Reinsurance. Moses Ojeisekhoba, CEO Reinsurance Alison Martin, Head L&H Business Management Reinsurance

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Transcription:

Reinsurance Moses Ojeisekhoba, CEO Reinsurance Alison Martin, Head L&H Business Management Reinsurance

Swiss Re s largest Business Unit continues to deliver strong results in a challenging environment Today s focus Differentiation is at the core of our strategy and delivers financial results Our differentiation approach continues to show a high level of client satisfaction Transactions leverage distinctive capabilities and deliver profitable growth Continued focus on High Growth Markets remains key to our strategy Technology is an enabler for differentiated solutions and provides tangible benefits L&H Reinsurance delivers stable earnings, supporting a balanced book Selected metrics Return on Equity in % 26.0 FY 3 6.4 P&C Re Combined Ratio in % 83.8 83.7 85.7 26.7 FY 4-7.9 93.8 22.4 FY 5 P&C Re 6.2 6. 2.5 9M 6 L&H Re L&H Re Net Operating Margin in % 8.9 2.2.0 FY 3 FY 4 FY 5 9M 6-0.3 FY 3 FY 4 FY 5 9M 6 Investors' Day Rüschlikon, 2 December 206 4

Knowledge Differentiation is at the core of our strategy, combining tailored offering with unique interaction Client segmentation and tailored offering Client example Unique client interaction Global client Americas APAC EMEA Swiss Re Segmentation based on buying preferences addresses requirements of all client sizes Our dedicated model to serve Globals, Large and Regional & National clients continues to be effective More than 600 distinct interactions between Swiss Re and the client between Q4 20 and Q3 206 Differentiation through understanding of client needs and tailored offering for optimised delivery Investors' Day Rüschlikon, 2 December 206 42

We have increased our share of differentiated profit from 204 to 205 Differentiated economic profit margin % of economic profit margin with Globals and Large client segments Overall 42% 49% Our differentiation efforts lead to tangible and measurable results Share of differentiated economic profit margin improved in the Globals and Large client segments from 42% to 49% Increase in 205 was mainly driven by private deals Preferential terms Share of Wallet 2 Private deals 3 204 205 Preferential terms & conditions: Price and/or terms & conditions above market placement 2 Share of Wallet: Share of business above a defined threshold 3 Private Deals: Deals with 00% share Investors' Day Rüschlikon, 2 December 206 43

Growth Transactions are a strong differentiator, offering a profitable opportunity for growth 0,8 Development of transactions EVM underwriting profit from transactions substantially increased over the past 6 years In 205, 35% of total EVM new business underwriting profits generated by transactions EVM underwriting profit in USD bn All figures as priced 0,6 +3% 49% 0,4 47% 2% 5% 57% 0,2 0,0 20% 80% 200 88% 20 49% 202 L&H 53% 203 P&C 43% 204 5% 205 P&C Re treaty renewals (YTD October 206): premiums from transactions increased by 8% (4% of total premiums) premiums from conventional business decreased by 4% Data before external retro and other items, FX not restated; transactions include structured deals and large transactions Investors' Day Rüschlikon, 2 December 206 44

The positive impact of our differentiation strategy is also confirmed by client surveys Client loyalty result development NPS 50 45 40 35 Net Promoter Score From 20 to 206, we increased our score from 30 to 47 30 20 202 203 204 205 H206 Flaspöhler 2 P&C 2 3 20/2 203/4 205/H6 Asia EMEA Lat Am US Flaspöhler 2 We are # in P&C in all markets, except for Latin America NMG 3 L&H 2 3 203 204 205 Net promotor score (Swiss Re measurement with own clients) 2 Best Overall category (no survey for Asia and EMEA in 205/6) 3 Business Capability Index 4 Measurement with own clients Target Markets (global) All Markets (global) NMG 3 Ranked # in our target markets 4 in 205 Investors' Day Rüschlikon, 2 December 206 45

We differentiate through active cycle management and manage capacity according to price adequacy 6-year comparison of Nat Cat Capacity and LTPA Tropical Cyclone North Atlantic Earthquake California 20 202 203 204 205 206 20 202 203 204 205 206 Windstorm Europe Earthquake Japan 20 202 203 204 205 206 20 202 203 204 205 206 Capacity LTPA (long-term price adequacy) We maintain underwriting discipline, deploying our capacity where expected profitability meets our targets Investors' Day Rüschlikon, 2 December 206 46

Our P&C Reinsurance portfolio is well balanced and generates attractive economic returns, including long tail lines Treaty year, 9 months 206 Premium split Main line of business Nominal Technical Combined Ratio Economic Technical Combined Ratio 4% Property 78% 77% 35% Casualty 97% 92% 5% < Specialty 82% 79% Property Casualty Specialty Total 89% 85% While nominal combined ratios for Casualty business tend to be higher, the attractiveness of the business is better recognised by economic metrics Economic combined ratios calculated based on risk-free discount rates and average duration of the line of business without assuming an outperformance on the investment side Note: technical combined ratio excludes operating expenses All premiums, claims and commissions discounted with risk free rates, currency adjusted Investors' Day Rüschlikon, 2 December 206 47

Growth Our expansion in High Growth Markets is focused on sustainable growth Premium development in HGM US GAAP Gross Earned Premiums (USD bn) 6 5 +7% 34% 26% 4 27% 36% 8% 6% 3 33% 9% 5% 7% 2 9% 27% 44% 40% 42% 35% 34% 42% 2% 20% 47% Growth trend despite adverse fx development while maintaining disciplined underwriting Diversified portfolio across focus markets and product themes Development of strong local talent base with local knowledge to identify opportunities and drive sustainable growth Full engagement with local regulatory regimes 0 6% 200 3% 20 2% 202 2% 203 0% 204 2% 205 2% 9M 206 Motor China Asia Europe, Middle East & Africa Americas Total Premium in million USD, before external retro and other items, avg. Q3 206 fx Investors' Day Rüschlikon, 2 December 206 48

Knowledge Technology is an enabler for differentiated solutions and provides tangible benefits Technology solutions are being developed across lines of business and the value chain Product Design Distribution & Sales Underwriting Business Management Claims Leveraging technology to better understand risks, improve underwriting and increase the efficiency of reinsurance Selective strategic investments to ensure proximity to innovation and further development of value proposition Additional client services Benefit for client Benefit for Swiss Re Improved internal efficiency Benefit for Swiss Re Motor Telematics End-to-end telematics platform L&H Underwriting Analytics Document screening; prioritisation through advanced text mining Smoker Propensity Predictive analytics to streamline UW process Nat Cat Exposure Intelligence Linking identical risks to generate new insights Watson P&C Business Management Intelligence tool Big data techniques for claims management Blockchain Founding member of B3i initiative to explore use of Blockchain in insurance Research stage Increase in premiums Decrease in claims Reduce expenses Investors' Day Rüschlikon, 2 December 206 49

Life & Health Reinsurance remains strategically attractive for Swiss Re and delivers returns in line with our target 300 250 200 50 Swiss Re L&H Re net income and ROE 20% 5% 0% Significant management actions in 204 set the foundation for profitable growth Since the beginning of 205 the segment shows strong underlying results New business shows attractive EVM profits which translate into US GAAP earnings over time Management of in-force business continues to be a key priority 00 50 5% 0 Q 5 Q2 5 Q3 5 Q4 5 Q 6 Q2 6 Q3 6 0% Net income (USD m) ROE annualised (%) ROE target range (over the cycle) We remain committed to our ROE target of 0-2% over the cycle Investors' Day Rüschlikon, 2 December 206 50

Growth Profitable new business has improved the diversification of our Life & Health Reinsurance portfolio US GAAP premiums by product line US GAAP premiums by country/region USD 8.0bn % 2% 5% % 7% 0% 8% USD.0bn 6% 3% 7% 5% 6% 0% % USD 8.0bn 7% 9% 40% USD.0bn 0% 0% 40% 66% 52% 44% 40% 200 205 200 205 Longevity Individual Disability & Care Medical Fixed Benefit Medical Reimbursement Group Disability & Care Critical Illness Group Mortality Individual Mortality Asia Australia and New Zealand EMEA Americas Strong growth in Asia (from USD 0.6bn in 200 to.bn in 205) driven by Health and transactions Increased product, duration and geographic diversification is key to reducing US GAAP volatility Investors' Day Rüschlikon, 2 December 206 5

A more diversified mix of product lines also ensures attractive and sustainable cash generation Free cash generation Illustrative Value generated relative to time to run-off More diversified mix of product lines reduces US GAAP earnings volatility and ensures attractive and sustainable cash generation We expect longer lines of business to compensate duration with higher cash generation Portfolio run-off in years Cash generated in excess of the change in statutory reserves and regulatory capital Investors' Day Rüschlikon, 2 December 206 52

Knowledge Growth We are uniquely positioned to capitalise on growth opportunities Excellent market position and outlook Industry leading underwriting ~7% L&H market share in 205 Ranked # in our target markets based on NMG survey Significant opportunity to support clients to close mortality and morbidity protection gaps Life Guide is the industry s # underwriting manual used by >900 companies in >00 countries website with >20 million annual hits Magnum is our automated underwriting solution Processing 30 000 applications daily Used as point-of-sale on 00 000+ tablets in China Active in force management Innovation leader Active value enhancement on US level term: actuarial analysis and behavioural economics persistency improvement from 4% to 49% at the end of the level term period Claims rehabilitation to help consumers back to work Benchmark retention management tools to improve client's persistency Tangible results from innovative analytics 33% reduction in lapses by changing renewal letter application form change increased smoking disclosure by 4% New ways to connect data and create digital opportunities Investors' Day Rüschlikon, 2 December 206 53

Key messages & outlook Our differentiation strategy proves to be successful Transactions remain a strong differentiator and enable selected growth in a challenging market High Growth Markets remain a key element of our strategy Technology is and will be an enabler for differentiated solutions Life & Health Reinsurance is supporting a balanced reinsurance portfolio We are committed to our disciplined underwriting approach Investors' Day Rüschlikon, 2 December 206 54

Corporate calendar & contacts Corporate calendar 207 23 February Annual Results 206 Conference call 6 March Publication of Annual Report 206 2 April 53 rd Annual General Meeting Zurich Investor Relations contacts Hotline E-mail +4 43 285 4444 Investor_Relations@swissre.com Philippe Brahin Jutta Bopp Manfred Gasser +4 43 285 722 +4 43 285 5877 +4 43 285 556 Chris Menth Iunia Rauch-Chisacof +4 43 285 3878 +4 43 285 7844

Cautionary note on forward-looking statements Certain statements and illustrations contained herein are forward-looking. These statements (including as to plans objectives, targets and trends) and illustrations provide current expectations of future events based on certain assumptions and include any statement that does not directly relate to a historical fact or current fact. Forward-looking statements typically are identified by words or phrases such as anticipate, assume, believe, continue, estimate, expect, foresee, intend, may increase and may fluctuate and similar expressions or by future or conditional verbs such as will, should, would and could. These forward-looking statements involve known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors, which may cause Swiss Re s actual results of operations, financial condition, solvency ratios, capital or liquidity positions, or prospects to be materially different from any future results of operations, financial condition, solvency ratios, capital or liquidity positions, or prospects expressed or implied by such statements or cause Swiss Re to not achieve its published targets. Such factors include, among others: further instability affecting the global financial system and developments related thereto; further deterioration in global economic conditions; Swiss Re s ability to maintain sufficient liquidity and access to capital markets, including sufficient liquidity to cover potential recapture of reinsurance agreements, early calls of debt or debt-like arrangements and collateral calls due to actual or perceived deterioration of Swiss Re s financial strength or otherwise; the effect of market conditions, including the global equity and credit markets, and the level and volatility of equity prices, interest rates, credit spreads, currency values and other market indices, on Swiss Re s investment assets; changes in Swiss Re s investment result as a result of changes in its investment policy or the changed composition of its investment assets, and the impact of the timing of any such changes relative to changes in market conditions; uncertainties in valuing credit default swaps and other credit-related instruments; possible inability to realise amounts on sales of securities on Swiss Re s balance sheet equivalent to their mark-to-market values recorded for accounting purposes; the outcome of tax audits, the ability to realise tax loss carryforwards and the ability to realise deferred tax assets (including by reason of the mix of earnings in a jurisdiction or deemed change of control), which could negatively impact future earnings; the possibility that Swiss Re s hedging arrangements may not be effective; the lowering or loss of one of the financial strength or other ratings of one or more Swiss Re companies, and developments adversely affecting Swiss Re s ability to achieve improved ratings; the cyclicality of the reinsurance industry; uncertainties in estimating reserves; uncertainties in estimating future claims for purposes of financial reporting, particularly with respect to large natural catastrophes, as significant uncertainties may be involved in estimating losses from such events and preliminary estimates may be subject to change as new information becomes available; the frequency, severity and development of insured claim events; acts of terrorism and acts of war; mortality, morbidity and longevity experience; policy renewal and lapse rates; extraordinary events affecting Swiss Re s clients and other counterparties, such as bankruptcies, liquidations and other credit-related events; current, pending and future legislation and regulation affecting Swiss Re or its ceding companies, and the interpretation of legislation or regulations by regulators; legal actions or regulatory investigations or actions, including those in respect of industry requirements or business conduct rules of general applicability; changes in accounting standards; significant investments, acquisitions or dispositions, and any delays, unexpected costs or other issues experienced in connection with any such transactions; changing levels of competition; and operational factors, including the efficacy of risk management and other internal procedures in managing the foregoing risks. These factors are not exhaustive. Swiss Re operates in a continually changing environment and new risks emerge continually. Readers are cautioned not to place undue reliance on forward-looking statements. Swiss Re undertakes no obligation to publicly revise or update any forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise. This communication is not intended to be a recommendation to buy, sell or hold securities and does not constitute an offer for the sale of, or the solicitation of an offer to buy, securities in any jurisdiction, including the United States. Any such offer will only be made by means of a prospectus or offering memorandum, and in compliance with applicable securities laws.