Nordic Group Limited. 3Q2018 Results Briefing

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Transcription:

Building Momentum, Capturing Opportunities Nordic Group Limited 3Q2018 Results Briefing 30 November 2018 www.n o rdicgro uplimited.co m 1

Disclaimer This presentation (this Presentation ) has been prepared by Nordic Group Limited ( Nordic or the Company ) for information purposes only and has not been independently verified. It is not the intention to provide, and you may not rely on this Presentation as providing, a complete or comprehensive analysis of the Company s financial or trading position or prospects. This Presentation does not constitute, or form any part of any opinion on any advice to sell, or any offer for the sale or subscription of, or invitation or agreement to subscribe for, or solicitation of any offer to buy or subscribe for, any securities, nor shall it or any part of it form the basis or be relied on in connection with, any contract or commitment or investment decision whatsoever. This Presentation may contain projections and forward-looking statements that reflect the Company s current views with respect to future events and financial performance, which are based on current assumptions subject to various risks and may therefore change over time. No assurance can be given that future events may occur, that projections will be achieved, or that the Company s assumptions are correct. Actual results may differ materially from those which may be projected. Opinions expressed herein reflect the judgement of the Company as of the date of this Presentation and may be subject to change without notice if the Company becomes aware of any information or developments, whether specific to the Company, its business or in general, which may have a material impact on any such opinions. Additionally, the information contained herein is current only as of the date of this Presentation and shall not, under any circumstances, create any implication that such information contained herein is correct as of any time subsequent to the date hereof or that there has been no change in the financial condition or affairs of the Company since the date herein. This Presentation may be updated from time to time and the Company does not undertake to post any such amendments or supplements on this Presentation. None of the Company or any of its subsidiaries, affiliates, advisers or representatives shall be responsible for any consequences resulting whatsoever from the use of this Presentation as well as the reliance upon any opinion or statement contained herein, or for any omission herein. Neither this Presentation nor any of its contents may be used, quoted, reproduced or disclosed in any manner by any other person without the prior written consent of the Company. 2

Outline 1. Financial Review 2. Business Outlook 3. Investment Merits 3

Key Highlights 3Q2018 Revenue -20% to S$21.4 million 3Q2018 Net Profit -24% to S$3.3 million 9M2018 Revenue -1% to S$70.2 million 9M2018 Net Profit +2% to S$11.1 million Outstanding Order Book of S$104.3 million. 2018 Contract Winning Momentum of S$75.7 million Net Profit CAGR of 43% from FY2011 to FY2017 4

Financial Review S$'000 Unaudited 3Q2018 Unaudited 3Q2017 Change (%) Unaudited Unaudited 9M2018 9M2017 Change (%) Revenue 21,385 26,814 (20) 70,169 70,784 (1) Gross Profit 5,688 9,065 (37) 19,693 23,233 (15) Gross Profit Margin (1) 26.6% 33.8% (7)Ppts 28.1% 32.8% (5)Ppts Net Profit after Tax 3,317 4,388 (24) 11,107 10,919 2 Net Profit Margin (1) 15.5% 16.4% 0.9 ppts 15.8% 15.4% 0.4ppts EBITDA 4,530 6,332 (28) 14,831 16,078 (8) EBITDA Margin (1) 21.2% 23.6% (2.4)ppts 21.1% 22.7% (1.6)ppts EPS (cents) (2) 0.8 1.1 (27) 2.8 2.8 0 (1) Removing the effect of carbon allowances, 9M2018 GPM 29.4%, NPM 16.5% and EBITDA margin 22.1% (9M2017 GPM 32.8%, NPM 15.0% and EBITDA margin 22.5%) (2) Computed based on weighted average number of 392,992,000 ordinary shares for 3Q2018 (3Q2017: 393,256,000) and 393,047,000 ordinary shares for 9M2018 (9M2017: 393,149,000) Ppts : percentage points 5

Financial Review Revenue and Profit Margin 100 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 1.4 33 34 33 31 28 1.4 28 3.8 27 26 26 53.5 24 20 58.9 60.5 43.9 38.7 48.4 57.4 17 44.1 16 16 16 16 15 39.9 13 11 9 8 36.6 16.4 11.8 4 16.2 17.8 21.6 21.4 15 9.9 10.4 9.6 25.5 27.7 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 3Q2017 3Q2018 9M2017 9M2018 Maintenance Project Carbon allowances Gross Profit Margin Net Profit Margin 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 0 Removing the effect of carbon allowances, 9M2017 and 9M2018 GPM are 32.8% and 29.4% and NPM are 15.0% and 16.5% 6

Financial Review Revenue breakdown by segment S$ 000 Unaudited 3Q2018 Unaudited 3Q2017 Change (%) Unaudited 9M2018 Unaudited 9M2017 Change (%) Project Services 11,828 16,394 (28) 38,683 43,899 (12) Maintenance Services 9,557 10,420 (8) 27,699 25,498 9 Others - - - 3,787 1,387 173 Total 21,385 26,814 (20) 70,169 70,784 (1) Revenue from Maintenance Services boosted by contributions from Ensure Revenue from others was carbon allowance 7

Financial Review Revenue Breakdown by Segment FY 2015 FY2016 FY2017 9M2018 3.80, 5% 1.4, 2% 21.6, 27% 21.5, 26% 36.7, 40% 53.5, 58% 27.7, 40% 38.7, 55% 58.8, 73% 60.5, 74% Project Maintenance Carbon allowances Revenue from Maintenance Services is boosted by contributions from Ensure in FY2017 8

Projected CAGR for Illustrative Purposes only 30 Target Net Profit 25 20 15 10 5 0 21.9 26.3 4.6 6.1 7.9 10.5 12.7 15.3 11.1 1.8 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 FY2018 FY2019 FY2020 Actual Projected Note: CAGR projection is based on our internal target net profit growth of 20% per annum and supported by extrapolation from last 5 years actual growth trend. No assurance can be given that future events may occur, that projections will be achieved, or that the company s assumptions are correct. Actual results may differ materially from those which may be projected. 9

Financial Review Balance Sheet Highlights S$'000 Unaudited as at 30 September 2018 Audited as at 31 December 2017 Current Assets (1) 92,583 99,041 Non-current Assets 58,331 52,268 Current Liabilities (2) 56,095 57,922 Non-current Liabilities 13,914 16,773 Total Equity 80,905 76,614 Cash and Cash Equivalents 35,748 40,291 Net Asset Value per share (cents) [3] 20.6 19.5 [1] Included asset held for sale of $8.1m (31 Dec 17: $13.4m) for the properties for sale. 42 Tech Park was sold for $3.425m in January 2018 and 5 Kwong Min Road was sold in August 2018 for $2.425m [2] Included liabilities held for sale of $8.4m (31 Dec 17: $12.2m) [3] Computed based on number of 392,837,000 (31 Dec 17: 393,113,000) ordinary shares, excluding treasury shares 10

Financial Review As at end of S$ 000 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 30 September 2018 Total Borrowings 26,834 21,539 25,320 32,155 28,085 46,612 48,373 Cash and Cash Equivalents 23,965 14,852 32,799 35,566 32,325 40,291 35,748 Net Debt/(Cash) 2,869 6,687 (7,479) (3,411) (4,240) 6,321 12,625 Net Gearing Ratio (1) 10% 19% -19% (2) -10% (2) -11% (2) 13% (3) 25% (4) (1) Computed based on Total Borrowings less Cash and Cash Equivalents / Total Equity less Goodwill x 100% (2) Negative due to the Group being in a Net Cash position (3) Increase is due to the $21million loan from the acquisition of Ensure in April 2017 (4) Increase is due to the drawdown of $10 million loan for the purchase of property at 2 Tuas Ave 10 and working capital. When the properties at 133 Tuas View Square and 24 Benoi Place are sold and borrowings repaid, net debt for 30 September 2018 would be approximately $4.6 million and net gearing ratio would be approximately 9%. 11

Financial Review Order Book Summary (S$ m) 60 55.7 50 50.4 48.3 48.6 40 39.7 39.2 30 30 30.9 20 19.4 21.6 10 0 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 FY2017 30-Sep-18 - Project - Maintenance Note: The order book from FY2011 to FY2016 does not include maintenance contracts as they do not have a contract value upfront. For FY2017, maintenance contracts are included and the values are estimated based on historical revenue trends. Shell contract of $27.1m (31 Dec 17: $32.6 million) is included in project order book. 12

Financial Review Recent Contract Winning Momentum Nov 9, 2018 - Total value: S$29.1m Scaffolding, Insulation and Petrochemical: ad-hoc and maintenance contracts from new customers from the infrastructure industries for insulation works, scaffolding and maintenance of mechanical equipment. Precision Engineering : machining and mechanical assembly for repeat customers System Integration: supply of valve remote control, anti-heeling and tank gauging systems for new and repeat customers Jul 17, 2018 - Total value: S$13.0m Scaffolding and Insulation: ad-hoc contracts for scaffolding and insulation works from repeat customers Petrochemical and Scaffolding : contracts from new customer for the provision of manpower and equipment for operation, servicing and preventive maintenance of wastewater treatment plant and rental and erection of scaffolds Precision Engineering : machining and mechanical assembly for repeat customers System Integration: supply of valve remote control and tank gauging systems for repeat customers May 3, 2018 - Total value: S$6.1m Scaffolding and Insulation: ad-hoc contracts for scaffolding and insulation works from repeat customers Petrochemical : contracts from new and repeat customers for the provision of test skid support equipment and statutory examination and load testing of lifting gears, appliances and machines System Integration : secured variation orders for a conversion project for the supply of hydraulic system Precision Engineering : machining and mechanical assembly for several repeat customers Scaffolding: Multiheight Scaffolding Pte Ltd Precision Engineering: Avitools (Suzhou) Co. Ltd Petrochemical: Ensure Engineering Pte Ltd System Integration: Nordic Flow Control Pte Ltd Insulation: Austin Energy (Asia) Pte Ltd 13

Financial Review Recent Contract Winning Momentum Feb 26, 2018 - Total value: S$6.9m System Integration : supply of valve remote control and tank gauging systems for repeat customers Precision Engineering : machining and mechanical assembly for several repeat and new customers Jan 4, 2018 - Total value: S$20.6m Petrochemical : servicing and maintenance of screening, sludge, grit and related equipment at various water reclamation plants in Singapore for repeat customer Insulation and Scaffolding: maintenance contract for insulation and scaffolding works for 1 to 2 years for repeat customer System Integration : supply of valve remote control and tank gauging systems for repeat customers Precision Engineering : machining and mechanical assembly for several repeat and customers Scaffolding: Multiheight Scaffolding Pte Ltd Precision Engineering: Avitools (Suzhou) Co. Ltd Petrochemical: Ensure Engineering Pte Ltd System Integration: Nordic Flow Control Pte Ltd Insulation: Austin Energy (Asia) Pte Ltd 14

Sale of Properties 42 Tech Park sold on 12 Jan 2018 at $3.425m. Valuation: $3.3m 5 Kwong Min Road sold in August 2018. Offer price: $2.425m. Valuation: $2m 24 Benoi Place (land area: 39,052 sq ft; gross floor area: 45,090 sq ft; current market value: $5.8 million; Tenure: 13 years) 133 Tuas View Square (land area: 7,231 sq ft; gross floor area: 10,200 sq ft; current market value $3.5 million) 15

Business Outlook 31/10/2017 31/10/2018 Global 2077 2271 Asia 213 222 Source: Baker Hughes Oil Rig Count, Bloomberg, 27 November 2018 Source: Brent Crude 5-Year Chart, Macro trends, 27 November 2018 Upstream Oil & Gas Outlook Brent crude oil prices hit a high of approximately US$86 per barrel in early October and is still trading above US$60 per barrel despite the recent dip in November We expect demand for maintenance services to remain stable while project services to improve along with sustainable oil prices 16

Business Outlook Monthly 30/9/2017 30/9/2018 Total No. of New Build Orders 83 82 Legend: Number of Vessels V Total DWT Source: Global New Build Orders, E World Ship, September 2018 Marine & Shipbuilding Outlook Total number of new build orders have remained stable over approximately 12 months However the overall situation has been slowing down in recent months for the Total DWT and number of vessels Nordic has since diversified its revenue streams and clientele base away from the sector 17

Business Outlook General Business Outlook Nordic Group serves largely the marine, oil and gas industries whose operating environment and business conditions remained challenging. Sustainability of oil price recovery, Fluctuations in the exchange rate of the US dollar against the Singapore dollar Our Group expects growth to be muted and full recovery to be slowed. However, we are optimistic with 1) secured contract wins till date largely from the onshore and downstream oil and gas sectors; 2) our prudent cost and risk management initiatives undertaken; 3) the credit worthiness of our growing clientele base (e.g. oil majors, government agencies etc.); 4) and further opportunities for earnings accretive M&A. Nordic Group will continue to deliver value to shareholders. 18

Acquisition Track Record 2011 Multiheight Acquired for around S$29m Design, erection, modification dismantling and rental of scaffolding system Diversify away from shipyards to serve oil majors like Exxon Mobil and Shell etc. Gain recurring income and reduce lumpy earnings trend via maintenance services Goodwill $12.3 million 2015 Austin Energy Acquired for around S$26m Specialize in thermal insulation, fireproofing and industrial coating Complementary business to scaffolding, able to cross-sell and bundle both sides to same or new set of customers Enable entry into pharmaceutical industry, further diversifying offshore marine risks Goodwill $10.2 million 2017 Ensure Engineering Acquired for around S$17m Specialize in engineering repairs, maintenance, plant turnaround services as well as decontamination and recovery services In line with Group s strategy to acquire earnings accretive, familiar customer base and complementary businesses with recurring income Move Nordic from serving private sector into government agencies like PUB and NEA etc. Goodwill $7.1 million MHS FY2011 EBITDA: MHS FY2012 EBITDA: MHS FY2013 EBITDA: Group FY2011 Net Debt: Group FY2012 Net Debt: Group FY2013 Net Debt: Group FY2014 Net Cash: S$2.9m S$6.8m S$6.1m S$3.4m S$2.9m S$6.7m S$7.5m Austin FY2015 EBITDA: Austin FY2016 EBITDA: Austin FY2017 EBITDA: Group FY2015 Net Cash: Group FY2016 Net Cash: S$2.2m S$5.0m S$5.2m S$3.4m S$4.2m Ensure FY2017 * EBITDA: S$5.0m Ensure 9M2018 EBITDA: S$1.8m Group FY2017 Net Debt: S$6.3m Group 30 Sep 2018 Net Debt: $12.6m * For period 1 May 2017 to 31 Dec 2017 19

Diversified Model Improved Earnings Quality Revenue Contribution by Businesses FY2016 FY2017 1.4, 2% 9M2018 3.8, 5% 21.8, 27% 17.4, 21% 12.5, 15% 30.3, 37% 11.9, 13% 19.2, 21% 12.3, 13% 15.6, 17% 10.1, 14% 15.4, 22% 8.9, 13% 14.1, 20% 31.1, 34% 17.9, 26% System Integration / MRO & Trading Scaffolding Services Insulation Services Precision Engineering Petrochemical and Environmental Services Carbon allowances Note: Combined contracts between the entities such as SIP contracts are reflected in the entity who won the contracts. It is approximately $1.3m and $2.6m for FY2017 and 9M2018 The acquisition of Multiheight in 2011 has effectively reduced industry-specific risk and supported the Group s consistent revenue growth. The acquisitions of Austin Energy in 2015 and Ensure Engineering in 2017 have further diversified the Group s revenue stream and stimulated revenue growth. 20

Diversified Model Improved Earnings Quality FY2015 Revenue Contribution by Industry FY2016 FY2017 9M2018 6% 4% 2% 3% 4% 50% 5% 4% 3% 6% 4% 36% 7% 4% 3% 3% 6% 4% 20% 3% 5% 7% 5% 8% 18% 31% 42% 53% 3% 8% 43% Onshore/Downstream Marine/Upstream Electronics Manufacturing System Onshore/Infrastructure Analytical Instrumentation Medical equipment/industrial Pharmaceutical Aerospace Carbon allowances The acquisition of Multiheight in 2011 has effectively reduced industry-specific risk and supported the Group s consistent revenue growth. The acquisitions of Austin Energy in 2015 and Ensure Engineering in 2017 have further diversified the Group s revenue stream and stimulated revenue growth. 21

Investment Merits Established Market Player Strong track record, performing above industry average Established Management with Proven Track Record Management with keen foresight and proven track record of: - Leading the Group to achieve consistent performance despite market volatilities - Successful acquisition and smooth integration of Multiheight - Successful acquisitions of Austin Energy and Ensure that have enhanced Group earnings Healthy Order Book Order book of approximately S$104.3 million on hand, including maintenance contracts. Contract winning momentum of S$75.7 million secured up to 9 Nov 2018. Dividend Payout - Half-yearly dividend payout from FY15 onwards - ~ 40% dividend payout policy - FY18 interim dividend: 0.779 cents Earnings Quality Volatile project earnings supplemented by more stable recurring maintenance income from Scaffolding Services, Insulation Services Petrochemical and Environmental Engineering Services from the acquisition of Ensure Engineering. 22

Investment Scorecard 3Q2018 2Q2018 1Q2018 FY2017 FY2016 FY2015 FY2014 FY2013 Share price (cents) 0.41 0.495 0.55 0.56 0.25 0.19 0.11 0.11 Market Capitalisation 159 196 216 220 98 75 43 42 EPS (cents) 4 (4) 4 (4) 4 (4) 3.9 3.2 2.6 2.0 1.5 PE Ratio 10.38 12.38 (4) 13.75 (4) 14.36 7.81 7.27 5.40 7.07 Dividend Yield 4.08 2.93 2.77 2.73 5.08 5.56 2.31 2.36 Current Ratio 1.65 1.61 1.90 1.71 1.94 1.75 1.91 1.73 Total Debt to Equity (1) 60.33 (3) 63.21 (3) 52.20 (3) 61.57 42.04 54.15 47.51 46.63 Return on Asset 10.20 (4) 10.81 (4) 12.42 (4) 11.60 11.36 10.36 9.29 7.72 Return on Equity 20.19 (4) 21.84 (4) 21.26 (4) 21.29 20.22 18.68 15.80 14.04 Return on Invested Capital (2) 25.1 26.0 29.0 28.4 37.8 37.2 28.4 18.3 EBITDA/Interest expense 13.50 15.27 13.56 18.00 18.52 14.93 20.73 14.21 All data extracted from Bloomberg, 19 Oct and 27 Nov 2018 except those with notes (1) If calculated based on (total borrowings less cash)/equity, total debt to equity would be 3Q2018 net debt 25%, 2Q2018 net debt 20% 1Q2018 net debt 6%, FY2017- net debt 13%, FY2016-net cash 11%, FY2015-net cash 10%, FY2014-net cash 19% and FY2013- net debt 19% (2) Calculated by NGL: Profit before interest and tax/tangible capital employed which is tangible non-current asset + current asset current liabilities (trade and other payables, other liabilities, income tax payable) excess cash (3) Adjusted Bloomberg s data to include liabilities held for sale of $8.4m (4) Bloomberg TTM / LTM 23

Dividend Payout Payment date Financial Year Final / Interim / Special Amount per share (cents) Payout ratio Sep 5, 2018 2018 Interim 0.779 May 14, 2018 Final 0.873 2017 Sep 5, 2017 Interim 0.653 May 12, 2017 Final 0.731 Sep 2, 2016 2016 Interim 0.5372 40% May, 13 2016 Final 0.65 Sep 8, 2015 2015 Interim 0.40 May 21, 2015 Special 0.25 May 21,2015 2014 Final 0.25 25% May 15, 2014 2013 Final 0.25 16% May 15, 2013 2012 Final 0.25 22% May 21, 2012 2011 Final 0.25 56% May 16, 2011 2010 Final 0.53 30% Total 5.6242 24

Nordic s Share Buyback renewed on 26 April 2018 AGM MONTH OF ACQUISITION QUANTITY CUMULATIVE VOLUME CUMULATIVE % OF TOTAL NO OF ISSUED SHARES ** Share Buyback by way of Market Acquisition January 2016 479,000 5,148,200 1.29 March 2016 352, 000 5,500,200 1.37 April 2016 397,500 5,897,700 1.47 May 2016 275,100 6,172,800 1.54 June 2016 95,000 6,267,800 1.57 July 2016 117,000 6,384,800 1.60 August 2016 20,000 6,404,800 1.60 September 2016 119,500 6,524,300 1.63 October 2016 211,300 6,735,600 1.68 November 2016 8,000 6,743,600 1.69 December 2016 81,000 6,824,600 1.71 May June 2017 62,500 6,887,100 1.72 March April 2018 68,000 6,955,100 1.74 September 2018 208,300 7,163,400 1.791 November 2018 165,300 7,328,700 1.832 VOLUME WEIGHTED AVERAGE PRICE S$0.2054 Source : SGX Announcement Up to a maximum of 40 million shares being 10% of total issued shares ** Total no of issued shares of 400,000,000 (including treasury shares). 25

Directors and Executive Officer s Share Purchases 9 November 2010 IPO : Director No. of shares held % shareholdings Chang Yeh Hong 200,480,625 50.12% Eric Lin Choon Hin 43,500,000 10.88% Dorcas Teo Ling Ling 29,000,000 7.25% 272,980,625 68.25% 27 November 2018 : Director / Executive Officer No. of shares held % shareholdings * Chang Yeh Hong 217,699,225 55.44% Eric Lin Choon Hin 44,050,000 11.22% Dorcas Teo Ling Ling 32,089,500 8.17% Chia Meng Ru 1,871,600 0.48% 295,710,325 75.31% * Calculated based on 392,671,300 ordinary shares 26

Building Momentum, Capturing Opportunities Thank You For more information, please contact Financial PR Pte Ltd Investor Relations Consultants Romil Singh / Colin Lum nordic@financialpr.com.sg Tel: (65) 6438 2990 Fax: (65) 6438 0064 www.n o rdicgro uplimited.co m 27