Annual Results February 2008

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Transcription:

Annual Results 2007 12 February 2008

Agenda CEO s review Veli-Matti Mattila, CEO Financial review Jari Kinnunen, CFO 2 12.2.2008 Annual Results 2007

CEO s review Financial and operational highlights Review of the mobile and fixed network businesses Execution of the strategy Progress of 3G services Outlook for 2008 3 12.2.2008 Annual Results 2007

Financial result at all-time high 2007 HIGHLIGHTS Revenue 1,568m 3% EBITDA* 491m Earnings per share 1.38 10% 42% Net debt / EBITDA 1.5 67% CAPEX 206m Distribution 486m -0.5% 140% * Excluding one-off items 4 12.2.2008 Annual Results 2007

On track with mid-term targets 5 12.2.2008 Annual Results 2007

Operational highlights 2007 HIGHLIGHTS Mobile customers 2,657,400 +168,500 Fixed broadband customers 521,800 +25,500 Mobile ARPU 30.0-0,2 Mobile Churn 12.2% -1.6%unit Mobile network usage, min. 5.7bn +773m 6 12.2.2008 Annual Results 2007

Capital repayment 1.80 per share The Board s capital repayment proposal of 1.80 per share for improving the capital structure 0.80 according to distribution policy 1.00 as special distribution Capital repayment is paid from the reserve for invested nonrestricted equity Authorisation of 15m share buy-back 9 per cent of the shares Authorisation to distribute funds out of the retained earnings account or the reserve for invested non-restricted equity to a max of 250m 7 12.2.2008 Annual Results 2007

Q4 2007 profitability improved further Q4 2007 FINANCIAL HIGHLIGHTS Solid Q4 result Revenue at the same level, 402m (401) EBITDA excluding one-offs up to 128m (119) EBITDA margin 32% (30) EPS up to 0.32 (0.31) Capital structure in target range Net debt increased to 738m (377) Net debt / EBITDA 1.5 (0.9) Gearing 71% (29) CAPEX at the previous year s level CAPEX 69m (70) 3G networks and services, backbone network, ADSL 2+ upgrade 8 12.2.2008 Annual Results 2007

Growth in mobile business continues Q4 2007 SEGMENT REVIEW, MOBILE BUSINESS Growth in customer base ARPU* and non-voice services Good progress in 3G subscriptions continued Elisa s market share about 50% Customer base increased by 25,000 in Finland, 10,000 in Estonia ARPU* EUR 30.1 (30.8) Lower interconnection and roaming prices MoU/sub of own service operator +2% and SMS +6% Churn 12.6% (14.0) 30,8 17 % 29,7 30,2 29,9 30,1 19 % 19 % 19 % 19 % Growth in network usage Total MoU growth +9% and SMS +21% Q4/06 Q1/07 Q2/07 Q3/07 Q4/07 *) Average revenue per subscription 9 12.2.2008 Annual Results 2007 ARPU, EUR Share of non-voice services, %

3G services generated growth and profitability Q4 2007 SEGMENT REVIEW, MOBILE BUSINESS Revenue EUR 253m (253) Revenue and EBITDA-% Increase in usage and subscriptions Decrease in interconnection fees, roaming fees and handset sales 253 229 246 252 253 EBITDA* EUR 81m (76), 32% of revenue (30) Cost efficiency, volume growth, growth in 3G usage EBIT* EUR 53m (54), 21% of revenue (21) 30 % 29 % 29 % 32 % 32 % Q4/06 Q1/07 Q2/07 Q3/07 Q4/07 *) EBITDA and EBIT excluding one-off items 10 12.2.2008 Annual Results 2007 Revenue, EURm EBITDA-% excl. one-offs

Growth in network usage Q4 2007 SEGMENT REVIEW, MOBILE BUSINESS ARPU Churn Usage 50 ARPU ( ) and annualised churn (%) Outgoing traffic (million minutes) 1600 45 40 1400 35 30 1200 25 1000 20 15 800 10 5 600 0 400 Q1/02 Q2/02 Q3/02 Q4/02 Q1/03 Q2/03 Q3/03 Q4/03 Q1/04 Q2/04 Q3/04 Q4/04 Q1/05 Q2/05 Q3/05 Q4/05 Q1/06 Q2/06 Q3/06 Q4/06 Q1/07 Q2/07 Q3/07 Q4/07 11 12.2.2008 Annual Results 2007

Clear growth in mobile data usage Q4 2007 SEGMENT REVIEW, MOBILE BUSINESS Active 3G users Active GPRS users Number of active mobile data users in Elisa s network 626900 595400 668200 703200 739900 490000 526000 397600 72400 111800 152500 172500 198200 249200 282300 19000 Q1/06 Q2/06 Q3/06 Q4/06 Q1/07 Q2/07 Q3/07 Q4/07 12 12.2.2008 Annual Results 2007

Growth in broadband continued Q4 2007 SEGMENT REVIEW, FIXED NETWORK BUSINESS Broadband market growth continued Broadband subscriptions Net adds 3,400 in Q4 2007 Elisa the market leader Decrease in analogue lines stable Analogue voice lines decreased by 10% and lines including ISDN channels by 9% 496 300 513 400 513 900 518 400 521 800 16700 17100 500 4500 3400 Q4/06 Q1/07 Q2/07 Q3/07 Q4/07 *) EBITDA and EBIT excluding one-off items 13 12.2.2008 Annual Results 2007 Broadband subscriptions Net adds

Cost efficiency improves profitability Q4 2007 SEGMENT REVIEW, FIXED NETWORK BUSINESS Revenue EUR 162m (162) Growth through broadband and internet services EBITDA* EUR 49m (44), 30% of revenue (27) Efficiency programs Revenue and EBITDA-% 162 163 160 157 162 EBIT* EUR 25m (19), 15% of revenue (12) 27 % 30 % 28 % 34 % 30 % Q4/06 Q1/07 Q2/07 Q3/07 Q4/07 *) EBITDA and EBIT excluding one-off items 14 12.2.2008 Annual Results 2007 Revenue, EURm EBITDA-% excl. one-offs

Growth in broadband and cable TV Q4 2007 SEGMENT REVIEW, MOBILE BUSINESS Traditional analogue ISDN Cable TV Broadband 800 Thousands 700 600 500 400 300 200 100 0 Q1/04 Q2/04 Q3/04 Q4/04 Q1/05 Q2/05 Q3/05 Q4/05 Q1/06 Q2/06 Q3/06 Q4/06 Q1/07 Q2/07 Q3/07 Q4/07 15 12.2.2008 Annual Results 2007

Elisa strategy STRATEGY EXECUTION 2003 Integration of One Elisa 2005 Strengthening market position in core markets New services and new markets 16 12.2.2008 Annual Results 2007

Productivity improvement STRATEGY EXECUTION INTEGRATION OF ONE ELISA Personnel reduction in Consumer customers unit Personnel reduction in administration MultiSim services, same number for several mobile handsets UMTS900 for commercial use first in the world New 10 and 30 Mbit/s broadband connections in cable network Integration of Saunalahti employees into Elisa Outsourcing of contact center in Tampere Significant profitability improvement Customer orientation Simplification of structure 17 12.2.2008 Annual Results 2007

3G success story continued STRATEGY EXECUTION STRENGTHENING MARKET POSITION Sale of 3G services continued well Significant amount of new subscriptions are 3G service bundles Elisa s market share in 3G service bundles about 50% In Q4 65,000 new service bundles in Finland Cumulative amount of 3G terminals sold since 2006 more than one million ARPU increase still 10-15% from 2G to 3G 3G subscriptions and services 3G service bundle market (cumulative, 000) 3G subscription market (cumulative, '000) 52 167 258 263 383 358 522 458 650 534 759 616 885 1015 681 Q1/06 Q2/06 Q3/06 Q4/06 Q1/07 Q2/07 Q3/07 Q4/07 Source: Elisa estimates, Matkaviestintoimittajat ry (MVT) 18 12.2.2008 Annual Results 2007

Elisa has the best 3G network in Finland* STRATEGY EXECUTION STRENGTHENING MARKET POSITION Best network both in quality and coverage Highest signal levels Quality in voice and data services Important in 1 Mb/s and higher speeds Highest number of base stations Dense network improves quality 3G network coverage, best = 100% 3G voice 3G data 100 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 Elisa Sonera DNA Elisa Sonera DNA * Based on ECE (European Communications Engineering) research in January 2008 19 12.2.2008 Annual Results 2007

ICT services offering gaining momentum STRATEGY EXECUTION STRENGTHENING MARKET POSITION Success in Elisa Office and Elisa Customer solutions Nordic IT spend growth rates, % yoy Good demand for Elisa Office s mobile collaboration solutions, driven by corporate applications and switchboards going mobile Customer service centre business for corporate customers best-inclass according to TNS Gallup (Dec 2007) 4,2 4,3 4,6 4,7 Elisa Production Elisa Office Elisa Customer 2007 2008 2009 2010 Source: IDC, January 2008 20 12.2.2008 Annual Results 2007

Outlook for 2008 Competition remains challenging Focus on service competition Result will improve from 2008 Revenue will grow EBITDA and EBIT excluding non-recurring items will improve Stable CAPEX CAPEX 10-12 per cent of revenue Significant improvement in cash flow 21 12.2.2008 Annual Results 2007

Agenda CEO s review Veli-Matti Mattila, CEO Financial review Jari Kinnunen, CFO 22 12.2.2008 Annual Results 2007

Profitability improved clearly in 2007 EUR million Q4/07 Q4/06 2007 2006 Growth Revenue 402 401 1 568 1 518 EUR 50m Other operating income 1 2 21 9 3 % Operating expenses -277-285 -1 090-1 093 EBITDA 126 118 499 434 EBITDA excluding one-offs 128 119 491 445 EUR 46m EBITDA-% 31 % 29 % 32 % 29 % 10 % EBITDA-% excluding one-offs 32 % 30 % 31 % 29 % Depreciation and amortisation -52-48 -197-209 EBIT 74 70 302 225 EBIT excluding one-offs 76 71 293 236 EUR 57m EBIT-% 18 % 17 % 19 % 15 % 24 % EBIT-% excluding one-offs 19 % 18 % 19 % 16 % Profit before tax 65 69 285 212 Income taxes -15-18 -65-50 Profit for the period 50 51 220 161 EUR 0,41 EPS, EUR/share 0,32 0,31 1,38 0,97 42% 23 12.2.2008 Annual Results 2007

Revenue growth through customer billing EUR million 10 6 44 98 1 518 Analogue lines and volumes Broadband, Corporate services Termination, roaming and handset sales Usage, subscriptions, 3G services, prices and Estonia 1 568 2006 Fixed decrease Fixed growth Mobile decrease Mobile growth 24 12.2.2008 Annual Results 2007

Change in cost structure Other operating expenses Employee benefit expenses Materials and services Materials and services Employee benefit expenses 1Q 07 2Q 07 3Q 07 4Q 07 175 180 175 177 FY 07 707 44 48 38 51 181 Percentage of total expenses 22 % 22 % 17 % 18 % 20 % 17 % 27 % 22 % Other operating expenses 46 53 54 49 202 52 % 56 % 63 % 65 % Total costs 265 281 267 277 1 090 Depreciation 46 49 50 52 197 2004 2005 2006 2007 25 12.2.2008 Annual Results 2007

CAPEX in line with guidance CAPEX / Sales 13% in 2007 CAPEX includes CAPEX, EURm 1 1 3G networks and services ADSL 2+ upgrade IT systems Backbone network 26 4 6 31 Q4 CAPEX by segments Mobile EUR 31m Fixed network EUR 38m 17 % 43 20 22 12 % 12 % 21 11 % 17 % 38 25 27 23 Q4/06 Q1/07 Q2/07 Q3/07 Q4/07 26 12.2.2008 Annual Results 2007 Fixed Line Mobile Shares CAPEX/Sales

Cash Flow affected by taxes, NWC and interests EUR million 2007 2006 change EBITDA 499 435 65 Change in receivables -116-95 Change in inventories 10-18 Change in payables 7 37 Change in NWC Sale of Comptel shares -100 13-77 0-23 Interest paid and received -32-18 Financials (net) Taxes for the year -19-53 -18 0-1 Taxes for the previous year -29 0 Taxes CAPEX Investments in shares Sale of assets and adjustments Cash flow after investments -82-204 -6 25 114 0-206 -25 10 118-82 0 21 16-4 27 12.2.2008 Annual Results 2007

Cash flow improved in Q4 Cash flow EUR 53m in Q4 Change in net working capital EUR 19m q-o-q Increase in receivables EUR 16m Postponement in invoicing due to the new CRM system On schedule in Q1/08 Increase in payables EUR 41m Decrease in inventories EUR 5m Cash flow and operative cash flow, EURm 50 41 70 70 37 88 59 53 18 6 Q4/06 Q1/07 Q2/07 Q3/07 Q4/07 *) Operative cash flow = EBITDA excl. one-offs - CAPEX 28 12.2.2008 Annual Results 2007 Cash Flow after investments EBITDA-Capex

Capital structure in target level Capital structure in target level Net debt / EBITDA 1.5 Gearing 71% Balance sheet KPIs Target setting Net debt / EBITDA 1.5 2x Gearing 50 100% 1,3 1,4 1,2 1,5 0,9 52 % 60 % 65 % 71 % 29 % 578 651 646 738 377 Q4/06 Q1/07 Q2/07 Q3/07 Q4/07 29 12.2.2008 Annual Results 2007 Net Debt, EURm Gearing, % Net Debt/EBITDA

Distribution above long-term policy 40-60% Capital repayment proposal April 2008 EUR 1.80 per share 0.80 according to distribution policy 1.00 as a special distribution Total EUR 285m Yield 9.4% (11.2.2008) Payout Ratio 130% Proposals for 15 million shares buy-back authorisation Distribution 304 % Dividend yield ~9.4% 86 111 % 401 130 % Proposal for dividend and capital repayment authorisation EUR 250m 39 % 9 81 % 123 79 116 285 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008* Buy back Dividend or capital repayment Pay-out ratio 30 12.2.2008 Annual Results 2007 *) Distribution proposal

Capital repayment Parent company 31.12.2007 Capital repayment After capital repayment Reserve for invested non-restricted equity 534-285 249 Retained earnings (./. treasury shares) 123 123 Distributable equity in parent 657-285 372 Capital repayment is paid from the reserve for invested non-restricted equity (transfer of the share premium fund in 2007 EUR 530m) Generally as tax effective as dividend No withholding tax for Finnish shareholders, but lowers purchase price in taxation Withholding tax for foreign shareholders depends on the tax treaty between Finland and shareholder s domicile 31 12.2.2008 Annual Results 2007

Annual Results 2007 12 February 2008

APPENDIX SLIDE Consolidated Cash flow statement EUR million Q4 2007 Q3 2007 Q2/2007 Q1/2007 Q4 2006 Q3 2006 Q2 2006 Q1 2006 Cash flow from operating activities Profit before tax 65 89 67 64 69 69 34 39 Adjustments to profit before tax 63 41 47 50 46 50 63 59 Change in working capital 19-59 -15-45 -9-22 -6-40 Cash flow from operating activities 148 71 99 69 106 97 91 59 Received dividends and interests and interest paid -3-13 -2 0 3-10 -4-6 Taxes paid -23-22 -33-4 1 0 0-1 Net cash flow from operating activities 121 36 64 65 109 87 87 52 Cash flow in investments Capital expenditure -69-45 -46-44 -69-40 -54-43 Investments in shares and other investments -1-1 -2-3 -1-18 -5-3 Proceeds from asset disposal 1 16 21 1 1 7 0 7 Net cash used in investment -69-30 -27-46 -69-51 -58-39 Cash flow after investments 53 6 37 19 41 36 29 13 Cash flow in financing Share Buy Backs and sales (net) 0 0-84 -79 0 0 1 Change in interest-bearing receivables 0 0 0 0 0 Change in long-term debt 0 0-44 350 0 0 0-122 Change in short-term debt 92 0 0-25 25-35 35 Repayment of financing leases -1-2 -2-2 -2-2 -3-3 Dividends paid -158-1 -23-220 -1-1 -117-5 Cash flow in financing -67-2 -153 103-57 -38-85 -129 Change in cash and cash equivalents -15 4-116 121-17 -2-56 -116 33 12.2.2008 Annual Results 2007

APPENDIX SLIDE Financial situation Financial situation EUR Million 31 Dec 2007 30 Sep 2007 30 Jun 2007 31 Mar 2007 31 Dec 2006 Interest-bearing debt Bonds and notes 634 633 633 677 327 Commercial Paper 92 0 0 0 25 Loans from financial institutions 0 0 0 0 0 Financial leases 28 44 46 45 46 Committed credit line 1) 0 0 0 0 0 Others 2) 1 1 1 1 1 Interest-bearing debt, total 755 678 680 723 399 Security deposits 0 1 1 1 1 Securities 0 0 0 108 0 Cash and bank 17 31 28 35 22 Interest-bearing receivables 17 32 29 144 22 Net debt 3) 738 646 651 578 377 1) The committed credit line is a joint EUR 170 million and EUR 130 million revolving credit facilities with five banks, which Elisa Corporation may flexibly use on agreed pricing. The loan arrangements are valid until 17 June 2012 and 23 November 2014. 2) Redemption liability for minorities 3) Net debt is interest-bearing debt less cash and interest-bearing receivables. 34 12.2.2008 Annual Results 2007