Fourth Quarter and Full Year 2012 Results. WEBCAST CONFERENCE CALL February 28 th, Antonio Brufau CEO

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Transcription:

Fourth Quarter and Full Year 212 Results WEBCAST CONFERENCE CALL February 28 th, 213 Antonio Brufau CEO

Disclaimer ALL RIGHTS ARE RESERVED REPSOL, S.A. 212 Repsol, S.A. is the exclusive owner of this document. No part of this document may be reproduced (including photocopying), stored, duplicated, copied, distributed or introduced into a retrieval system of any nature or transmitted in any form or by any means without the prior written permission of Repsol, S.A. This document does not constitute an offer or invitation to purchase or subscribe shares, in accordance with the provisions of the Spanish Securities Market Law (Law 24/1988, of July 28, as amended and restated) and its implementing regulations. In addition, this document does not constitute an offer of purchase, sale or exchange, nor a request for an offer of purchase, sale or exchange of securities in any other jurisdiction. This document contains statements that Repsol believes constitute forward looking statements which may include statements regarding the intent, belief, or current expectations of Repsol and its management, including statements with respect to trends affecting Repsol s financial condition, financial ratios, results of operations, business, strategy, geographic concentration, production volume and reserves, capital expenditures, costs savings, investments and dividend payout policies. These forwardlooking statements may also include assumptions regarding future economic and other conditions, such as future crude oil and other prices, refining and marketing margins and exchange rates and are generally identified by the words expects, anticipates, forecasts, believes, estimates, notices and similar expressions. These statements are not guarantees of future performance, prices, margins, exchange rates or other events and are subject to material risks, uncertainties, changes and other factors which may be beyond Repsol s control or may be difficult to predict. Within those risks are those factors and circumstances described in the filings made by Repsol and its affiliates with the Comisión Nacional del Mercado de Valores in Spain, the Comisión Nacional de Valores in Argentina, the Securities and Exchange Commission in the United States and with any other supervisory authority of those markets where the securities issued by Repsol and/or its affiliates are listed. Repsol does not undertake to publicly update or revise these forward looking statements even if experience or future changes make it clear that the projected performance, conditions or events expressed or implied therein will not be realized. The information contained in the document has not been verified or revised by the Auditors of Repsol. 3

Agenda 1. Main Events of 212 2. Financial Situation 3. 4Q and FY 212 Results 4. Outlook 213 4

Agenda 1. Main Events of 212 2. Financial Situation 3. 4Q and FY 212 Results 4. Outlook 213 5

Main Events of 212 Delivery of the Updated Strategic Plan YPF Confiscation 6

Main Events of 212 Growth projects Brazil USA Africa & Europe 1 Sapinhoa Mid-continent Reggane Lubina-Montanazo Carioca (Guara) (USA) (Algeria) (Spain) 2 3 4 5 3 Kboed 15 Kboed 4 Kboed (1) 48 Kboed 5 Kboed 6 WI: 15% FID: 21 FO: 213 Capex 12-16: 1.2bn WI: 15% FID: 212 FO: 216 Capex 12-16:.8bn net production (1) - FO: 212 Capex 12-16: 2.3bn WI: 29.25% FID: 29 FG: 216 Capex 12-16:.4bn WI: 1-75% FID: 29 FO: 212 Capex 12-16:.2bn 7 Margarita-Huacaya (Bolivia) 12 Kboed WI: 37.5% FID: 21 FG: 212 Capex 12-16:.3bn Kinteroni (Peru) 8 4 Kboed WI: 53.8% FID: 29 FG: 212 Capex 12-16:.7bn North Latam 9 Carabobo (Venezuela) 37 Kboed WI: 11% - FO: 213 Capex 12-16:.7bn 212-216 1 Cardon IV (Venezuela) 53 Kboed (2) WI: 32.5% FID: 211 FG: 214 Capex 12-16:.5bn Russia AROG (Russia) 5 Kboed WI: 49% - FO: 212 Capex 12-16:.4bn Post 216 Next wave of growth Exploration Contingent resources Alaska C-33 (Seat, Gavea, Pao de Açucar) Presalt Albacora Sierra Leone Buckskin Malombe Iguaçu Piracuca-Panoramix-Vampira NC2 Sagari TIHS-1 Prospective resources GoM Beaufort Sea Louisiana East Canada Campos, Santos & Espiritu Santo Colombia RC11, RC12 & Tayrona Guyana Angola and Namibia Spain and Portugal Norway offshore Ireland Dunquin Peru: Mashira... Key growth projects increasing Repsol net production: more than 2 Kboed in 216 Low risk of delivery: 5 project already producing +1 starting Note: all production figures indicate gross plateau production; WI = Repsol Working Interest; FID = Final Investment Decision; FO: First Oil; FG: First Gas; Net capex 212-216, excluding G&G and G&A. 1. Average Repsol net production post royalties 2. Phase I gross production Producing as of February, 28 th 213 In 212 7

Main Events of 212 Upstream Production Reserve Replacement Ratio kboed % 4 3 +11% 25 2 162 24 2 299 332 15 1 131 1 5 211 212 21 211 212 Contingent Resources as of the end of: 211: 1.5 Bn boe 212: 2.1 Bn boe 8

Main Events of 212 New Areas Countries with New Exploratory Acreage 68 New blocks added during 212 9

Main Events of 212 Downstream Refining Margin Indicator 6 $/bbl 4 +231% 2 1.6 5.3 211 212 1

Agenda 1. Main Events of 212 2. Financial Situation 3. 4Q and FY 212 Results 4. Outlook 213 11

Financial Situation Net Debt (Figures Ex Gas Natural) Billion 7 6 5.4-2 Bn 4 3 6.8 6.4 2 4.4 1 4Q 11 Financial Effects of YPF Confiscation (*) 1st January 212 Proforma 4Q 12 (*) As of 31 st of December 211: YPF net debt and Petersen s vendors loan. 12

Financial Situation Liquidity Position 1 Billion 3x 8 6 4.4 4 2 4.6 Liquidity Cash and equivalents 3. Short term maturities Undrawn credit lines ex YPF and ex Gas Natural 13

Financial Situation Actions to strengthen the Balance Sheet 212 213 214 215 216 Divestments Chile LPG Ecuador 2% 551 M LNG Disposal 6.7 Bn $ Adjusted dividend policy (pay-out, scrip dividend) 64% (463 M ) (1) 69%(444 M ) (1) Conversion of preferred shares Dependent upon LNG disposal Working capital optimization 758 M (2) Ongoing Sale of treasury stock 5% (1.4 Bn ) (1) Acceptance Rate (Cash Savings) (2) Ex Gas Natural Fenosa 14

YPF Confiscation Legal Actions Claims filed in: US COURTS ARGENTINEAN COURTS SPANISH COURTS ICSID Progressing according to the legal procedures 15

Agenda 1. Main Events of 212 2. Financial Situation 3. 4Q and FY 212 Results 4. Outlook 213 16

4Q12 Results (ex YPF and ex YPF Gas) CCS Adjusted Operating Income CCS Adjusted Net Income Million Million 12 6 1 +19% 5 +115% 8 4 6 4 153 3 2 517 2 54 1 241 4Q 11 4Q 12 4Q 11 4Q 12 17

4Q 212 Upstream Adjusted Operating Income Million 8 7 6 339 48 12 5 4 (121) 3 2 18 492 1 196 4Q11 Price effect net of taxes Volume Exploration Costs Exchange rate Depreciation & Others 4Q12 18

4Q 212 LNG Adjusted Operating Income Million 15 1 5 112 11 4Q 11 4Q 12 19

4Q 212 Downstream Adjusted Operating Income Million 45 4 258 35 3 (42) 5 (27) 25 2 15 326 1 5 13 4Q11 Refining Marketing & LPG Chemicals Others 4Q12 2

4Q 212 Gas Natural Adjusted Operating Income Million 25 +22% 2 15 1 5 185 226 4Q 11 4Q 12 21

FY 212 Results Million CCS Adjusted Operating Income Million CCS Adjusted Net Income 45 4 35 3 25 2 15 1 5 2966 +46% 4321 21 18 15 12 9 6 3 1329 +47% 1954 211 212 211 212 22

FY 212 Results CCS Net Income Million 21 18 15 1943 536 +5% +34% 248 17 12 9 6 147 1878 3 211 212 YPF Net Income (YPF as Discontinued Operations) 23

Agenda 1. Main Events of 212 2. Financial Situation 3. 4Q and FY 212 Results 4. Outlook 213 24

Outlook 213 Increase production by 1% >1 B$ Exploratory budget UPSTREAM 65% in drilling: 3 wells + 2 Appraisal wells Investigate around 6 Bboes in gross terms 75% of investments targeting oil LNG Positive results during winter months Deep analysis for future alternatives High capacity utilization of conversion units DOWNSTREAM Maintain the Retail businesses results Improve our product differentiation in Chemicals 25

Q&A Session 26

Fourth Quarter and Full Year 212 Results WEBCAST CONFERENCE CALL February 28 th, 213 Antonio Brufau CEO