Interim Results for the 26 weeks ended 29 June 2014

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Transcription:

Interim Results for the 26 weeks ended 29 June 2014 1

The Team David Wild Chief Executive Officer Sean Wilkins Chief Financial Officer 2

Highlights of H1 2014 11.3% UK LFL UK on-line accounting for 69.7% of delivered sales (63.3% in 2013) UK and Ireland operating margin improved by 51 bps ROI steady at 3.2% LFL Good growth in Q2 for Switzerland drove H1 to 2.9% Germany re-engineering in progress Strong cash generation and share buyback resumed 3

Sean Wilkins Chief Financial Officer 4

Financial highlights for H1 2014 UK & ROI system sales up 15.0% to 365.6m Group system sales up 14.9% to 375.0m Group operating profit* up 10.2% to 24.7m Cashflow before financing more than doubled to 26.9m Interim dividend up 10% at 7.81p * Pre-exceptionals 5

Group Profit and Loss (Pre-exceptionals) % increase 29 June 2014 30 June 2013 System sales 374,965 326,498 14.9 Operating profit 24,731 22,432 10.2 Net interest (233) (184) 26.6 Profit before tax 24,498 22,248 10.1 Taxation (5,621) (5,615) 0.1 Profit after tax 18,877 16,633 13.5 Earnings per share: - Basic 11.6p 10.8p 7.4 - Diluted 11.5p 10.7p 7.5 Dividends per share: - Pence 7.81p 7.10p 10.0 - Cover 1.49x 1.51x - SOLID GROWTH FOR FIRST HALF OF THE YEAR 6

Profit and Loss (Pre-exceptionals, Germany and Switzerland) HEALTH OF THE UK & ROI CORE BUSINESS 29 June 2014 m 30 June 2013 m LFL Sales +10.5% +6.4% - % change System Sales - m 365.6 317.9 15.0% Operating Profit - m 29.8 25.9 15.3% Operating Profit % * 21.7% 21.2% SOUND UNDERLYING OPERATIONAL GEARING * Operating profit/statutory revenue 7

Sales m H1 2014 System Sales and PBT* Growth UK and ROI LFL sales up 10.5%, profits up 15.4% 400 350 System Sales ( M) PBT * ( M) 25.7 29.7 32.5 30.0 27.5 300 250 200 150 100 20.2 258.3 23.3 285.9 317.9 365.6 25.0 22.5 20.0 17.5 15.0 12.5 PBT m 10.0 50 7.5 0 2011 H1 2012 H1 2013 H1 2014 H1 5.0 * Pre-exceptionals, Germany and Switzerland 8

Profit and Loss - Germany 29 June 2014 30 June 2013 % change LFL Sales ( ) -1.7% +23.8% - System Sales - m 4.7 3.9 20.4% Operating Loss - m (4.7) (3.2) (48.8)% Adjusting items - m Accounts receivable provision 1.8 Restructure & reorganisation 0.3 Transition of corporate stores 0.2 Underlying Operating Loss- m (2.4) (3.2) 25% 9

Profit and Loss - Switzerland 29 June 2014 30 June 2013 % change LFL Sales (CHF) +2.9% +7.8% - System Sales - m 4.7 4.7 - Operating Loss- m (0.4) (0.3) (15.6)% Adjusting items - m Pre-opening/relocation costs 0.2 Underlying Operating Loss- m (0.2) (0.3) 33.3% 10

Balance Sheet Current Assets: At 29 June 2014 At 30 June 2013 Inventories 4,568 7,328 Receivables 31,448 38,269 Investment in finance leases Prepaid lease charges 1,063 3,573 195 257 Cash 43,611 22,551 Current Liabilities: Trade and other payables 80,885 71,978 (43,175) (36,979) Deferred income (283) (176) Financial liabilities (16,112) (16,687) Deferred consideration (1,590) (1,089) Tax liabilities (4,716) (5,048) Provisions (1,760) (697) (67,636) (60,676) At 29 June 2014 At 30 June 2013 Non-current assets 93,142 103,880 Current assets 80,885 71,978 Total assets 174,027 175,858 Current liabilities (67,636) (60,676) Non-current liabilities (39,835) (46,877) Total Liabilities (107,471) (107,553) Net Assets 66,556 68,305 11

Cash Flow Statement 29 June 2014 30 June 2013 Cash generated from operations 31,623 19,112 Taxation paid (2,970) (3,630) Net cash generated by operating activities 28,653 15,482 Net cash used by investing activities (1,735) (4,147) Cash inflow before financing 26,918 11,335 Financing activities (14,844) (10,500) Net (decrease)/increase in cash 12,074 835 Opening cash balance 31,597 21,975 Foreign exchange loss on cash and cash equivalents (60) (259) Cash as at 29 June 2014 43,611 22,551 12

Analysis of Borrowings At 29 June 2014 At 30 June 2013 Cash at Bank 43,611 22,551 Revolving Credit Facilities (29,797) (29,789) Net Cash 13,814 (7,238) DP Capital (2,458) (2,796) Term/EBT loan (15,000) (13,000) Finance leases (93) (221) Adjusted Net Debt* (3,734) (23,255) Adjusted Net Debt*/EBITDA** 0.1 0.4 * Excludes non-recourse loans, and Germany minority interest shareholder loan ** Pre-exceptionals 13

Capital Expenditure 2014 Actual Forecast H1 H2 Total m m m Maintenance 1.9 3.6 5.5 Expansionary 1.0 3.2 4.2 Total Capex 2.9 6.8 9.7 14

The UK Franchisee Model 29 June 2014 30 June 2013 % increase Average sales (AWUS) 17,468 15,701 Total sales 454,171 408,236 EBITDA % 13.1% 12.5% +11.3% EBITDA 59,670 51,065 +16.9% 8,605 15

David Wild Chief Executive Officer 16

Key issues for 2014 Building on UK success with customers Overhead management within Domino s Execution of German plan Continued recovery in ROI 18 17

UK: Strong start to 2014, however, tough comps in H2 * 2014 Mature store group opened on or before 30 th December 2012 18

UK: Total sales have grown by +16.0% year on year Strong results from New and Immature stores 28% growth in Immature store AWUS vs. 2012 cohort in 2013 H1 New stores have opened on a higher AWUS than in previous years 8 traditional store openings in H1 and 5 further openings in July 19

Sales driven by both orders and basket size Strong order count has been driven by marketing activity, the Winter Survival deal in Q1 was particularly successful Bundle deals have encouraged customers to add sides and desserts to their baskets, driving add-on volumes by a third 20

Delivering Greatness from Dominos Quality Innovation Great Value Greatness TV Campaign launched in September 2013 Research shows improvement in brand affinity metrics We have seen successes with the Mega Meltz and the Carnivale ranges. Added new sides to the menu through nachos and fajita wedges. Improving value for money through well structured bundle offers. Research has shown significant moves in offering relevant deals (+8%pt) and value for money (+3%pt) 21

We are a true ecommerce business Ecommerce is now at 69.7% of delivered sales, with 38.3% of online sales coming from mobile devices In some regions, mobile now accounts for half of all online transactions 22

Continued innovation in digital 2.3m new App users during H1, taking total to over 5.5m 121 email programme driving a more direct relationship with customers Nearly 55m emails sent YTD 11.1% growth in customer visits, generating nearly 370m page views 23

New website being rolled out across UK and ROI Communicating quality Great food photography Improved experience Personalised landing pages, previously saved orders and personalised offers. Increased value perceptions Transparency of discount amount. Deals automatically applied to basket 24

Engaging online customers through social media Over 946k Facebook fans Driving engagement and awareness through social Melting Man - 18.6m Twitter reach Edibox April Fools 3.5m social reach Topical content - #Pizzaonatrain trended for 2 hours globally/3 hours in UK O2 Priority partnership - driving lunchtime sales on Mondays Target Multi Screen with DomiGoals Award winning X Factor app to return in H2 25

UK/ROI Supply Chain - 2014 Maintain operational gearing through: Focus on improving production efficiency Distribution efficiencies Improved procurement 26

Food Cost Outlook for remainder of 2014 H1 2014 Performance Franchisee food and packaging basket increased 3.4% year on year over H1 Record high cheese prices at the end of 2013 carried over into H1 2014 Strong volume growth has enabled negotiated volume rebates from suppliers 2m in annualised savings passed onto franchisees through reduced food costs on dough and cheese from April / May 2014 Outlook for H2 2014 Entire basket locked in except cheese annual price inflation forecast to drop to 1-1.5% vs. 2013 Cheese price decreases due to improved milk production and improved global dairy commodity stocks Cheese is c.25% of pizza cost Decreases on meat proteins e.g. Beef driven by reduced feed costs 27

ROI: Sustained recovery Sales in ROI grew +3.2% driven by strong performances in Dublin stores Dublin stores are +5.1% for HI Online continues to grow in ROI, with over 40% of delivered orders now through online channels. Sales through mobile devices account for half of online orders 8.0% LFL Sales growth (ROI) 7.0% 6.0% 6.0% 5.0% 4.0% 3.0% 2.0% 1.0% 4.5% 3.5% 5.1% 3.0% 3.7% 7.6% 3.2% 0.0% Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 2013 LFL % 2014 LFL % 28

Domino s in Germany Lessons and plan Corporate owned network Franchise operation Franchise operation Too rapid expansion 5 5 store openings in 2014 Lack of full control Over sized stores Excessive overhead Weak ecommerce platform Undercut independent competitors Over ambitious path to break-even Buyout of minority shareholder and local finance team recruited Buyout of minority shareholder and local finance team recruited 150m 2 template 150m 2 template Reduction in Support Centre numbers Reduction in Support Centre numbers New ecommerce platform New ecommerce platform Premium pricing with aggressive promotion Premium pricing with aggressive promotion Focus on store level economic Focus on store level economic 29

Germany performance -1.7% like-for-like for H1 Continued re-engineering of Operating Framework Reduction in local marketing spend Rationalisation of overhead Minimal capex 3 new stores; 4 closures Food cost reductions Balance of corporate and franchise stores Clean-up of accounting issues Still focussed on store level economics 30

Switzerland: Accelerating like-for-like growth Strong Q2 performance driven by store investment Sales driven by order growth (+2.0% year on year) 4 new stores plan in H2 3 relocations planned in H2 Strengthened management team 31

2014 outlook Maintain sales momentum tougher like-for-like comps in H2 On track to open 40-50 stores Hold gross margin food cost reductions passed to franchisees Control overheads One-off transition costs worsen German guidance Switzerland Q4 breakeven 32 32

Summary Strong first half in UK Online and promotions fuelling growth Store openings performing well on track for 40-50 in UK Supply Chain and overheads under control Solid result in ROI Germany re-engineering leading to subdued sales Switzerland improving through H1 Strong cash generation buyback resumed 33 33

Q & A 34

APPENDICES APPENDIX 1 (Pages A-1) APPENDIX 2 (Page A-2) APPENDIX 3 (Page A-3) APPENDIX 4 (Page A-4) APPENDIX 5 (Page A-5) APPENDIX 6 (Page A-6) APPENDIX 7 (Page A-7) APPENDIX 8 (Page A-7) APPENDIX 9 (Page A-7) APPENDIX 10 (Page A-7) Analysis of Group Turnover Analysis of UK and ROI Turnover Analysis of Germany Turnover Analysis of Switzerland Turnover Analysis of Group Operating Profit Analysis of UK & ROI Operating Profit Analysis of Germany Operating Profit Analysis of Switzerland Operating Profit Diluted Earnings Per Share Dividends Per Share 35

Analysis of Group Turnover 29 June 2014 30 June 2013 Variance Variance % Royalties 20,611 17,977 2,634 14.7 Store sales 6,015 6,788 (773) (11.4) Franchise/TST/FDP fees 127 217 (90) (41.2) Supply Chain Centre sales 109,314 94,628 14,686 15.5 Property sales 8,923 8,358 565 6.8 Computer sales 1,212 3,033 (1,821) (60.0) Other sales 1,569 1,440 129 9.0 Inter-company sales (1,023) (1,453) 430 (29.6) Total sales 146,748 130,988 15,760 12.0 A-1

Analysis of UK & ROI Turnover 29 June 2014 30 June 2013 Variance Variance % Royalties 20,107 17,480 2,627 15.0 Store sales 69-69 n/m Franchise/TST/FDP fees 103 153 (50) (32.8) Supply Chain Centre sales 106,469 92,319 14,150 15.3 Property sales 8,923 8,358 565 6.8 Computer sales 1,212 3,033 (1,821) (60.0) Other sales 1,127 1,187 (60) (5.1) Inter-company sales (388) (346) (42) (12.7) Total sales 137,622 122,184 15,438 12.6 A-2

Analysis of Germany Turnover 29 June 2014 30 June 2013 Variance Variance % Royalties 222 214 8 3.7 Store sales 1,223 2,084 (861) (41.3) Franchise/TST/FDP fees 25 64 (39) (60.9) Supply Chain Centre sales 1,681 1,290 391 30.3 Property sales - - - n/m Computer sales - - - n/m Other sales 442 248 194 78.2 Inter-company sales (354) (824) 470 57.0 Total sales 3,239 3,076 163 5.3 A-3

Analysis of Switzerland Turnover 29 June 2014 30 June 2013 Variance Variance % Royalties 282 283 (1) (0.4) Store sales 4,723 4,704 19 0.4 Franchise/TST/FDP fees - - - n/m Supply Chain Centre sales 1,164 1,024 140 13.6 Property sales - - - n/m Computer sales - - - n/m Other sales - - - n/m Inter-company sales (282) (283) 1 0.4 Total sales 5,887 5,728 159 2.8 A-4

Analysis of Group Operating Profit* 29 June 2014 30 June 2013 Variance Variance % Net Royalty 10,228 8,897 1,331 15.0 Supply Chain Centre Margin 30,692 26,443 4,249 16.1 Realty 119 393 (274) (69.7) Subsidiaries 289 4 285 n/m Net Overheads (11,886) (10,216) (1,670) (16.4) Associates 389 343 46 13.4 UK & ROI Operating Profit 29,381 25,864 3,517 13.6 German Segment Results (4,714) (3,168) (1,546) (48.8) Switzerland Segment Results (386) (264) (122) (46.2) Group Operating Profit 24,731 22,432 2,299 10.2 * Pre-exceptionals A-5

Analysis of UK & ROI Operating Profit* 29 June 2014 30 June 2013 Variance Variance % Net Royalty 10,228 8,897 1,331 15.0 Supply Chain Centre Margin 30,692 26,443 4,249 16.1 Realty 119 393 (274) (69.7) Subsidiaries 289 4 285 n/m Net Overheads (11,886) (10,216) (1,670) (16.4) Associates 389 343 46 13.4 UK & ROI Operating Profit 29,381 25,864 3,517 13.6 * Pre-exceptionals A-6

Analysis of Germany Operating Profit* 29 June 2014 30 June 2013 Variance Variance % Net Royalty 101 97 4 4.1 Supply Chain Centre Margin 81 (3) 84 n/m Corporate Stores (501) (1,012) 511 n/m Net Overheads (4,393) (2,248) (2,145) (95.4) German Operating Profit (4,714) (3,168) (1,546) (48.8) * Pre-exceptionals A-7

Analysis of Swiss Operating Profit* 29 June 2014 30 June 2013 Variance Variance % Supply Chain Centre Margin 77 9 68 755.6 Corporate Stores 3 355 (352) n/m Net Overheads (466) (628) 162 25.6 Swiss Operating Profit (386) (264) (122) (46.2) * Pre-exceptionals A-8

Pence Diluted Earnings Per Share * 13 12 Compound increase of 9.9% over last four years 11 10 9 8 7 6 5 4 7.9 9.1 10.2 10.7 11.5 3 2 1 0 2010 H1 2011 H1 2012 H1 2013 H1 2014 H1 * Pre-exceptionals Diluted earnings per share Linear (Diluted earnings per share) A-9

Pence Dividends Per Share 10 Compound increase of 14.8% over last four years 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 4.50 5.50 6.60 7.10 7.81 1 0 H1 2010 H1 2011 H1 2012 H1 2013 H1 2014 Dividends per share Linear (Dividends per share) A-10