218 For further information please contact Property Council Research P 2 933 19 F 2 933 1978 E research@propertycouncil.com.au W www.propertycouncil.com.au ANZ/PROPERTY COUNCIL SURVEY CHART BOOK JUN QTR
ANZ/Property Council Survey June 218 15 14 138 148 145 147 137 144 139 143 14 143 14 141 139 132 Confidence Index 13 12 11 1 9 Mar-18 Jun-18 1 = neutral SA VIC ACT AUS WA NSW QLD Page 2
ANZ/Property Council Survey 16 15 14 Confidence Index 13 12 11 1 9 8 NSW VIC QLD WA SA ACT AUS Page 3
3 Shift in sentiment: 12 months to June 218 Confidence Index 24 Change in index between June 217 and June 218 2 1 15 13 8 7 1-4 -1 WA SA QLD AUS VIC ACT NSW Page 4
12-month forward work schedule expectations index 6 5 4 3 2 1 Forward work schedule expectations Over the NEXT 12 MONTHS in the state you primarily operate, will your forward work schedule: Page 5
Staffing level expectations Over the NEXT 12 MONTHS do you expect your staffing levels to: 4 12-month ahead staffing expectations index 3 2 1 Page 6
12-month ahead national economic growth expectations index 25 2 15 1 5-5 National economic growth expectations Over the NEXT 12 MONTHS will Australia's economic growth be: Page 7
State economic growth expectations Over the NEXT 12 MONTHS in the state you primarily operate, will economic growth be: 12-month ahead state economic growth expectations index 4 3 2 1-1 AVG NSW VIC QLD WA SA ACT Page 8
Interest rate expectations Over the NEXT 12 MONTHS how do you expect INTEREST RATES to change: 12-month ahead interest rate change expectations index 3 2 1 Page 9
Debt finance availability expectations Over the NEXT 12 MONTHS how do you expect the AVAILABILITY OF DEBT FINANCE to change: 12-month ahead debt finance availability expectations index 5-5 -1-15 -2 Page 1
House capital growth expectations Over the NEXT 12 MONTHS in the state you primarily operate, how do you expect capital values to change for RESIDENTIAL: 4 12-month ahead capital growth expectations index 3 2 1-1 -2 Page 11
Office capital growth expectations Over the NEXT 12 MONTHS in the state you primarily operate, how do you expect capital values to change for OFFICE: 4 12-month ahead capital growth expectations index 3 2 1-1 -2 Page 12
Industrial capital growth expectations Over the NEXT 12 MONTHS in the state you primarily operate, how do you expect capital values to change for INDUSTRIAL: 3 12-month ahead capital growth expectations index 2 1-1 Page 13
Retail capital growth expectations Over the NEXT 12 MONTHS in the state you primarily operate, how do you expect capital values to change for SHOPPING CENTRES: 2 12-month ahead capital growth expectations index 15 1 5-5 Page 14
Retirement living capital growth expectations Over the NEXT 12 MONTHS in the state you primarily operate, how do you expect capital values to change for RETIREMENT LIVING: 7 12-month ahead capital growth expectations index 6 5 4 3 2 1 Page 15
Hotel capital growth expectations Over the NEXT 12 MONTHS in the state you primarily operate, how do you expect capital values to change for HOTELS, TOURISM & LEISURE: 4 12-month ahead capital growth expectations index 3 2 1-1 Page 16
Construction activity expectations by sector 8 Construction activity 12-month expectations index 7 6 5 4 3 2 1-1 Residential Office Industrial Retail Retirement Hotels Page 17
15 13.2 Shift in sentiment: 12 months to June 218 Construction Activity Expectations Index 11.7 11.5 1 Change in index between June 217 and June 218 5-5 4.7-4.9-1 -12. -15 Office Industrial Hotels Retirement Residential Retail Page 18
State Government performance index Is the State/Territory Government where you primarily operate doing a good job planning and managing growth? 2 Government performance index 1-1 -2-3 AVG NSW VIC QLD WA SA ACT Page 19
Federal Government performance index Is the Australian Federal Government doing a good job in delivering policies that encourage jobs and economic growth? 1 Government performance index 5-5 -1-15 Page 2
Critical issue for Federal Government What do you believe is the most critical issue facing the Australian Federal Government? 4% Percentage of respondents 3% 2% 1% % Cities and infrastructure Housing affordability Economic growth Tax reform Energy efficiency Global capital Page 21
12-month cap rate expectations index 5 4.5 12-month ahead cap rate change expectations index 4 3 2 1-1 Prime Secondary.4.5 -.3-1.3 2. -.2 -.2 -.1 2.8.1 2.6 2.5.5-2 SA VIC AUS WA NSW ACT QLD Page 22
Foreign RESIDENTIAL property sales Over the PAST 3 MONTHS, what proportion of total residential property sales in your business have been to foreign (non- Australian resident) buyers: 25% 2% Percentage of sales 15% 1% 5% % Page 23
Foreign COMMERCIAL property sales Over the PAST 3 MONTHS, what proportion of total commercial property sales in your business have been to foreign (non- Australian resident) buyers: 25% 2% Percentage of sales 15% 1% 5% % Page 24
Foreign RETAIL property sales Over the PAST 3 MONTHS, what proportion of total retail property sales in your business have been to foreign (non-australian resident) buyers: 25% 2% Percentage of sales 15% 1% 5% % Page 25
Foreign INDUSTRIAL property sales Over the PAST 3 MONTHS, what proportion of total industrial property sales in your business have been to foreign (non- Australian resident) buyers: 2% 15% Percentage of sales 1% 5% % Page 26
Foreign HOTEL property sales Over the PAST 3 MONTHS, what proportion of total hotel property sales in your business have been to foreign (non-australian resident) buyers: 3% Percentage of sales 2% 1% % Page 27
For more information visit: ANZ/Property Council Survey ANZ Website RCP Website While the material contained in this publication is based on information which the Property Council of Australia (including its Directors, officers, employees and agents) understands to be reliable, its accuracy and completeness cannot be guaranteed. This publication is general and does not take into account the particular circumstances or needs of any person who may read it. You should obtain independent advice from suitably qualified consultants and professionals before making any decisions in relation to the contents of this publication. The Property Council of Australia is not liable and accepts no responsibility for any claim, loss or damage of whatever nature suffered by any person or corporation who relies or seeks to rely on any information, advice or opinion contained in this publication, or otherwise given by the Property Council of Australia. Copyright: This publication is copyright. The Property Council of Australia is the copyright owner. Except as permitted under the Copyright Act 1968 (Cth), no part of this publication may be reproduced, stored in a retrieval system or transmitted in any form or by any means, electronic or otherwise, without the permission of the copyright owner.