Review of 9M12 Results

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Transcription:

Review of Results 13November 2012

Notice This presentation does not constitute an offer or invitation to purchase or subscription for any securities and no part of it shall form the basis of or be relied upon in connection with any contract or commitment whatsoever. The information contained in this document has not been independently verified. No representation or warranty express or implied is made as to and no reliance should be placed on, the accuracy, completeness, correctness or fairness of the information or opinions contained herein. Neither the company nor any of its affiliates, advisors or representatives shall have any liability whatsoever (for negligence or otherwise) with respect to any loss howsoever arising from any use by third parties of this presentation or its contents or otherwise arising in connection with it. Turkish ad market figures are estimates of DYH; based on currently available data. Ad market statistics may show inconsistency with IFRS figures. 2

Major Developments in Hürriyet 1 New vision: Global Media Brand that provides news, content and services 7/24 in every channel, in every format adding value to the readers & customers lives with a continuous interactivity 2 New modern headquarters: Hürriyet Dünyası 3 New approach to journalism: Convergence of print & online newsroom 4 New innovative newspaper format 5 New targets: GO 2015 project to reach an audience of 10 mn 6 Organizational restructuring to achieve these 3

Ad market in Turkey* Total Ad Market (TL mn) +4.3% 3,176 3,312 TV Advertising (TL mn) +2.4% 1,592 1,631 9M11 9M11 Newspaper Advertising (TL mn) Hürriyet Domestic Ad Rev.** (TL mn) 714-3.8% 687 276 +0.6% 277 9M11 9M11 * Ad market statistics are estimates compiled by DYH ad platform, based on 25 national newspapers. ** Includes all domestic online & offline advertising revenues, minus all IFRS adjustments 4

Circulation market * National Circulation (000) Hürriyet Circulation (000) -1.4% -6.6% 4,794 4,726 439 411 9M11 9M11 Most of the major market players lost circulation volume between 4%-21%. * Circulation figures are daily averages for related period. Total circulation figures are Dogan Dagitim estimates. 5

Financial Results: Summary Revenues (TL mn) -0.7% Consolidated revenues amounted to TL 626 mn in (9M11:TL630mn). 579 587 630 626 Consolidated EBITDA increased by 0,9 % to TL 90 mn in(9m11:tl89mn). Consolidated EBITDA margin increased to 14.4% (9M11:14.2%). TL 156.2 mn of net Profit has been realized in (9M11:-TL91.1mn). 9M09 9M10 9M11 EBITDA (TL mn) +0,9% 116 118 89 90 9M09 9M10 9M11 6

Print & Online Advertising Revenues Print Ad Revenue (TL mn) Online Revenue (TL mn) -4% 369 356-8% 113 103 50 +30% +30% 65-1% 257 253 +29% 9M11 Online Share in Ad Revenue Hürriyet s domestic print ad revenues outperformed the market which shrank by 4%. TME s online revenues continued to grow favorably by 30%, supported by marketing campaigns. Domestic online revenues grew parallel to the market with an increase of 29%. 15% (9M11: 12%) 7

Circulation Revenue Circulation Revenue (TL mn) +1.1% 83 83 13-12% 11 +3% 70 72 9M11 Hürriyet s market share in circulation was 9% in. Domestic circulation revenues increased by 3,4%, due to cover price changes in 4Q11 and 2Q12. 8

Production expenses Cost of Sales (TL mn) Raw material costs (TL mn) 390-1% 386 165-2% 162 94 80-15% -18% 296 305 +3% +3% 9M11 Hürriyet Newspaper 9M11 YoY (Ch.) Average number of pages 80.32 78.03-2.3 Main paper 37.8 37.6-0.1 Supplements 42.5 40.4-2.2 9M11 YoY (Ch.) Average Newsprint Prices ($/Ton) 747 761 1.9% 9M11 YoY (Ch.) Average USD/TL rate 1.6181 1.7939 10.9% 9

Operating expenses* Sales, marketing and distribution costs (TL mn) General administrative costs (TL mn) 97 +5% -8% 19 21 +11% 102 124 71-4% 114 68 78 80 +3% -14% 53 46 9M11 9M11 The 11% increase in TME s sales, marketing & distribution costs are mainly due to advertising expenses for online operations. Hürriyet advertising expenses increased by 5%. General administrative costs decreases in both companies, are due to strict cost measures taken. * Due to some re-allocation of mainly personnel costs, there has been re-classifications in COGS, marketing, sales & distribution expenses and general administrative expenses in 2011. Therefore, 9M11 results were adjusted to be in line with the news allocation structure. 10

Personel expenses Personel Expenses (TL mn) -9% 63 57 185-1% 182-11% -6% -8% +1% Hürriyet : Due to organizational re-structuring, headcount decreased significantly. Costs remained flat due to severance payments. The composition of total number of personnel changed in favor of online. TME: TME personnel costs decreased by 6%. The total decrease in headcount was even higher. 11

Net Debt Position mn TL 31/12/2011 30/09/2012 Cash and Equivalents* 285 88 S.T Bank Borrowings 233 291 L.T Bank Borrowings 303 202 Net Debt -252-405 Capex 32 48 Supplier Loans 67 50 mn $ 31/12/2011 30/09/2012 Cash and Equivalents 151 50 S.T Bank Borrowings 124 163 L.T Bank Borrowings 160 113 Net Debt -133-227 Capex 19 27 Supplier Loans 35 28 The significant decrease in cash is due to mainly two reasons; 1) In July 12, repayment of $ 50 mn loan obtained from Doğan Holding 2) Expiration of Factoring agreement amounting to $ 77 mn When these effects are excluded from 2011 cash, there is an improvement in net debt position. NetdebtpositionofTL405mn(USD227mn)includesTME snetdebtoftl97mn(usd54mn). *CashandEquivalentsofTL285mnin31.12.2011includesaroundTL3.3mnofblockeddeposit. 12

IFRS Results(mn $): TME mn $ 9M11 YoY (%) Sales 92.7 108.7-15% Cost of sales -44.7-58.1-23% Marketing, selling and distribution expenses -13.0-12.1 7% General administrative expenses -29.4-35.4-17% Other income 3.5 0.9 289% Operating profit 9.1 4.0 128% Financial income /(expense), net -0.6-10.4 - Tax Income /(expense) -3.1-1.4 - Net profit for the year 5.4-7.8 - Attributable to: Equity holders of the parent 3.8-9.7 - Non-controlling interests 1.6 1.7-13

Revenue Growth by Regions TME stand alone mn $ 3Q11 3Q12 % Ch. % Ch. % Ch. % Ch. 9M11 (USD) (LCY) (USD) (LCY) Russia 26.9 24.0-11% -2% 83.5 72.2-14% -7% Moscow 12.0 10.4-13% -4% 40.0 32.9-18% -11% Other Russia 15.0 13.7-9% 0.3% 43.5 39.2-10% -3% CIS 4.8 4.8-0.1% 20% 14.7 13.5-8% 21% CEE 3.4 2.2-35% -25% 10.5 7.0-33% -24% Total 35.1 31.0-12% -0.1% 108.7 92.7-15% -4% Other Russia 42% 2 pp Revenue Breakdown by Regions CIS 15% 1 pp CEE 8% 2 pp Moscow 36% 1 pp pp and % change, YoY 14

Online Revenue Growth by Regions TME stand alone Online Revenue (mn $) 3Q11 3Q12 % Ch. % Ch. % Ch. % Ch. 9M11 (USD) (LCY) (USD) (LCY) Russia 5.1 6.4 26% 38% 14.1 17.7 26% 36% Moscow 3.7 4.4 19% 31% 10.6 12.7 20% 29% Other Russia 1.3 1.9 43% 57% 3.5 5.1 44% 56% CIS 0.4 0.6 64% 113% 1.0 1.6 51% 127% CEE 1.3 0.9-26% -14% 3.9 3.1-21% -9% Total 6.7 7.9 18% 37% 19.1 22.4 17% 36% Online Share in Total Revenues 18% 9M11 $ 19.1 mn +17% $ 22.4 mn 24% 15

EBITDA by Regions TME stand alone mn $ 3Q11 3Q12 % Ch. % Ch. 9M11 (USD) (USD) Russia 3.6 4.4 21% 9.7 10.2 6% Moscow -0.1 0.6 N.A 2.0 0.8-61% Other Russia 3.8 3.8 2% 7.7 9.5 23% CIS 1.1 1.2 7% 3.0 3.2 8% CEE 0.4 0.04-90% 0.9 0.2-84% Operational EBITDA 5.2 5.7 9% 13.6 13.6 0.2% Corporate Costs 0.8 0.8 5% 2.4 2.1-13% Consolidated EBITDA 4.4 4.9 10% 11.1 11.5 3% EBITDA Breakdown by Regions 6pp CEE 1% Moscow 6% 9 pp CIS 24% 2pp Other Russia 70% 13 pp pp and % change, YoY 16

EBITDA Margins by Regions TME stand alone mn $ 3Q11 3Q12 pp ch. 9M11 pp ch. Russia 13.5% 18.3% 5% 11.6% 14.2% 3% Moscow -1.0% 5.3% 6% 4.9% 2.3% -3% Other Russia 25.1% 28.2% 3% 17.7% 24.1% 6% CIS 23.7% 25.3% 2% 20.3% 23.8% 4% CEE 12.2% 1.9% -10% 8.8% 2.1% -7% O. EBITDA Margin 14.8% 18.2% 3% 12.5% 14.7% 2% C. EBITDA Margin 12.7% 15.7% 3% 10.3% 12.4% 2% 17

Outlook 1 Print advertising revenue for Hürriyet domestic operations is expected to be flat due to newspaper ad market conditions. 2 Online advertising revenue from domestic operations is expected to increase around 30% in 2012. 3 TME revenue could be lower than 2011 level in dollar terms, due to the transition from offline to online. 4 EBITDA margin is expected to be around 15% for Hürriyet excluding TME and around 12% for TME. 5 Average newsprint prices are estimated to decrease by 1% in 2012 and average out around 750-760 $/ton. 18

Appendix 19

Consolidated IFRS Results mn TL 1Q12 2Q12 3Q12 3Q11 YoY% Ch. 9M11 YoY% Ch. Total revenues 199.1 231.5 195.3 200.3-2% 625.9 630.0-0.7% Ad revenues (print) 1 109.6 138.2 108.3 112.4-4% 356.1 369.1-3.5% Ad revenues (online) 19.1 23.9 21.6 17.3 25% 64.6 49.9 29.6% Circulation revenues 28.4 27.7 27.3 27.3 0% 83.5 82.6 1.1% Printing revenues 31.4 29.6 28.7 31.1-8% 89.7 89.1 0.6% Other revenues 10.5 12.0 9.4 12.2-23% 32.0 39.3-18.7% Cost of sales -130.4-134.0-121.2-133.5-9% -385.5-390.2-1.2% Operating expenses -72.7-75.9-66.8-70.1-5% -215.4-221.0-2.5% Marketing, sales and distribution -33.0-37.8-30.8-30.3 2% -101.6-96.8 5.0% General administrative -39.7-38.2-35.9-39.8-10% -113.7-124.1-8.4% Operating profit -4.0 21.6 7.4-3.3 25.0 18.9 32% Other operating expenses (net) 141.4-3.0-2.3-7.5-69% 136.0-29.9 Income/loss from investments -2.7-3.0-2.0-1.9-7.7-6.7 Financial expense (net) 33.7-24.8 8.0-61.3 17.0-85.3 Profit before tax 168.4-9.2 11.1-73.9 170.3-102.9 Tax -17.6 5.8-3.0 4.0-14.8 1.9 Net profit before minority 150.9-3.3 8.0-69.9 155.6-101.0 Minority Interest -0.9 3.6-2.1 7.4 0.6 10.0 Net profit 149.9 0.3 5.9-62.5 156.2-91.1 Depreciation 19.4 19.2 19.0 21.3-11% 57.6 64.5-10.6% Amortised cost valuation income 2 2.1 3.3 2.1 1.3 54% 7.5 5.9 26.6% Adj.EBITDA 17.5 44.1 28.5 19.3 47% 90.1 89.3 0.9% EBITDA Margin 8.8% 19.1% 14.6% 9.7% 14.4% 14.2% (1) Excludes amortized cost valuation income, which is part of ad revenues classified under interest income according to IFRS regulations. (2) TL 1.8 mn has been reclassed as a net of to financial expenses in 2Q12. Therefore, the same amount has been netted off 1Q12 as well, since it is been originated in 1Q12. 20

IFRS Results: Hürriyet excluding TME mn TL 1Q12 2Q12 3Q12 3Q11 YoY% Ch. 9M11 YoY% Ch. Total revenues 148.1 171.9 139.6 139.5 0.04% 459.6 454.1 1.2% Ad revenues (print) 1 77.9 101.5 73.4 73.0 0.6% 252.8 256.6-1.5% Ad revenues (online) 7.4 9.7 7.4 5.8 26.6% 24.4 19.0 28.6% Circulation revenues 24.5 24.2 23.7 23.3 2.0% 72.4 70.0 3.4% Printing revenues 31.4 29.6 28.7 30.9-7.2% 89.7 88.6 1.2% Other revenues 7.0 6.9 6.4 6.6-2.8% 20.2 19.8 1.9% Cost of sales -104.1-105.7-95.5-101.3-5.8% -305.3-296.2 3.1% Operating expenses -43.1-45.5-37.7-45.4-17.0% -126.4-136.2-7.2% Marketing, sales and distribution -26.8-30.1-23.4-23.5-0.3% -80.3-77.6 3.4% General administrative -16.3-15.5-14.3-22.0-34.9% -46.1-58.6-21.3% Operating profit 0.9 20.6 6.4-7.2 27.9 21.7 29.0% Other operating expenses (net) 141.3-2.7-2.6-6.6-60.5% 136.0-28.5 Depreciation 12.0 11.0 11.2 12.7-12.2% 34.2 39.0-12.5% Amortised cost valuation income 2 2.1 3.3 2.1 1.3 54.0% 7.5 5.9 26.6% Adj.EBITDA 15.0 35.0 19.7 6.9 186.6% 69.6 66.6 4.4% EBITDA Margin 10.1% 20.3% 14.1% 4.9% 15.1% 14.7% (1) Excludes amortized cost valuation income, which is part of ad revenues classified under interest income according to IFRS regulations. (2) TL 1.8 mn has been reclassed as a net of to financial expenses in 2Q12. Therefore, the same amount has been netted off 1Q12 as well, since it is been originated in 1Q12. 21

Newsprint prices Average Newsprint Costs (US$) * 817 747 769 759 761 661 684 737 619 563 631 501 492 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 * Including all costs and expenses like custom duties, transportation etc. 22

Hürriyet s major advertisers Sectors 9M11 Real Estate 18% 17% Retail 9% 10% Automotive 8% 9% Classifieds (incl. HR) 10% 9% Social 7% 9% Tourism 7% 8% Finance 5% 5% Education 4% 4% Entertainment, Culture, art & sports 3% 3% Textile 3% 3% First 10 Total 75% 76% Others 25% 24% 23

Investor Contact http://www.hurriyetcorporate.com http://www.dyh.com.tr http://www.tmeast.com ir@hurriyet.com.tr (90) 2124496030 24