Two Decades of Geographical Targeting in Food Distribution: Drawing Lessons from an Indian State

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Global Conference on Prosperity, Equality and Sustainability Perspective and Policies for a Better World Two Decades of Geographical Targeting in Food Distribution: Drawing Lessons from an Indian State Rajshree Bedamatta Indian Institute of Technology Guwahati June 1-3, 2016 Institute for Human Development, New Delhi

Table 1 Classification of districts based on PDS policy of the State government, Odisha ITDP-DPAP districts KBK districts Non-ITDP-DPAP districts Balasore Kalahandi Angul Baragarh Nuapada Bhadrak Boudh Bolangir Cuttack Gajapati Sonepur Deogarh Kandhamal Koraput Dhenkanal Keonjhar Nabarangpur Ganjam Mayurbhanj Malkangiri Jagatsinghpur Sambalpur Rayagada Jajpur Sundargarh Jharusguda Kendrapara Khurda Nayagarh Note: KBK districts also fall under the ITDP-DPAP districts; however, pricing policies under PDS have been framed separately for the KBK districts. Puri

Geographical targeting: A complex picture Pre 1992-93 1992-93 to 1996-97 1997-98 (first stage of targeting) Universal PDS in all districts Revamped PDS in ITDP-DPAP districts Universal PDS in non-itdp-dpap districts Division into BPL and APL families in all districts 1997-98 (second stage of targeting) August 2000 (third stage of targeting) December 2001 (fourth stage of targeting) Additional State government subsidy to BPL families in ITDP-DPAP and KBK districts Central government subsidy to APL families in KBK districts AAY families new group of cardholders

Table 3 Quantity entitlements of foodgrains during RPDS and TPDS in Odisha, 1992 onwards, in kg Years ITDP-DPAP districts Revamped Public Distribution System 1992-97 20+5 20 Targeted Public Distribution System Non-ITDP-DPAP districts BPL APL BPL APL 1997-99 10 10 10 10 1999 till date 16+9 25 25 25 Source: 1. Economic Survey, Government of Odisha, various issues. 2. Department of Food and Civil Supplies, Government of Odisha.

Table 4 PDS price and retail price of common rice in Odisha, 1990-91 to 2004-2005, current prices, in rupees per kg RPDS CIP SIP (ITDP-DPAP) SIP (KBK) SIP (Non-ITDP-DPAP) Average retail price of common rice 1991-1992 3.77 3.27 3.27/2.00* 4.32 4.84 1992-1993 3.77 3.27 3.27/2.00* 4.98 5.18 1993-1994 4.37 5.12 5.12/2.00* 6.22 6.37 1994-1995 5.37 5.12 5.12/2.00* 6.22 7.14 1995-1996 5.37 5.12 5.12/2.00* 6.22 7.63 1996-1997 5.37 5.12 5.12/2.00* 6.22 8.22 TPDS BPL APL BPL APL BPL APL BPL APL 1997-1998 3.50 7.00 2.00 4.00 2.00 4.00 4.00 10.05 8.67 1998-1999 3.50 9.05 2.00 4.00 2.00 4.00 4.00 10.05 9.97 1999-2000 3.50 9.05 2.00 4.00 2.00 4.00 6.50 10.05 8.77 April 2000 - August 2000 August 2000 April 2001 April 2002 July 2002 5.65 11.30 5.00 6.50 5.00 6.50 6.30 10.05 7.97 5.65 8.30 4.75/6.30 # 9.25 4.75/6.30 # 6.30 6.30 9.25 7.95 5.65 7.30 4.75/6.30 # 8.20 4.75/6.30 # 6.30 6.30 8.20 7.98 July 2002 onwards 5.65 8.30 4.75/6.30 # 9.30 4.75/6.30 # 6.30 6.30 9.30 7.98 2002-03 5.65 8.30 4.75/6.30 # 9.30 4.75/6.30 # 6.30 6.30 9.30 7.78 2003-04 5.65 8.30 4.75/6.30 # 9.30 4.75/6.30 # 6.30 6.30 9.30 8.63 2004-05 5.65 8.30 4.75/6.30 # 9.30 4.75/6.30 # 6.30 6.30 9.30 8.79

Retail price of PDS rice in Odisha from 1997-98 to 2013

Figure 1 CIP and SIP of rice for BPL families in Orissa at 1986-87 constant prices, 1991-92 to 2004-05 4 3.5 3 2.5 2 1.5 1 0.5 0 1991-1992 1992-1993 1993-1994 1994-1995 1995-1996 1996-1997 1997-1998 1998-1999 1999-2000 April 2000 - August 2000 August 2000 April 2001 April 2002 July 2002 2002-03 2003-04 2004-05 CIP SIP ITDP-DPAP SIP Non-ITDP-DPAP Retail price SIP KBK

Table 5 Implicit subsidy per household for the total quantity entitled from PDS in Odisha, (in Rs. per month) at 1986-87 constant prices KBK district BPL family APL family 1991-92 (UPDS) 34.8* 19.2* 1998-99 (TPDS first phase) 28.1 21.1 2002-2003 (TPDS second phase) 22.05 8.48 Non-ITDP-DPAP district 1991-92 (UPDS) 6.4** 6.4** 1998-99 (TPDS first phase) 21.1-0.3 2002-2003 (TPDS second phase) 13.25-13.5 * Under the differential price mechanism ** No targeting Amount of subsidy given by (P 1 P 2 ) x Q P 1 = Open market price P 2 = SIP Q = Quantity entitled from PDS

Policy reversal in August 2008 Retail price of BPL rice reduced to Rs 2 per kg across all BPL households in all the districts Retail price of APL rice reduced to Rs 2 per kg in the KBK districts

Policy reversal in February 2013 Retail price of BPL rice reduced to Re 1 per kg across all BPL households in all the districts Retail price of APL rice reduced to Re 1 per kg in the KBK districts

The study villages: Taraput revenue village (Koraput) and Kalabhera revenue village (Nuapada) 16 ITDP-DPAP districts ranked in order of share of BPL families to total rural families as per the 1997 BPL survey. Selected: Koraput (83.8 per cent) and Nuapada (85.7 per cent). Blocks in each district ranked on the basis of share of rural agricultural workers to total rural workers. Selected: Kundura (60.6 per cent) from Koraput district and Nuapada (51 per cent) from Nuapada district. A shortlist was prepared in which only villages that had benefited from some government wage employment programme during the agricultural year of 2004-05 were included. One revenue village chosen by simple random sampling. They were Taraput (Kundura block, Koraput district) and Kalabhera (Nuapada block, Nuapada district. Houselisting based on census enumeration of all households 40 per cent chosen as sample by the method of simple random sampling. Detailed village survey conducted in April and May 2005.

Table 2 General characteristics of Taraput and Kalabhera villages, 2004-05 Revenue village Taraput Kalabhera Block Kundura Nuapada District Koraput Nuapada Distance from nearest town 15 Kms (approx.) 3 Kms (approx.) Agriculture Single crop of paddy and some ragi Double crop of paddy Number of households 274 142 Literacy status (All persons) Literacy rate (%) 31.7 44.3 Male literacy (%) 35.6 56.8 Female literacy (%) 28.3 32.2 Social group (All persons) Scheduled caste (%) 19.8 20.5 Scheduled tribe (%) 36.7 30.5 Other backward class (%) 25.6 47.2 Other (%) 5.1 1.8 Activity status (working age group, 15-59 years) Cultivators (%) 9.7 13.2 Hired manual labour in agriculture and non-agriculture (%) 65.1 63.0 Other (%) 25.2 23.8 Landless households (%) 44 22.6

Exclusion in the study villages, 2005 Number and share of households owning ration cards, Taraput and Kalabhera villages, April May, 2005, (in per cent) Type of card Taraput Kalabhera Number Per cent Number Per cent AAY card 21 8 6 4 BPL card 142 51 71 50 Annapurna card 0 0 1 1 No card 111 41 64 45 All households 274 100 142 100 Note: A repeat study of the two villages was done in February 2008. No APL or additional BPL cards had been distributed amongst the households.

Following Cornia and Stewart (1993) the total number of included and excluded households can be expressed as: N = MVHi + LVHi + MVHe + LVHe Error of exclusion = MVHe/N = MVHe Error of inclusion = LVHi/N = LVHi Table 8 Targeting errors of exclusion and inclusion of Most Vulnerable Households (MVH) and Less Vulnerable Households (LVH) in Taraput and Kalabhera villages, April May 2005 MVHi MVHe LVHi LVHe N Criteria % % % % % Taraput village Social group 57.2 35.9 1.8 5.1 100 Main Occupation of head of household 43.8 26.8 15.2 14.1 100 Operational holdings 51.4 21.5 12.1 15.0 100 Household assets 56.1 30.8 8.4 4.7 100 Kalabhera village Social group 50.3 32.9 4.9 11.9 100 Main occupation of head of household 47.6 21.7 7.7 23.1 100 Operational holdings 41.5 22.6 9.4 26.4 100 Household assets 39.6 13.2 9.4 13.2 100 Source: Survey data, 2005

Extent of exclusion: NSSO, 2007 State AAY card BPL card Other card No card Rajasthan 3 16 78 4 Himachal Pradesh 6 11 76 7 West Bengal 3 27 61 8 Tamil Nadu 2 19 69 11 Punjab 0.1 12 76 12 Gujarat 1 36 50 13 Haryana 3 16 68 13 Kerala 2 28 57 13 Maharashtra 4 31 46 19 Uttar Pradesh 3 14 65 19 Bihar 2 15 60 23 Jharkhand 3 23 51 23 Karnataka 10 42 26 23 Assam 0.6 12 63 25 Andhra Pradesh 3 54 16 28 Madhya Pradesh 3 31 38 28 Chhattisgarh 4 35 32 29 Odisha 2 42 23 33 India 2.9 26.5 51.8 18.7

Who are the excluded? NSSO, 2007 Percentage of households by household characteristics and by type of ration card, Odisha, rural Household characteristics Households in each category AAY and BPL APL No card All By land category < 0.4 36 37.3 22.0 40.7 100 0.41-1 41 52.5 20.3 27.2 100 1.01-2 16 45.0 25.1 29.9 100 2.01-4 4 36.0 28.2 35.8 100 > 4.01 1 15.1 37.4 47.5 100 All 100 44.4 22.5 33.1 100

Who are the excluded? NSSO, 2007 Household characteristics Self-employed in non-agriculture By occupation category Households in each category AAY and BPL APL No card All 18 38.8 25.4 35.8 100 Agricultural labour 30 59.8 13.5 26.7 100 Other labour 10 46.1 19.8 34.2 100 Self employed in agriculture 30 42.8 26.4 30.8 100 Others 12 16.8 32.9 50.3 100 All 100 44.4 22.5 33.1 100

Who are the excluded? NSSO, 2007 Household characteristics Households in each category By social group category AAY and BPL APL No card All ST 28 54.8 11.5 33.7 100 SC 18 54.9 16.7 28.4 100 OBC 38 38.6 27.7 33.6 100 Others 16 28.1 35.7 36.3 100 All 100 44.4 22.5 33.1 100

The PDS policy in the backdrop of number of poor in Odisha More than 80 per cent of rural households continue to consume less than the calorific requirements (NSSO, 2004-05) Official head count ratio of poverty (49.8 per cent in 1993-94; 46.9 per cent in 2004-05) Percentage of BPL households in Odisha (66.37 per cent): 1997 BPL survey Wide inter-district disparity (ranges between 49.02 per cent in Jharsuguda to 85.7 per cent in Nuapada)

Implications of the policy in Odisha Two decades of geographical targeting has created multiple categories of consumers and multiple prices for the same categories of consumers While revamped PDS in the form of geographical created multiple categories of consumers with different retail price of PDS rice, narrow targeting in the form of targeted PDS completely removed a section of consumers from the PDS who could otherwise be classified as poor without the faulty design of BPL surveys The inherent limitations of repeated BPL surveys and narrow targeting has created a group of new BPL families who do not have the entitlement to access cheap and subsidized food

Implications of the policy in Odisha The recent policy reversals of August 2008 and February 2013 does not take care of the new BPL consumers in the KBK districts of the State who do not yet have ration cards Scholars like Dreze and others have shed light on revival of PDS in Odisha. While the revival may be happening, there are large numbers of chronically poor households that are still out of the fold of PDS.