National Tracking Poll #181159 December 04-04, 2018 Crosstabulation Results Methodology: This poll was conducted from December 04-04, 2018, among a national sample of 1975 Registered Voters. The interviews were conducted online and the data were weighted to approximate a target sample of Registered Voters based on age, race/ethnicity, gender, educational attainment, and region. Results from the full survey have a margin of error of plus or minus 2 percentage points.
Table Index 1 Table P1: Now, generally speaking, would you say that things in the country are going in the right direction, or have they pretty seriously gotten off on the wrong track?.................. 7 2 Table P3: Now, thinking about your vote, what would you say is the top set of issues on your mind when you cast your vote for federal offices such as U.S. Senate or Congress?.................. 11 3 Table POL1_1: Who do you trust more to handle each of the following issues? The economy...... 15 4 Table POL1_2: Who do you trust more to handle each of the following issues? Jobs........... 19 5 Table POL1_3: Who do you trust more to handle each of the following issues? Health care....... 23 6 Table POL1_4: Who do you trust more to handle each of the following issues? Immigration...... 27 7 Table POL1_5: Who do you trust more to handle each of the following issues? The environment.... 31 8 Table POL1_6: Who do you trust more to handle each of the following issues? Energy......... 35 9 Table POL1_7: Who do you trust more to handle each of the following issues? Education....... 39 10 Table POL1_8: Who do you trust more to handle each of the following issues? National security.... 43 11 Table POL1_9: Who do you trust more to handle each of the following issues? Sexual harassment and misconduct in the workplace........................................ 47 12 Table POL1_10: Who do you trust more to handle each of the following issues? Gun policy...... 51 13 Table POL2_1: How important of a priority should each of the following be for Congress? Passing a healthcare reform bill........................................... 55 14 Table POL2_2: How important of a priority should each of the following be for Congress? Investigating some of President Trumps campaign officials for alleged connections or contacts with the Russian government during the 2016 elections................................... 59 15 Table POL2_3: How important of a priority should each of the following be for Congress? Reforming entitlement programs like Medicare and Social Security......................... 63 16 Table POL2_4: How important of a priority should each of the following be for Congress? Passing an infrastructure spending bill........................................ 67 17 Table POL2_5: How important of a priority should each of the following be for Congress? Passing a bill to reform regulations on banks and nancial services companies................... 71 18 Table POL2_6: How important of a priority should each of the following be for Congress? Passing an immigration reform bill.......................................... 75 19 Table POL2_7: How important of a priority should each of the following be for Congress? Constructing a wall along the U.S. / Mexico border................................... 79 2
National Tracking Poll #181159, December, 2018 20 Table POL2_8: How important of a priority should each of the following be for Congress? Passing a bill that grants young people who were brought to the United States illegally when they were children, often with their parents, protection from deportation........................... 83 21 Table POL2_9: How important of a priority should each of the following be for Congress? Reducing the federal budget de cit.......................................... 87 22 Table POL2_10: How important of a priority should each of the following be for Congress? Passing legislation placing additional restrictions on gun ownership....................... 91 23 Table POL3_1: How much have you seen, read or heard about each of the following? The federal report on climate change released after Thanksgiving this year.......................... 95 24 Table POL3_2: How much have you seen, read or heard about each of the following? White House senior adviser Ivanka Trump using a private email account to conduct government business...... 99 25 Table POL3_3: How much have you seen, read or heard about each of the following? Customs and Border Protection agents using tear gas to repel groups to Central American migrants who tried to cross the border into the United States from Mexico.............................. 103 26 Table POL3_4: How much have you seen, read or heard about each of the following? Michael Cohen, President Donald Trumps longtime attorney, pleading guilty to lying to Congress about how much he spoke with Trump about a proposed Trump Tower project in Moscow when Trump was campaigning for president in 2016............................................ 107 27 Table POL4: As you may know, White House senior adviser Ivanka Trump was found to have used a private email account to conduct government business. Based on what you know, do you think Ivanka Trump using a private email account to conduct government business while serving as a White House senior adviser is:.............................................. 111 28 Table POL5: From what you have seen, read or heard, do you think Ivanka Trump using a private email account instead of a government email account was legal or illega................. 115 29 Table POL6: From what you have seen, read or heard, do you think Ivanka Trump using a private email account instead of a government email account was ethical or unethical?............. 119 30 Table POL7: Based on what you know, do you support or oppose a bill of widespread changes to the tax system signed into law by President Trump in December 2017?.................... 123 31 Table POL8: Have you noticed an increase in your paycheck amount this year as a result of the new tax law?.................................................. 127 32 Table POL9: Have you noticed an increase in your paycheck amount in the past few months?..... 131 33 Table POL10: Did you receive a larger tax refund in 2018 than you did in 2017?............ 135 34 Table POL11: Do you anticipate receiving a larger tax refund in 2019 than 2018?........... 139 35 Table POL12: As you may know, Nancy Pelosi is the Democratic leader in the U.S. House of Representatives. Under her leadership, do you think things for Democrats in the House of Representatives have been:.................................................... 143 3
Morning Consult 36 Table POL13: As you may know, Paul Ryan is the speaker of the U.S. House of Representatives. Under his leadership, do you think things for Republicans in the House of Representatives have been:..... 147 37 Table POL14: As you may know, Mitch McConnell is the Republican leader in the Senate. Under his leadership, do you think things for Republicans in the Senate have been:................. 151 38 Table POL15: As you may know, Chuck Schumer is the Democratic leader in the Senate. Under his leadership, do you think things for Democrats in the Senate have been:................. 155 39 Table POL16_1: As you may know, Nancy Pelosi is the House Democratic Leader in the U.S. House of Representatives. Based on what you know, how responsible is Nancy Pelosi for each of the following? Democrats winning the majority in House of Representatives the 2006 midterm election........ 159 40 Table POL16_2: As you may know, Nancy Pelosi is the House Democratic Leader in the U.S. House of Representatives. Based on what you know, how responsible is Nancy Pelosi for each of the following? Democrats losing the majority in the House of Representatives in the 2010 midterm election...... 163 41 Table POL16_3: As you may know, Nancy Pelosi is the House Democratic Leader in the U.S. House of Representatives. Based on what you know, how responsible is Nancy Pelosi for each of the following? Democrats losing seats in House of Representatives in the 2014 midterm election............ 167 42 Table POL16_4: As you may know, Nancy Pelosi is the House Democratic Leader in the U.S. House of Representatives. Based on what you know, how responsible is Nancy Pelosi for each of the following? Democrats winning the majority in the House of Representatives in the 2018 midterm election..... 171 43 Table POL17: How concerned are you with the issue of climate change and the impact it is having on the U.S. economy?............................................. 175 44 Table POL18: How concerned are you with the issue of climate change and the impact it is having on the U.S. environment?........................................... 179 45 Table POL19: The new federal report on climate change, called the Fourth National Climate Assessment, says climate change is expected to impact U.S. infrastructure and economic growth, potentially hitting some economic sectors with losses of hundreds of billions of dollars each year by the end of this century. How concerned are you about the report?............................ 183 46 Table POL20: Which comes closest to your view, even if none are exactly right?............. 187 47 Table POL21_1: Below is a list of possible threats to the vital interests of the United States in the next 10 years. For each one, please indicate whether you see this as a critical threat, an important but not critical threat, or not an important threat at all. Terrorism here in the United States.......... 191 48 Table POL21_2: Below is a list of possible threats to the vital interests of the United States in the next 10 years. For each one, please indicate whether you see this as a critical threat, an important but not critical threat, or not an important threat at all. ISIS and terrorist groups in foreign countries..... 195 49 Table POL21_3: Below is a list of possible threats to the vital interests of the United States in the next 10 years. For each one, please indicate whether you see this as a critical threat, an important but not critical threat, or not an important threat at all. Illegal immigration................... 199 4
National Tracking Poll #181159, December, 2018 50 Table POL21_4: Below is a list of possible threats to the vital interests of the United States in the next 10 years. For each one, please indicate whether you see this as a critical threat, an important but not critical threat, or not an important threat at all. Climate change..................... 203 51 Table POL21_5: Below is a list of possible threats to the vital interests of the United States in the next 10 years. For each one, please indicate whether you see this as a critical threat, an important but not critical threat, or not an important threat at all. Income inequality................... 207 52 Table POL21_6: Below is a list of possible threats to the vital interests of the United States in the next 10 years. For each one, please indicate whether you see this as a critical threat, an important but not critical threat, or not an important threat at all. Racial inequality.................... 211 53 Table POL21_7: Below is a list of possible threats to the vital interests of the United States in the next 10 years. For each one, please indicate whether you see this as a critical threat, an important but not critical threat, or not an important threat at all. Economic collapse................... 215 54 Table POL21_8: Below is a list of possible threats to the vital interests of the United States in the next 10 years. For each one, please indicate whether you see this as a critical threat, an important but not critical threat, or not an important threat at all. Cyber-attacks against the country........... 219 55 Table POL22: Which of the following do you think poses the greatest threat to the United States today? 223 56 Table POL23: Do you think that climate change will pose a serious threat to you or your way of life in your lifetime?................................................ 227 57 Table POL24_1: When it comes to climate change, how much do you trust the following? Scientists.. 231 58 Table POL24_2: When it comes to climate change, how much do you trust the following? President Trump................................................... 235 59 Table POL24_3: When it comes to climate change, how much do you trust the following? National environmental groups........................................... 239 60 Table POL24_4: When it comes to climate change, how much do you trust the following? Democrats in Congress................................................. 243 61 Table POL24_5: When it comes to climate change, how much do you trust the following? Republicans in Congress................................................. 247 62 Table POL24_6: When it comes to climate change, how much do you trust the following? Business leaders251 63 Table POL24_7: When it comes to climate change, how much do you trust the following? Economists. 255 64 Table POL24_8: When it comes to climate change, how much do you trust the following? Environmental Protection Agency......................................... 259 65 Table POL25: In your view, which of the following is MOST responsible for combating climate change? 263 5
Morning Consult 66 Table POLx_1: Next we will look at a list of names that are active in politics. It is a long list, please take the time to go through the list carefully and give an individual answer for each name below. For each person, please indicate if you have a Very Favorable, Somewhat Favorable, Somewhat Unfavorable, or Very Unfavorable opinion of each. If you have heard of the person, but do not have an opinion, please mark Heard Of, No. If you have not heard of the person, please mark Never Heard Of. : Mitch McConnell............................................. 267 67 Table POLx_2: Favorability for: Paul Ryan............................... 271 68 Table POLx_3: Favorability for: Nancy Pelosi.............................. 275 69 Table POLx_4: Favorability for: Charles Schumer............................ 279 70 Table POLx_5: Favorability for: Mike Pence............................... 283 71 Table POLx_6: Favorability for: Donald Trump............................. 287 72 Table POLx_7: Favorability for: Republicans in Congress........................ 291 73 Table POLx_8: Favorability for: Democrats in Congress......................... 295 74 Table POLx_9: Favorability for: Melania Trump............................. 299 75 Table POLx_10: Favorability for: Ivanka Trump............................. 303 76 Table POLx_11: Favorability for: Jared Kushner............................. 307 77 Table POLx_12: Favorability for: Kellyanne Conway.......................... 311 78 Table POLx_13: Favorability for: Jeff Sessions.............................. 315 79 Table POLx_14: Favorability for: Robert Mueller............................ 319 80 Table Q172: Do you approve or disapprove of the job Donald Trump is doing as President?...... 323 81 Table Q172NET: Do you approve or disapprove of the job Donald Trump is doing as President?.... 327 82 Summary Statistics of Survey Respondent Demographics...................... 331 6
National Tracking Poll #181159, December, 2018 Table P1 Crosstabulation Results by Respondent Demographics Table P1: Now, generally speaking, would you say that things in the country are going in the right direction, or have they pretty seriously gotten off on the wrong track? Demographic Right Direction Wrong Track Registered Voters 4 % (8 3) 59% ( 62) 975 Gender: Male 44% (403) 56% (522) 924 Gender: Female 39% (4 ) 6 % (640) 05 Age: 18-29 32% ( 07) 68% (229) 336 Age: 30-44 39% ( 78) 6 % (282) 460 Age: 45-54 45% ( 54) 55% ( 86) 340 Age: 55-64 46% ( 73) 54% (205) 379 Age: 65+ 44% (20 ) 56% (259) 460 Generation Z: 18-21 2 % ( 7) 79% (64) 8 Millennial: Age 22-37 36% ( 90) 64% (33 ) 520 Generation X: Age 38-53 44% (2 7) 56% (274) 49 Boomers: Age 54-72 44% (326) 56% (42 ) 747 PID: Dem (no lean) 4% ( 04) 86% (644) 748 PID: Ind (no lean) 34% (20 ) 66% (389) 590 PID: Rep (no lean) 80% (508) 20% ( 29) 637 PID/Gender: Dem Men 8% (58) 82% (258) 3 5 PID/Gender: Dem Women % (46) 89% (386) 433 PID/Gender: Ind Men 35% ( 08) 65% ( 97) 305 PID/Gender: Ind Women 33% (93) 67% ( 92) 285 PID/Gender: Rep Men 78% (237) 22% (67) 304 PID/Gender: Rep Women 82% (272) 8% (62) 333 Ideo: Liberal (1-3) 8% ( 7) 82% (536) 653 Ideo: Moderate (4) 32% ( 54) 68% (33 ) 484 Ideo: Conservative (5-7) 73% (5 ) 27% ( 89) 700 Educ: College 42% (5 8) 58% (724) 242 Educ: Bachelors degree 44% (204) 56% (263) 467 Educ: Post-grad 34% (92) 66% ( 74) 266 7
Morning Consult Table P1 Table P1: Now, generally speaking, would you say that things in the country are going in the right direction, or have they pretty seriously gotten off on the wrong track? Demographic Right Direction Wrong Track Registered Voters 4 % (8 3) 59% ( 62) 975 Income: Under 50k 38% (403) 62% (646) 049 Income: 50k-100k 46% (298) 54% (35 ) 648 Income: 100k+ 4 % ( 3) 59% ( 65) 277 Ethnicity: White 45% (720) 55% (878) 597 Ethnicity: Hispanic 32% (6 ) 68% ( 30) 9 Ethnicity: Afr. Am. 9% (49) 8 % (202) 250 Ethnicity: Other 35% (45) 65% (82) 27 Relig: Protestant 52% (294) 48% (272) 567 Relig: Roman Catholic 44% ( 84) 56% (232) 4 6 Relig: Something Else 29% (36) 7 % (87) 23 Relig: Jewish 27% ( 4) 73% (38) 52 Relig: Evangelical 4 % (302) 59% (442) 744 Relig: Non-Evang. Catholics 59% (2 2) 4 % ( 50) 362 Relig: All Christian 47% (5 4) 53% (59 ) 06 Relig: All Non-Christian 50% (90) 50% (9 ) 8 Community: Urban 32% ( 57) 68% (330) 487 Community: Suburban 4 % (387) 59% (547) 934 Community: Rural 49% (269) 5 % (285) 554 Employ: Private Sector 42% (266) 58% (365) 63 Employ: Government 34% (32) 66% (63) 95 Employ: Self-Employed 37% (67) 63% ( 4) 8 Employ: Homemaker 46% (83) 54% (99) 82 Employ: Student 2 % ( 3) 79% (49) 62 Employ: Retired 46% (248) 54% (287) 535 Employ: Unemployed 36% (64) 64% ( 4) 78 Employ: Other 36% (40) 64% (70) 0 Military HH: Yes 50% ( 86) 50% ( 89) 375 Military HH: No 39% (628) 6 % (973) 600 RD/WT: Right Direction 00% (8 3) (0) 8 3 RD/WT: Wrong Track (0) 00% ( 62) 62 8
National Tracking Poll #181159, December, 2018 Table P1 Table P1: Now, generally speaking, would you say that things in the country are going in the right direction, or have they pretty seriously gotten off on the wrong track? Demographic Right Direction Wrong Track Registered Voters 4 % (8 3) 59% ( 62) 975 Trump Job Approve 85% (7 7) 5% ( 29) 847 Trump Job Disapprove 7% (73) 93% (990) 063 Trump Job Strongly Approve 93% (4 3) 7% (33) 446 Trump Job Somewhat Approve 76% (304) 24% (96) 400 Trump Job Somewhat Disapprove 5% (36) 85% (203) 239 Trump Job Strongly Disapprove 5% (37) 95% (787) 824 #1 Issue: Economy 45% (237) 55% (29 ) 528 #1 Issue: Security 7 % (270) 29% ( 0) 380 #1 Issue: Health Care 30% ( 08) 70% (258) 366 #1 Issue: Medicare / Social Security 35% (99) 65% ( 85) 284 #1 Issue: Women s Issues 22% (22) 78% (78) 0 #1 Issue: Education 33% (34) 67% (70) 03 #1 Issue: Energy 7% ( 6) 83% (80) 96 #1 Issue: Other 23% (26) 77% (9 ) 7 2018 House Vote: Democrat 3% ( 3) 87% (779) 89 2018 House Vote: Republican 8 % (58 ) 9% ( 38) 7 9 2018 House Vote: Someone else 27% ( 6) 73% (44) 60 2018 House Vote: Didnt Vote 34% ( 0 ) 66% ( 95) 296 2016 Vote: Hillary Clinton 0% (75) 90% (649) 724 2016 Vote: Donald Trump 82% (595) 8% ( 32) 727 2016 Vote: Someone else 20% (34) 80% ( 40) 74 2016 Vote: Didnt Vote 30% ( 03) 70% (238) 342 Voted in 2014: Yes 44% (622) 56% (793) 4 4 Voted in 2014: No 34% ( 92) 66% (369) 56 2012 Vote: Barack Obama 9% ( 60) 8 % (665) 825 2012 Vote: Mitt Romney 76% (458) 24% ( 44) 603 2012 Vote: Other 44% (3 ) 56% (39) 70 2012 Vote: Didn t Vote 34% ( 64) 66% (3 2) 477 9
Morning Consult Table P1 Table P1: Now, generally speaking, would you say that things in the country are going in the right direction, or have they pretty seriously gotten off on the wrong track? Demographic Right Direction Wrong Track Registered Voters 4 % (8 3) 59% ( 62) 975 4-Region: Northeast 36% ( 28) 64% (224) 352 4-Region: Midwest 43% ( 94) 57% (260) 454 4-Region: South 43% (3 9) 57% (4 9) 737 4-Region: West 40% ( 72) 60% (259) 432 Favorable of Trump 85% (698) 5% ( 28) 825 Unfavorable of Trump 8% (82) 92% (98 ) 062 Very Favorable of Trump 9 % (407) 9% (40) 447 Somewhat Favorable of Trump 77% (290) 23% (88) 378 Somewhat Unfavorable of Trump 26% (47) 74% ( 38) 86 Very Unfavorable of Trump 4% (34) 96% (842) 876 Note: Row proportions may total to larger than one-hundred percent due to rounding. For more information visit MorningConsultIntelligence.com. 10
National Tracking Poll #181159, December, 2018 Table P3 Table P3: Now, thinking about your vote, what would you say is the top set of issues on your mind when you cast your vote for federal offices such as U.S. Senate or Congress? Demographic Economic Issues Security Issues Health Care Issues Senior s Issues Women s Issues Education Issues Energy Issues Other Registered Voters 27%(528) 9%(380) 9%(366) 4%(284) 5% ( 0 ) 5% ( 03) 5% (96) 6% ( 7) 975 Gender: Male 28%(259) 20%( 80) 7%( 56) 5% ( 39) 2% ( 8) 6% (57) 6% (56) 6% (59) 924 Gender: Female 26%(269) 9%( 99) 20%(2 0) 4%( 45) 8% (82) 4% (46) 4% (4 ) 6% (58) 05 Age: 18-29 37% ( 25) 0% (32) 3% (44) % (3) 3% (43) 4% (48) 7% (23) 5% ( 8) 336 Age: 30-44 32%( 49) 7% (8 ) 20% (94) 2% ( ) 6% (29) 8% (39) 7% (32) 5% (25) 460 Age: 45-54 33% ( ) 8% (60) 28% (96) 6% (2 ) 4% ( 4) 2% (8) 4% ( 4) 5% ( 6) 340 Age: 55-64 22% (82) 2 % (8 ) 25% (94) 9% (72) 3% ( 2) % (4) 2% (9) 6% (24) 379 Age: 65+ 3% (60) 27%( 26) 8% (38) 38%( 76) % (3) % (4) 4% ( 8) 8% (35) 460 Generation Z: 18-21 29% (23) 0% (8) % (9) (0) 3% ( 0) 24% (20) 9% (7) 5% (4) 8 Millennial: Age 22-37 37%( 94) 3% (67) 6% (84) % (7) 9% (49) 0% (54) 7% (37) 6% (29) 520 Generation X: Age 38-53 30%( 48) 9% (95) 27%( 34) 4% ( 9) 5% (26) 4% (20) 5% (26) 5% (23) 49 Boomers: Age 54-72 20%( 48) 22%( 64) 8% ( 3 ) 28%(2 0) 2% ( 2) % (9) 3% (24) 6% (49) 747 PID: Dem (no lean) 20% ( 50) 9% (66) 25%( 89) 8% ( 37) 8% (59) 6% (45) 8% (57) 6% (44) 748 PID: Ind (no lean) 33%( 94) 5% (9 ) 7% (98) % (66) 5% (29) 5% (3 ) 5% (29) 9% (52) 590 PID: Rep (no lean) 29%( 84) 35%(223) 3% (80) 3% (80) 2% ( 3) 4% (27) 2% ( 0) 3% (2 ) 637 PID/Gender: Dem Men 2 % (65) 9% (29) 23% (73) 2 % (67) 3% (9) 8% (26) 9% (28) 6% ( 9) 3 5 PID/Gender: Dem Women 20% (85) 8% (37) 27% ( 6) 6% (7 ) 2% (50) 4% ( 9) 7% (29) 6% (26) 433 PID/Gender: Ind Men 32% (96) 6% (49) 7% (52) 3% (40) % (4) 6% ( 7) 6% ( 9) 9% (27) 305 PID/Gender: Ind Women 34% (97) 5% (42) 6% (46) 9% (26) 9% (25) 5% ( 4) 3% ( 0) 9% (25) 285 PID/Gender: Rep Men 32% (98) 34%( 02) 0% (3 ) % (32) 2% (5) 5% ( 4) 3% (8) 4% ( 4) 304 PID/Gender: Rep Women 26% (86) 36% ( 2 ) 5% (49) 4% (48) 2% (7) 4% ( 3) % (2) 2% (7) 333 Ideo: Liberal (1-3) 2 % ( 35) 8% (5 ) 22%( 46) 7% ( 3) 0% (68) 5% (35) 9% (60) 7% (45) 653 Ideo: Moderate (4) 26% ( 28) 5% (75) 2 % ( 03) 7% (80) 3% ( 4) 7% (33) 4% ( 9) 7% (32) 484 Ideo: Conservative (5-7) 3 %(2 6) 35%(243) 2% (86) 2% (84) 2% ( ) 4% (25) 2% ( 4) 3% (2 ) 700 Educ: College 25%(3 4) 20%(247) 9%(24 ) 5%( 84) 4% (53) 6% (75) 4% (52) 6% (76) 242 Educ: Bachelors degree 32%( 49) 9% (87) 7% (79) 2% (57) 5% (25) 5% (22) 6% (29) 4% ( 8) 467 Educ: Post-grad 24% (64) 7% (46) 7% (46) 6% (43) 8% (22) 2% (7) 5% ( 4) 9% (23) 266 11
Morning Consult Table P3 Table P3: Now, thinking about your vote, what would you say is the top set of issues on your mind when you cast your vote for federal offices such as U.S. Senate or Congress? Demographic Economic Issues Security Issues Health Care Issues Senior s Issues Women s Issues Education Issues Energy Issues Other Registered Voters 27%(528) 9%(380) 9%(366) 4%(284) 5% ( 0 ) 5% ( 03) 5% (96) 6% ( 7) 975 Income: Under 50k 25%(266) 9%( 97) 9%( 96) 5%( 56) 5% (53) 6% (60) 5% (49) 7% (73) 049 Income: 50k-100k 27%( 74) 20% ( 32) 20% ( 28) 5%( 00) 4% (29) 4% (27) 5% (29) 4% (29) 648 Income: 100k+ 32% (88) 8% (5 ) 5% (43) 0% (28) 7% ( 9) 6% ( 6) 6% ( 8) 6% ( 5) 277 Ethnicity: White 25%(399) 2 %(339) 8%(293) 5%(242) 5% (87) 4% (65) 5% (77) 6% (97) 597 Ethnicity: Hispanic 28% (53) 7% (33) 20% (38) 4% (8) 8% ( 5) 2% (22) 7% ( 3) 5% ( 0) 9 Ethnicity: Afr. Am. 34% (85) 0% (25) 22% (55) 3% (3 ) 3% (7) 0% (25) 5% ( ) 5% ( ) 250 Ethnicity: Other 34% (44) 2% ( 6) 5% ( 9) 9% ( ) 6% (7) % ( 4) 6% (8) 7% (9) 27 Relig: Protestant 23% ( 30) 26%( 48) 7% (95) 20% ( 6) 3% ( 5) 3% ( 8) 4% (23) 4% (2 ) 567 Relig: Roman Catholic 28% ( 6) 9% (79) 20% (83) 6% (67) 6% (25) 3% ( 4) 4% ( 6) 4% ( 5) 4 6 Relig: Something Else 38% (47) 2% ( 5) 8% (22) 9% ( 2) 3% (3) 6% (7) 3% (4) % ( 4) 23 Relig: Jewish 7% (4) 9% ( 0) 9% ( 0) 30% ( 5) 0% (5) 2% ( ) 7% (4) 7% (4) 52 Relig: Evangelical 26% ( 95) 20%( 47) 9%( 44) 7%( 29) 4% (32) 4% (26) 5% (35) 5% (36) 744 Relig: Non-Evang. Catholics 27% (98) 26% (96) 5% (56) 8% (66) 3% ( 2) 4% ( 3) 2% (8) 4% ( 4) 362 Relig: All Christian 26%(293) 22%(243) 8%(200) 8% ( 95) 4% (43) 4% (39) 4% (43) 5% (50) 06 Relig: All Non-Christian 26% (47) 26% (47) 6% (29) 9% ( 7) 6% ( 0) 6% ( 2) 5% (9) 6% ( 0) 8 Community: Urban 26%( 29) 6% (79) 8% (89) 5% (7 ) 7% (33) 7% (36) 5% (25) 5% (24) 487 Community: Suburban 26%(242) 9% ( 75) 8%( 67) 4%( 34) 5% (48) 5% (46) 6% (59) 7% (62) 934 Community: Rural 28%( 56) 23% ( 25) 20% ( 0) 4% (78) 4% (20) 4% (2 ) 2% ( 2) 6% (3 ) 554 Employ: Private Sector 35% (22 ) 8% ( 3) 2 % ( 35) 7% (42) 5% (32) 5% (34) 5% (33) 3% (20) 63 Employ: Government 32% (3 ) 7% ( 7) 20% ( 9) 4% (4) 8% (8) 4% (4) 2% ( 2) 2% (2) 95 Employ: Self-Employed 32% (58) 3% (23) 8% (33) 0% ( 7) 8% ( 5) 7% ( 3) 4% (7) 8% ( 4) 8 Employ: Homemaker 27% (49) 20% (37) 27% (48) 5% (9) 9% ( 7) 4% (8) 2% (4) 5% (8) 82 Employ: Student 22% ( 4) 8% (5) 2% (8) % (0) 9% (6) 3 % (20) 2% (8) 4% (2) 62 Employ: Retired 4% (75) 27%( 46) % (6 ) 34% ( 8 ) % (5) % (7) 4% (20) 7% (40) 535 Employ: Unemployed 3 % (55) 2% (2 ) 20% (36) 0% ( 7) 6% ( 0) 6% ( 0) 5% ( 0) % ( 9) 78 Employ: Other 23% (25) 7% ( 8) 23% (25) 2% ( 3) 7% (8) 7% (7) 2% (2) % ( 2) 0 Military HH: Yes 22% (8 ) 30% ( 2) 5% (56) 7% (65) 4% ( 5) 2% (6) 4% ( 3) 7% (26) 375 Military HH: No 28%(447) 7%(267) 9% (3 0) 4%(2 9) 5% (85) 6% (97) 5% (83) 6% (9 ) 600 RD/WT: Right Direction 29%(237) 33%(270) 3%( 08) 2% (99) 3% (22) 4% (34) 2% ( 6) 3% (26) 8 3 RD/WT: Wrong Track 25%(29 ) 9% ( 0) 22%(258) 6% ( 85) 7% (78) 6% (70) 7% (80) 8% (9 ) 62 12
National Tracking Poll #181159, December, 2018 Table P3 Table P3: Now, thinking about your vote, what would you say is the top set of issues on your mind when you cast your vote for federal offices such as U.S. Senate or Congress? Demographic Economic Issues Security Issues Health Care Issues Senior s Issues Women s Issues Education Issues Energy Issues Other Registered Voters 27%(528) 9%(380) 9%(366) 4%(284) 5% ( 0 ) 5% ( 03) 5% (96) 6% ( 7) 975 Trump Job Approve 30%(253) 35%(293) 3% ( 2) 2%( 02) 2% ( 7) 3% (26) 2% ( 8) 3% (26) 847 Trump Job Disapprove 24%(253) 8% (83) 23%(243) 7%( 79) 7% (79) 6% (68) 7% (74) 8% (84) 063 Trump Job Strongly Approve 28% ( 27) 42%( 86) % (5 ) 0% (45) 2% (9) 2% (9) 2% (7) 3% ( 2) 446 Trump Job Somewhat Approve 32%( 26) 27%( 06) 5% (6 ) 4% (57) 2% (8) 4% ( 7) 3% ( 0) 3% ( 4) 400 Trump Job Somewhat Disapprove 35% (83) 0% (23) 2 % (5 ) % (27) 5% ( 3) 8% ( 8) 5% ( 2) 5% ( 3) 239 Trump Job Strongly Disapprove 2 %( 70) 7% (60) 23%( 92) 9% ( 53) 8% (66) 6% (50) 8% (62) 9% (7 ) 824 #1 Issue: Economy 00%(528) (0) (0) (0) (0) (0) (0) (0) 528 #1 Issue: Security (0) 00%(380) (0) (0) (0) (0) (0) (0) 380 #1 Issue: Health Care (0) (0) 00%(366) (0) (0) (0) (0) (0) 366 #1 Issue: Medicare / Social Security (0) (0) (0) 00%(284) (0) (0) (0) (0) 284 #1 Issue: Women s Issues (0) (0) (0) (0) 00% ( 0 ) (0) (0) (0) 0 #1 Issue: Education (0) (0) (0) (0) (0) 00% ( 03) (0) (0) 03 #1 Issue: Energy (0) (0) (0) (0) (0) (0) 00% (96) (0) 96 #1 Issue: Other (0) (0) (0) (0) (0) (0) (0) 00% ( 7) 7 2018 House Vote: Democrat 2 % ( 87) 9% (79) 25%(220) 8% ( 6 ) 7% (66) 6% (50) 8% (68) 7% (60) 89 2018 House Vote: Republican 28%(204) 36%(26 ) 2% (86) 3% (93) 3% ( 8) 4% (28) % ( ) 3% ( 9) 7 9 2018 House Vote: Someone else 40% (24) 2% (7) 0% (6) 8% (5) 3% (2) 6% (4) 5% (3) 6% ( 0) 60 2018 House Vote: Didnt Vote 37%( 08) % (32) 8% (53) 9% (25) 5% ( 5) 7% (2 ) 5% ( 4) 0% (28) 296 2016 Vote: Hillary Clinton 2 %( 49) 9% (63) 25% ( 83) 9% ( 4 ) 8% (55) 5% (38) 6% (46) 7% (48) 724 2016 Vote: Donald Trump 29% (2 ) 34%(249) 4% ( 0 ) 3% (95) 2% ( 3) 3% (25) 2% ( ) 3% (2 ) 727 2016 Vote: Someone else 3 % (54) 2% (20) 5% (27) 2% (20) 8% ( 4) 4% (8) 6% ( 0) 2% (2 ) 74 2016 Vote: Didnt Vote 33% ( 2) 3% (45) 5% (52) 8% (26) 5% ( 8) 9% (32) 8% (29) 8% (28) 342 Voted in 2014: Yes 25%(358) 22%(309) 8%(26 ) 7%(238) 4% (58) 4% (58) 4% (56) 5% (77) 4 4 Voted in 2014: No 30%( 70) 3% (7 ) 9% ( 05) 8% (46) 8% (43) 8% (45) 7% (40) 7% (40) 56 2012 Vote: Barack Obama 23% ( 9 ) 0% (80) 25%(203) 20% ( 6 ) 6% (47) 4% (35) 7% (55) 6% (52) 825 2012 Vote: Mitt Romney 27%( 66) 36% (2 5) 2% (7 ) 4% (85) 2% ( 3) 3% (2 ) % (7) 4% (24) 603 2012 Vote: Other 3 % (22) 26% ( 8) 8% (6) 3% (9) 5% (4) 2% (2) 2% ( ) 2% (8) 70 2012 Vote: Didn t Vote 3 %( 49) 4% (66) 8% (85) 6% (29) 8% (36) 0% (46) 7% (32) 7% (33) 477 13
Morning Consult Table P3 Table P3: Now, thinking about your vote, what would you say is the top set of issues on your mind when you cast your vote for federal offices such as U.S. Senate or Congress? Demographic Economic Issues Security Issues Health Care Issues Senior s Issues Women s Issues Education Issues Energy Issues Other Registered Voters 27%(528) 9%(380) 9%(366) 4%(284) 5% ( 0 ) 5% ( 03) 5% (96) 6% ( 7) 975 4-Region: Northeast 26% (9 ) 20% (7 ) 22% (76) % (38) 6% (22) 5% ( 6) 5% ( 7) 6% (22) 352 4-Region: Midwest 25% ( 4) 8% (8 ) 9% (87) 5% (69) 5% (23) 5% (24) 5% (23) 7% (32) 454 4-Region: South 28%(208) 20% ( 5 ) 8%( 34) 4%( 06) 5% (38) 4% (3 ) 4% (29) 6% (4 ) 737 4-Region: West 27% ( 5) 8% (77) 6% (68) 7% (72) 4% ( 8) 7% (32) 6% (28) 5% (23) 432 Favorable of Trump 30%(244) 35%(29 ) 2% ( 0 ) 3%( 07) 2% ( 5) 4% (29) 2% ( 3) 3% (25) 825 Unfavorable of Trump 25%(262) 7% (75) 23%(249) 6%( 67) 8% (8 ) 6% (66) 7% (79) 8% (82) 062 Very Favorable of Trump 28%( 24) 43%( 94) 0% (44) 2% (53) 2% (8) 2% (7) % (3) 3% ( 4) 447 Somewhat Favorable of Trump 32%( 20) 26% (97) 5% (57) 4% (54) 2% (7) 6% (22) 3% ( 0) 3% ( ) 378 Somewhat Unfavorable of Trump 36% (67) % (2 ) 25% (46) 8% ( 6) 5% (8) 6% ( ) 5% (9) 5% (8) 86 Very Unfavorable of Trump 22% ( 95) 6% (54) 23%(204) 7% ( 52) 8% (73) 6% (56) 8% (70) 8% (73) 876 Note: Row proportions may total to larger than one-hundred percent due to rounding. For more information visit MorningConsultIntelligence.com. 14
National Tracking Poll #181159, December, 2018 Table POL1_1 Table POL1_1: Who do you trust more to handle each of the following issues? The economy Demographic Democrats in Congress Republicans in Congress Don t Know / No Registered Voters 39% (766) 42% (837) 9% (372) 975 Gender: Male 36% (334) 47% (434) 7% ( 56) 924 Gender: Female 4 % (432) 38% (403) 2 % (2 6) 05 Age: 18-29 48% ( 62) 3 % ( 04) 2 % (70) 336 Age: 30-44 40% ( 84) 35% ( 62) 25% ( 4) 460 Age: 45-54 3 % ( 06) 49% ( 68) 20% (66) 340 Age: 55-64 38% ( 44) 48% ( 80) 4% (54) 379 Age: 65+ 37% ( 70) 48% (223) 5% (67) 460 Generation Z: 18-21 50% (4 ) 26% (2 ) 24% ( 9) 8 Millennial: Age 22-37 44% (230) 33% ( 7 ) 23% ( 9) 520 Generation X: Age 38-53 33% ( 64) 45% (222) 2 % ( 05) 49 Boomers: Age 54-72 38% (28 ) 47% (355) 5% ( ) 747 PID: Dem (no lean) 76% (569) 0% (73) 4% ( 06) 748 PID: Ind (no lean) 27% ( 59) 39% (227) 34% (203) 590 PID: Rep (no lean) 6% (38) 84% (536) 0% (62) 637 PID/Gender: Dem Men 75% (236) 3% (40) 2% (39) 3 5 PID/Gender: Dem Women 77% (332) 8% (33) 6% (67) 433 PID/Gender: Ind Men 26% (78) 43% ( 30) 32% (97) 305 PID/Gender: Ind Women 28% (8 ) 34% (97) 37% ( 07) 285 PID/Gender: Rep Men 6% ( 9) 87% (264) 7% (20) 304 PID/Gender: Rep Women 6% ( 9) 82% (273) 3% (42) 333 Ideo: Liberal (1-3) 72% (470) 4% (89) 4% (94) 653 Ideo: Moderate (4) 40% ( 93) 34% ( 67) 26% ( 25) 484 Ideo: Conservative (5-7) 0% (70) 79% (556) % (74) 700 Educ: College 38% (473) 40% (496) 22% (274) 242 Educ: Bachelors degree 38% ( 80) 49% (228) 3% (59) 467 Educ: Post-grad 43% ( 4) 43% ( 3) 5% (39) 266 15
Table POL1_1: Who do you trust more to handle each of the following issues? The economy Demographic Democrats in Congress Republicans in Congress Don t Know / No Morning Consult Table POL1_1 Registered Voters 39% (766) 42% (837) 9% (372) 975 Income: Under 50k 42% (440) 37% (384) 22% (226) 049 Income: 50k-100k 36% (232) 49% (3 8) 5% (98) 648 Income: 100k+ 34% (95) 48% ( 34) 7% (48) 277 Ethnicity: White 35% (56 ) 48% (760) 7% (275) 597 Ethnicity: Hispanic 50% (95) 28% (54) 22% (42) 9 Ethnicity: Afr. Am. 64% ( 60) 4% (34) 22% (56) 250 Ethnicity: Other 35% (45) 33% (42) 32% (40) 27 Relig: Protestant 32% ( 8 ) 53% (30 ) 5% (85) 567 Relig: Roman Catholic 39% ( 60) 46% ( 92) 5% (63) 4 6 Relig: Something Else 44% (55) 34% (42) 22% (27) 23 Relig: Jewish 50% (26) 33% ( 7) 7% (9) 52 Relig: Evangelical 38% (285) 45% (335) 7% ( 23) 744 Relig: Non-Evang. Catholics 30% ( 0) 55% (200) 4% (52) 362 Relig: All Christian 36% (395) 48% (535) 6% ( 75) 06 Relig: All Non-Christian 34% (6 ) 44% (79) 23% (4 ) 8 Community: Urban 48% (232) 3 % ( 49) 22% ( 06) 487 Community: Suburban 38% (356) 45% (420) 7% ( 57) 934 Community: Rural 32% ( 78) 48% (268) 20% ( 09) 554 Employ: Private Sector 37% (234) 45% (287) 8% ( 0) 63 Employ: Government 45% (43) 45% (43) 0% (9) 95 Employ: Self-Employed 4 % (74) 37% (66) 23% (4 ) 8 Employ: Homemaker 35% (63) 43% (78) 22% (4 ) 82 Employ: Student 58% (36) 27% ( 7) 5% (9) 62 Employ: Retired 36% ( 94) 50% (269) 4% (73) 535 Employ: Unemployed 40% (72) 28% (49) 32% (57) 78 Employ: Other 46% (5 ) 26% (29) 28% (3 ) 0 Military HH: Yes 30% ( 3) 55% (205) 5% (56) 375 Military HH: No 4 % (653) 39% (632) 20% (3 6) 600 RD/WT: Right Direction % (87) 77% (629) 2% (98) 8 3 RD/WT: Wrong Track 58% (679) 8% (208) 24% (274) 62 16
National Tracking Poll #181159, December, 2018 Table POL1_1 Table POL1_1: Who do you trust more to handle each of the following issues? The economy Demographic Democrats in Congress Republicans in Congress Don t Know / No Registered Voters 39% (766) 42% (837) 9% (372) 975 Trump Job Approve 8% (69) 79% (669) 3% ( 08) 847 Trump Job Disapprove 64% (685) 5% ( 59) 2 % (220) 063 Trump Job Strongly Approve 7% (30) 87% (389) 6% (28) 446 Trump Job Somewhat Approve 0% (40) 70% (280) 20% (8 ) 400 Trump Job Somewhat Disapprove 34% (80) 34% (8 ) 32% (77) 239 Trump Job Strongly Disapprove 73% (604) 9% (77) 7% ( 42) 824 #1 Issue: Economy 33% ( 74) 49% (257) 8% (97) 528 #1 Issue: Security 4% (54) 72% (275) 3% (50) 380 #1 Issue: Health Care 52% ( 89) 29% ( 07) 9% (70) 366 #1 Issue: Medicare / Social Security 45% ( 27) 36% ( 0 ) 20% (56) 284 #1 Issue: Women s Issues 58% (58) 23% (23) 9% ( 9) 0 #1 Issue: Education 5 % (53) 29% (30) 20% (2 ) 03 #1 Issue: Energy 64% (62) 5% ( 5) 2 % (20) 96 #1 Issue: Other 42% (49) 24% (29) 34% (39) 7 2018 House Vote: Democrat 72% (642) 3% ( 3) 5% ( 37) 89 2018 House Vote: Republican 5% (33) 85% (6 5) 0% (72) 7 9 2018 House Vote: Someone else 2% (7) 29% ( 7) 59% (35) 60 2018 House Vote: Didnt Vote 28% (82) 30% (88) 43% ( 26) 296 2016 Vote: Hillary Clinton 75% (545) 9% (66) 6% ( 3) 724 2016 Vote: Donald Trump 6% (4 ) 83% (600) 2% (86) 727 2016 Vote: Someone else 30% (52) 33% (58) 37% (64) 74 2016 Vote: Didnt Vote 37% ( 26) 3 % ( 07) 32% ( 08) 342 Voted in 2014: Yes 39% (553) 46% (654) 5% (208) 4 4 Voted in 2014: No 38% (2 3) 33% ( 83) 29% ( 64) 56 2012 Vote: Barack Obama 66% (542) 6% ( 34) 8% ( 50) 825 2012 Vote: Mitt Romney 6% (38) 85% (5 ) 9% (54) 603 2012 Vote: Other 3% (9) 45% (3 ) 42% (30) 70 2012 Vote: Didn t Vote 37% ( 78) 34% ( 60) 29% ( 39) 477 17
Table POL1_1: Who do you trust more to handle each of the following issues? The economy Demographic Democrats in Congress Republicans in Congress Don t Know / No Morning Consult Table POL1_1 Registered Voters 39% (766) 42% (837) 9% (372) 975 4-Region: Northeast 42% ( 48) 39% ( 38) 9% (66) 352 4-Region: Midwest 37% ( 66) 42% ( 92) 2 % (95) 454 4-Region: South 37% (273) 45% (333) 8% ( 3 ) 737 4-Region: West 4 % ( 78) 40% ( 74) 8% (80) 432 Favorable of Trump 7% (6 ) 8 % (668) 2% (96) 825 Unfavorable of Trump 65% (689) 5% ( 57) 20% (2 6) 062 Very Favorable of Trump 6% (27) 89% (398) 5% (23) 447 Somewhat Favorable of Trump 9% (34) 72% (270) 9% (73) 378 Somewhat Unfavorable of Trump 26% (48) 44% (83) 30% (55) 86 Very Unfavorable of Trump 73% (64 ) 9% (75) 8% ( 60) 876 Note: Row proportions may total to larger than one-hundred percent due to rounding. For more information visit MorningConsultIntelligence.com. 18
National Tracking Poll #181159, December, 2018 Table POL1_2 Table POL1_2: Who do you trust more to handle each of the following issues? Jobs Demographic Democrats in Congress Republicans in Congress Don t Know / No Registered Voters 39% (77 ) 43% (842) 8% (362) 975 Gender: Male 36% (332) 47% (435) 7% ( 58) 924 Gender: Female 42% (440) 39% (407) 9% (204) 05 Age: 18-29 49% ( 65) 32% ( 06) 9% (65) 336 Age: 30-44 4 % ( 9 ) 38% ( 75) 2 % (95) 460 Age: 45-54 30% ( 02) 48% ( 62) 22% (76) 340 Age: 55-64 38% ( 43) 48% ( 8 ) 5% (56) 379 Age: 65+ 37% ( 7 ) 47% (2 8) 5% (7 ) 460 Generation Z: 18-21 47% (38) 28% (23) 25% (20) 8 Millennial: Age 22-37 46% (239) 35% ( 80) 9% ( 0 ) 520 Generation X: Age 38-53 34% ( 65) 45% (220) 22% ( 06) 49 Boomers: Age 54-72 37% (280) 47% (353) 5% ( 4) 747 PID: Dem (no lean) 78% (585) 9% (70) 3% (94) 748 PID: Ind (no lean) 26% ( 56) 4 % (240) 33% ( 94) 590 PID: Rep (no lean) 5% (3 ) 84% (532) 2% (74) 637 PID/Gender: Dem Men 76% (24 ) % (33) 3% (4 ) 3 5 PID/Gender: Dem Women 80% (344) 8% (36) 2% (52) 433 PID/Gender: Ind Men 24% (74) 47% ( 43) 29% (89) 305 PID/Gender: Ind Women 29% (82) 34% (98) 37% ( 05) 285 PID/Gender: Rep Men 6% ( 7) 85% (259) 9% (27) 304 PID/Gender: Rep Women 4% ( 3) 82% (273) 4% (47) 333 Ideo: Liberal (1-3) 7 % (463) 5% (95) 5% (95) 653 Ideo: Moderate (4) 40% ( 92) 35% ( 7 ) 25% ( 22) 484 Ideo: Conservative (5-7) % (76) 78% (547) % (76) 700 Educ: College 38% (474) 40% (496) 22% (272) 242 Educ: Bachelors degree 39% ( 84) 49% (229) 2% (55) 467 Educ: Post-grad 43% ( 4) 44% ( 7) 3% (35) 266 19
Table POL1_2: Who do you trust more to handle each of the following issues? Jobs Demographic Democrats in Congress Republicans in Congress Don t Know / No Morning Consult Table POL1_2 Registered Voters 39% (77 ) 43% (842) 8% (362) 975 Income: Under 50k 42% (444) 36% (378) 22% (228) 049 Income: 50k-100k 35% (230) 5 % (328) 4% (90) 648 Income: 100k+ 35% (98) 49% ( 36) 6% (44) 277 Ethnicity: White 35% (559) 48% (762) 7% (276) 597 Ethnicity: Hispanic 49% (93) 30% (57) 2 % (4 ) 9 Ethnicity: Afr. Am. 66% ( 65) 4% (35) 20% (50) 250 Ethnicity: Other 37% (46) 36% (46) 28% (35) 27 Relig: Protestant 32% ( 79) 53% (299) 6% (89) 567 Relig: Roman Catholic 40% ( 68) 45% ( 87) 5% (6 ) 4 6 Relig: Something Else 39% (48) 42% (5 ) 9% (24) 23 Relig: Jewish 53% (27) 28% ( 5) 9% ( 0) 52 Relig: Evangelical 39% (29 ) 45% (338) 5% ( 4) 744 Relig: Non-Evang. Catholics 29% ( 03) 55% (200) 6% (59) 362 Relig: All Christian 36% (395) 49% (538) 6% ( 73) 06 Relig: All Non-Christian 37% (67) 45% (8 ) 8% (33) 8 Community: Urban 49% (238) 3 % ( 53) 20% (95) 487 Community: Suburban 37% (349) 46% (428) 7% ( 56) 934 Community: Rural 33% ( 84) 47% (26 ) 20% ( 0) 554 Employ: Private Sector 39% (246) 45% (285) 6% (99) 63 Employ: Government 47% (45) 40% (38) 3% ( 2) 95 Employ: Self-Employed 38% (69) 39% (70) 23% (42) 8 Employ: Homemaker 3 % (57) 45% (82) 24% (43) 82 Employ: Student 60% (38) 29% ( 8) 0% (6) 62 Employ: Retired 38% (203) 48% (258) 4% (74) 535 Employ: Unemployed 36% (64) 33% (58) 32% (56) 78 Employ: Other 45% (50) 29% (32) 26% (28) 0 Military HH: Yes 29% ( 0) 55% (205) 6% (60) 375 Military HH: No 4 % (66 ) 40% (637) 9% (302) 600 RD/WT: Right Direction % (88) 76% (6 9) 3% ( 06) 8 3 RD/WT: Wrong Track 59% (683) 9% (223) 22% (256) 62 20
National Tracking Poll #181159, December, 2018 Table POL1_2 Table POL1_2: Who do you trust more to handle each of the following issues? Jobs Demographic Democrats in Congress Republicans in Congress Don t Know / No Registered Voters 39% (77 ) 43% (842) 8% (362) 975 Trump Job Approve 8% (64) 79% (673) 3% ( 0) 847 Trump Job Disapprove 65% (696) 5% ( 56) 20% (2 ) 063 Trump Job Strongly Approve 6% (26) 87% (386) 8% (34) 446 Trump Job Somewhat Approve 0% (38) 72% (287) 9% (75) 400 Trump Job Somewhat Disapprove 43% ( 02) 32% (77) 25% (60) 239 Trump Job Strongly Disapprove 72% (594) 0% (79) 8% ( 52) 824 #1 Issue: Economy 34% ( 79) 49% (260) 7% (88) 528 #1 Issue: Security 7% (63) 70% (267) 3% (50) 380 #1 Issue: Health Care 50% ( 83) 33% ( 9) 8% (65) 366 #1 Issue: Medicare / Social Security 45% ( 27) 35% ( 0 ) 20% (57) 284 #1 Issue: Women s Issues 6 % (62) 25% (25) 4% ( 4) 0 #1 Issue: Education 48% (50) 3 % (32) 2 % (2 ) 03 #1 Issue: Energy 63% (6 ) 7% ( 6) 20% ( 9) 96 #1 Issue: Other 40% (47) 9% (23) 4 % (48) 7 2018 House Vote: Democrat 72% (642) 4% ( 23) 4% ( 27) 89 2018 House Vote: Republican 4% (30) 85% (6 3) % (76) 7 9 2018 House Vote: Someone else 7% ( 0) 9% ( ) 65% (39) 60 2018 House Vote: Didnt Vote 29% (86) 3 % (9 ) 40% ( 8) 296 2016 Vote: Hillary Clinton 75% (543) 0% (7 ) 5% ( 0) 724 2016 Vote: Donald Trump 6% (45) 82% (593) 2% (88) 727 2016 Vote: Someone else 33% (57) 3 % (53) 36% (63) 74 2016 Vote: Didnt Vote 36% ( 24) 35% ( 8) 29% ( 00) 342 Voted in 2014: Yes 39% (559) 46% (652) 4% (204) 4 4 Voted in 2014: No 38% (2 3) 34% ( 90) 28% ( 58) 56 2012 Vote: Barack Obama 66% (54 ) 7% ( 40) 7% ( 44) 825 2012 Vote: Mitt Romney 7% (40) 83% (500) 0% (62) 603 2012 Vote: Other 9% ( 3) 44% (3 ) 37% (26) 70 2012 Vote: Didn t Vote 37% ( 77) 36% ( 7 ) 27% ( 29) 477 21
Table POL1_2: Who do you trust more to handle each of the following issues? Jobs Demographic Democrats in Congress Republicans in Congress Don t Know / No Morning Consult Table POL1_2 Registered Voters 39% (77 ) 43% (842) 8% (362) 975 4-Region: Northeast 42% ( 47) 40% ( 40) 9% (66) 352 4-Region: Midwest 37% ( 66) 44% (200) 9% (87) 454 4-Region: South 37% (274) 45% (332) 8% ( 32) 737 4-Region: West 43% ( 85) 39% ( 70) 8% (77) 432 Favorable of Trump 7% (57) 8 % (672) 2% (96) 825 Unfavorable of Trump 66% (697) 5% ( 59) 9% (206) 062 Very Favorable of Trump 5% (22) 89% (400) 6% (26) 447 Somewhat Favorable of Trump 9% (36) 72% (272) 9% (70) 378 Somewhat Unfavorable of Trump 36% (66) 40% (74) 24% (45) 86 Very Unfavorable of Trump 72% (63 ) 0% (84) 8% ( 6 ) 876 Note: Row proportions may total to larger than one-hundred percent due to rounding. For more information visit MorningConsultIntelligence.com. 22
National Tracking Poll #181159, December, 2018 Table POL1_3 Table POL1_3: Who do you trust more to handle each of the following issues? Health care Demographic Democrats in Congress Republicans in Congress Don t Know / No Registered Voters 48% (956) 33% (65 ) 9% (368) 975 Gender: Male 47% (439) 35% (324) 8% ( 62) 924 Gender: Female 49% (5 7) 3 % (327) 20% (206) 05 Age: 18-29 56% ( 89) 24% (80) 20% (68) 336 Age: 30-44 49% (226) 30% ( 36) 2 % (98) 460 Age: 45-54 43% ( 45) 37% ( 25) 2 % (70) 340 Age: 55-64 46% ( 74) 36% ( 38) 8% (67) 379 Age: 65+ 48% (222) 37% ( 72) 4% (66) 460 Generation Z: 18-21 64% (52) 6% ( 3) 20% ( 7) 8 Millennial: Age 22-37 53% (273) 26% ( 35) 2 % ( 2) 520 Generation X: Age 38-53 43% (2 ) 37% ( 82) 20% (98) 49 Boomers: Age 54-72 48% (357) 35% (264) 7% ( 26) 747 PID: Dem (no lean) 86% (647) 5% (36) 9% (65) 748 PID: Ind (no lean) 40% (239) 25% ( 45) 35% (206) 590 PID: Rep (no lean) % (7 ) 74% (470) 5% (97) 637 PID/Gender: Dem Men 85% (267) 7% (2 ) 9% (27) 3 5 PID/Gender: Dem Women 88% (379) 4% ( 5) 9% (38) 433 PID/Gender: Ind Men 42% ( 29) 27% (82) 3 % (94) 305 PID/Gender: Ind Women 38% ( 09) 22% (63) 39% ( 2) 285 PID/Gender: Rep Men 4% (42) 73% (22 ) 3% (4 ) 304 PID/Gender: Rep Women 9% (29) 75% (249) 7% (56) 333 Ideo: Liberal (1-3) 83% (540) 8% (53) 9% (60) 653 Ideo: Moderate (4) 54% (263) 22% ( 07) 24% ( 4) 484 Ideo: Conservative (5-7) 6% ( 2) 67% (470) 7% ( 8) 700 Educ: College 45% (56 ) 32% (397) 23% (284) 242 Educ: Bachelors degree 52% (245) 35% ( 62) 3% (60) 467 Educ: Post-grad 56% ( 50) 35% (92) 9% (24) 266 23
Table POL1_3: Who do you trust more to handle each of the following issues? Health care Demographic Democrats in Congress Republicans in Congress Don t Know / No Morning Consult Table POL1_3 Registered Voters 48% (956) 33% (65 ) 9% (368) 975 Income: Under 50k 50% (529) 29% (30 ) 2 % (2 9) 049 Income: 50k-100k 46% (30 ) 38% (249) 5% (99) 648 Income: 100k+ 46% ( 27) 37% ( 0 ) 8% (49) 277 Ethnicity: White 44% (706) 37% (597) 8% (295) 597 Ethnicity: Hispanic 58% ( ) 22% (4 ) 2 % (39) 9 Ethnicity: Afr. Am. 76% ( 89) 9% (22) 6% (39) 250 Ethnicity: Other 48% (6 ) 25% (32) 27% (34) 27 Relig: Protestant 40% (224) 43% (245) 7% (97) 567 Relig: Roman Catholic 52% (2 4) 35% ( 47) 3% (55) 4 6 Relig: Something Else 56% (69) 22% (27) 23% (28) 23 Relig: Jewish 65% (34) 23% ( 2) 2% (6) 52 Relig: Evangelical 52% (387) 32% (236) 6% ( 2 ) 744 Relig: Non-Evang. Catholics 33% ( 20) 50% ( 83) 6% (59) 362 Relig: All Christian 46% (507) 38% (4 8) 6% ( 80) 06 Relig: All Non-Christian 4 % (74) 37% (68) 22% (40) 8 Community: Urban 57% (280) 23% ( 3) 9% (94) 487 Community: Suburban 49% (46 ) 35% (325) 6% ( 48) 934 Community: Rural 39% (2 5) 38% (2 3) 23% ( 26) 554 Employ: Private Sector 48% (30 ) 35% (224) 7% ( 06) 63 Employ: Government 55% (52) 35% (33) % ( 0) 95 Employ: Self-Employed 49% (88) 32% (57) 20% (36) 8 Employ: Homemaker 4 % (75) 36% (66) 22% (4 ) 82 Employ: Student 77% (48) 0% (6) 3% (8) 62 Employ: Retired 49% (26 ) 37% ( 96) 5% (78) 535 Employ: Unemployed 46% (8 ) 24% (43) 30% (54) 78 Employ: Other 45% (50) 23% (26) 32% (35) 0 Military HH: Yes 42% ( 56) 4 % ( 53) 8% (66) 375 Military HH: No 50% (800) 3 % (498) 9% (302) 600 RD/WT: Right Direction 7% ( 39) 65% (527) 8% ( 48) 8 3 RD/WT: Wrong Track 70% (8 7) % ( 25) 9% (220) 62 24
National Tracking Poll #181159, December, 2018 Table POL1_3 Table POL1_3: Who do you trust more to handle each of the following issues? Health care Demographic Democrats in Congress Republicans in Congress Don t Know / No Registered Voters 48% (956) 33% (65 ) 9% (368) 975 Trump Job Approve 4% ( 9) 67% (564) 9% ( 63) 847 Trump Job Disapprove 78% (826) 7% (78) 5% ( 59) 063 Trump Job Strongly Approve 8% (36) 77% (342) 5% (68) 446 Trump Job Somewhat Approve 2 % (83) 55% (222) 24% (96) 400 Trump Job Somewhat Disapprove 56% ( 34) 9% (45) 25% (60) 239 Trump Job Strongly Disapprove 84% (692) 4% (33) 2% (99) 824 #1 Issue: Economy 43% (228) 36% ( 90) 2 % ( 0) 528 #1 Issue: Security 2 % (8 ) 63% (239) 6% (60) 380 #1 Issue: Health Care 62% (228) 22% (80) 6% (59) 366 #1 Issue: Medicare / Social Security 57% ( 6 ) 23% (65) 2 % (58) 284 #1 Issue: Women s Issues 68% (69) 9% (20) 2% ( 2) 0 #1 Issue: Education 55% (57) 22% (23) 23% (24) 03 #1 Issue: Energy 7 % (68) 6% ( 6) 3% ( 3) 96 #1 Issue: Other 55% (65) 7% (20) 28% (33) 7 2018 House Vote: Democrat 86% (769) 5% (45) 9% (78) 89 2018 House Vote: Republican 0% (70) 72% (52 ) 8% ( 29) 7 9 2018 House Vote: Someone else 27% ( 6) 0% (6) 62% (37) 60 2018 House Vote: Didnt Vote 33% (97) 26% (77) 4 % ( 22) 296 2016 Vote: Hillary Clinton 88% (634) 4% (26) 9% (63) 724 2016 Vote: Donald Trump 2% (85) 69% (504) 9% ( 37) 727 2016 Vote: Someone else 49% (85) 6% (28) 35% (6 ) 74 2016 Vote: Didnt Vote 44% ( 49) 26% (88) 3 % ( 05) 342 Voted in 2014: Yes 50% (707) 36% (502) 5% (205) 4 4 Voted in 2014: No 44% (249) 27% ( 49) 29% ( 63) 56 2012 Vote: Barack Obama 78% (645) 9% (75) 3% ( 05) 825 2012 Vote: Mitt Romney 3% (77) 7 % (428) 6% (98) 603 2012 Vote: Other 30% (2 ) 30% (2 ) 40% (28) 70 2012 Vote: Didn t Vote 45% (2 3) 27% ( 27) 29% ( 36) 477 25
Table POL1_3: Who do you trust more to handle each of the following issues? Health care Demographic Democrats in Congress Republicans in Congress Don t Know / No Morning Consult Table POL1_3 Registered Voters 48% (956) 33% (65 ) 9% (368) 975 4-Region: Northeast 52% ( 85) 30% ( 04) 8% (63) 352 4-Region: Midwest 45% (204) 35% ( 58) 20% (9 ) 454 4-Region: South 46% (34 ) 37% (270) 7% ( 27) 737 4-Region: West 52% (226) 28% ( 9) 20% (87) 432 Favorable of Trump 3% ( 09) 68% (565) 8% ( 5 ) 825 Unfavorable of Trump 78% (827) 7% (79) 5% ( 57) 062 Very Favorable of Trump 9% (38) 78% (349) 3% (60) 447 Somewhat Favorable of Trump 9% (7 ) 57% (2 6) 24% (9 ) 378 Somewhat Unfavorable of Trump 49% (9 ) 26% (49) 25% (46) 86 Very Unfavorable of Trump 84% (736) 3% (30) 3% ( 0) 876 Note: Row proportions may total to larger than one-hundred percent due to rounding. For more information visit MorningConsultIntelligence.com. 26
National Tracking Poll #181159, December, 2018 Table POL1_4 Table POL1_4: Who do you trust more to handle each of the following issues? Immigration Demographic Democrats in Congress Republicans in Congress Don t Know / No Registered Voters 4 % (804) 42% (827) 7% (344) 975 Gender: Male 39% (357) 45% (4 9) 6% ( 48) 924 Gender: Female 42% (446) 39% (408) 9% ( 96) 05 Age: 18-29 48% ( 62) 30% ( 0 ) 22% (73) 336 Age: 30-44 42% ( 95) 38% ( 75) 20% (9 ) 460 Age: 45-54 33% ( 4) 47% ( 60) 20% (67) 340 Age: 55-64 38% ( 45) 48% ( 82) 4% (52) 379 Age: 65+ 4 % ( 89) 46% (209) 3% (62) 460 Generation Z: 18-21 55% (44) 9% ( 6) 26% (2 ) 8 Millennial: Age 22-37 44% (229) 35% ( 83) 2 % ( 08) 520 Generation X: Age 38-53 37% ( 8 ) 44% (2 8) 9% (93) 49 Boomers: Age 54-72 40% (297) 46% (346) 4% ( 04) 747 PID: Dem (no lean) 78% (583) % (80) % (85) 748 PID: Ind (no lean) 3 % ( 84) 38% (222) 3 % ( 84) 590 PID: Rep (no lean) 6% (37) 82% (525) 2% (75) 637 PID/Gender: Dem Men 76% (240) 4% (44) 0% (32) 3 5 PID/Gender: Dem Women 79% (343) 8% (36) 2% (53) 433 PID/Gender: Ind Men 3 % (95) 4 % ( 26) 28% (84) 305 PID/Gender: Ind Women 3 % (89) 34% (96) 35% (99) 285 PID/Gender: Rep Men 8% (23) 82% (249) 0% (32) 304 PID/Gender: Rep Women 4% ( 4) 83% (276) 3% (44) 333 Ideo: Liberal (1-3) 74% (485) 3% (86) 3% (83) 653 Ideo: Moderate (4) 43% (209) 35% ( 69) 22% ( 07) 484 Ideo: Conservative (5-7) 0% (7 ) 78% (548) % (80) 700 Educ: College 38% (469) 4 % (5 ) 2 % (262) 242 Educ: Bachelors degree 43% (200) 45% (2 2) 2% (55) 467 Educ: Post-grad 5 % ( 35) 39% ( 04) 0% (27) 266 27