Swiss Re s longevity value proposition

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Transcription:

Swiss Re s longevity value proposition Product & Knowledge Fair 2007 Rüschlikon 30 March 2007 Alberto Izaga Head of Life & Health Products Member of the Executive Board

Financial Times 23 March 2007 Slide 2

Swiss Re & longevity Historically Swiss Re has avoided longevity risk. Why? Historical trends in mortality experience Significantly different price expectations between buyers and sellers Swiss Re s mortality strategy has paid off Slide 3

Swiss Re Life & Health operating income 1999-2006 1.8 1.7 1.6 1.7 1.6 1.5 1.4 1.4 1.2 1.3 1.2 1.3 1.0 0.8 0.6 0.4 0.2 Source: Swiss Re annual report Operating income includes net realised investment gains on non-participating business Slide 4 0.0 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 Life & Health Operating Income CHFbn Total accumulated L&H operating income 1999-2006 CHF11.8bn

Historical trends in mortality experience ab Age-standardised death rates, US males 2,000 1,800 Historical Index Deaths per 100,000 1,600 1,400 1,200 1,000 800 600 W W I 1914-1918 Influenza 1918 W W II 1940-1945 Influenza 1957 Influenza 1968 AIDS 1990-1995 400 200 1900 1910 1920 1930 1940 1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 Year Slide 5 Source: Stanford University, US Food & Drug Administration, US Civil War Centre. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (US)

What has changed? Significantly greater awareness of changes in life expectancy by Trustees CEOs, CFOs Media M&A professionals Price expectations between buyers and sellers have converged Mortality improvements have started to slow down. unfortunately immortality is not achievable Slide 6

Life expectancy at birth World USA UK Europe France Germany Latin Japan America 1950-1955 47 69 69 66 67 68 51 64 1960-1965 53 70 71 70 71 70 57 69 1970-1975 58 72 72 71 72 71 61 73 1980-1985 61 74 74 72 75 74 65 77 1990-1995 64 75 76 73 78 76 68 80 2000-2005 65 77 78 74 79 79 72 82 2010-2015 68 79 80 75 81 80 74 84 2020-2025 70 80 81 77 82 81 76 85 2030-2035 72 81 82 79 83 82 78 87 2040-2045 74 82 83 80 84 83 79 88 Slide 7 Source: United Nations, World Population Prospects, 2004 Revision

Swiss Re s longevity value proposition Swiss Re s longevity Swiss Re s financial strength Swiss Re - the mortality expert Swiss Re s financial services expertise Longevity is a good balance to our mortality portfolio Potential sellers are our clients Slide 8

Swiss Re s longevity 1863 1906 1910 1950-1956 1968-1976 1994 from 1995 1996-2001 2003-2004 2006 Founding of the company San Francisco Earthquake, Swiss Re establishes its reputation First branch office in New York Opening of offices in South Africa, Canada, Australia, Hong Kong Creation of several advisory and service companies in Asia and South America Refocus on core business - selling majority shares in several insurance companies Development of financial services offerings Strengthening of life and health business through several acquisitions Strengthening market position in Asia Successful acquisition and integration of GE Insurance Solutions Slide 9

Swiss Re s financial strength Standard & Poor s AA- (Very strong) / Stable Outlook (1) Moody s Aa2 (Excellent) / Negative Outlook (2) A.M. Best A+ (Superior) / Stable Outlook (3) Life & Health market share (4) 21% - world ranking 1 Swiss Re available capital (5) CHF40.6bn Swiss Re 2006 net income CHF4.6bn, ROE 16.3% Slide 10 (1) As of 12 June 2006 (2) As of 19 May 2006 (3) As of 23 August 2006 (4) Market share measured by premiums earned 2005 Source: Swiss Re, Economic Research & Consulting and Strategy Development (5) Available capital mid 2006 on Swiss Gaap basis including GE Insurance Solutions. Source Swiss Re annual report

Swiss Re - the mortality expert Total premiums earned 2006: CHF 11.0 billion Admin Re SM 8% Traditional Health 20% Traditional 72% Life Slide 11 Source: Swiss Re 2006 Annual Report

Swiss Re s financial services expertise Leading position in credit solutions and hedging techniques Assets under management of CHF172.5bn Excellent track record for third-party asset management through Conning Asset Management Leading position as structurer and underwriter of insurance-linked securities Capital markets Slide 12

Longevity is a good balance to Swiss Re s mortality portfolio - illustrative ab Release As priced Extra Mortality Improvement Mortality Deterioration Strain Mortality sum at risk Slide 13 Annuity reserves

Potential sellers are our clients Property and casualty insurance companies Reinsurance Life insurance companies Captives Public sector / governments Large corporations Financial institutions Institutional investors Financial services Swiss Re 03/2007 Slide 14

Key messages Historically we have focused on mortality Significantly greater awareness of changes in life expectancy Price expectations between buyers and sellers have converged Swiss Re is uniquely placed to succeed We will do deals shortly Slide 15