American Shipping Company ASA. SB1Markets Stavanger Presentation

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Transcription:

American Shipping Company ASA SB1Markets Stavanger Presentation May 2018

Important information This Company Presentation is current as of May 2018. Nothing herein shall create any implication that there has been no change in the affairs of American Shipping Company ASA ("AMSC" or the "Company") since such date. This Company Presentation contains forward-looking statements relating to the Company's business, the Company's prospects, potential future performance and demand for the Company's assets, the Jones Act tanker market and other forward-looking statements. Forward-looking statements concern future circumstances and results and other statements that are not historical facts, sometimes identified by the words "believes", "expects", "predicts", "intends", "projects", "plans", "estimates", "aims", "foresees", "anticipates", "targets", and similar expressions. The forward-looking statements contained in this Company Presentation, including assumptions, opinions and views of the Company or cited from third party sources, are solely opinions and forecasts which are subject to risks, uncertainties and other factors that may cause actual events to differ materially from any anticipated development. 2

American Shipping Company (AMSC) AMSC Snapshot Fleet overview Established in 2005 Oslo listed with mcap. of USD ~200m* o o o OSE ticker: AMSC U.S. O ticker: ASCJF Bond ticker: AMTI01 Pure play Jones Act tanker owner with a modern tanker fleet Long-term bareboat leases generate stable, predictable cash flow Solid balance sheet with no debt maturities before Q4 2020 Exploring growth and diversification opportunities in the U.S. Jones Act market Admitted to OQX International to increase awareness and public profile among U.S. investors # Vessel Design Type Built 1 Overseas Houston Veteran Class MT 46 MR 2007 2 Overseas Long Beach Veteran Class MT 46 MR 2007 3 Overseas Los Angeles Veteran Class MT 46 MR 2007 4 Overseas New York Veteran Class MT 46 MR 2008 5 Overseas Texas City Veteran Class MT 46 MR 2008 6 Overseas Boston Veteran Class MT 46 MR 2009 7 Overseas Nikiski Veteran Class MT 46 MR 2009 8 Overseas Martinez Veteran Class MT 46 MR 2010 9 Overseas Anacortes Veteran Class MT 46 MR 2010 10 Overseas Tampa Veteran Class MT 46 Shuttle tanker 2011 * Market cap. based on closing share price of NOK 27.20 per May 9 th, 2018 3

Long Term Contracts Returning Stable Cash Flow American Shipping Company Bareboat charter to OSG s to blue chip charterers* 2009-19 2019 - Beyond Spot - 8yrs** Charters include S&P rating BBC BBC Options BBC BBC Options A BBC BBC BBC Options BBC Options A- BBC BBC Options BBC BBC Options AA- BBC BBC Options BBC BBC Options BBB+ BBC BBC** BBC Options BBC Opt. BB+ Bareboat Charter (fixed rate of USD ~88m/year) + DPO (fixed deferred charter hire, USD ~4m/year) + Profit Split (variable 50/50 sharing of profits) = Stable annual cash flows *Illustrative contract duration **Tampa was converted to a shuttle tanker and is on a 10 year BBC backed by a 10 year 4

Stable, Predictable Cash Flow Simplified illustration of AMSC s annual cash flow excluding profit share (USDm) 88 4 3 47 20.5 21.5 Fixed BBC Revenue Fixed DPO SG&A Bank Debt Service Bond Coupon Cash Flow to Equity 5

# vessels Integral Part of OSG s Fleet AMSC s tankers is a substantial part of OSG s fleet 25 20 2 2 AMSC is important to OSG OSG is a pure-play Jones Act company following its spin-off of its international fleet into International Seaways Inc. AMSC s 10 vessels are a core part of OSG s Jones Act tanker fleet 15 6 The AMSC fleet represent ~30% of all modern Jones Act tankers below 15 years (36 in total) 10 2 22 The AMSC fleet is the most cost-efficient modern fleet in the Jones Act tanker market due to favourable construction cost compared to newbuilds delivered today 5 10 0 AMSC owned MRs OSG owned MRs ATBs Lightering ATBs MSP tankers Total OSG controlled Avg. age: 9 8 41 7 9 18 6

Bareboat costs (USD/day) Competitive Position Reduces Re-Chartering Risk AMSC can offer charters at attractive levels due to substantially discounted acquisition costs 45 000 Cost Newbuild prices Transaction values 40 000 157 35 000 148 3) 30 000 142 5) 25 000 134 1) 134 2) 135 20 000 130 4) 15 000 10 000 5 000 107 - AMSC 8.0% 8.5% 9.0% 9.5% 10.0% 10.5% 11.0% Notes: Source: Annual bareboat costs given various total capital IRRs with newbuild cost @ USD 134m 1) Based on Philly Tankers 2) Based on newbuild cost for the tankers delivered to American Petroleum Tankers (Golden State excluded due to cost overrun) 3) New regulation adds NOx emission requirement that estimated will increase cost to USD 145-150m 4) Based on total consideration for 9 vessels, including additional expenses incurred by Kinder Morgan for taking delivery 5) Based on average price for 4 vessels Company materials 7

A Major Component of the Jones Act Fleet Jones Act tanker & ATB ownership based on carrying capacity 25% AMSC fleet AMSC fleet age vs. Jones Act Fleet 20% 20 15 10 16 11 9 15% 5 0 10% ATBs Tankers AMSC 5% 0% OSG Kinder Morgan Crowley Seacor Kirby Crowley Marathon US Shipping Chevron Bouchard Keystone Moran Genesis M.S.C Reinauer Source: Navigistics Wilson Gillette Report and AMSC Analysis Note: Carrying capacity expressed in barrels; includes newbuildings; excludes vessels in layup 8

Fully Financed until Q4-2020 Current debt structure (USD million) Aker Loan (USD20m) Senior unsecured bond (USD220m) Secured bank facility (USD 150m) Secured bank facility (USD300m) 636 7 220 131 278 Key terms on funding Bank debt Average weighted tenor: 6 years (80% of the loan amount with 5 year tenor and 20% with a 10 year tenor) Average weighted interest cost: Libor + 325 bps margin Total annual installments: Y1: USD 8.3m Y2-4: Y5: Unsecured bond USD 28.3m (annually) USD 44.3m (expect to refinance after year 4) 9.25% fixed rate, semi annual installments Senior unsecured debt with maturity Feb 2022 Ammortization commencing at 42 months of USD 20m per year Covenants include minimum cash, maximum debt restrictions and dividends incurrence test Q4 2017 Aker loan Accruing interest of 10.25% with maturity in 4Q 2020 Will be repaid by proceeds from Philly Tankers 9

Focus on Growth and Increased Visibility Fully Refinanced and Exploring Growth Senior debt refinanced in Q4-15 USD 220 million bond launched in Q1-17 First debt maturity in Q4-20 Shift in focus to explore growth opportunities with the aim to: - Diversify customer base - Vary lease maturities - Expand fleet - Enter new marine segments AMSC has access to different sources of capital interested in exploring Jones Act lending and investment opportunities Admitted to OQX U.S. ticker: ASCJF Ability to trade AMSC stock in USD through U.S. brokerage accounts Create awareness of AMSC among U.S. retail and professional investors Increase the availability of information about AMSC to create better transparency for U.S. investors Broadly distribute AMSC company updates across multiple financial / investing platforms Leverage value-added services of O Markets offered in connection with OQX, including online conferences, video interviews, and social media coverage 10

Overview of the Jones Act The Jones Act has been in place since 1920 The Jones Act generally restricts the marine transportation of cargo and passengers between points in the United States to vessels that meet the following criteria: - Built in the United States - Registered under the U.S. flag - Manned predominately by U.S. crews - At least 75% owned and controlled by U.S. citizens AMSC s operation in the Jones Act market is made possible by the lease finance exception of the Jones Act Essential feature of U.S. national security, ensuring non- dependency of ships controlled by foreign nations and is a vital part of the U.S. economy 100,000,000,000 USD 100bn contribution to the U.S. domestic economy 30,000,000,000 USD 30bn total investments in over 40,000 vessels 400,000 # jobs directly and indirectly impacted by the U.S. maritime industry Large U.S. employer Source: American Maritime Partnership and U.S. Maritime Administration 11

A Critical Part of Oil Majors Transportation Logistics Jones Act crude oil & products primary trade routes BAKKEN 3 Patoka, IL 5 2 PERMIAN Key US Oilfields Key Pipeline / rail Corpus Christi EAGLE FORD Barges 6 4 US GULF 1 1 Jones Act Tanker Routes: 1 Gulf Coast refineries to Florida and East Coast (Clean) 2 Mid-Atlantic to New England (Clean) 3 Alaska and Intra-west coast movements (Clean/Dirty) 5 Delaware Bay Lightening (Crude) 6 Shuttle tankers from deep water U.S. Gulf to Gulf Coast Refineries (Crude) 7 Crude from Corpus Christi, TX to LOOP (not shown) 4 Cross-Gulf movements (Dirty) 12

Majority of Fleet carry Clean Products Jones Act tanker fleet deployment by main trades (Tankers and ATBs) 1 % 24 % 3 % 8 % 18 % Idle MSC Chemicals West Coast Clean USG Crude Oil 46 % Source: Navigistics Wilson Gillette Report, Apr 2018 and AMSC analysis 13

Mbbl Stable Clean Product Volumes Seaborne products transport from Gulf Coast to East Coast is very consistent (Mbbls per month) 25 20 15 10 EIA update East Coast (PADD 1) receipts by Tanker and Barge from Gulf (PADD 3) Sources: EIA 14

jan-2013 mar-2013 mai-2013 jul-2013 sep-2013 nov-2013 jan-2014 mar-2014 mai-2014 jul-2014 sep-2014 nov-2014 jan-2015 mar-2015 mai-2015 jul-2015 sep-2015 nov-2015 jan-2016 mar-2016 mai-2016 jul-2016 sep-2016 nov-2016 jan-2017 mar-2017 mai-2017 jul-2017 sep-2017 nov-2017 jan-2018 mar-2018 Mbbl Crude Shipping Volumes Stabilizing Intra Gulf whilst Returning to Peak Levels on East Coast Intra PADD 3 Crude Oil Moves by Area of Loading, (KBD s) PADD 3 to PADD 1 Crude Oil Moves by Tanker and Barge (Mbbls per month) 6 5 4 3 2 1 0 JA USG loading of 600m bbls per day utilizes ~9 vessels for USG crude trade (assuming 5 days roundtrip) Volumes poised to recover Source: ClipperData March 2018, EIA, Marine Traffic and AMSC analysis PADD 3 to PADD 1 Tanker Crude Movements Volumes in East Coast trade is back to ~5 tankers, up from ~1 tanker during 2017 Volumes driven by spread in pricing of US oil vs international alternatives - Argus Houston vs. Bonny Light 15

feb. 16 mar. 16 apr. 16 mai. 16 jun. 16 jul. 16 aug. 16 sep. 16 okt. 16 nov. 16 des. 16 jan. 17 feb. 17 mar. 17 apr. 17 mai. 17 jun. 17 jul. 17 aug. 17 sep. 17 okt. 17 nov. 17 des. 17 jan. 18 feb. 18 mar. 18 Oil Price Spread - Key Driver for Increase in PADD 3 to PADD 1 Crude Shipping Volumes PADD 3 to PADD 1 Crude Oil Moves by Number of Tanker Liftings Crude Oil Price Spread - Argus Houston vs. Bonny Light 10 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 0 aug.17 sep.17 okt.17 nov.17 des.17 jan.18 feb.18 mar.18 apr.18 5 4 3 2 1 0-1 -2 Record 9 monthly voyages in April 18 ~ 5 tankers absorbed in activity from U.S. Gulf up to North East refineries YTD 30x cargoes delivered or in transit Crude loaded in Houston vs. West Africa needs to be minimum $1.50 cheaper to be competitive for U.S. East Coast Refiners Spread has been sufficiently wide since Aug/Sept 2017 and is increasing Source: Bloomberg, Pareto, Marine Traffic 16

Limited Remaining Fleet Growth and Scrapping Continues Fleet profile by vessel age Considerable fleet growth over the last 3 years, but scrapping likely to bring fleet back to 2015 levels # vessels Scrap/lay up AMSC 11 ATBs 10 Tankers Kbbls Capacity 30000 Actual Projected 9 25000 8 2015 levels 7 6 5 Candidates for scrapping 20000 15000 4 3 10000 2 5000 1 0 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 1 0 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 Fleet Scrapping Source: Navigistics Wilson Gillette Report Apr 2018, broker reports and AMSC analysis 17

Investment Highlights Highlights Comments INCREASED DEMAND IN KEY TRADES Increased crude shipments from U.S. Gulf to the U.S. Northeast Intra gulf volumes crude stabilizing Steady clean trade into Florida NO NEW VESSEL ORDERS Final MR tanker delivered and only 2 smaller ATBs entering the market in 2018 No vessel orders for the past 3 years Scrapping / lay-up of older tonnage continues LEADING MARKET POSITION WITH STABLE CASH FLOWS AMSC has the most cost efficient modern Jones Act tanker fleet Stable cash flow from fixed rate bareboat contracts and upside potential from profit share arrangement Committed to returning capital to shareholders through dividends, whilst prudently managing the balance sheet and maintaining financial flexibility 18

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