage Foundation and Wall Street Journal, this indicator is graded on a scale of 0 (repressed) to 100 (free).

B. Analysis of Empirical Results Source: Author's Computation Using Eviews 8.0.

Source: Author's Computation Using Eviews 8.0.

In a nutshell, the enhancement of MENA oil-exporters good governance capabilities is the way out of the resource curse because it is the only mediator that can reconcile the twin goals of diversifying economic activity and yielding benefits from oil endowment, hence turning oil wealth into a boon, or more simply put, the building up of good governance can offer these oil-abundant countries more opportunities for economic diversification and give them much greater immunity to resource trap and thereby can enable them to generate robust and sustainable economic growth.

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