DnB NOR Group Results 2nd quarter August 2006

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Transcription:

DnB NOR Group Results 2nd quarter 2006

Contents Summary of results Important events in the second quarter of 2006 Analysis of the Group's results Profit and loss figures for the business areas Economic parameters and future prospects Slide 3-4 5-13 14-27 28-39 40-46 2

1st half 2006 results Pre-tax operating profit up 26 per cent to NOK 7.4 billion (5.9) Profit for the period up 28 per cent to NOK 5.7 billion (4.4) Ordinary expenses cut back to 49.3 per cent of income (52.7) Return on equity was 19.2 per cent (16.9) Earnings per share were NOK 4.21 (3.32) Figures for 1st half 2005 in parentheses. 3

2nd quarter 2006 results Pre-tax operating profit up 16 per cent to NOK 3.7 billion (3.2) Profit for the period up 19 per cent to NOK 2.9 billion (2.4) Ordinary expenses cut back to 50.5 per cent of income (52.9) Return on equity was 19.2 per cent (18.0) Earnings per share were NOK 2.11 (1.78) Figures for 2nd quarter 2005 in parentheses. 4

Important events Merger completed IT integration completed Process of moving branches into common premises completed New capitalisation policy approved Share repurchases initiated Svein Aaser to retire on 31 December 2006 Rune Bjerke to take over as group chief executive on 1 January 2007 5

Merger completed - 100 per cent of cost synergies attained NOK million 219 295 76 335 40 360 25 401 41 423 22 450 27 471 21 79 33 46 139 60 80 1Q04 2Q04 3Q04 4Q04 1Q05 2Q05 3Q05 4Q05 1Q06 2Q06 6

Merger completed staff reduction target reached No. of full-time positions 215 1 638 445 800 178 2003 2004 2005 2006 *) Total *) A reduction of 1 549 full-time positions as at 30 June, with an additional 89 full-time positions in the second half of 2006 7

Merger completed - 96 per cent of restructuring provisions utilised NOK million 651 150 158 1 794 835 Staff cuts IT Real estate Other Total 8

2nd quarter 2006 Strong growth in all business areas Strong growth in international operations Monchebank International branches International shipping DnB NORD Sweden 9

Strong growth in all business areas - pre-tax operating profit NOK million 2 754 3 092 12% growth 1st half 2005 1st half 2006 1 950 2 302 18% growth 1 1 181 788 50%growth 581 760 31% growth 158 229 162 45%growth Corporate Banking Retail Banking DnB NOR Markets Vital DnB NOR Asset Management DnB NORD 10

DnB NORD Assets (EUR 1 000) June 2006 June 2005 No. of branches June 2006 June 2005 No. of employees June 2006 June 2005 Lithuania Latvia Estonia Finland Denmark Poland Total 1 906 1 496 0 291 409 501 4 603 1 247 81 85 1 049 996 804 36 28 672 426 0 1 0 9 0 279 1 1 6 6 215 1 0 28 1 371 6 6 103 98 2 916 126 120 1 867 1 527 DnB NOR's home market DnB NORD's market NORD/LB's home market 11

Same logo for all DnB NORD offices 12

Increased activity in Sweden NOK million 30 June 2006 30 June 2005 Customer lending (2nd quarter average) 7 430 233 Assets under management First-half premium income in Vital 232 000 298 214 000 94 Operations in Sweden are expected to generate profits of NOK 300 million in 2006 13

Financial highlights 1st half 1st half Amounts in NOK million 2Q06 2Q05 2006 2005 Ordinary operating profit 3 408 2 857 7 126 5 704 Pre-tax operating profit 3 704 3 190 7 447 5 917 Profit for the period 2 851 2 392 5 700 4 438 Cost/income ratio (per cent) 50.5 52.9 49.3 52.7 Return on equity (per cent) 19.2 18.0 19.2 16.9 Earnings per share (NOK) 2.11 1.78 4.21 3.32 Total combined assets at end of period (NOK billion) 1 573 1 323 1 573 1 323 Core capital ratio at end of period (per cent) 1) 6.9 7.5 6.9 7.5 1) Including 50 per cent of profit for the period 14

Income statements 1st half 1st half Amounts in NOK million 2Q06 2Q05 2006 2005 Net interest income and credit commissions 3 781 3 412 7 403 6 711 Net other operating income 3 110 2 648 6 664 5 360 Total ordinary operating expenses 3 483 3 203 6 942 6 368 Ordinary operating profit 3 408 2 857 7 126 5 704 Other expenses 0 0 0 0 Pre-tax operating profit before write-downs 3 408 2 857 7 126 5 704 Net gains on fixed and intangible assets 151 455 163 472 Write-downs on loans and guarantees (145) 123 (158) 259 Pre-tax operating profit 3 704 3 190 7 447 5 917 Taxes 853 797 1 747 1 479 Profit for the period 2 851 2 392 5 700 4 438 15

Income statements Amounts in NOK million 2Q06 1Q06 4Q05 3Q05 2Q05 Net interest income and credit commissions 3 781 3 622 3 473 3 426 3 412 Net other operating income 3 110 3 555 3 222 3 139 2 648 Total ordinary operating expenses 3 483 3 459 3 183 3 160 3 203 Ordinary operating profit 3 408 3 718 3 512 3 404 2 857 Other expenses 0 0 153 0 0 Pre-tax operating profit before write-downs 3 408 3 718 3 359 3 404 2 857 Net gains on fixed and intangible assets 151 12 172 130 455 Write-downs on loans and guarantees (145) (12) (48) (79) 123 Pre-tax operating profit 3 704 3 743 3 578 3 613 3 190 Taxes 853 894 582 903 797 Profit for the period 2 851 2 849 2 996 2 710 2 392 16

Changes in net interest income Amounts in NOK million 2Q06 Change 2Q05 Net interest income 3 781 369 3 412 DnB NORD 156 156 - Monchebank 5 5 - Lending and deposit volumes 425 Lending and deposit spreads (201) Other (16) 17

Developments in average interest rate spreads Per cent 2.93 3-month NIBOR 2.24 2.27 2.51 2.60 2.09 2.19 2.12 2.16 2.14 Combined spread 1) 2) 2Q05 3Q05 4Q05 1Q06 2Q06 1) Combined spread for lending and deposits 2) Based on nominal values, excluding credit institutions and non-performing loans 18

Developments in average volumes NOK billion 596 618 651 699 727 1) 3) Lending (growth 2Q05-2Q06: 21.9%) 373 390 401 421 430 2) 3) Deposits (growth 2Q05-2Q06: 15.5%) 2Q05 3Q05 4Q05 1Q06 2Q06 1) Excluding DnB NORD and Monchebank: 699 2) Excluding DnB NORD and Monchebank: 420 3) Based on nominal values, excluding credit institutions and non- performing loans 19

Average volumes 1) Growth Growth Amounts in NOK billion 2Q05-2Q06 2Q05-2Q06 2Q06 2Q05 Mortgage loans within 60 per cent of collateral value 11% 31 306 275 Mortgage loans above 60 per cent of collateral value 9% 3 40 37 DnB NOR Kort 6% 1 11 10 Other Retail Banking 21% 4 25 21 Total Retail Banking 12% 39 382 342 Nordic Corporate Division and International Corporate and Institutions Division 34% 29 113 85 Shipping, Offshore and Logistics Division 31% 16 67 51 Regional Division East and Regional Division Coast 19% 20 126 106 Nordlandsbanken 2% 0 10 10 DnB NOR Finans 18% 4 23 20 Total Corporate Banking 25% 69 340 271 DnB NORD 28 28 - Other 5 4 (2) Total average lending 23% 142 754 612 1) Based on IFRS, including credit institutions and non-performing loans 20

Changes in net other operating income Amounts in NOK million 2Q06 Change 2Q05 Net other operating income 3 110 462 2 648 DnB NORD 80 80 - Monchebank 5 5 - Net commissions and fees 203 Net gains on equity investments 1) (117) Net gains on other financial instruments 246 Net financial and risk result from Vital 2) 74 Other income (29) 1) Including gains on the sale of Storebrand shares in 2005 2) Excluding guaranteed returns and allocations to policyholders, after eliminations 21

Changes in total operating expenses Amounts in NOK million 2Q06 Change 2Q05 Total operating expenses 3 483 280 3 203 DnB NORD 173 173 - Monchebank 9 9 - Performance-based pay 68 Pension expenses 81 IT investments 23 Wage settlements 19 Merger synergies (111) Other 19 22

1 0 0.0 9 0.0 8 0.0 7 0.0 6 0.0 5 0.0 4 0.0 3 0.0 2 0.0 Cost/income ratio 6 565 6 695 7 177 6 891 Total income 7 000 (NOK million) 6 060 6 500 6 000 5 500 5 000 4 500 52.9 48.1 47.5 48.2 50.5 Cost/income ratio 4 000 (per cent) 3 500 3 203 3 160 3 183 1) 3 459 3 483 Operating expenses 3 000 (NOK million) 2 500 2Q05 3Q05 4Q05 1Q06 2Q06 1) Excluding allocations to employee fund 23

Write-downs on loans and guarantees Income statement 1st half 1st half Amounts in NOK million 2Q06 1Q06 4Q05 3Q05 2Q05 2006 2005 New individual write-downs 251 257 43 173 275 508 588 Reassessments and recoveries 193 186 122 230 92 379 219 Individual write-downs 58 71 (79) (57) 183 129 369 Group write-downs (204) (83) 31 (22) (60) (287) (110) Total write-downs (145) (12) (48) (79) 123 (158) 259 24

Net non-performing and impaired commitments NOK billion Monchebank 9.8 DnB NORD 8.5 9.0 9.0 8.3 8.1 8.0 6.9 Net non-performing and impaired commitments As a percentage of net loans 5.7 5.8 5.6 4.9 4.9 4.8 4.6 0.60% 1 Jan. 31 March 30 June 30 Sept. 31 Dec. 31 March 30 June 30 Sept. 31 Dec. 31 March 30 June 30 Sept. 31 Dec. 31 March 2003 2004 2005 2006 30 June Pro forma accounting figures prior to 2005. 25

Loan-portfolio as at 30 June 2006 Fishing 1.4% Power and water supply 0.9% (0.7%) (1.4%) Other sectors 3.2% (3.9%) Retail customers 51.5% (56.1%) Building and construction 1.4% (1.2%) Transportation and communication 2.2% (2.3%) Oil and gas 1.1% (1.7%) Trade 4.3% (3.8%) Services 6.6% (5.3%) Manufacturing 4.0% (3.7%) Real estate 15.1% (13.7%) International shipping 8.3% (6.2%) Figures as at 30 June 2005 in parentheses 26

Balance sheets 30 June 31 March 31 December 30 June Amounts in NOK billion 2006 2006 2005 2005 Cash and lending to/deposits with credit institutions 104 71 62 66 Net lending to customers 765 727 698 622 Commercial paper, bonds etc. 216 208 198 184 Shareholdings, etc. 44 45 37 32 Fixed and intangible assets 35 35 34 30 Financial assets - customers bearing the risk 15 15 13 11 Other assets 43 37 39 47 Total assets 1 223 1 139 1 081 992 Loans and deposits from credit institutions 133 111 108 94 Deposits from customers 460 421 411 383 Borrowings through the issue of securities 282 262 237 207 Insurance liabilities - customers bearing the risk 15 15 13 11 Liabilities to life insurance policyholders 182 183 175 162 Other liabilities and provisions 60 57 53 58 Primary capital 91 90 84 76 Total liabilities and equity 1 223 1 139 1 081 992 Ratio of deposits to net lending (per cent) 60.1 57.8 58.9 61.6 27

Corporate Banking 1st half 1st half Amounts in NOK million 2006 2005 Net interest income - ordinary operations 3 126 2 729 Interest on allocated capital 364 230 Net interest income 3 490 2 959 Net other operating income 1 306 1 207 Total income 4 796 4 166 Operating expenses 1 748 1 607 Pre-tax operating profit before write-downs 3 049 2 559 Net gains on fixed and intangible assets 43 389 Net write-downs on loans (1) 194 Pre-tax operating profit 3 092 2 754 Net lending to customers (NOK billion) 330 267 Deposits from customers (NOK billion) 235 192 Cost/income ratio (per cent) 36.4 38.6 Ratio of deposits to lending (per cent) 71.3 71.9 Return on capital BIS (per cent) 17.0 17.9 Ranked as best Norwegian bank for large corporates by Greenwich Associates (November 2005) Increased market shares Strong increase in syndicated loan volume Loans totalling NOK 47 billion underwritten in first half, with NOK 26 billion syndicated 28

Strong performance in an active shipping market Profits of NOK 627 million in first half of 2006 More than 50 per cent increase from the year-earlier period Portfolio 110 new transactions and credit commitments of NOK 55 billion in the first half of 2006 Syndication of 29 loans totalling NOK 23 billion in the first half of 2006 Competes for top position as the arranger of syndicated loans to the shipping market (Dealogic) International 44 per cent Norway 56 per cent 29

Retail Banking 1st half 1st half Amounts in NOK million 2006 2005 Net interest income - ordinary operations 3 647 3 641 Interest on allocated capital 207 133 Net interest income 3 854 3 774 Net other operating income 1 560 1 405 Total income 5 414 5 179 Operating expenses 2 992 3 054 Pre-tax operating profit before write-downs 2 421 2 125 Net gains on fixed and intangible assets 0 (1) Write-downs on loans 119 175 Pre-tax operating profit 2 302 1 950 Net lending to customers (NOK billion) 376 338 Deposits from customers (NOK billion) 197 193 Cost/income ratio (per cent) 55.3 59.0 Ratio of deposits to lending (per cent) 52.4 57.0 Return on capital BIS (per cent) 22.3 21.9 More than 1 million customers subscribe to DnB NOR loyalty programmes and Postbanken product packages Four-year extension of the agreement with the Federation of Norwegian Professional Associations (around 130 000 members) New products introduced Credit, savings and insurance Mobile bank launched 30

Retail Banking - increase in number of loyalty programme customers Numbers in 1000 No. of loyalty programme customers, DnB NOR Retail Banking No. of Postbanken product packages 330 440 505 519 532 557 601 317 335 357 373 386 396 403 4Q04 1Q05 2Q05 3Q05 4Q05 1Q06 2Q06 31

DnB NOR Markets 1st half 1st half Amounts in NOK million 2006 2005 Net interest income - ordinary operations 124 111 Interest on allocated capital 41 23 Net interest income 166 134 Net other operating income 1 783 1 245 Total income 1 948 1 379 Operating expenses 768 591 Pre-tax operating profit before write-downs 1 181 788 Net gains on fixed and intangible assets 0 0 Write-downs on loans 0 0 Pre-tax operating profit 1 181 788 Cost/income ratio (per cent) 39.4 42.8 Return on capital BIS (per cent) 57.4 52.2 Rise in income in all areas, especially within equities trading, share issues and securities services "DnB NOR Eiendomsfond" launched (property investments) Increase in performancebased expenses and investments in information technology 32

DnB NOR Markets - a broad income base NOK million 1 948 354 243 105 175 1 379 162 387 Market making/trading revenues Securities services Corporate finance Investment products FX and interest rate derivatives 360 488 481 501 Total revenues according to IFRS and including interest on allocated capital First half 2005 First half 2006 33

Vital 1st half 1st half Amounts in NOK million 2006 2005 Interest result 3 765 2 178 Risk result (96) 7 Administration result (44) (67) Transferred to security reserve 0 (1) Profit for distribution in life insurance 3 625 2 119 Funds transferred to policyholders 2 862 1 536 Tax charge 0 (17) Profit in life insurance 763 601 + Profit in unit linked (10) (1) + Reversal of goodwill amortisation 11 0 = Profit for the period 764 600 Total assets (NOK billion) 1) 214 186 Return on capital (per cent) 2) 17.2 15.4 Leading position in mandatory occupational pension market High level of premium income; 42 per cent growth in individual market Strengthened market position 1) Assets at end of period 2) Calculated on the basis of recorded equity 34

Vital: Healthy trend in market shares in all segments Policyholders funds in per cent 59.2 59.6 31 Dec. 2003 31 March 2006 46.0 44.0 36.3 42.3 42.0 41.1 38.5 26.0 8.7 9.3 Defined-benefit Corporate market Defined-contribution Corporate market Public sector Endowment insurance Individual market Annuities and pensions Individual market Unit linked Individual market 35

DnB NOR Asset Management 1st half 1st half Amounts in NOK million 2006 2005 Commission income 553 474 Other income 32 17 Total income 585 491 Operating expenses 355 333 Pre-tax operating profit before write-downs 229 158 Net gains on fixed and intangible assets 0 0 Pre-tax operating profit 229 158 Assets under management (NOK billion) 1) 534 488 Assets under management (NOK billion) 2) 522 491 Cost/income ratio (per cent) 60.8 67.9 Return on capital (per cent) 3) 22.2 18.5 1) Average assets for the period 2) Assets at end of period 3) Calculated on the basis of recorded equity Strong asset management performance Higher market share in the Norwegian retail market in second quarter, up from 40.5 to 41.1 per cent 7.8 per cent increase in annual subscriptions under savings agreements Share of equity and balanced funds up from 31 to 36 per cent 36

DnB NOR Asset Management changes in assets under management NOK billion 22 13 31 1) 26 522 461 Assets under management 30 June 2005 Market changes Net inflow 1) NOK 30.5 billion represented termination of one investment mandate Exchange rate movements Assets under management 30 June 2006 37

DnB NORD Pro forma 1st half 1st half Amounts in NOK million 2006 2005 Net interest income 349 237 Net other operating income 151 122 Total income 500 359 Operating expenses 324 244 Pre-tax operating profit before write-downs 176 114 Net gains on fixed and intangible assets 5 0 Write-downs on loans 19 2 Pre-tax operating profit 162 112 Net lending to customers (NOK billion) 1) 30 19 Deposits from customers (NOK billion) 1) 11 8 Cost/income ratio (per cent) 64.8 68.1 Ratio of deposits to lending (per cent) 37.0 44.5 Return on capital BIS (per cent) 12.0 - All branches rebranded to Branch opened in Estonia DnB NOR's cash management system implemented in Denmark and Finland 1) Balances at end-period 38

DnB NORD - well diversified, high-quality loan portfolio Finance 1% Manufacturing 20% Retail 37% Other 4% Real estate 11% Trade 6% Transportation and communication 4% Services 2% Oil and gas 2% Power and water supply 3% Building and construction 4% Wood processing 5% 39

Good times The cyclical expansion in the Norwegian economy is continuing Profitability in the business sector is solid. Enterprises are borrowing and investing High oil prices are supporting strong growth in activity in Norway's coastal regions and among suppliers to the petroleum sector Export companies are benefiting from buoyant foreign markets Household demand is still on the rise and house prices are moving up Underlying inflation remains low Svein Gjedrem, Governor of Norges Bank, Inflation Report 2/2006 40

Good times for Norwegian manufacturing Norway: Manufacturing Tendency Survey, next quarter 2004Q4 2005Q1 2005Q2 2005Q4 2006Q1 2006Q2 Food, beverages, tobacco + (-) +/- + + + + Wood & products of wood ++ ++ ++ ++ ++ ++ Pulp & paper ++ -(+) - +/- + + Basic chemicals + -(+) + + + + Non-ferrous metals + +/- -(+) +(-) + ++ Engineering, total + ++ ++ ++ ++ ++ - Metal products ++ ++ ++ ++ ++ ++ - Machinery & equipment + ++ ++ ++ ++ ++ Electrical/optical equipment + ++ ++ ++ ++ ++ Offshore/transport goods + ++ ++ ++ ++ ++ ++ Very good + Good ~ Stable - Weak -- Quite weak - (+) Weak, but with certain positive indications +/- A situation where neg/pos factors even out Source: Statistics Norway 41

Good times for Norwegian households Debt and wealth in NOK billion, 2005 6 000 5 000 4 000 3 000 Other claims Securities Insurance reserves Notes, coins and bank deposits 2 000 Housing wealth 1 000 Other loans Mortgages 0 Debt Wealth Sources: Statistics Norway, ECON, FINN.no, Association of Norwegian Real Estate Agents (NEF), Association of Real Estate Agency Firms (EFF) and Norges Bank 42

House price growth in various countries Annual average percentage growth 16.4 2001-2005 2005 13.0 14.1 10.2 8.9 8.1 10.5 9.5 6.9 3.3 Denmark Norway Sweden USA United Kingdom Source: Reuters EcoWin 43

Nordic competitive terms Different treatment of insurance subsidiaries with respect to capital adequacy According to Swedish capital adequacy rules, DnB NOR would have a core capital ratio of 7.9 per cent 1) a return on equity of 21.3 per cent (based on a core capital ratio of 7.0 per cent) Important that the regulations for covered bonds are implemented clear competitive disadvantage for Norwegian banks 1) Including 50 per cent of interim profits 44

DnB NOR will strengthen its position through further streamlining of operations and innovation grow in Norway by strengthening and developing customer relations engaging in continuous product development grow internationally by further developing current operations comprising i. a. more than 700 000 retail customers outside Norway continuously consider new acquisitions create shareholder value through high profitability and effective capital management 45

A local presence and a full range of services are our strengths 46