Pensions: Basic Concepts and international debate. Bogor, Indonesia 6 March 2017

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Transcription:

Pensions: Basic Concepts and international debate Bogor, Indonesia 6 March 2017

Situation of the elderly Reduced capacity to work Low income or no income at all Deteriorating health conditions Suffering from partial or full disability

Income support historically guaranteed by families or communities Different demographic framework Different urban/rural distribution Voluntary saving in kind (cattle, crops, land, house) and in currencies Solidarity related with proximity was a key element to cope with risks

URBANIZATION AND DEMOGRAPHIC NEW SET OF CHALLENGES Next stage: Enterprises began providing pension insurance mainly to tie workers to the workplace ensure companies could renovate their workforce Either they: financed provisions, at and after the point of retirement Paid contributions for their workers into individual accounts outside the enterprises accounts

BIG CHALLENGE Need of re-insurance in case of company s bankrupcy same applies for private financial institution Pension is a long term financial commitment how many companies exist after 30 and 50 years?

NATIONAL TRANSFER ACCOUNTS Name: Calibri, Regular 20 pt In the absence of an adequate pension system: - Major impact in terms of households economic strategies - Negative impact on children education - Negative impact on the country future productivity

Pension systems

Pension Design: Tax-based scheme For those who reach or are already in retirement age but did not had the chance to contribute to their pension Coverage Qualifying conditions Benefit amount Financing Universal Residency Flat rate Government revenue Mean-tested Low or no income

Pension Design: Contributory social insurance scheme Coverage Qualifying conditions Benefit amount Financing Wage earners Civil servants Sometimes informal workers Attainment of the retirement age Number of contributing years/months According to a defined formula reflecting number of contributing years and individual earnings According to the amount of contributions accumulated and the return from investment on accumulated savings Flat-rate contributions Fixed contribution rate as a percentage of salaries

Relation between contribution and benefits (i) Defined-Contribution (DC) Based on individual saving accounts Strong tie between contributions and benefits Contributions are accumulated in the account and credited with investment returns At the moment of retirement beneficiaries can receive a lump sum payment or can purchase annuities 10

Relation between contribution and benefits Defined-Benefit (DB) Benefit calculation decided in laws/ regulations The level of benefits is determined by a formula that defines the relation between the beneficiary wage history, Contribution schedules planned based on future projections Assets are not in individual accounts but instead in a central pool 11

Funding Options Fully funded Pensions are paid out of a fund built over a period Pensions are based on savings: contributions are invested in assets, the return on which is credited to the system s fund DC are automatically fully funded 12

Funding Options Pay-as-you-go (PAYG) Paid out of current contributions. Very low level of reserves Rely almost exclusively on the future contributions 13

Funding Options Partially funded Payment of pensions are out of: a combination of current contributions, returns on assets and sometimes their sale Require a certain prescribed minimum level of reserves. Less than the actuarial equivalent of all their future liabilities. The reserve level can be defined by law. 14

In a pure PAYG model % salaries % Salaries Years 15

Partially funded (I) General Average Premium % Salaries Actuarial Reserve Years 16

Partially funded (II) Scaled Premium System % Salaries Contribution 3 Accumulation of a technical reserve Contribution 1 Contribution 2 Equilibrium periods Years 17

Only 51% Older Persons Receive a Pension 18

Why is the coverage level so low?

Example of the current situation in many countries existing situation High Benefit Level (% of Average Wage) Defined benefit Publicly managed Mandatory Contributory Low Poorer elderly Individual Wage as a % of Average Wage Level Richer elderly

Example of the current situation in many countries Existing situation High Benefit Level (% of Average Wage) Defined contribution Publicly managed Mandatory Contributory Low Poorer elderly Individual Wage as a % of Average Wage Level Richer elderly

Example of the current situation in many countries Option 1 High Low Benefit Level (% of Average Wage) Social pension Publicly managed Categorical (rural) Non-contributory Defined benefit Publicly managed Mandatory Contributory Defined contribution Privately managed Voluntary Contributory Poorer elderly Individual Wage as a % of Average Wage Level Richer elderly

Example of the current situation in many countries Existing situation High Benefit Level (% of Average Wage) Social pension Publicly managed Categorical (rural) Non-contributory Defined contribution Publicly managed Mandatory Contributory Low Poorer elderly Individual Wage as a % of Average Wage Level Richer elderly

Example of the current situation in many countries Option 2 High Benefit Level (% of Average Wage) Social pension Publicly managed Pension tested Non-contributor Defined contribution Privately managed Voluntary Contributory Social pension Publicly managed Categorical (rural) Non-contributor Defined benefit Publicly managed Mandatory Contributory Low Poorer elderly Individual Wage as a % of Average Wage Level Richer elderly

Example of the current situation in many countries Option 3 High Benefit Level (% of Average Wage) Defined contribution Privately managed Voluntary Contributory Social pension Publicly managed Universal Non-contributory Defined benefit Publicly managed Mandatory Contributory Low Poorer elderly Individual Wage as a % of Average Wage Level Richer elderly

Example of the current situation in many countries Option 3 High Benefit Level (% of Average Wage) Social pension Publicly managed Universal Non-contributory Defined contribution Privately managed Mandatory Contributory Low Poorer elderly Individual Wage as a % of Average Wage Level Richer elderly

Adequacy & Sustainability Adequacy of retirement incomes is essentially a microeconomic concept: operationalising it involves assessing individual pension entitlements against a benchmark. Sustainability is a macroeconomic concept: it refers to the finances of the pension system as a whole

Defining Adequacy The adequacy of levels of pension is measured at the bottom by its ability to prevent and mitigate poverty In the middle adequacy is measured by its capacity to replace earned income in the last year before retirement

Adequacy & Sustainability Adequacy and sustainability are joint and interlinked objectives of social policy two sides of the same coin; Adequacy/sustainability are always defined nationally as part of the broader implicit or explicit social contract Adequate and sustainable is what society agreed as adequate and sustainable

SOME CONCRETE COUNTRY EXAMPLES

Pension System in Thailand Protection level Government Pension Fund (GPF) Government Officials pension scheme Provident Fund Mandatory old-age branch (Social Security System) Voluntary old-age branch (Social Security System) National Saving Fund Universal Pension Scheme Governmen t officials Formal sector Private employees Informal sector

Pension System in Japan Number enrolled Unit: thousand 580 110 3400 6470 (Unless otherwise noted, the figures are as of the end of March 2010) 2500 4600 National Pension Funds Defined Contribution Pension(Individual type) Defined Contribution Pension (Corporate type) Defined Benefit Corporate Pension Qualified Retirement Pension Employees Pension Insurance 34250 Employees Pension Funds (Delegated portion) (Profession based addition) Mutual aid pension 4470 March 31, 2009 National Pension (Basic Pension) Class 2 insured person s dependant spouses Self employed, etc. Salarymen in private employment Public officer, etc. 10.21 mil. Class 3 insured persons 19.85 mil. 38.72 mil. Class 1 insured persons Class 2 insured persons 68.78 mil. 33

Pension System: Republic of Korea 3 rd Pillar Private Pension 2 nd Pillar Public / Military Occupational Pension Retirement Pension 1 st Pillar National Pension 0 Pillar Basic Pension National Basic Livelihood Security Category Government employees Employees Self - em plo yed Non-work force

Pension System: Timor-Leste High Benefit Level (% of Average Wage) Social pension Publicly managed Universal Non-contributory Low Poorer elderly Individual Wage as a % of Average Wage Level Richer elderly

Thank you Name: Calibri, Regular 20 pt