Handelsbanken. January March April 2014

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Transcription:

Handelsbanken January March 2014 30 April 2014

Q307 Q407 08 Q208 Q308 Q408 09 Q209 Q309 Q409 10 Q210 Q310 Q410 11 Q211 Q311 Q411 12 Q212 Q312 Q412 13 Q213 Q313 Q413 14 Average annual growth in equity Including dividends SEK / share 275 Adjusted equity per share Accumulated dividends since 2008 250 225 200 175 150 125 100 75 50 25 0 Dividends reinvested in ROE per quarter CAGR = Compounded Annual Growth Rate 2

Summary Net profit as well as operating profit increased by 13% in 2014 compared to 2013 Operating profit in home markets outside Sweden grew by 30% compared to 2013 The common equity tier 1 ratio according to CRD IV increased to 19.5% Return on equity was 14.1% compared to 13.3% in the previous quarter Adjusted for capital gains, return on equity was 13.2% and the C/I ratio 46.3% The loan loss ratio was 0.07% 3

Income statement, January March SEK m 2014 Q4 2013 Change 2013 Change Net interest income 6,653 6,772-2% 6,541 2% Net fee and commission income 2,060 2,107-2% 1,877 10% Net gains/losses on financial transactions 658 304 116% 259 154% Risk result - insurance 42 35 20% 51-18% Other income 68 60 13% 72-6% Total income 9,481 9,278 2% 8,800 8% Staff costs -2,887-2,980-3% -2,783 4% Other expenses -1,359-1,527-11% -1,399-3% Total expenses -4,246-4,507-6% -4,182 2% Profit before loan losses 5,235 4,771 10% 4,618 13% Net loan losses -315-322 -2% -283 11% Gains/losses on disposal of property, equipment and intangible assets 0 9-100% 1-100% Operating profit 4,920 4,458 10% 4,336 13% Taxes -1,038-966 7% -885 17% Net profit from discontinued operations 27 35-23% 15 80% Profit for the period 3,909 3,527 11% 3,466 13% 4

Sharp drop in risk premiums on bond markets Basis points 1 000 Difference in spread between itraxx Crossover and itraxx Europe 5-year indices 900 800 700 600 500 400 300 200 100 Jun-05 Jun-06 Jun-07 Jun-08 Jun-09 Jun-10 Jun-11 Jun-12 Jun-13 5 Souce: Macrobond. The graph shows the difference in spread between the 5-year itraxx European Crossover index (CDSspreads for non-investment grade issuers) and the itraxx Europe (CDS-spreads for investment grade issuers)

Financial stability % 26 24 22 20 18 16 14 12 10 8 6 4 16.7 11.6 9.4 2009 Capital ratios * Common equity tier 1 ratio Tier 1 ratio Total capital ratio 24.5 21.1 19.5 2014 Capital CRD IV, % 31 Mar 2014 31 Dec 2013 Change Capital ratio, % 24.5 21.6 +2.9 Tier 1 ratio, % 21.1 21.0 +0.1 Common equity tier 1 ratio, % 19.5 18.9 +0.6 Total capital base, SEK bn 119.3 106.4 +12.9 Common equity tier 1 capital, SEK bn 95.3 93.0 +2.3 31 March Liquidity 2014 LCR Total ** 152% LCR EUR ** 122% LCR USD ** 158% LCR according to CRD IV 170% LCR according to S&P's definition (1-year) 99% NSFR according to the Basel Committée proposal 97% NSFR according to S&P's definition (SFR) 96% * 2009 according to Basel II and 2014 according to CRD IV ** According the Swedish FSA s definition *** Liquidity reserve as % of lending to the public Liquidity reserve, SEK bn > 800 Liquidity ratio *** >50% 6

The Basel committee s NSFR proposal stable funding Ranking in terms of stability in funding Issues in include: Capital 100% Bonds with >12 months maturity 100% Stable household deposits 95% Non-stable household deposits 90% Bonds with 6-12 months maturity 50% EUR 1.5bn 10-year tier 2 2.66% * EUR 1.25bn covered 1.00% * CHF 350m 5-year senior 0.63% * * Coupon Large corporate deposits 50% 7

Development of funding sources Funding sources 100% 90% 19% Fully covered by liquid assets in the liquidity reserve 80% 38% 70% Short term instruments 60% Credit institutions 50% Deposits 40% Bonds 30% 20% 10% 23% 40% Subordinated debt Increased share of bonds and reduced share of short term instruments and credit institutions 0% Q4 2006 2014 8

Non-encumbered assets, NEA 31 March 2014 SEK bn IPT (NEA) Accumulated coverage ratio in % of unsecured funding * Cash with central banks and securities in the liquidity portfolio 519 67% Mortgage loans 353 113% Other household lending 133 131% Property company lending lowest risk class (1-3) 201 157% Other corporate lending lowest risk class (1-3) 165 178% Loans to credit institutions lowest risk class (1-3) 55 185% Other corporate lending 224 214% Other assets 115 229% Total non-encumbered assets (NEA) 1,765 229% Encumbered assets without underlying liabilities ** 57 Encumbered assets with underlying liabilities 754 Total assets, Group 2,576 * Issued short and long unsecured funding and due to credit institutions ** Over-collateralisation in cover pool (OC) 9

Handelsbanken s home markets Number of branches, 31 March 2014: Sweden 462 UK * 173 Denmark 57 Norway 49 Finland 45 Netherlands 18 Total ** 804 * Including seven appointed branch managers ** In home markets Sotra Salo Odense Bjursås Bishops Stortford Bergen op Zoom 10

Organic growth in mature markets 36% 34% 32% 30% 28% 26% 24% 22% 20% 18% 32% of operating profit in the branch operations comes from home markets outside Sweden * 19% to 32% in 2 years 35% in 2014 16% 2011 Q2 2011 Q3 2011 Q4 2011 2012 Q2 2012 Q3 2012 Q4 2012 2013 Q2 2013 Q3 2013 Q4 2013 2014 * Twelve-month rolling operating profits 11

UK Continued expansion and increased availability 173 branches including appointed branch managers 1,600 employees in the UK Income in 2014 increased by 28% in local currency compared to 2013 Income and expense trend in branches in the UK SEK m per branch 60 50 ~60% of branches less than 4 years old ~40% of branches more than 4 years old 40 30 C/I ratio <30% 20 10 0 0 year 1 years 2 years 3 years 4 years 5 years 6 years 7 years 8 years 9 years 10 years Income, average Expenses, average 12

Q307 Q407 08 Q208 Q308 Q408 09 Q209 Q309 Q409 10 Q210 Q310 Q410 11 Q211 Q311 Q411 12 Q212 Q312 Q412 13 Q213 Q313 Q413 14 Average annual growth in equity Including dividends SEK / share 275 Adjusted equity per share Accumulated dividends since 2008 250 225 200 175 150 125 100 75 50 25 0 Dividends reinvested in ROE per quarter CAGR = Compounded Annual Growth Rate 13

Appendix

Long-term funding, January March 2014 Long term issuance, SEK bn 2014 2013 Senior bonds 6 21 Extendible notes - 26 Covered bonds 36 44 Tier 2 subordinated 13 - Total 55 91 Issues in include: EUR 1.5bn 10-year tier 2 EUR 1.25bn 5-year covered CHF 350m 5-year senior 15

Income statement - five quarters SEK m 2014 Q4 2013 Q3 2013 Q2 2013 2013 Net interest income 6,653 6,772 6,683 6,673 6,541 Net fee and commission income 2,060 2,107 1,896 1,924 1,877 Net gains/losses on financial transactions 658 304 354 440 259 Risk result - insurance 42 35 30 26 51 Other income 68 60 46 177 72 Total income 9,481 9,278 9,009 9,240 8,800 Staff costs -2,887-2,980-2,845-2,796-2,783 Other expenses -1,359-1,527-1,312-1,419-1,399 Total expenses -4,246-4,507-4,157-4,215-4,182 Profit before loan losses 5,235 4,771 4,852 5,025 4,618 Net loan losses -315-322 -284-306 -283 Gains/losses on disposal of property, equipment and intangible assets 0 9 3 4 1 Operating profit 4,920 4,458 4,571 4,723 4,336 16

Change in net interest income NII Q4 2013, SEK m 6,772 Change Lending and deposits in Swedish branch operations 14 Deposit margins -32 Deposit volumes 2 Lending margins 35 Lending volumes 9 Lending and deposits in home markets outside Sweden 54 Deposit margins 25 Deposit volumes 28 Lending margins -37 Lending volumes 38 Other -145 Other branch operations 3 Mandatory government fees (deposit insur. stabilisation fund etc) -8 Benchmark effect -42 Other -98 NII 2014, underlying 6,695-1% Day count effect -39 Exchange rate movements -3 NII 2014 6,653-2% 17

Change in net interest income NII 2013, SEK m 6,541 Change Lending and deposits in Swedish branch operations 74 Deposit margins -26 Deposit volumes 16 Lending margins -14 Lending volumes 98 Lending and deposits in home markets outside Sweden 328 Deposit margins 14 Deposit volumes 68 Lending margins 90 Lending volumes 156 Other -309 Other branch operations 12 Mandatory government fees (deposit insur. stabilisation fund etc) -7 Benchmark effect -34 Other -280 NII 2014, underlying 6,634 1% Day count effect 0 Exchange rate movements 19 NII 2014 6,653 2% 18

Change in common equity tier 1 ratio CRD IV Common equity tier 1 ratio Q4 2013, % 18.9 Change, %-points: Common equity tier 1 capital 0.5 Earnings after estimated dividends 0.4 Currency effects 0.3 IAS 19 0.1 Other and rounding -0.3 Lending volume 0.0 Lending growth 0.1 Currency effects -0.1 Net effect different quality of inflows and outflows in loan portfolio 0.1 Credit risk migration in the lending portfolio 0.1 Model changes and other effects, net -0.1 Change in common equity tier 1 ratio 0.6 Common equity tier 1 ratio 2014, % 19.5 19

Change in common equity tier 1 ratio CRD IV Common equity tier 1 ratio 2013, % 17.5 Change, %-points: Common equity tier 1 capital 1.3 Earnings after estimated dividends 0.7 Currency effects 0.7 IAS 19 0.1 Other and rounding -0.2 Lending volume -0.3 Lending growth 0.0 Currency effects -0.3 Net effect different quality of inflows and outflows in loan portfolio 1.2 Credit risk migration in the lending portfolio -0.1 Model changes and other effects, net -0.1 Change in common equity tier 1 ratio 2.0 Common equity tier 1 ratio 2014, % 19.5 20

Mandatory government fees 2014, SEK m Stabilisation Fund Deposit guarantee Total Sweden -105-58 -163 UK -13-3 -16 Denmark -7-6 -13 Finland -9-3 -12 Norway -19-6 -25 Netherlands -2 0-2 International -3 0-3 Other -56 0-56 Total -214-76 -290 21

Fees and commissions SEK m Jan-Mar 2014 Jan-Mar 2013 Change Brokerage and other securities commissions 328 306 7% Mutual funds 554 465 19% Custody and other asset management fees 135 84 61% Advisory services 49 104-53% Insurance 158 141 12% Payments 708 619 14% Loans and deposits 279 282-1% Guarantees 108 108 0% Other 106 101 5% Commission income 2,425 2,210 10% Securities -69-58 19% Payments -279-253 10% Other -17-22 -23% Commission expense -365-333 10% Net fee and commission income 2,060 1,877 10% 22

Oktogonen quarterly, 2009 2014 SEK m 350 300 250 200 150 100 50 0 2009 Q3 2009 2010 Q3 2010 2011 Q3 2011 2012 Q3 2012 2013 Q3 2013 2014 23

Effective tax rate Effective tax rate 14 Q413 Q313 Q213 13 Q412 * Q312 Q212 12 Per quarter 21.1% 21.6% 21.8% 22.6% 20.4% -10.1% 26.5% 25.2% 27.9% Accumulated year to date 21.1% 21.6% 21.6% 21.5% 20.4% 18.1% 26.5% 26.5% 27.9% * Negative tax rate in Q4 2012 due to recalculation of deferred taxes as a consequence of changed corporate tax rate in Sweden 24

Balance sheet SEK bn Jan-Mar 2014 Jan-Mar 2013 Change Cash and central banks 410 260 58% Loans to the public 1,727 1,655 4% Loans to other credit institutions 58 87-34% Interest-bearing securities 121 129-6% Other assets 260 254 2% Total assets 2,576 2,385 8% Deposits and borrowing from the public 867 642 35% Due to credit institutions 174 213-18% Issued securities 1,174 1,158 1% Other liabilities 253 272-7% Total equity 108 100 8% Total liabilities and equity 2,576 2,385 8% 25

Loans to the public * Q4 Q3 Q2 SEK bn, end of period 2014 2013 2013 2013 2013 Households 635 627 620 614 604 Corporates 484 485 489 493 497 Branch operations in Sweden 1,119 1,111 1,110 1,107 1,101 Households 83 81 79 81 80 Corporates 121 117 117 121 119 Branch operations in Norway 204 198 197 202 200 Households 42 39 36 33 30 Corporates 95 92 89 86 81 Branch operations in UK 137 132 125 119 110 Households 34 34 33 33 30 Corporates 74 74 70 71 66 Branch operations in Finland 108 107 103 103 96 Households 38 38 35 34 32 Corporates 35 34 35 38 37 Branch operations in Denmark 74 72 70 73 68 Households 6 5 5 4 4 Corporates 9 13 10 11 10 Branch operations in the Netherlands 15 18 15 15 14 Other 58 53 61 64 58 Households 842 827 811 803 785 Corporates 873 864 870 880 862 Total lending to the public 1,715 1,691 1,681 1,683 1,647 * Excluding loans to the National Debt Office 26

Deposits from the public Q4 Q3 Q2 SEK bn, end of period 2014 2013 2013 2013 2013 Households 234 233 228 228 219 Corporates 164 171 163 156 164 Branch operations in Sweden 398 404 391 384 383 Households 16 15 15 16 15 Corporates 49 44 37 33 38 Branch operations in Norway 65 59 52 49 53 Households 12 9 8 7 6 Corporates 58 49 36 27 22 Branch operations in UK 71 58 45 34 27 Households 11 11 11 11 11 Corporates 30 23 17 13 12 Branch operations in Finland 41 34 28 24 22 Households 12 12 11 11 11 Corporates 13 16 15 14 11 Branch operations in Denmark 24 28 26 25 22 Households 0 0 0 0 0 Corporates 9 6 11 7 7 Branch operations in the Netherlands 9 6 11 8 7 Other 259 236 255 113 128 Households 291 287 280 281 268 Corporates 576 538 528 356 374 Total deposits from the public 867 825 808 637 642 27

Lending in home markets outside Sweden Average volumes Private, local currency 2014 Q4 2013 Change Denmark, DKK bn 31.4 30.6 2.6% Finland, EUR m 3,787 3,773 0.4% Norway, NOK bn 75.0 74.2 1.1% UK, GBP m 3,763 3,580 5.1% Netherlands, EUR m 625 567 10.2% Corporate, local currency Denmark, DKK bn 28.0 27.9 0.4% Finland, EUR m 8,207 8,166 0.5% Norway, NOK bn 113.4 112.0 1.3% UK, GBP m 8,782 8,677 1.2% Netherlands, EUR m 1,460 1,264 15.5% 28

Lending in home markets outside Sweden Average volumes Private, local currency Jan-Mar 2014 Jan-Mar 2013 Change Denmark, DKK bn 31.4 27.9 12.5% Finland, EUR m 3,787 3,598 5.3% Norway, NOK bn 75.0 70.3 6.7% UK, GBP m 3,763 2,963 27.0% Netherlands, EUR m 625 389 60.7% Corporate, local currency Denmark, DKK bn 28.0 30.7-8.8% Finland, EUR m 8,207 7,807 5.1% Norway, NOK bn 113.4 109.9 3.2% UK, GBP m 8,782 8,021 9.5% Netherlands, EUR m 1,460 1,226 19.1% 29

Deposits in home markets outside Sweden Average volumes Private, local currency 2014 Q4 2013 Change Denmark, DKK bn 9.4 9.3 1.1% Finland, EUR m 1,249 1,273-1.9% Norway, NOK bn 14.6 14.3 2.1% UK, GBP m 1,032 821 25.7% Netherlands, EUR m 27 27 0.0% Corporate, local currency Denmark, DKK bn 15.2 14.6 4.1% Finland, EUR m 3,043 2,457 23.9% Norway, NOK bn 43.7 39.5 10.6% UK, GBP m 5,366 4,132 29.9% Netherlands, EUR m 960 1,264-24.1% 30

Deposits in home markets outside Sweden Average volumes Private, local currency Jan-Mar 2014 Jan-Mar 2013 Change Denmark, DKK bn 9.4 8.9 5.6% Finland, EUR m 1,249 1,271-1.7% Norway, NOK bn 14.6 13.5 8.1% UK, GBP m 1,032 548 88.3% Netherlands, EUR m 27 24 12.5% Corporate, local currency Denmark, DKK bn 15.2 14.8 2.7% Finland, EUR m 3,043 1,546 96.8% Norway, NOK bn 43.7 38.7 12.9% UK, GBP m 5,366 2,288 134.5% Netherlands, EUR m 960 639 50.2% 31