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Transcription:

FY16 RESULTS BRIEFING H U G H M A R K S C H I E F E X E C U T I V E O F F I C E R G R E G B A R N E S C H I E F F I N A N C I A L O F F I C E R M I C H A E L S T E P H E N S O N C H I E F S A L E S O F F I C E R A L E X P A R S O N S C H I E F D I G I T A L & M A R K E T I N G O F F I C E R A U G U S T 2 5, 2 0 1 6

DISCLAIMER Important Notice and Disclaimer This document is a presentation of general background information about the activities of Nine Entertainment Co. Holdings Limited ( NEC ) current at the date of the presentation, (25 August 2016). The information contained in this presentation is of general background and does not purport to be complete. It is not intended to be relied upon as advice to investors or potential investors and does not take into account the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any particular investor. These should be considered, with or without professional advice, when deciding if an investment is appropriate. NEC, its related bodies corporate and any of their respective officers, directors and employees ( NEC Parties ), do not warrant the accuracy or reliability of this information, and disclaim any responsibility and liability flowing from the use of this information by any party. To the maximum extent permitted by law, the NEC Parties do not accept any liability to any person, organisation or entity for any loss or damage suffered as a result of reliance on this document. Forward Looking Statements This document contains certain forward looking statements and comments about future events, including NEC s expectations about the performance of its businesses. Forward looking statements can generally be identified by the use of forward looking words such as, expect, anticipate, likely, intend, should, could, may, predict, plan, propose, will, believe, forecast, estimate, target and other similar expressions within the meaning of securities laws of applicable jurisdictions. Indications of, and guidance on, future earnings or financial position or performance are also forward looking statements. Forward looking statements involve inherent risks and uncertainties, both general and specific, and there is a risk that such predictions, forecasts, projections and other forward looking statements will not be achieved. Forward looking statements are provided as a general guide only, and should not be relied on as an indication or guarantee of future performance. Forward looking statements involve known and unknown risks, uncertainty and other factors which can cause NEC s actual results to differ materially from the plans, objectives, expectations, estimates and intentions expressed in such forward looking statements and many of these factors are outside the control of NEC. As such, undue reliance should not be placed on any forward looking statement. Past performance is not necessarily a guide to future performance and no representation or warranty is made by any person as to the likelihood of achievement or reasonableness of any forward looking statements, forecast financial information or other forecast. Nothing contained in this presentation nor any information made available to you is, or shall be relied upon as, a promise, representation, warranty or guarantee as to the past, present or the future performance of NEC. Pro Forma Financial Information The Company has set out in this presentation certain non-ifrs financial information, in addition to information regarding its IFRS statutory information. The Company considers that this non-ifrs financial information is important to assist in evaluating the Company s performance. The information is presented to assist in making appropriate comparisons with prior periods and to assess the operating performance of the business. For a reconciliation of the non-ifrs financial information contained in this presentation to IFRS-compliant comparative information, refer to the Appendices of this presentation. All dollar values are in Australian dollars (A$) unless otherwise stated. 2

KEY FINANCIALS PROFIT AFTER TAX 1 $120M TV EARNINGS DOWN 11% DIGITAL PROFIT UP 19% TO 13% OF GROUP EBITDA 1 REPORTED GROUP COSTS DOWN 6.5% OR -2% INCL. ALL WARNER COSTS 0.9X NET DEBT TO EBITDA 1 INCL SXL INVESTMENT FULL YEAR DIVIDEND OF 12 CPS UP 30% 1 Before Specific Items, Pro Forma, excluding Nine Live 3

OPERATIONAL HIGHLIGHTS Launch of 9HD, 9Life and 9Now creating world class consumer options Established nine.com.au proprietary data proposition Finalised NRL rights agreement through 2022 Secured new affiliate deal on improved terms with Southern Cross Austereo Industry-wide licence fee reduction Well advanced in transformation of Digital business Stan performing ahead of business plan 4

For personal use only SOLID RESULT IN A TRANSITIONAL YEAR Revenue down 6.5% Challenging market conditions in FTA Refocussed digital business Costs down 2% adjusted for Warner Includes $11m licence fee reduction NPAT, continuing businesses (pre-specific items) of $120m Specific Item gain of $203m after tax, inclusive of the sale of Nine Live EPS steady (pre-specific Items) $49m of share buy-back during FY16 DPS of 12.0 cents, up 30% $m FY16 FY15 Variance 1,282.4 1,371.4-6.5% Group EBITDA1 201.7 217.2-7.1% EBIT1 169.5 187.1-9.4% NPAT1 (continuing businesses) 120.3 129.5-7.1% Statutory Net Profit 324.8 (592.2) nm Earnings per Share, before Specific Items cents1 13.7 13.8-0.7% Earnings per Share, Statutory cents 36.9 (63.3) nm Dividend per Share - cents 12.0 9.2 +30.4% Revenue1 86% payout ratio Refer to glossary in Appendix 5 for definitions of all capitalised terms. Totals may not add due to rounding. 1 Before Specific Items, Pro Forma, excluding Nine Live 5

For personal use only DIVISIONALLY - STRONG COST PERFORMANCE NETWORK Continuing businesses, $m Revenue down 7% 37% share of metro FTA market Metro FTA market down 2%, Regional down 6.2% Revenue FY16 FY15 Variance 1,130.0 1,215.0-7.0% 149.9 156.4-4.2% 2.5 - - 1,282.4 1,371.4-6.5% Network 946.5 1,009.0-6.2% Digital 123.9 134.5-7.9% Corporate 12.3 14.1-12.8% 1,082.7 1157.6-6.5% Network 183.5 206.0-10.9% Network Digital SXL dividend Costs down 2%, inc. Warner Total Revenue Focus on underlying costs and scheduling $11m licence fee reduction (to 3.375%) $3m investment in 9Life $7m in one-off legal costs Costs DIGITAL Total Costs EBITDA Revenue down 4%, temporary impact of sales force integration Digital 26.0 21.9 +18.7% Improved margin driven by focus on more profitable business Corporate (9.9) (14.1) -30.4% 2.1 3.4-38.2% 201.7 217.2-7.1% CORPORATE Share of Associates NPAT SXL dividend of $2.5m Group EBITDA Reduced management costs Refer to glossary in Appendix 5 for definitions of all capitalised terms. Totals may not add due to rounding. 6

INVESTING IN THE BUSINESS CONTINUES For personal use only Operating cash conversion of 78% Rebuild of local content and timing led to increase in working capital (inc. $18m in licence fees) Excludes payments for Warners and other Specific Items (~$55m) Significant return of capital to shareholders Buy-back of $49m on-market Continuing businesses, $m FY16 FY15 Dividend payments of $115m (final FY15, interim FY16) EBITDA 199.6 213.8 Working capital, excl onerous (44.7) 20.4 2.5 3.3 Operating cash flow, pre Specific Items, tax and Interest 157.4 237.5 Conversion 78% 109% $m FY16 FY15 Cap Ex (46.7) (27.2) Net Debt, as at 30 June 177.6 524.3 Substantial strategic investment in H2 Associates H2 cash progression 14 30 53 81 EBITDA 73.0 Associates 1.0 Working Cap (27.5) Specific Items (incl onerous) (32.1) Opening Operating cash cash 1 Jan 2016 (inc specific items) 27 18 178 89 Tax and interest Dividends/ buyback Capex Stan SXL Net debt 30 June 2016 Refer to glossary in Appendix 5 for definitions of all capitalised terms. Totals may not add due to rounding. 7

For personal use only SETTLEMENT OF WARNER BROS. LIFE OF SERIES FY16 Impairment recorded for loss-making content as it becomes available $45.7m recorded as a specific item in FY16 FY17 Heads of Agreement (HOA) FY16 Movement In-principle agreement to exit the life of series arrangements Removes variability and uncertainty from the obligation Additional provision of ~$86m to be booked in 1H17 Largely payable over FY18 and 19 Formal docs to be finalised in coming weeks Refer to glossary in Appendix 7 for definitions of all capitalised terms. Totals may not add due to rounding 1 H1 FY16 FY16 41.7 41.7 (22.3) (46.6) New 12.1 45.7 Closing provision 31.5 40.7 Opening provision Utilised best estimate used for internal planning purposes. 8

BALANCE SHEET MOMENTUM INTO FY18 For personal use only Jul 2016 Net effect of several inflows/outflows will preserve balance sheet strength Adelaide site sale +$10m Further improvement expected as working capital NRL prepayment -$50m Nine Live tax -$28m begins to unwind in FY18 Dividend policy remains to pay 80-100% of NPAT prespecific items In FY17, more evenly spread across interim and final dividends (than prior year) to align with NRL prepayment +$80m (CY17) Jun 2017 cash-flows Stan commitment to breakeven -$25m Willoughby sale net proceeds +$111m Warners agreement -$86m (FY18/19)` Jun 2018 9

MICHAEL STEPHENSON C H I E F S A L E S O F F I C E R

FREE TO AIR EMBRACING & ADAPTING TO CHANGE For personal use only Nine's Metro Ratings2 and Revenue1 share Market leadership in key advertising demographics1 - No.1 25-54 No.1 16-39 No.1 18-49 No. 2 All People FTA Metro ad market decline of 2%2 across the year FTA Regional ad market down 6.2%2 FTA Metro advertising revenue share2 of 37.0% in line with guidance Substantial progress focusing on regaining momentum in 2017 50% increase in hours of premium Australian content Early go-to-market 40% 35% 30% 25% 20% Expanding our footprint on the $6b video market Complete ad technology upgrade Diversification of cross-platform content offering H2 FY07 H2 FY08 H2 FY09 H2 FY10 H2 FY11 H2 FY12 H2 FY13 H2 FY14 H2 FY15 H2 FY16 Ratings share Hrs Revenue share Hours of premium Australian content 400 300 200 +50% 100 YEAR ON YEAR 2016 2017 0 1 OzTAM data. 12 months to Jun 2016, 6am-midnight 2 Free TV data, 12 months to Jun 2016, 11

12

ALEX PARSONS C H I E F D I G I T A L & M A R K E T I N G O F F I C E R

For personal use only STRONG OPERATIONAL PERFORMANCE FROM DIGITAL Double digit earnings growth with strong margin improvement Launched 9Now, a world class streaming and AVOD product Launch of nine.com.au data proposition supported by 9Now c1.6m users since January launch Australia s leading multi-medium news brand, 9News and an innovative news alerts app attracting 1/4 million registered users Relaunched flagship digital network, nine.com.au Expanding consumer content offering with 9The Fix, 9Coach, 9Honey augmented by launches of 9Elsewhere, 9Home and 9Kitchen Video streams up 14% to 392m, ranking #1 Australian publisher1 1 Nielsen June 2016 14

For personal use only STAN LEADING LOCAL PLAYER IN GROWING SVOD MARKET Key milestones/achievements: Signed up more than 1.1m subscribers, with more than 500,000 active subs as at end of June Available on all major devices Showtime deal locks in long term premium content supply First international sale of original content Wolf Creek Leading line-up of first run, exclusive and original programming Exceptionally strong slate for CY17 Outlook: Market growth momentum continuing Leading local player Reach cash flow break-even during FY18 15

For personal use only CURRENT TRADING & OUTLOOK Metro FTA market to be flat-down marginally for FY17 Regional markets expected to continue to under-perform, offset by enhanced affiliate agreement FY17 share to be impacted by the Olympics Momentum expected to return into FY18, given increased local programming focus and output FY17 Free To Air costs expected to be flat on FY16 Growth in Digital Revenue and EBITDA Refer to glossary in Appendix 5 for definitions of all capitalised terms. Totals may not add due to rounding. 16

For personal use only FIVE KEY POINTS OF FOCUS 1. Ratings momentum Rebuild 9 s FTA ratings share 50% increase in premium local content hours in CY17 2. Firm cost discipline Tightly managed cost regime More premium content for same effective cost Focussing on increasing the flexibility of the cost base 3. Innovative sales approach Investment in advanced advertising technology Grow integrated and sponsorship revenues Use of data to target increased yield 4. Broadening revenue base 9Now, Stan Digital verticals like 9Elsewhere, 9Kitchen, 9Pickle Further expansion and monetisation of verticals 5. Content monetisation Ownership and exploitation of content rights Target 50% growth in production revenue in FY17 17

APPENDICES APPENDIX 1: ADJUSTMENT FOR DISCONTINUED BUSINESSES APPENDIX 2: SPECIFIC ITEMS APPENDIX 3: CASH FLOW RECONCILIATION APPENDIX 4: DEBT AND LEVERAGE CALCULATIONS APPENDIX 5: GLOSSARY

APPENDIX 1: ADJUSTMENT FOR DISCONTINUED BUSINESSES $m Reported FY16 Less discontinued businesses Continuing business 1 FY16 Reported FY15 Less discontinued businesses Continuing business 1 FY15 Continuing business 1 Variance Revenue 1,339.5 57.1 1,282.4 1,610.1 238.7 1,371.4-6.5% Group EBITDA 209.4 7.7 201.7 287.3 70.1 217.2-7.1% Net Interest 1 (5.2) (2.2) (2.9) (26.6) 1.7 (2.7) +7.4% Tax (47.3) (1.0) (46.3) (59.5) (4.6) (54.9) +15.7% NPAT, before Specific Items 121.9 1.6 120.3 140.1 28.5 129.5-7.1% Operating Free Cash Flow 162.2 4.8 157.4 297.3 59.8 237.5-33.7% Capital Expenditure and Purchased Ticketing Rights (58.0) (11.3) (46.7) (59.2) (32.0) (27.2) +71.7% Operating Free Cash Flow, after Capital Expenditure and Purchased Ticketing Rights 104.2 (6.5) 110.7 238.1 27.8 210.3-47.4% Net (Debt)/Cash (177.6) na (177.6) (524.3) nm (524.3) +$346.7m Refer to glossary in Appendix 5 for definitions of all capitalised terms. Totals may not add due to rounding. 1. Pro Forma assumes new capital structure in place for full period 19

APPENDIX 2: SPECIFIC ITEMS H1 FY16 H2 FY16 Reported FY16 Net impairment charge non-current assets (33.3) (0.5) (33.8) Stock provisions - Warners (12.1) (33.6) (45.7) Restructuring costs (1.6) (7.1) (8.7) DMA write-down (5.9) - (5.9) Other (0.4) (11.1) (11.5) Total Specific Items before Tax, Continuing Businesses (53.3) (52.3) (105.6) Specific finance cost (1.5) - (1.5) Total tax relating to Specific Items 6.3 15.4 21.7 Net Specific Items after tax, Continuing Businesses (48.5) (36.9) (85.4) Specific Items, discontinuing businesses Profit on disposal of Nine Live 410.2-410.2 Tax impact of Nine Live disposal (120.9) (1.1) (122.0) Total Specific Items 240.8 (38.0) 202.8 Refer to glossary in Appendix 5 for definitions of all capitalised terms. Totals may not add due to rounding. 20

APPENDIX 3: CASH FLOW RECONCILIATION $m Reported FY16 Adjust for Discontinued businesses Pro Forma FY16 Reported FY15 Adjust for Discontinued businesses Pro Forma FY15 Statutory cash-flows from operating activities 50.3 (1.1) 49.2 246.2 (46.4) 199.8 Statutory interest received (1.8) 0.1 (1.6) (3.8) 1.7 (2.2) Statutory interest and other costs of finance paid 15.5-15.5 22.6-22.6 Statutory income tax 38.1-38.1 9.5-9.5 Statutory Free Cash Flow 102.1 (1.0) 101.1 274.5 (44.7) 229.7 Cash held on trust 3.8 (3.8) - 15.0 (15.0) - Specific Items and other adjustments 9.7-9.7 7.8-7.8 Cash impact of stock provisions 46.6-46.6 - - Operating Free Cash Flow 162.2 (4.8) 157.4 297.3 (59.8) 237.5 Refer to glossary in Appendix 5 for definitions of all capitalised terms. Totals may not add due to rounding. 21

APPENDIX 4: DEBT & LEVERAGE CALCULATIONS As at, $m Actual 30 Jun 2016 Actual 31 Dec 2015 Actual 30 Jun 2015 Actual Jun- Jun Variance Interest bearing loans and borrowings 220.5 0.1 575.7-355.2 Less: Cash and cash equivalents 42.9 52.6 179.9-137.0 Plus: Cash held on trust - - (111.4) -111.4 Plus: Deferred payment related to Mi9 - - (17.1) -17.1 Net Debt/(Cash) 177.6 (52.5) 524.3-346.7 Net Leverage (incl. Nine Live) 0.8X nm 1.8X -1.0X Refer to glossary in Appendix 5 for definitions of all capitalised terms. Totals may not add due to rounding. 22

APPENDIX 5: GLOSSARY Continuing Businesses Excludes the operations of Nine Live Contra Advertising time offered in lieu of cash payment Discontinued business Nine Live EBITDA Earnings before interest, tax, depreciation and amortisation, before Specific Items FTA Free-to-air FY Full year Group EBITDA EBITDA plus share of Associates net profit Interest Cover Group EBITDA divided by net interest expense for the period Metro Sydney, Melbourne, Brisbane, Adelaide and Perth Net Cash Cash less interest bearing loans and borrowings Net Debt Gross debt per the balance sheet less available cash (plus deferred purchase consideration on the acquisition of controlled entities, net of related mark-to-market hedge instruments, FY15 only) Net Leverage Net Debt divided by Group EBITDA (last 12 months) nm Not meaningful Net Profit after Tax (NPAT) Net profit after tax, before Specific Items Network Combination of Channels 9, 9Go!, 9Gem and 9Life Operating Free Cash Flow EBITDA adjusted for changes in working capital and other non-cash items plus dividends received from Associates. Excludes cash relating to the Specific Items and the cash impact of stock provisions Operating Free Cash Flow Conversion Operating Free Cash Flow divided by Group EBITDA Pro Forma Adjusted to reflect the impact of the sale of Nine Live, as if this had been effective for the whole reporting period and assuming the new capital structure in place for the full period Purchased Ticketing Rights The amount paid to venue owners or promoters to secure exclusive ticketing rights (relates to Nine Live only) Revenue Operating revenue from continuing businesses, excluding interest income and Specific Items, and after the elimination of intersegment revenue Specific Items Amounts as set out in Notes 3(iv), 3(v) and 6(a)(i) of the 30 June 2016 Statutory Accounts Statutory Accounts Audited or auditor reviewed, consolidated financial statements Statutory Net Profit Net Profit for the period before other comprehensive loss Statutory Reported Extracted from the Statutory Accounts SVOD Subscription Video On Demand 23