Norwegian Finans Holding ASA

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Transcription:

Norwegian Finans Holding ASA Fourth quarter 2017 results presentation Tine Wollebekk, CEO February 28, 2018 Pål Svenkerud, CFO

Agenda 1. Performance and events 2. Fourth quarter 2017 results 3. Market update 4. Summary 2

Fourth quarter 2017 highlights Strong growth Stable high profitability Post-tax earnings of 443 MNOK in Q4 and 1,605 MNOK for 2017 Strong loan growth of 2.5 BNOK in Q4 and 9.5 BNOK during 2017 66,000 new customers 1,233,000 customers total, increase of 292,000 in 2017 Stable net interest margin and cost income ratio Solid credit quality High profitability - ROE 36.4% (MNOK) 3 500 3 000 2 500 2 000 1 500 1 000 500 0 Quarterly loan growth Earnings related to stake in Visa Norway excluded in Q416 50% Q4 16 Q1 17 Q2 17 Q3 17 Q4 17 500 400 300 200 100 Quarterly earnings Annualized return on equity and assets 0 Q4 16 Q1 17 Q2 17 Q3 17 Q4 17 Portfolio sale adjustment 5% 40% 4% 30% 3% Resilient balance sheet Strong 17.0% CET1 capital ratio Immaterial impact from IFRS 9 adoption 20% 10% 0% 39.5% 40.0% 39.1% 39.2% Q4 16 Q1 17 Q2 17 Q3 17 36.4% Q4 17 2% 1% 0% ROA ROE Bank Norwegian AS ROE and ROA in Q4 16 adjusted for the proceeds from stake in Visa Norway 3

Agenda 1. Performance and events 2. Fourth quarter 2017 results 3. Market update 4. Summary 4

Fourth quarter 2017 earnings were 443 MNOK, up 9 MNOK compared with the third quarter Norwegian Finans Holding Group MNOK Q4 17 Q3 17 Interest income 1,152.4 1,069.8 82.6 8 % Interest expenses 137.5 132.1 5.4 4 % Net interest income 1,014.9 937.7 77.2 8 % Commission and bank services income 121.0 104.4 16.5 16 % Commission and bank services expenses 63.6 55.3 8.3 15 % Net change in value on securities and currency -3.4 0.7-4.0 n/m Net other operating income 54.0 49.9 4.2 8 % Total income 1,068.9 987.5 81.4 8 % Personnel expenses 20.5 18.7 1.8 10 % General administrative expenses 245.2 229.6 15.6 7 % Ordinary depreciation 11.8 10.4 1.4 14 % Other operating expenses 12.1 11.0 1.0 9 % Total operating expenses 289.6 269.8 19.9 7 % Provision for loan losses 199.1 140.9 58.2 41 % Profit on ordinary activities before tax 580.2 576.9 3.3 1 % Tax charge 140.4 144.4-4.0-3 % Profit on ordinary activities after tax 439.8 432.4 7.3 2 % Earnings per share (NOK) 2.36 2.32 Change Net interest income growth driven by strong loan growth Net fee income increased due to higher credit card activity and one-off network incentives Increased marketing expenses 50 MNOK gain on sale of NPL s in Norway reflected in provisions in the third quarter Stable provision levels ROE* was 36.4% MNOK Q4 17 Q3 17 Change Profit after tax 439.8 432.4 7.3 2 % Change in fair value for assets held for sale, after tax 3.1 1.5 1.6 n/m Comprehensive income for the period 442.8 433.9 8.9 2 % * Bank Norwegian AS 5

Earnings for the full year 2017 were 1,605 MNOK, compared with 924 MNOK in 2016 Norwegian Finans Holding Group MNOK 2017 2016 Interest income 4,172.7 2,791.1 1,381.6 49 % Interest expenses 502.2 337.6 164.6 49 % Net interest income 3,670.5 2,453.5 1,217.0 50 % Commission and bank services income 400.0 246.6 153.4 62 % Commission and bank services expenses 211.1 119.4 91.7 77 % Net change in value on securities and currency 7.5 74.1-66.6-90 % Net other operating income 196.4 201.4-5.1-3 % Total income 3,866.8 2,654.9 1,211.9 46 % Personnel expenses 75.0 66.0 9.0 14 % General administrative expenses 906.3 773.5 132.8 17 % Ordinary depreciation 44.5 42.4 2.0 5 % Other operating expenses 45.5 46.9-1.4-3 % Total operating expenses 1,071.2 928.8 142.4 15 % Provision for loan losses 672.4 468.3 204.1 44 % Profit on ordinary activities before tax 2,123.2 1,257.8 865.4 69 % Tax charge 526.2 298.4 227.8 76 % Profit on ordinary activities after tax 1,597.1 959.4 637.6 66 % Earnings per share (NOK) 8.60 5.50 Change MNOK 2017 2016 Change Profit after tax 1,597.1 959.4 637.6 66 % Change in fair value for assets held for sale, after tax 8.1-35.4 43.5 n/m Comprehensive income for the period 1,605.2 924.0 681.2 74 % Net interest income growth driven by strong loan growth Net fee income increase due to first full year of credit card operations in Denmark and Finland and higher credit card activity Gain on sale of Visa shares in 2016 Increased sales expenses due to higher credit card activity Stable provision levels Gains on sale of NPL s in Sweden and Norway reflected in provisions in 2017 ROE* was 38.9% * Bank Norwegian AS 6

Strong growth in all markets Bank Norwegian AS Key figures Norway Sweden Denmark Finland MNOK Q4 17 Q3 17 Q4 17 Q3 17 Q4 17 Q3 17 Q4 17 Q3 17 Net interest income 504 490 14 177 164 12 100 86 15 234 198 36 Net other income 32 34-3 20 11 9 3 1 3-1 4-5 Total income 536 524 12 197 175 22 104 86 17 233 202 31 Total operating expenses 133 123 10 70 67 4 34 34-0 51 45 6 Provision for loan losses 56 9 47 44 44 1 48 37 11 52 51 0 Profit after tax 268 294-26 59 49 10 18 11 6 96 79 17 Comprehensive income 271 295-25 59 49 10 18 11 6 96 79 17 Net loans 16 562 16 031 531 5 718 5 289 429 3 122 2 668 454 7 049 6 147 902 Deposits 17 909 17 764 146 5 875 5 554 321 3 314 3 253 61 6 583 5 418 1 165 Net interest income reflects transfer pricing for internal funding No allocation of overhead expenses 7

Resilient balance sheet MNOK 45,000 Assets 1,320 Cash & cash equivalents 40,000 1,455 1,825 8,860 Securities 35,000 30,000 25,000 20,000 1,155 4,464 6,309 1,127 6,568 7,097 8,186 7,795 8,365 8,321 9,176 Credit cards 1 Liquid assets comprise 24% of total assets 15,000 10,000 19,056 21,065 22,022 22,739 24,416 Consumer loans LCR 204% and NSFR 143% 5,000 0 MNOK 45,000 237 273 283 277 357 Q4 16 Q1 17 Q2 17 Q3 17 Q4 17 Liabilities & equity Intangibles and other assets Deposits grew 1,694 MNOK Stable deposit base 40,000 Deposits to loans ratio 1.04 35,000 30,000 500 MSEK bond issue in the fourth quarter 25,000 20,000 24,424 28,250 30,923 31,988 33,682 Deposits Total common equity to total assets equals 11.8% 15,000 10,000 5,000 8 0 2,045 2,052 2,295 1,799 510 821 834 1,831 654 275 475 475 475 542 275 3,318 4,143 4,839 5,267 5,703 Q4 16 Q1 17 Q2 17 Q3 17 Q4 17 2016 figures reclassified Bank Norwegian AS 1 Includes sales financing Debt securities issued Other liabilities Sub debt Equity & Tier 1 capital

Strong loan growth 800 600 400 200 0 200 800 600 400 200 0 Quarterly loan growth - MNOK 714 468 470 406 321 262 232 193 247 245 207 248 126 62 41-18 Norway Sweden Denmark Finland Norway Sweden Denmark Finland Installment loans Credit card Q3 17 Q4 17 Quarterly loan growth Local currency 406 321 262 272 247 181 203 141 158 49 59 48 56 10 23 21 Norway Sweden Denmark Finland Norway Sweden Denmark Finland Installment loans Credit card Q3 17 Q4 17 Total gross loans increased 2,532 MNOK, compared with 1,243 MNOK in the third quarter, reflecting sale of NPL s in the third quarter Installment loans rose 1,677 MNOK and credit card loans grew 855 MNOK Installment loan sales were 2,892 MNOK, compared with 2,756 MNOK in the previous quarter Installment loan run-off was 1,580 MNOK, compared with 1,444 MNOK in the third quarter Positive currency impact in the fourth quarter vs. negative effect in the third quarter Agent distribution resumed in the fourth quarter High share of recurring business Growth figures for Q3 17 are adjusted for sale of NPL 9

Stable yields and margins 14% 12% 10% 8% 6% 4% 2% 0% 16% 14% 12% 10% 8% 6% Margins as a % of average assets 11.6 % 11.7 % 11.0 % 10.7 % 10.9 % 10.3 % 10.3 % 9.7 % 9.6 % 9.4 % 8.3 % 8.1 % 8.0 % 8.0 % 7.7 % 1.3 % 1.4 % 1.3 % 1.3 % 1.3 % Q4 16 Q1 17 Q2 17 Q3 17 Q4 17 Asset yield and cost of deposits 14.6 % 14.6 % 14.6 % 14.5 % 14.7 % 13.0 % 13.0 % 12.9 % 12.6 % 12.8 % 11.8 % 11.5 % 12.0 % 12.1 % 11.7 % Interest income Net interest margin Risk-adjusted margin Interest expenses Installment loan yield Credit card loan yield Risk-adjusted total loan yield 4% 2% 10 1.9 % 1.9 % 1.8 % 1.4 % 1.4 % 1.4 % 1.6 % 1.4 % 1.6 % 1.4 % 1.3 % 1.3 % 1.1 % 1.0 % 1.0 % 0% Q4 16 Q1 17 Q2 17 Q3 17 Q4 17 2016 figures reclassified Debt securities cost Deposit costs Liquidity yield

High operating efficiency MNOK 330 300 270 240 Quarterly operating expenses 0.40 0.35 0.30 Increased advertising spend and card activity IT cost savings 210 180 150 178 174 168 187 202 0.25 0.20 Cost income stable at 0.27 120 0.15 90 60 30-14 19 16 18 20 35 31 32 36 39 21 22 26 17 16 11 11 11 10 12 Q4 16 Q1 17 Q2 17 Q3 17 Q4 17 Depreciation IT Other Personnel Marketing Cost/income 0.10 0.05 0.00 Bank Norwegian AS 2016 figures reclassified The cost/income ratio excludes net proceeds from Visa Norway 11

Solid credit metrics 8.0 % Non-performing loans to loans 5.0 % Loan loss provisions to average loans 7.0 % 6.0 % 5.0 % 4.0 % 3.0 % 4.1 % 4.6 % 4.1 % 4.7 % 5.7 % 4.0 % 3.0 % 2.0 % 2.6 % 2.8 % 2.3 % 1.7 % 2.7 % Low NPL levels due to portfolio sales and unseasoned portfolios 2.0 % 1.0 % 0.0 % Q4 16 Q1 17 Q2 17 Q3 17 Q4 17 1.0 % 0.0 % Q4 16 Q1 17 Q2 17 Q3 17 Q4 17 NPL s expected to rise to normalized levels 5.0 % 4.0 % 3.0 % 2.0 % 2.5 % Loan loss allowance to loans 2.8 % 2.7 % 2.4 % 3.0 % 140% 120% 100% 80% 60% Loan loss allowance to non-performing loans 73.2 % 69.4 % 69.0 % 60.7 % 56.8 % Solid provisioning and allowance coverage demonstrated by gains on portfolio sales and immaterial impact from IFRS 9 adoption 40% 1.0 % 20% 0.0 % Q4 16 Q1 17 Q2 17 Q3 17 Q4 17 0% Q4 16 Q1 17 Q2 17 Q3 17 Q4 17 Figures are not reclassified 12

Increasing risk absorption capacity 22% 20% 18% 16% 15.1 % 16.4 % Capital ratios 19.9 % 18.1 % 17.5 % 16.4 % 15.7 % 15.0 % 20.7 % 20.9 % 19.0 % 19.2 % 16.6 % 17.0 % Strong 17.0% CET1 capital ratio Minimum CET1 requirement 15.5% as of the end of the fourth quarter 14% 12% 10% 13.5 % 10.1 % 10.8 % 11.5 % 11.9 % 12.2 % Target capital ratios 16.0% CET1 capital 17.5% T1 capital 19.5% total capital 8% 6% Leverage ratio equals 12.2% 4% 2% Commencement of dividend payments expected in 2018 0% Q4 16 Q1 17 Q2 17 Q3 17 Q4 17 Common equity tier 1 Tier 1 capital Total capital Leverage ratio Bank Norwegian AS 2016 figures reclassified 13

Agenda 1. Performance and events 2. Fourth quarter 2017 results 3. Market update 4. Summary 14

Regulatory and economic update Debt register implementation In progress Interest rate ceiling Being debated Other local regulations FSA guidelines Deposit insurance Responsible lending Credit card surcharging abolished PSD2 GDPR RTS Main drivers of industry transformation GDP 2018 forecast +1.8% +2.8% +2.0% +2.5% Favorable labor market 15

Significant room for growth in all four geographies Norway Sweden Total household debt market, BNOK 3,160 100 Secured Unsecured Total household debt market, BSEK 3,870 150 Secured Unsecured Market share unsecured debt BN DNB Others 640 150 Market share unsecured debt BN Others Denmark 350 Finland Total household debt market, BDKK 2,350 70 Secured Unsecured 90 x Customers, thousand Total household debt market, BEUR 119 9 Secured Unsecured Market share unsecured debt BN Others Market share unsecured debt BN Others 16

Profitability driven by focused high margin business model in combination with a number of key success factors Cost-effective operations Effective risk selection Strong brand & synergies with Norwegian Attractive customer terms Closeness & understanding of customer needs Convenience driven by leading digital solutions ROE Bank Norwegian 17

Consumer driven banking Investments Rewards Travel & leisure Payment and invoice solutions Loans 1.2 million customers Insurance Credit cards Account information Savings Health services Our customers executed 2.6 transactions per second, and logged in to the app ~2 million times during Q4 18

Agenda 1. Performance and events 2. Fourth quarter 2017 results 3. Market update 4. Summary 19

Well positioned for continued earnings growth Earnings growth and strong returns Continued customer and loan growth Stable margins Cost-efficient operations Stable credit quality Strong Nordic economies Favourable unemployment outlook Immaterial impact from IFRS 9 adoption Resilient balance sheet Strong liquidity position Adequate capital for growth Commencement of dividend payments expected in 2018 20

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Appendix 22

Quarterly balance sheet Norwegian Finans Holding Group MNOK 31.12.17 30.9.17 Change Assets Deposits with the central bank 66 0 % 62 0 % 4 6 % Loans and deposits with credit institutions 1,261 3 % 1,769 4 % -509-29 % Loans to customers 32,452 75 % 30,135 74 % 2,316 8 % Certificates and bonds 8,860 21 % 8,365 21 % 495 6 % Financial derivatives 2 0 % 3 0 % -1-41 % Shares and other securities 0 0 % 0 0 % - 0 % Assets held for sale 33 0 % 30 0 % 3 10 % Intangible assets 115 0 % 116 0 % -1-1 % Deferred tax asset 16 0 % 8 0 % 7 89 % Fixed assets 1 0 % 1 0 % -0-7 % Receivables 195 0 % 124 0 % 71 58 % Total assets 43,000 100 % 40,614 100 % 2,386 6 % Liabilities and equity Deposits from customers 33,682 78 % 31,988 79 % 1,694 5 % Debt securities issued 2,242 5 % 2,040 5 % 202 10 % Financial derivatives 52 0 % 11 0 % 41 n/m Taxes payable 526 1 % 382 1 % 144 38 % Other liabilities 159 0 % 285 1 % -126-44 % Accrued expenses 150 0 % 155 0 % -4-3 % Subordinated loan 475 1 % 475 1 % 0 0 % Total liabilities 37,286 87 % 35,336 87 % 1,950 6 % Share capital 187 0 % 187 0 % - 0 % Share premium reserve 971 2 % 971 2 % - 0 % Tier 1 capital 635 1 % 635 2 % - 0 % Retained earnings and other reserves 3,921 9 % 3,485 9 % 436 13 % Total equity 5,714 13 % 5,278 13 % 436 8 % Total liabilities and equity 43,000 100 % 40,614 100 % 2,386 6 % 23

Top 20 shareholders SHAREHOLDER # OF SHARES 1 NORWEGIAN AIR SHUTTLE ASA 30,623,739 2 GOLDMAN SACHS & CO. NOMINEE 15,436,944 3 DANSKE BANK AS 8,466,544 4 FOLKETRYGDFONDET 7,344,261 5 BRUMM AS 6,739,432 6 GREEN 91 AS 6,313,434 7 STENSHAGEN INVEST AS 4,551,416 8 JPMORGAN CHASE BANK NOMINEE 4,366,030 9 SNEISUNGEN AS 4,076,841 10 SWEDBANK ROBUR SMÅBOLAGSFOND 4,038,634 11 BANQUE DEGROOF PETERCAM NOMINEE 3,425,999 12 BANQUE DEGROOF PETERCAM NOMINEE 2,897,486 13 KM AVIATRIX INVEST AS 2,790,635 14 MP PENSJON PK 2,740,995 15 GKB INVEST AS 2,640,635 16 TORSTEIN TVENGE 2,500,000 17 SONGA AS 2,083,120 18 JPMORGAN CHASE BANK NOMINEE 1,922,751 19 CLEARSTREAM BANKING NOMINEE 1,837,175 20 VERDIPAPIRFONDET PARETO INVESTMENT 1,617,000 Top 20 116,413,071 Total 186,688,897 As of February 27, 2018 Management holds 1.4% of shares outstanding 24