UBS Swiss Equity Conference

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Transcription:

Stefan Lippe Chief Executive Officer Agenda Company profile Building on our strengths Outlook Questions & answers Slide 2

Headquarters Zurich, Switzerland Swiss Re A leading and highly diversified risk specialist Swiss Re is a leading re/insurer with a strong reputation in innovative re/insurance and risk management solutions The company provides: Wholesale re/insurance products and related services for Property & Casualty and Life & Health clients and brokers around the globe Insurance-based capital market solutions and supplementary risk management services Slide 3 Swiss Re s current financial strength ratings Rating agency Rating/outlook Last change Standard & Poor s A+/stle 18 Feb 2009 Moody s A1/negative 23 Feb 2009 A.M. Best A/stle 27 Feb 2009 S&P excess capital ove AA CHF bn >6.0-1.3 Factual 2008 Q3 2009 estimate Slide 4

Swiss Re is broadly diversified by geography and product line Premiums earned 2008 (CHF 25.5 billion) by region (in CHF bn) and by product line: 11.7 11.2 2.6 Specialty 15% P&C nontraditional 2% Life 31% L&H 44% Americas 46% Europe 44% (incl. Middle East /Africa) Asia 10% Property 19% P&C 56% Casualty 20% Health 10% Admin Re 3% Swiss Re benefits from geographic and business mix diversification and has the ility to reallocate capital to achieve profitle growth Combines accumulated expertise of over 145 years and continuing research with a widely recognised strong track record of innovation Slide 5 Agenda Company profile Building on our strengths Outlook Questions & answers Slide 6

Building on our strengths Focus on the core Ensure capital strength Fit to compete People & expertise Serve our clients Create shareholder value Slide 7 Delivering on our promises CHF Concerns over Capital/solvency Client franchise Legacy issues Investment portfolio Reorganisation 50 FY 2008 results New priorities Q1 2009 results Q2 2009 results Where we stand at Q3 2009 Capital strength restored Strong client franchise demonstrated Legacy issues significantly reduced De-risking: significant progress Cost efficiency programme ahead of plan Q3 2009 results Swiss Re share price 40 30 20 10 0 Jan Apr Jul Oct Swiss Equity 2009 Conference P/B End FY 2008 End Q1 2009 End Q2 2009 End Q3 2009 Slide ratio: 8 0.83 0.30 0.59 0.69 25 Nov 2009 0.74

Our core business is second to none Property & Casualty Second largest in the world Superior underwriting quality Powerful client franchise Combined ratio Traditional only 97.9% 90.5% 90.2% 88.2% (9M 2009) 90.2% 89.4% 84.5% FY 06 FY 07 FY 08 Q1 09 Q2 09 Q3 09 Life & Health Largest Life & Health reinsurer world-wide Key expertise in Admin Re : administrative solutions for closed blocks of in-force L&H insurance business Strong underwriting performance first nine months 2009 with benefit ratio of 81.9% Asset Management Focussing on asset-liility management 3% total return first nine months 2009, 14.3% in Q3 2009 Slide 9 Strong performance in core business, focus on active cycle management and profitle underwriting Innovative transactions MultiCat Mexico ILS October 2009 Longevity swaps Dec 2008/Oct 2009 Islamic insurance October 2009 USD 290m 3-year MultiCat securitisation for World Bank covering Mexican government against hurricane and earthquake risks Longevity swaps for Australian companies, first ones to be closed outside UK Retakaful operations opened in Malaysia offering Islamic insurance worldwide Slide 10 China agricultural reinsurance July 2009 Cat risks protection for Beijing municipal government Helps stimulate agricultural productivity in China and can ultimately reduce global concerns of food security Demonstrating Swiss Re s innovative strength, client orientation and strong reputation in the markets

Summary Building on our strengths Focus on the core Ensure capital strength Fit to compete People & expertise Serve our clients Create shareholder value Very strong core business P&C: first nine months 2009 combined ratio of 88.2% L&H: first nine months 2009 benefit ratio of 81.9% New and innovative deals in P&C and L&H e.g. Mexican ILS, Chinese agriculture, Longevity swaps Earnings power of P&C and L&H in first nine months 2009: CHF 3.6bn Capital strength further improved > CHF 6bn excess to AA requirement estimated at end Q3 2009 Q3 2009 Solvency I ratio estimated >200% De-risking significant progress Notional exposure reduced by CHF 14.0bn in Q3, CHF 43.3bn first nine months 2009 PCDS, FG Re, SCDS Fit to compete programme ahead of plan Net savings after restructuring costs for 2009 now expected to be CHF 150-200m compared to original CHF 100m target Slide 11 Agenda Company profile Building on our strengths Outlook Questions & answers Slide 12

Economic environment provides growth opportunities Swiss Re is well positioned to support clients Economic scenarios Optimistic economic scenario ( straight recovery ) Capital levels restored, credit spreads narrowing Consolidation, de-risking or deleveraging of banking insurance type of conglomerates will spur M&A activity First signs visible already now, recent pick-up in global M&A volumes Our solution: partner up in M&A via capital relief quota shares or Admin Re transactions Slide 13 Pessimistic economic scenario ( bumpy road ) Underpriced risks and excessive retention of such risks will catch up with primary insurers, weighing on their profits, balance sheets End of positive run-off which supported past years balance sheets Widening credit spreads Clients likely to end up being very tight on Solvency Our solution: support clients with capital relief quota shares or Admin Re transactions Swiss Re is le to support clients in both economic scenarios Outlook The market fundamentals point towards higher prices (lower yields, under-priced lines of business, end of positive run-off for industry) The recovery of industry capital and sence of hurricanes may partially delay the market correction The quality of Swiss Re s portfolio, our capital strength and our track record of cycle management mean we are well positioned for the renewal season Growth in the market will be driven by capital relief transactions, where Swiss Re is well positioned Slide 14

Agenda Company profile Building on our strengths Outlook Questions & answers Slide 15 Corporate calendar & contacts Corporate calendar 09 December 2009 Investors' Day 2009 Zurich 18 February 2010 Annual results 2009 Zurich 07 April 2010 146th Ordinary Annual General Meeting Zurich Investor Relations contacts Hotline E-mail +41 43 285 4444 Investor_Relations@swissre.com Slide 16 Susan Holliday Ross Walker Chris Menth +44 20 7933 3890 +41 43 285 2243 +41 43 285 3878 Marc Hermacher Simone Lieberherr +41 43 285 2637 +41 43 285 4190

Cautionary note on forward-looking statements Certain statements and illustrations contained herein are forward-looking. These statements and illustrations provide current expectations of future events based on certain assumptions and include any statement that does not directly relate to a historical fact or current fact. Forward-looking statements typically are identified by words or phrases such as anticipate, assume, believe, continue, estimate, expect, foresee, intend, may increase and may fluctuate and similar expressions or by future or conditional verbs such as will, should, would and could. These forward-looking statements involve known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors, which may cause Swiss Re s actual results, performance, achievements or prospects to be materially different from any future results, performance, achievements or prospects expressed or implied by such statements. Such factors include, among others: further instility affecting the global financial system and developments related thereto; changes in global economic conditions; Swiss Re s ility to maintain sufficient liquidity and access to capital markets, including sufficient liquidity to cover potential recapture of reinsurance agreements, early calls of debt or debt-like arrangements and collateral calls under derivative contracts due to actual or perceived deterioration of Swiss Re s financial strength; the effect of market conditions, including the global equity and credit markets, and the level and volatility of equity prices, interest rates, credit spreads, currency values and other market indices, on Swiss Re s investment assets; changes in Swiss Re s investment result as a result of changes in its investment policy or the changed composition of its investment assets, and the impact of the timing of any such changes relative to changes in market conditions; uncertainties in valuing credit default swaps and other credit-related instruments; possible inility to realise amounts on sales of securities on Swiss Re s balance sheet equivalent to its mark-to-market values recorded for accounting purposes; the outcome of tax audits, the ility to realise tax loss carryforwards and the ility to realise deferred tax assets (including by reason of the mix of earnings in a jurisdiction or deemed change of control), which could negatively impact future earnings; These factors are not exhaustive. Swiss Re operates in a continually changing environment and new risks emerge continually. Readers are cautioned not to place undue Swiss reliance Equity on forward-looking Conference statements. Swiss Re undertakes no obligation to publicly revise or update any forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new Zurich, information, 26 November future events 2009 or otherwise. Slide 17 the possibility that hedging arrangements may not be effective; the lowering or loss of one of the financial strength or other ratings of one or more companies in the Group; the cyclicality of the reinsurance industry; uncertainties in estimating reserves; the frequency, severity and development of insured claim events; acts of terrorism and acts of war; mortality and morbidity experience; policy renewal and lapse rates; extraordinary events affecting Swiss Re s clients and other counterparties, such as bankruptcies, liquidations and other credit-related events; current, pending and future legislation and regulation affecting Swiss Re or its ceding companies, and regulatory or legal actions; changes in accounting standards; significant investments, acquisitions or dispositions, and any delays, unexpected costs or other issues experienced in connection with any such transactions, including, in the case of acquisitions, issues arising in connection with integrating acquired operations; changing levels of competition; and operational factors, including the efficacy of risk management and other internal procedures in managing the foregoing risks.