Q2 FY 19. Industry Update & Key Performance Highlights. 13 th November, 2018

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Transcription:

Q2 FY 19 Industry Update & Key Performance Highlights 13 th November, 2018

This presentation may contain certain forward looking statements concerning JSPL s future business prospects and business profitability, which are subject to a number of risks and uncertainties and the actual results could materially differ from those in such forward looking statements. The risks and uncertainties relating to these statements include, but are not limited to, risks and uncertainties regarding fluctuations in earnings, our ability to manage growth, competition (both domestic and international), economic growth in India and the target countries for exports, ability to attract and retain highly skilled professionals, time and cost over runs on contracts, our ability to manage our international operations, government policies and actions with respect to investments, fiscal deficits, regulations, etc., interest and other fiscal costs generally prevailing in the economy. Past performance may not be indicative of future performance. We do not undertake to update our forward-looking statements. This presentation is not intended, and does not, constitute or form part of any offer, invitation or the solicitation of an offer to purchase, otherwise acquire, subscribe for, sell or otherwise dispose of, any securities in JSPL or any of it s subsidiary undertakings or any other invitation or inducement to engage in investment activities, neither shall this presentation nor the fact of it s distribution form the basis of, or be relied on in connection with, any contract or investment decision. Few numbers in this presentation are purely indicative & provisional and could change later. 2

Q2 FY 19 INDUSTRY UPDATE BRIEF BACKGROUND OPERATIONAL PERFORMANCE 3

Global Steel Production Increased Significantly India remains the second biggest producer of steel in the world 1286 1347 4.6% 9m CY17 9m CY18 Y-o-Y Growth 659 699 6% 75 6% 1% 80 78 79 61 64 5% World #1 #2 #3 #4 China India Japan USA > Finished Steel Demand likely to remain robust CY18 %age CY19 %age World 1659 3.9% 1681 1.4% China 781 6%* 781 00% India 95.4 7.5% 102.3 7.3% Global Steel Capacity Utilization improved 80% 77% 74% 73% 70% 69% 72% 74% 78% 79% 10 % Middle East 54.5 2.1% 55.1 1.2% ASEAN 73.7 3.8% 78.3 6.2% *disparity comes from an underestimation of 2017 steel use that had been supplied by the illegal induction furnaces Source: WSA/JSPL Estimates CY11 CY12 CY13 CY14 CY15 CY16 CY17 Q1 Q2 CY18 CY18 Sept '18 4

Indian Steel Industry: Major Highlights Fig in Mt 49.3 6% 52.3 Crude Production The Crude steel production grew by 6% during H1 FY 19 (y-o-y) The Primary producers grew by 10% Finished Steel Consumption 44.2 7.8% 47.7 Finished Steel Consumption Grew up by 8% during H1 FY 19 Carbon Steel Consumption grew by 6.3% While Alloy Steel Consumption grew by 22.6% Imports 4.318 16% 4.00 Imports grew by 16% during H1 FY 19 (y-o-y) Korea (33%), China (18%) & Japan (16%) remain the biggest exporters to India Imports were hindered by Rupee depreciation 4.85 16% 3.14 Exports Exports decreased by 16% during H1FY 19 India Became the Net Importer of Steel during H1 FY 19 Source: JPC 5

Construction Growth (%) Construction GVA (Rs. Tn) Domestic Steel Demand: Robust Sectoral Outlook > Railways Growth > Construction Growth 10.6% 7.7% 7.2% 7.1% 7.5% 7.5% 6.0% 6.5% 6.1% 20.0 18.0 16.0 14.0-7.9% CY14 CY15 CY16 CY17 CY18f CY19f > On-going freight corridor and metro rail projects will continue to support the demand in railway sector > In addition, development of last-mile rail connectivity of ports with the investments of over Rs. 150 Bn are currently in various stages of implementation 4.5% 3.0% 1.5% 0.0% 3.6% 3.7% 3.0% 1.9% 8.3 8.6 8.9 9.6 10.2 9.0 CY14 CY15 CY16 CY17 CY18f CY19f 12.0 10.0 8.0 6.0 4.0 2.0 0.0 > Capital Goods Growth 4.9% 1.8% 3.8% 0.5% 7.0% CY14 CY15 CY16 CY17 CY18f CY19f 7.0% > Infrastructure push and rising manufacturing capacity utilization to boost construction equipment segments > Plans to allocate a defence budget of $620 billion to promote defence manufacturing. > Construction sector likely to maintain current momentum with gradual revival in private investments > Government driven infrastructure programs are driving most of the growth > Rise in new launches and sales indicate revival in real estate segment > Most of the builders are now focusing on affordable housing segment due to healthy demand in the segment Source: PIB, CMIE, CRISIL, IMF, World Bank, JSPL Estimates 6

Indian Domestic Carbon Steel Demand Domestic Carbon Steel Market Size Continue to Expand Fig in Mt Category Consumption (FY 18) Growth (y-o-y) Consumption (H1 FY 19) Growth (y-o-y) Long Carbon Steel Bars & Rods 34.4 2.2% 18 11% Structurals 8.0 2.2% 4.0 6.8% Rly. Materials 1.23 17.3% 0.62 (5.4)% Plate 5.13 (0.4)% 2.7 (0.3)% Flat Carbon Steel HRC/Skelp 16.4 20% 7.3 5.1 CR Sheets/Coils 3.3 (25)% 2.6 (8)% GP/GC 7.6 14% 3.6 14% Finished Carbon Steel 81.8 6.3% 42.5 5.3% Indian Steel Demand Outlook: India s Finished Steel demand could Grow by 7.5% & 7.3% in CY2018 & CY2019 respectively Source: WSA/JPC 7

INDUSTRY UPDATE STEEL SECTOR 8

Oct-17 Nov-17 Dec-17 Jan-18 Feb-18 Mar-18 Apr-18 May-18 Jun-18 Jul-18 Aug-18 Sep-18 Oct-18 Nov-18 Jan-18 Feb-18 Mar-18 Apr-18 May-18 Jun-18 Jul-18 Aug-18 Sep-18 Oct-18 Nov-18 Raw Material Price Trend Prime Low Vol Hard Coking Coal ($/MT FOB Australia) IO Fines ($/MT) CFR China Odisha: IO Fines (63%) (INR/t) Pellet Prices (INR/t) 2750 2750 2650 3100 3700 6500 5650 5300 5900 6500 7500 8000 7600 1850 2050 Source: Platts/Steel Mint 9

Jan-18 Feb-18 Mar-18 Apr-18 May-18 Jun-18 Jul-18 Aug-18 Sep-18 Oct-18 Nov-18 Jan-18 Feb-18 Mar- 18 Apr-18 May- 18 Jun-18 Jul-18 Aug- 18 Sep-18 Oct-18 Nov- 18 Jan-18 Feb-18 Mar-18 Apr-18 May-18 Jun-18 Jul-18 Aug-18 Sep-18 Oct-18 Nov-18 International Finished Product Price Trend International Price Trend Rebar : ($/MT FOB Turkey ) 596 Long product Long product price trend continue to soften in Middle East and African Markets 569 565 560 549 547 542 520 511 499 509 Plate Price Trend ($/MT FOB China) Wire Rod: ($/MT FOB China) 564 577 602 599 616 620 613 607 599 578 565 567 576 588 566 570 580 572 584 590 577 558 Source: Platts/Steel Mint/ MB/ JSPL Research 10

INDUSTRY UPDATE POWER SECTOR 11

Power Exchange Prices RTC Power Exchange Prices W3 Area (Rs./kWh) 5.80 5.30 5.73 4.80 4.30 4.57 4.69 3.80 4.02 3.97 3.85 *Till 12 th Nov 18 3.30 2.80 2.30 1.80 1.30 3.68 3.68 3.68 3.45 3.33 3.19 3.22 3.20 3.06 2.36 2.67 2.65 2.50 2.05 2.55 2.05 2.35 2.25 2.13 1.892.19 1.86 2.20 2.03 2.06 2.05 2.11 1.90 1.97 2.01 2.06 1.86 1.91 1.98 1.77 1.84 1.72 1.76 1.74 1.80 Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec 2015 2016 2017 2018 Source: IEX 12

Installed Capacity in India as on Sep 18 196 193 45 45 35 33 25 25 24 15 21 20 Coal Hydro Wind Gas Solar Others Installed Capacity GW (Sep 18) Installed Capacity GW (Sep 17) Source: CEA 13

Q2 FY 19 INDUSTRY UPDATE BRIEF BACKGROUND OPERATIONAL PERFORMANCE 14

Business Segments Steel Power Global Ventures Current Capacities Domestic & Global 8.6 MTPA Steel* 3.11 MTPA* Iron ore 9 MTPA* Pellet Plant *Domestic **1000 MW Divestment announced IPP 3400MW** CPP 1634 MW 2 MTPA Steel Coal & Iron Ore Mines 15

Steel Capacities across Life Cycle Iron Making (9.95 MTPA) Liquid Steel (10.60 MTPA) Finished Steel (7.95 MTPA) DRI 3.12 Capacity MTPA in deail BF 5.33 MTPA HBI 1.50 MTPA SMS 10.60 MTPA WRM 0.60 MTPA RUBM 0.75 MTPA MLSM 0.60 MTPA Plate Mill 2.20 MTPA BRM 3.80 MTPA 16

Detailed plant wise capacities Raigarh (Chhattisgarh) BF 2.125 MTPA DRI 1.32 MTPA SMS 3.6MTPA Plate Mill 1.00 MTPA RUBM 0.75 MTPA MLSM 0.60 MTPA CPP 824 MW Angul (Odisha) CGP 225,000 Nm3/Hr BF 3.2 MTPA DRI 1.8 MTPA SMS 2.5 MTPA SMS 2.5 MTPA BRM 1.4 MTPA Plate Mill 1.2 MTPA Capacity in deail CPP 810 MW Barbil (Odisha) Pellet Plant 9 MTPA Patratu (Jharkhand) WRM 0.60 MTPA BRM 1.0 MTPA Oman HBI 1.5 MTPA SMS 2.0 MTPA BRM 1.4 MTPA JPL Tamnar 3400 MW Mining Iron Ore 3.11 MTPA Coal Overseas 6.60 MTPA Power Hot Metal Liquid Steel Finished Steel *Plant capacities shown above are completed but not all are commissioned 17

Manifold Growth in the Last 5 Years FY 14 FY 18 Steel - India 3 MTPA 8.6 MTPA ~2.86x Power 1,000 MW 3400 MW 3.4x Oman 0 MTPA 2 MTPA Add Pellet 4.5 MTPA 9 MTPA ~2x All major capex completed scale of growth is approx. Three Times 18

potential for BIG LEAP FY18 Capacity (1) Production in FY18 Upside Potential Steel India Capacity 8.6 MTPA 4.02 MTPA 114% Steel Oman Capacity 2.0 MTPA 1.67 MTPA 20% Independent Power Capacity 3,400 MW 1237 MW 174% Pellet Capacity 9.0 MTPA 6.86 MTPA 31% Upside potential remains to be exploited 19

JSPL Standalone Key Financials (Figures in Rs. Crores) Parameter(in Crores of INR) Q2 FY 2018-19 Q1 FY 2018-19 Q2 FY 2017-18 %QoQ %YoY Turnover 6,849 6,734 3,668 +2% +87% EBITDA 1,452 1,645 784-12% +85% EBITDA % 21% 24% 21% Depreciation + Amortization 583 577 496 +1% +18% Interest 676 605 578 +12% +17% PBT (Before Exceptional) 194 463 (290) -58% -- Exceptional (255) -- 150 -- -- PBT 449 463 (440) -3% -- PAT 383 332 (255) +15% -- (Figures in Rs. Crores) Parameter(in Crores of INR) H1 FY 2018-19 H1 FY 2017-18 %YoY Turnover 13,583 7,041* +93% EBITDA 3,097 1,533 +102% EBITDA % 23% 22% Depreciation + Amortization 1,159 976 +19% Interest 1,281 1,111 +15% PBT (Before Exceptional) 657 (554) -- Exceptional (255) 150 -- PBT 912 (703) -- PAT 715 (433) -- *Adjusted for Excise Duty/GST Changes 20

JSPL - Power Capacities Independent Power Projects (IPP) Project Capacity (MW) Fuel Configuration Status Tamnar 1 * 1,000 Coal 4x250 MW Operational Tamnar 2 2,400 Coal 4x600 MW Operational Tamnar Raigarh Angul Captive power projects (within JSPL) Project Capacity (MW) Fuel Configuration Status DCPP, Raigarh 540 Coal 4x135 MW Operational IPP CPP JSPL, Raigarh 284 Coal & waste heat 1x24 MW (Waste heat) 2x55 MW 6x25 MW Operational Angul, Odisha 810 Coal 6 x135 MW Operational One of the largest thermal portfolios in India *Divestment announced 21

JINDAL POWER LIMITED 96.43% subsidiary of JSPL EUP -I 1000MW (4 X 250) EUP -II 1200MW (2 X 600) EUP -III 1200MW (2 X 600) 22

PPA Arrangements Project Buyer Type From Period To Quantum (MW) Tamnar II (Phase 1) Tamil Nadu Long Term Feb-14 Sep-28 400 Tamnar I Medium Term Sep-17 Aug-19 200 Tamnar II (Phase 1) Tamnar II (Phase 1) Tamnar II (Phase 1) Tamnar II (Phase 2) KSEB Chhattisgarh Long Term Jun-16 May-41 200 Long Term Oct-17 Sep-42 150 Long Term After commercial operation 60 of Unit and for complete life Long Term of plant 60 Over 30% of total capacity tied up * * Out of 3400 MW (IPP) 23

Key Contractual Arrangements for JPL Tamnar-I, 1,000 MW (EUP I) Tamnar-II - 1,200 MW (EUP II) Tamnar-II - 1,200 MW (EUP III) FSA Coal sourced through market purchase and e-auction Long term linkage from Mahanadi Coal Limited (MCL) and South Eastern Coalfields Limited (SECL) Coal sourced through market purchase and e-auction PPA Bilateral/short term/ exchange TNEB 200 MW TNEB 400MW CSEB 60MW KSEB 200MW CSEB 60MW KSEB 150MW Evacuation Open access available Open access available Open access available Raw materials, transmission & PPAs in place for achieving higher PLF 24

JPL Key Financials (Figures in Rs. Crores) Parameter(in Crores of INR) Q2 FY 2018-19 Q1 FY 2018-19 Q2 FY 2017-18 %QoQ %YoY Turnover 911 968 878-6% +4% EBITDA 302 314 345-4% -12% EBITDA % 33% 32% 39% Depreciation + Amortization 333 329 377 +1% -12% Interest 222 216 227 +3% -2% PBT (183) (163) (190) -- -- PAT (153) (134) (176) -- -- Cash Profit 150 167 187-10% -20% Generation (million units) 2,427 2,751 2,427-12% -- (Figures in Rs. Crores) Parameter(in Crores of INR) H1 FY 2018-19 H1 FY 2017-18 %YoY Turnover 1,879 1,958-4% EBITDA 616 813-24% EBITDA % 33% 42% Depreciation + Amortization 663 750-12% Interest 438 454-4% PBT (346) (252) -- PAT (287) (208) -- Cash Profit 317 497-36% Generation (million units) 5,178 5,613-8% 25

Summary of International Operations Shadeed, Oman 1.5 MT HBI, 2 MT SMS Plant & 1.4MTPA Rebar Mill an Integrated Steel Plant Mozambique, Africa Developing a 3 MTPA coal mine in Mozambique s coalrich Moatize region South Africa, Africa JSPL s Kiepersol Colliery produces Anthracite coal, sold domestically and internationally. Australia 60.3% stake in Wollongong Coal Ltd which comprises of two coking coal mines Wongawilli and Russel Vale 26

Holding structure for global operations Jindal Steel & Power Ltd Listed Operating Entity in India Jindal Steel & Power (Mauritius) Ltd Holding company for overseas business Oman Australia South Africa Mozambique 2 MTPA Steel plant Coking Coal Anthracite Coal Thermal/ Coking Coal 27

JSPL Consolidated Key Financials (Figures in Rs. Crores) Parameter(in Crores of INR) Q2 FY 2018-19 Q1 FY 2018-19 Q2 FY 2017-18 %QoQ %YoY Turnover 9,982 9,665 6,123 +3% +63% EBITDA 2,207 2,277 1,373-3% +61% EBITDA % 22% 24% 22% Depreciation + Amortization 1,031 1,040 998-1% +3% Interest 1,086 973 927 +12% +17% PBT (Before Exceptional) 91 264 (550) -65% -- Exceptional (255) -- 150 -- -- PBT 347 264 (699) +31% -- PAT 279 110 (499) +154% -- (Figures in Rs. Crores) Parameter(in Crores of INR) H1 FY 2018-19 H1 FY 2017-18 %YoY Turnover 19,648 11,792* +67% EBITDA 4,484 2,726 +64% EBITDA % 23% 23% Depreciation + Amortization 2,071 1,960 +6% Interest 2,059 1,827 +13% PBT (Before Exceptional) 355 (1,060) -- Exceptional (255) 150 -- PBT 610 (1,209) -- PAT 389 (921) -- *Adjusted - for Excise Duty/GST Changes - 28 28

Q2 FY 19 INDUSTRY UPDATE BRIEF BACKGROUND OPERATIONAL PERFORMANCE 29

Operational Performance Consolidated Steel Production Consolidated Steel Sales 1.19 1.16 1.15 1.30 1.27 1.32 1.39 1.72 1.65 1.67 1.11 1.08 1.16 1.31 1.15 1.27 1.36 1.66 1.61 1.75 1.60 1.60 1.40 0.46 0.43 0.38 1.40 0.48 0.42 0.47 1.20 1.00 0.35 0.28 0.31 0.42 0.39 0.36 0.43 1.20 1.00 0.33 0.27 0.32 0.39 0.34 0.43 0.42 0.80 0.80 0.60 0.40 0.84 0.88 0.84 0.91 0.90 0.89 0.97 1.26 1.22 1.30 0.60 0.40 0.78 0.81 0.84 0.92 0.81 0.83 0.94 1.18 1.19 1.28 0.20 0.20 0.00 0.00 Jindal Shadeed JSPL (Figures in Million Tonnes) Jindal Shadeed JSPL 30

Key Performance Highlights JSPL s Consolidated PAT increased by 154% Q-o-Q for Q2FY19 JSPL s Consolidated EBITDA increased by 61% Y-o-Y for Q2FY19 JSPL s Standalone PAT increased by 15% Q-o-Q for Q2FY19 JSPL s Standalone EBITDA increased by 85% Y-o-Y for Q2FY19 JPL Turnover increased from Rs. 878 Crs in Q2 FY18 to Rs. 911 Crs in Q2 FY19 JPL generation remained at similar levels of 2,427 units Y-o-Y 31

Key Priority for H2FY19 Asset Sweating Capacity Utilization: Speedy Angul Ramp Up Focus on Value Added Products across all segment of products Efficient Supply Chain to support Volume Growth Explore New Markets to support volume sales Employee Perspective Continued Focus on Employee engagement, Satisfaction & Retention Employee Motivation & Job Enrichment Customer Intimacy Continuous effort on Customer Centricity by establishing JSPL Brand, Trust & Service Completion of Railway Order Continuous identification of Operating Efficiency project and Implementation 32

Key Customers & Adding 33

ANGUL 34

RAIGARH 35

OMAN 36

For any information please contact: - Mr. Nishant Baranwal Head, Investor Relations Tel : +91 11-41462198 Mobile:+91 8800690255 Email: - nishant.baranwal@jindalsteel.com Ms. Shweta Bagaria Assistant Manager, Investor Relations Tel: +91-124-6612073 Mobile: +91 95995 53717 Email: shweta.bagaria@jindalsteel.com 37

THANK YOU 38