INTERIM REPORT THIRD QUARTER 2018

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Transcription:

INTERIM REPORT THIRD QUARTER 2018 1

SUMMARY DEMAND ON HIGH LEVEL LARGE O&G ORDERS IN SMT RECORD-HIGH Q3 EARNINGS AND MARGIN AT 18.9% STRONG CASH FLOW 2

MARKET DEVELOPMENT % of group revenue FY17 Y/Y order intake Y/Y UNDERLYING DEMAND TREND segment bubble size share of group revenue 2017 Sequential underlying demand trend (Q2/Q3) EUROPE 39% +10% NORTH AMERICA 21% +14% ASIA 20% +10% AFRICA/MIDDLE EAST 9% -16% SOUTH AMERICA 5% +3% AUSTRALIA 6% +27% 3

ORDER INTAKE LARGE ORDERS IN SMT REVENUES SUPPORT FROM ALL BUSINESS AREAS REPORTED 24 192 P/V 9% REPORTED 24 283 P/V 10% MSEK 30 000 110 000 MSEK 30 000 110 000 25 000 100 000 25 000 100 000 20 000 90 000 20 000 90 000 15 000 80 000 15 000 80 000 10 000 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 70 000 10 000 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 70 000 Order intake, reported Organic order intake, 12M rolling Revenues, reported Organic revenues, 12M rolling 4

EBIT DEVELOPMENT MSEK +37% 6 000 22% 5 000 4 000 19% 16% EBIT ADJUSTED 4 587 MSEK ~25% GROWTH EXCLUDING FX, STRUCTURE AND METALS 3 000 13% EBIT % ADJUSTED 18.9 SUPPORTED BY STRONG REVENUE GROWTH 2 000 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 10% EBIT* EBIT%* *Adjusted for items affecting comparability 5

SANDVIK MACHINING SOLUTIONS STRONG DEMAND Positive development in all major regions All segments strong barring for automotive which remained stable across major regions RECORD HIGH Q3 EARNINGS AND MARGIN Supported primarily by revenue growth, FX and some stock build-up Earnings grew by 14% excl. FX and structure; implying a 24.5% margin MSEK Q3 2017 Q3 2018 ORDER INTAKE REVENUES OPERATING PROFIT % OF REVENUES 8 450 8 487 1 949 23.0% 9 942 9 990 2 536 25.4% *At fixed exchange rates for comparable units EBIT & ROCE DEVELOPMENT 3 000 2 500 2 000 1 500 SHARE OF REVENUES 2017 40% CHANGE +8%* +7%* +30% 50% 40% 30% 20% 6 IMTS AWARD: COROMANT SILENT TOOLS PLUS 1 000 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 2015 2016 2017 2018 EBIT¹ EBIT%¹ ROCE %² 10% ¹Adjusted for items affecting comparability ²ROCE: EBIT adj. annualized, CE 1Q avg.

SANDVIK MINING AND ROCK TECHNOLOGY ROBUST UNDERLYING MARKET Strong growth in the aftermarket business Equipment overall stable on tough comparables in the year-earlier period MSEK Q3 2017 Q3 2018 ORDER INTAKE REVENUES OPERATING PROFIT % OF REVENUES 9 191 8 974 1 471 16.4% 10 468 10 838 1 966 18.1% *At fixed exchange rates for comparable units EBIT & ROCE DEVELOPMENT SHARE OF REVENUES 2017 40% CHANGE +8%* +14%* +34% 7 SIGNIFICANT EARNINGS/MARGIN IMPROVEMENT Earnings primarily supported by significant revenue growth and some stock build-up Implied margin of 18.6% excluding FX M&A Inrock acquired Varel in process of being divested; about -1%-ppts on margin in Q3 2 500 2 000 1 500 1 000 500 SAND-VIK: Interim Report on the third quarter 2018 0 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 2015 2016 2017 2018 EBIT¹ EBIT%¹ ROCE %² 35% 30% 25% 20% 15% 10% 5% ¹Adjusted for items affecting comparability ²ROCE: EBIT adj. annualized, CE 1Q avg.

SANDVIK MATERIALS TECHNOLOGY STRONG RECOVERY IN SHORT-CYCLE BUSINESS Most notable improvement for core- and standard tubular offering Order growth +17% excl. large orders Larger energy orders of 480 MSEK, some initial signs of improved market sentiment UNDERLYING MARGIN IMPROVEMENT MSEK Q3 2017 Q3 2018 ORDER INTAKE REVENUES OP. PROFIT % OF REVENUES UNDERLYING MARGIN³ 3 045 2 955-64 -2.2% 0.0% 3 782 3 454 237 6.9% 5.7% *At fixed exchange rates for comparable units EBIT & ROCE DEVELOPMENT 800 600 400 SHARE OF REVENUES 2017 15% CHANGE +22%* +16%* n/a 20% 15% 10% Supported by strong revenue growth 200 5% Significant support from on-going efficiency measures 0-200 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 2015 2016 2017 2018 0% -5% 8 EBIT¹ EBIT%¹ ROCE%² EBIT%³ ¹Adjusted for items affecting comparability ²ROCE: EBIT adj. annualized, CE 1Q avg. ³EBIT adj. for items affecting comparability and metal prices

TOMAS ELIASSON CFO 9

FINANCIAL SUMMARY Q3 AND YTD GROWTH Q318, % ORDER REVENUES INTAKE ORGANIC: +9 +10 CURRENCY: +6 +6 STRUCTURE: -5-5 TOTAL +11 +12 MSEK Q3 2017 Q3 2018 CHANGE % Q1-3 2017 Q1-3 2018 CHANGE % ORDER INTAKE 21 888 24 192 +9¹ 71 337 76 812 +9¹ REVENUES 21 608 24 283 +10¹ 66 898 74 104 +12¹ ADJUSTED OPERATING PROFIT 3 338 4 587 +37 10 550 13 925 +32 % OF REVENUES 15.4 18.9 15.8 18.8 FINANCE NET -193-140 -28-806 -659-18 UNDERLYING TAX RATE 25.6 26.1 26.9 26.3 NWC %² 25.3 27.2 24.4 24.1 CASH FLOW³ +3 726 +4 679 +26 +10 010 +8 983-10 ROCE %³ 18.0 24.6 17.6 28.2 ADJUSTED EPS CONT. OPS. 1.87 2.62 +40 5.69 7.81 +37 ¹ At fixed exchange rates for comparable units ² Quarterly calculation i.e. annualized adj. EBIT or revenues and 1Q average CE or NWC ³ Cash flow before acquisitions and disposals, financial items and taxes 10

BRIDGE ANALYSIS SANDVIK GROUP GROUP LEVERAGE: +39% MSEK Q3 2017 PRICE/ VOLUME/ PRODUCTIVITY CURRENCY STRUCTURE ONE-OFFS* Q3 2018 REVENUES 21 608 2 125 +1 390-840 24 283 ADJUSTED EBIT 3 338 839 +381 +29 4 587 ADJUSTED EBIT MARGIN 15.4% 39% - - 18.9% MARGIN ACCRETION / DILUTION +2.2% +0.5% +0.8% Includes metal price effects within Sandvik Materials Technology of +171 MSEK in alloy surcharges on revenues and +103 MSEK in metal price effect on EBIT (-64 Q3 2017 vs. +39 Q3 2018). Structure -1 191 MSEK topline and -151 MSEK for EBIT for Other operations (SPS & Hyperion). Structure SMT -147 MSEK on topline and +17 MSEK on EBIT (Wire, Custom Electric Manufacturing). Structure SMS +249 MSEK on topline and +51 MSEK on EBIT (Hyperion & Metrologic Group). Structure +78 MSEK SMRT on topline and +9 MSEK on EBIT for Inrock. 11

REPORTED AND UNDERLYING TAX RATE Q3 2018 Q1-3 2018 REPORTED 22.5 24.9 EXCL. CAPITAL GAIN HYPERION (UNDERLYING RATE) 26.1 26.3 TAX RATE 26-28% STILL VALID FOR 2018 12

NET WORKING CAPITAL RELATIVE NWC BY BA MSEK 30 000 35% 45% 40% 25 000 30% 35% 20 000 25% 30% 15 000 20% 25% 10 000 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 15% 20% 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 Sandvik Machining Solutions Sandvik Mining & Rock Technology NWC (continuing operations) NWC % of revenues (continuing operations) Sandvik Materials Technology 13

FREE OPERATING CASH FLOW MSEK 10 000 8 000 6 000 4 000 2 000 0 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 2015 2016 2017 2018 Free operating cash flow Free operating cash flow 12M rolling Adjusted EBITA* 12M rolling 20 000 18 000 16 000 14 000 12 000 10 000 MSEK Q3 2017 Q3 2018 EBITDA 4 832 6 339 Non-cash items 447-806 NWC change -651 +220 Capex* -902-1 075 FOCF** 3 726 4 679 *Including investments and disposals in rental, tangible and intangible assets **Cash flow before acquisitions and disposals, financial items and taxes 14 *Adjusted for items affecting comparability

FINANCIAL NET DEBT MSEK GEARING 40 000 1,4 30 000 1,2 1,0 NET GEARING AT LOW 0.27 20 000 10 000 0,8 0,6 0,4 NET DEBT INCREASED ONLY BY ~0.7 BSEK FROM M&A 0 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 Net debt excl. pension Net pension liability Net gearing incl. net pension liabilities 0,2 15

OUTCOME AND GUIDANCE Q3 2018 Underlying currency effect (MSEK): +608 (~650) Total currency effect (MSEK): +381 Metal price effect in quarter (MSEK): +39 (~100) Q4 2018 Underlying currency effect (MSEK): ~400* Metal price effect in quarter (MSEK): -100** FULL YEAR 2018 Capex (BSEK): ~4 (Q3: 1.1; YTD: 2.7) Net financial items (BSEK): ~1 (Q3: 0.14; YTD: 0.66) Underlying tax rate (%): ~26-28 (Q3: 26.1; YTD: 26.3) *Based on currency rates end of September 2018 **Based on currency rates, stock levels and metal prices at the end of September 2018 16

SUMMARY DEMAND ON A HIGH LEVEL RECORD Q3 WITH STRONG BALANCE SHEET AWARD-WINNING PRODUCTS & SUSTAINABILITY RECOGNITION IMTS AWARD: COROMANT SILENT TOOLS PLUS INCLUSION IN DOW JONES SUSTAINABILITY INDEX CAPITAL MARKETS DAY 21-22 MAY 2019 IN FINLAND

BACK-UP SLIDES 18

MINING (31%) ENERGY (11%) GENERAL ENGINEERING (24%) CONSTRUCTION (11%) AUTOMOTIVE (13%) AEROSPACE (6%) END-CUSTOMER SEGMENTS (% of group revenues 2017 excl. Mining systems; Other e.g. consumer goods, electronics, chemical and miscellaneous was 4% ) 19

PROFITABILITY DEVELOPMENT GROUP LEVERAGE: +39% +103-74 4,587 +381 839 3,338 EBIT Q3 17 ORGANIC GROWTH CURRENCY METAL PRICE EFFECT SMT STRUCTURE EBIT Q3 18 ADJUSTED EBIT MARGIN 15.4% 18.9% 20

BRIDGE ANALYSIS PRICE/ VOLUME/ STRUCTURE MSEK Q3 2017 PRODUCTIVITY CURRENCY ONE-OFFS* Q3 2018 MACHINING SOLUTIONS REVENUES EBIT EBIT MARGIN 8 487 1 949 23.0% 577 274 +47% +677 +262 - +249 +51-9 990 2 536 25.4% MINING AND ROCK TECHNOLOGY REVENUES EBIT EBIT MARGIN 8 974 1 471 16.4% 1 250 434 +35% +536 +52 - +78 +9-10 838 1 966 18.1% MATERIALS TECHNOLOGY REVENUES ADJUSTED EBIT ADJUSTED EBIT MARGIN 2 955-64 -2.2% 298 133 +45% +177 +48 - +24 +120-3 454 237 6.9% *Includes metal price effects within Sandvik Materials Technology of +171 MSEK in alloy surcharges on revenues and +103 MSEK in metal price effect on EBIT (-64 Q3 2017 vs. +39 Q3 2018). Structure SMT -147 MSEK on topline and +17 MSEK on EBIT (Wire, Custom Electric Manufacturing). Structure SMS +249 MSEK topline and +51 MSEK EBIT (Metrologic group 122 MSEK topline, 51 MSEK EBIT; Hyperion 127 MSEK topline). Structure SMRT Inrock; topline 78 MSEK, EBIT 9 MSEK. 21

OTHER OPERATIONS SHARE OF REVENUES 2017 5% ALL BUSINESSES DIVESTED Capital gain of 618 MSEK booked in Q3 VAT provision -130 MSEK Project related costs as well as some operational cost amounted to -34 MSEK Hyperion now an external customer to SMS, adding 127 MSEK on topline Reported as structure in Q3 22

LOAN AND DURATION PROFILE LONG TERM 90% SHORT TERM 10% AMOUNT MSEK AVERAGE DURATION US Private Placement 3 309 3 years Fin institutions, EIB, NIB 1 470 5 years Swedish MTN 5 648 3 years European MTN 11 304 8 years Bank loans 148 1 year Share swap - - US Private Placement 1 764 8 months Fin institutions, EIB, NIB 368 0 months Bank loans 177 8 months Cash position Revolving Credit facilities 13 703 MSEK 9 100 MSEK TOTAL 24 187 5 years 23

LOAN MATURITY PROFILE MSEK 4 500 4 000 3 500 AVERAGE INTEREST RATE: ~4% 3 000 2 500 2 000 1 500 1 000 500 24 0 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033

GUIDANCE CAPEX Estimated at about 4 BSEK for 2018 CURRENCY EFFECTS METAL PRICE EFFECTS NET FINANCIAL ITEMS TAX RATE Given currency rates at end of September 2018 the effect on operating profit from transaction and translation would be +400 MSEK for Q4 2018 Given currency rates, stock levels and metal prices at the end of September 2018, it is estimated that effect on operating profit in Q4 2018 will be -100 MSEK Net financial items is estimated to be about 1 BSEK for 2018 The underlying tax rate is estimated to about 26-28% for 2018 25

DISCLAIMER STATEMENT Some statements herein are forward-looking and the actual outcome could be materially different. In addition to the factors explicitly commented upon, the actual outcome could be materially affected by other factors for example, the effect of economic conditions, exchange-rate and interest-rate movements, political risks, impact of competing products and their pricing, product development, commercialisation and technological difficulties, supply disturbances, and the major customer credit losses.