Telenor Second Quarter 2003

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Transcription:

Telenor Second Quarter

Group Overview Jon Fredrik Baksaas CEO

Another solid Quarter Revenue growth of 10% to 13,2 NOKbn EBITDA 4,4 NOKbn - improved by 1,1 NOKbn Good development in international mobile operations Strong domestic competition Positive EBIT within Broadcast 3

Reported P&L 2001 Revenue 13 223 12 011 48 826 46 040 EBITDA 4 350 3 212 13 469 14 250 EBIT 1 612 691 (320) 3 177 Profit before Tax 2 490 383 (5 136) 10 255 Net Income 1 683 1 107 (4 298) 7 079 NOKm 4

Mobile Strong growth from international operations 10 million consolidated subscribers Revenue growth of 16% EBITDA growth of 28% to NOK 2,3 Bn Revenues (NOKm) / EBITDA % 5 666 5 789 5 320 5 388 5 001 4 359 Low CAPEX - NOK 0,7 Bn 39 % Positive results from associated companies 35 % 35 % 40 % 37 % 41 % Sales gain Cosmote: NOK 1,5 Bn 5

Fixed Line Stable revenues and increasing margins Revenue growth of 2% from 02 Domestic revenues flat in H1 03 vs. H1 02 Revenues (NOKm) / EBITDA % 5 033 5 035 4 869 5 071 5 032 5 149 Domestic market share stable at 70% EBITDA of 1 690 NOKm Capex of 449 NOKm Reported EBIT 629 NOKm 26 % 29 % 30 % 27 % 32 % 33 % Revenue and EBITDA excludes gains and losses 6

Broadcast EBIT positive in Positive underlying margin development Revenues (NOKm) / EBITDA % Solid performance in Canal Digital EBITDA of 316 NOKm and Capex of 35 NOKm Underlying EBIT of 15 NOKm 660 727 1 162 1 159 1 138 1 158 27 % 15 % 14 % 18 % 10 % 18 % Revenue and EBITDA excludes gains and losses 7

Margin expansion from Delta 4 2004 2005 Has recorded 1,1 NOKbn gross cost savings At least additional 1,3 NOKbn in gross cost savings Will achieve more than 4 NOKbn in gross annual cost savings Expect additional gross cost savings Savings H1 - approx 0,8 NOKbn 8

Focus and Strategy Maximise Cash Flow in home market Extract maximum synergies from growing international mobile portfolio Increased transparency and simplicity 9

Telenor Mobile Arve Johansen CEO

Mobile Subscribers (in millions) Total Consolidated Total Pro Rata 100% figures (in all companies) 38% subscriber growth 18,5 20,9 23,4 25,2 26,7 28,8 9,0 6,0 6,0 10,0 12,0 12,4 12,8 13,3 9,0 9,1 9,6 10,0 Cosmote subscriber figures included 11

Quarterly operational development Subscribers ( 000) ARPU (NOK) MoU (AMPU) 2 409 2 382 2 342 2 314 2 360 2 330 334 351 359 340 330 346 171 185 186 178 178 190 12

Quarterly financial development Revenues (NOKm) / EBITDA % EBITDA and Capex (NOKm) Operating Cash Flow (NOKm) 2 548 2 677 2 809 2 661 2 610 2 796 1 239 40 % 40 % 44 % 38 % 41 % 37 % 1 026 1 058 1 007 1 083 1 040 813 823 1 069 875 1 006 932 213 235 170 132 77 108 EBITDA CAPEX Operating Cash Flow = EBITDA - CAPEX 13

Quarterly operational development Subscribers ( 000) ARPU MoU (AMPU) NOK HUF 2 001 2 146 2 311 2 450 2 514 2 514 182 184 177 177 153 165 113 115 112 112 104 110 Subscriber figures based on 3 months churn for pre-paid 14

Quarterly financial development Revenues (NOKm) / EBITDA % EBITDA and Capex (NOKm) Operating Cash Flow (NOKm) 1 130 1 211 1 250 1 344 1 205 1 292 37 % 38 % 34 % 34 % 39 % 40 % 512 423 455 427 454 469 307 311 261 189 113 136 116 144 238 193 356 376 EBITDA CAPEX Operating Cash Flow = EBITDA - CAPEX 15

Quarterly operational development Subscribers ( 000) ARPU MoU (AMPU) NOK USD 1 296 1 461 1 659 1 856 2 012 2 205 121 112 113 102 81 92 46 49 51 49 43 52 Subscriber figures based on 3 months churn for pre-paid 16

Quarterly financial development Revenues (NOKm) / EBITDA % EBITDA and Capex (NOKm) Operating Cash Flow (NOKm) 452 480 547 518 483 590 53 % 61 % 62 % 55 % 55 % 57 % 431 337 338 294 285 238 263 235 218 212 194 158 136 143 50 45 126-193 EBITDA CAPEX Operating Cash Flow = EBITDA - CAPEX 17

Quarterly operational development Subscribers ( 000) ARPU MoU (AMPU) NOK MYR 1 284 1 159 1 454 1 616 1 803 1 946 169 158 138 145 123 111 197 189 185 185 177 175 Subscriber figures based on 3 months churn for pre-paid 18

Quarterly financial development Revenues (NOKm) / EBITDA % EBITDA and Capex (NOKm) Operating Cash Flow (NOKm) 726 734 734 675 664 650 625 37 % 35 % 34 % 43 % 42 % 39 % 292 302315 251 238 234 222 307 283 13 163 154 144 129-58 -80-310 EBITDA CAPEX Operating Cash Flow = EBITDA - CAPEX 19

Quarterly operational development Subscribers ( 000) ARPU MoU (AMPU)* NOK BDT 550 625 704 769 835 928 191 173 167 155 133 136 308 297 288 298 309 312 * Minutes of Use include both incoming and outgoing, including non-revenue generated incoming minutes. Figures can not be compared to other companies in portfolio 20

Quarterly financial development Revenues (NOKm) / EBITDA % EBITDA and Capex (NOKm) Operating Cash Flow (NOKm) 409 415 386 379 326 353 63 % 46 % 45 % 54 % 46 % 60 % 189 187 208 96 96 221 197 173 139 86 77 178 91 112 120 135 11 34 EBITDA CAPEX Operating Cash Flow = EBITDA - CAPEX 21

Quarterly financial development Subscribers ( 000) Revenues (NOKm) and EBITDA % EBITDA (NOKm) 953 984 1 032 1 103 1 137 1 141 952 1 038 1 076 1 055 1 065 1 160 28 % 264 310 311 322 283 319 28 % 30 % 29 % 31 % 27 % Subscriber figures published by the Danish National Telecom Agency (excludes service providers and based on 12 month pre-paid churn). & - figures have not been published and have been submitted by Sonofon Figures are based on actual company figures 22

Group Financial Overview Torstein Moland CFO

Key messages Revenue growth of 10,1% to 13,2 NOKbn Increased margins in all business areas compared to Strongly improved results and cash flow Continued low CAPEX Net Interest Bearing debt of 25,3 NOKbn Cash flow defined as EBITDA-CAPEX 24

Reported P&L 2001 Revenue EBITDA 13 223 12 011 48 826 46 040 4 350 3 212 13 469 14 250 EBIT 1 612 691 (320) 3 177 Profit before Tax 2 490 383 (5 136) 10 255 Net Income 1 683 1 107 (4 298) 7 079 NOKm 25

Quarterly revenue growth Revenues* Comments 11 518 11 939 12 209 13 002 12 602 13 147 Revenue growth of 10% Underlying growth of 6% Underlying growth for the three business areas of 7% * Revenues adjusted for sales gains 26

EBITDA - sharply improved quarter by quarter Adjusted EBITDA (NOKm) and Margin Comments 3 485 3 891 4 129 4 189 4 529 Strong underlying performance Margin increase 3 001 Delta 4 measures 34% Increased gross margins 26% 29% 32% 32% 33% 27

Adjusted P&L Growth Revenue 13 147 11 939 10.1% 48 668 EBITDA 4 529 3 485 30.0% 14 506 EBIT 1 838 1 069 71.9% 4 270 Assoc. companies (60) 2 nm (205) Profit Before Tax 1 278 791 61.6 2 488 NOKm 28

Cost cutting and capital discipline Headcount Capex / Sales Capex Breakdown (NOKm) International Domestic 20 150 21 000 22 100 21 150 Domestic Fixed Domestic Mobile Total Capex/Sales Group functions Other Broadcast Other Mobile Domestic Mobile Fixed 11 634 5 050 6 300 8 900 8 700 29% 8 889 26% 18% 15 100 14 700 13 200 12 450 17% 16% 10% 8% 2 544 7% 3% 2000 2001 2001 H1 2001 H1 29

Debt position Net Debt (NOKbn) to LTM EBITDA (x) Net Debt Changes to 27,6 26,9 25,7 26,1 2,5x 2,3x 2,0x 1,8x 25,3 1,6x Net Debt 31 March 03 (NOKbn) 26,1 - EBITDA ex. gain/loss (4,4) + Net Interest 0,4 + Tax 2,7 + Investments - paid 1,3 - Investments - proceeds (2,3) + Dividends 0,8 + Other 0,7 Net Debt 30 June 03 25,3 30

Outlook for Strong improvement in operating cash flow Telenor Group Continued revenue growth Increased EBITDA margins Significantly lower Capex than 31

Appendix

mnorway SMS and Content Revenue* (NOKm) Volume** 357 368 398 407 400 387 391 403 444 454 452 462 * Revenue from Outgoing SMS, SMS receipts, content messages and terminated messages ** Volume from Outgoing SMS and content messages 33

Quarterly Figures (NOKm) VAS Revenues Pannon GSM DiGi.com Kyivstar GrameenPhone 9 % of sales in 12% of sales in 5 % of sales in 1,2% of sales in 138 97 103 98 112 117 48 63 71 81 89 17 18 17 21 25 27 35 3,6 4,1 1,1 1,2 1,3 1,5 34

International Mobile Associates (100% figures in NOK millions according to local GAAP) Subscriptions Revenues YTD EBITDA YTD 1) Net debt 2) March 31 %-change March 31 %-change March 31 %-change March 31 / / / Nordic Region Sonofon 4) 953 1 137 19 % 952 1 065 12 % 264 283 7 % 4 002 Europe Connect Austria 1 304 1 370 5 % 1 139 1 212 6 % 239 367 53 % 10 004 Cosmote 3 075 3 641 18 % 2 043 2 256 10 % 885 964 9 % 2 239 Pro Monte 162 218 35 % 88 88 1 % 42 44 5 % -67 Russia VimpelCom 5) 2 662 6 188 133 % 1 295 1 727 33 % 565 763 35 % 3 415 Southeast Asia DTAC 3 226 5 626 74 % 1 997 1 188-41 % 551 446-19 % 7 507 UCOM 3) - - - 657 787 20 % 95 43-55 % 1 042 1) EBITDA consists of earnings before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization excluding gains/(losses) from sales of fixed assets and operations 2) Net debt consists of long term and short term interest-bearing debt minus cash. Closing exchange rates used 3) UCOM classified according to NGAAP. Figures for DTAC are not included 4) Subscriber figures published by the Danish National Telecom Agency (excluding service providers) 5) Subscriber figures for VimpelCom are based on 6 months churn 35