Interim Jan June/ 2005 results briefing

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Transcription:

Interim Jan June/ 2005 results briefing Helsinki, 4 August 2005 Market and business review Financial results Outlook Jan Lång, President and CEO Jyri Luomakoski, CFO and Deputy CEO Jan Lång Questions

Interim Jan June 2005: Market and business review

Interim Q2 / 2005: Market trends and developments Market polarisation strengthened North America, Nordic and other Europe sustained their positive trend Germany continued on a very low level Germany clearly weaker than in 2004 German construction industry on its lowest level since mid 1990s Residential construction slowdown mainly in new build but also in renovation 2006 forecast shows a less negative trend in single houses U.S. market continued on a very high level Long-term rates remain low Faith prevails in the strength of the N.A. residential construction in 2005 Nordic: average to good demand both in the housing and municipal sector Europe WES: Lively demand in UK and Spain; Italy and France stable Portugal disappointing 3

Germany: Decline in building permits continued Monthly Development of Permits 2000 2005 (new 1-/2-family houses, in units) 25.000 200.925 172.509 171.903 192.689 166.857 20.000 Number of units 15.000 10.000 May 2005: 10.532 5.000 0 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 Source: Statistisches Bundesamt 2005 YTD: 60.759-31% (LY) 4

Interim Q2 / 2005: Net sales in Q2 recover from the weaker Q1 Net sales, MEUR Continuing operations 2005 2004 Reported change Comparable change Q2 276.1 274.9 0.4% 7.5% Q1 (restated) 217.6 246.7-11.8% 0.1% H1 493.7 509.6-3.1% 4.1% Comparable change by Region Q2 Q1 Central Europe - 2.0% - 4.0% Nordic 8.6% 7.2% Europe WES 15.9% 0.0% North America 14.5% 2.9% Net sales recovered from the weaker start of the year N.A. (Wirsbo brand) and Nordic (HS+IE) sales developed favourably Decline in Germany continued in Q2, but the rest of CE compensated 5

Interim Q2 / 2005: Profitability supported by higher sales and improved margins Operating profit, MEUR Continuing operations 2005 2004 Reported change Comparable change Q2 36.3 30.7 18.2% 21.0% Q1 (restated) 13.7 15.8-13.3% -18.5% H1 50.0 46.5 7.5% 6.8% Comparable change by Region Q2 Q1 Central Europe - 1.0% - 20.4% Nordic 19.7% 38.1% Europe WES 41.4% - 40.0% North America 15.2% - 35.4% Profitability enhanced by: Efficiency improvements supported by higher sales volumes in most Regions Price increases helped recovery of margins North American sales mix improved 6

Interim Q2 / 2005: Positives and negatives + Profitability development in Uponor Europe WES and Uponor Nordic after non-core divestments + Margin recovery through price increases with stable resin prices + Steady progress in Group projects aiming at One Unified Uponor (ERP, brand) German building and construction market development in 2005 Increase in investment into net working capital 7

New brand strategy focuses on the Uponor brand New brand strategy from 1 Jan 2006 onwards supports the One Unified Uponor target All businesses will be Uponor current system brands to move under the Uponor name few exceptions for special segments + close to 230 registered names New brand story, positioning and visual identity Targeted to support the business focus on the development of a stronger Uponor brand clearer brand profile in the key customer segments more efficient sales organisation (Germany) 8

Interim Jan June 2005: Results

Interim January June 2005: Net sales by Region MEUR 1-6 1-6 1-12 Reported Comparable 2005 2004 2004 change change Central Europe 152.0 172.1 334.0-11.7 % -3.3 % Nordic 153.0 140.9 290.6 8.6 % 8.1 % Europe - West, East, South 157.5 163.9 330.0-3.9 % 7.9 % North America 77.6 74.2 155.1 4.6 % 9.2 % Others (incl. RE) 7.3 35.4 60.2 Eliminations -53.7-48.8-97.5 Total 493.7 537.7 1072.4-8.2 % 4.1 % Continuing operations 493.7 509.6 1026.9-3.1 % 4.1 % Discontinued operations 0.0 28.1 45.5 11

Interim April June 2005: Net sales by Region MEUR Q2 Q2 Reported Comparable 2005 2004 change change Central Europe 79.2 86.1-8.0 % -2.0 % Nordic 91.8 84.4 8.8 % 8.6 % Europe - West, East, South 86.7 86.3 0.5 % 15.9 % North America 44.6 40.3 10.7 % 14.5 % Others (incl. RE) 3.3 20.2 Eliminations -29.5-26.3 Total 276.1 291.0-5.1 % 7.5 % Continuing operations 276.1 274.9 0.4 % 7.5 % Discontinued operations 0.0 16.1 12

Interim January June 2005: Income statement, continuing operations 1-6 Change 1-6 1-12 MEUR 2005 % Y/Y 2004 % 2004 % Net sales 493.7-3.1% 509.6 1,026.9 Costs of goods sold 324.7 65.8-3.6% 338.0 66.3 686.8 66.9 Gross profit 169.0 34.2-1.5% 171.6 33.7 340.1 33.1 Other operating income -1.5-0.3-66.7% -0.9-0.2-1.7-0.2 Expenses excl. depreciations 103.5 21.0-3.3% 107.0 21.0 205.8 20.0 EBITDA 67.0 13.6 2.3% 65.5 12.9 136.0 13.2 Operating profit (EBIT) 50.0 10.1 7.5% 46.5 9.1 95.2 9.3 Financial expenses, net 0.7 0.1-77.4% 3.1 0.6 5.9 0.6 Profit after financial items 49.3 10.0 14.7% 43.4 8.5 89.3 8.7 Net profit from continuing operations 34.0 6.9 10.7% 30.7 6.0 63.8 6.2 Net profit from discontinued operations 0.0 0.0 3.4 0.7 24.6 2.4 Profit for the period 34.0 6.9-0.3% 34.1 6.7 88.4 8.6 EPS continuing operations 0.46 0.04 0.42 0.86 EPS discontinuing operations 0.0-0.04 0.04 0.33 Total fully diluted earning per share 0.46 0.00 0.46 1.19 13

Interim April June 2005: Income statement, continuing operations 4-6 Change 4-6 MEUR 2005 % Y/Y 2004 % Net sales 276.1 0.4% 274.9 Costs of goods sold 178.1 64.5-1.0% 180.4 65.6 Gross profit 98.0 35.5 3.7% 94.5 34.4 Other operating income -0.3-0.1 50.0% -0.6-0.2 Expenses excl. depreciations 53.6 19.4-2.9% 55.2 20.1 EBITDA 44.7 16.2 12.0% 39.9 14.5 Operating profit (EBIT) 36.3 13.1 18.2% 30.7 11.2 Financial expenses, net 0.5 0.2-58.3% 1.2 0.4 Profit after financial items 35.8 13.0 22.5% 29.5 10.7 Net profit from continuing operations 24.7 8.9 19.9% 20.6 7.5 Net profit from discontinued operations 0.0 0.0 2.2 0.8 Profit for the period 24.7 8.9 8.3% 22.8 8.3 EPS continuing operations 0.34 0.06 0.28 EPS discontinuing operations 0.00-0.03 0.03 Total fully diluted earning per share 0.34 0.03 0.31 14

Interim January June 2005: Income statement, total operations 1-6 Change 1-6 1-12 MEUR 2005 % Y/Y 2004 % 2004 % Net sales 493.7-8.2% 537.7 1,072.4 Costs of goods sold 324.7 65.8-9.6% 360.4 67.0 723.8 67.5 Gross profit 169.0 34.2-4.7% 177.3 33.0 348.6 32.5 Other operating income -1.5-0.3-7.1% -1.4-0.3-31.2-2.9 Expenses excl. depreciations 103.5 21.0-2.3% 106.0 19.7 204.2 19.0 EBITDA 67.0 13.6-7.9% 72.7 13.5 175.6 16.4 Operating profit (EBIT) 50.0 10.1-2.6% 51.3 9.5 130.6 12.2 Financial expenses, net 0.7 0.1-80.0% 3.5 0.7 7.0 0.7 Profit after financial items 49.3 10.0 4.2% 47.8 8.9 123.6 11.5 Profit for the period 34.0 6.9-0.3% 34.1 6.3 88.4 8.2 Fully diluted earning per share 0.46 0.00 0.46 1.19 15

Interim January June 2005: Net sales by Region 200.0 150.0 100.0 50.0-11.7 % - 3.9 % + 8.6 % + 4.6% EUR + 9.2% USD 0.0 Central Europe Nordic Europe-WES North America 2004 172.1 140.9 163.9 74.2 2005 152.0 153.0 157.5 77.6 Transl. effect 0.8 0.7-0.6-2.6 16

Interim April June 2005: Net sales by Region 120.0 100.0 80.0 60.0 40.0 20.0 0.0-8.0 % + 8.8 % + 0.5 % + 10.7% EUR + 14.5% USD Central Europe Nordic Europe-WES North America 2004 86.1 84.4 86.3 40.3 2005 79.2 91.8 86.7 44.6 Transl. effect 0.5 0.1-0.2-1.0 17

Interim January June 2005: Operating profit by Region MEUR 1-6 1-6 1-12 Reported Comparable 2005 2004 2004 change change Central Europe 18.1 11.9 % 20.3 11.8 % 39.6 11.9 % -10.8 % -10.8 % Nordic 18.1 11.8 % 14.7 10.4 % 32.0 11.0 % 23.1 % 22.3 % Europe - West, East, South 10.6 6.7 % 8.5 5.2 % 16.4 5.0 % 24.7 % 8.2 % North America 8.4 10.8 % 9.3 12.5 % 22.2 14.3 % -9.7 % -6.1 % Others (incl. RE) -3.7 1.3 28.5 Eliminations -1.5-2.8-8.1 Total 50.0 10.1 % 51.3 9.5 % 130.6 12.2 % -2.5 % 6.8 % Continuing operations 50.0 10.1 % 46.5 9.1 % 95.2 9.3 % 7.5 % 6.8 % Discontinued operations 0.0 4.8 17.1 % 35.4 Note: Comparable change includes exchange rate effect and the following divestments: - 2004: Finnish real estate business, MBO in Germany and Uponor Aldyl Company -1 Jan. 2005: IE France, Asko Norge AS, IE Hungary, Unicor MTS business in Germany -1 April 2005: IE Iberia. Operating profit includes IFRS restructuring provisions in December 2004 (13.4 M ) and the gain from the divestment of the Finnish real estate business (28.7 M ). 19

Interim April June 2005: Operating profit by Region MEUR Q2 Q2 Reported Comparable 2005 2004 change change Central Europe 9.9 12.5 % 10.9 12.7 % -9.2 % -1.0 % Nordic 15.2 16.6 % 12.6 14.9 % 20.6 % 19.7 % Europe - West, East, South 8.2 9.5 % 5.1 5.9 % 60.8 % 41.4 % North America 6.0 13.5 % 5.4 13.4 % 11.1 % 15.2 % Others (incl. RE) -3.1 1.4 Eliminations 0.1-1.7 Total 36.3 13.1 % 33.7 11.6 % 7.7 % 21.0 % Continuing operations 36.3 13.1 % 30.7 11.2 % 18.2 % 21.0 % Discontinued operations 0.0 3.0 20

Operating profit with YTD December 2004 adjusted with restructuring costs MEUR 1-6 1-6 1-12 adjusted 2005 2004 2004 1-12 2004 Central Europe 18,1 11,9 % 20,3 11,8 % 39,6 11,9 % 42,3 12,7 % Nordic 18,1 11,8 % 14,7 10,4 % 32,0 11,0 % 33,2 11,4 % Europe - West, East, South 10,6 6,7 % 8,5 5,2 % 16,4 5,0 % 19,9 6,0 % North America 8,4 10,8 % 9,3 12,5 % 22,2 14,3 % 23,4 15,1 % Others (incl. RE) -3,7 1,3 28,5 28,5 Eliminations -1,5-2,8-8,1-3,3 Total 50,0 10,1 % 51,3 9,5 % 130,6 12,2 % 144,0 13,4 % Continuing operations 50,0 10,1 % 46,5 9,1 % 95,2 9,3 % 108,6 10,6 % Discontinued operations 0,0 4,8 17,1 % 35,4 35,4 21

Interim January June 2005: Balance sheet Further decrease in investment property after the divestment of Asko Norge AS 1 Jan. 2005. (All of the Finnish real estate business was divested in November 2004.) Inventories down by 23 M from June 2004 and slightly down from year-end 2004, partly due to businesses divested in the beginning of 2005. Non interest-bearing liabilities have decreased due to lower Accounts Payable from divested companies. Positive conversion difference impact of 8.2 M on the equity from year-end 2004. Net interest-bearing liabilities still 37.9 M above December 2004 due to dividend pay-out in March 2005. 22

Interim January June 2005: Balance sheet MEUR 30 Jun. Change 30 Jun. 31 Dec. 2005 % 2004 2004 Intangible assets 77.4 3.6 % 74.7 74.9 Tangible assets 208.6-0.6 % 209.9 208.0 Investment property 10.5-89.7 % 101.9 26.7 Securities and long-term investments 23.0 58.6 % 14.5 21.0 Inventories 132.8-14.6 % 155.5 136.5 Cash in hand and banks 10.9 45.3 % 7.5 29.5 Other current assets 232.3-15.4 % 274.5 193.2 Shareholders equity 382.9-0.7 % 385.5 397.0 Minority interest 0.0-100.0 % 0.9 0.0 Provisions 18.5-3.6 % 19.2 9.8 Long-term interest bearing liabilities 23.2-66.9 % 70.0 22.3 Short-term interest bearing liabilities 59.2-44.5 % 106.7 40.8 Non-interest bearing liabilities 211.7-17.4 % 256.2 219.9 Balance sheet total 695.5-17.1 % 838.5 689.8 23

Interim January June 2005: Investment activity 90 MEUR 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 January - June 2005 Gross investments 18.9 Disposals at book 22.3 Depreciation 17.0 24

Interim January June 2005: Cash flow 1-6 1-6 1-12 2005 2004 2004 Cash flow from operations +7.3 +13.7 +114.1 Cash flow from investments +3.4-8.3 +76.4 Cash flow from financing -29.3-14.8-177.9 The biggest impact on cash flow before financing comes from the share divestments: YTD December 2004 86.3 M YTD June 2005 14.6 M Net working capital change on the same level as in Q2 2004 25

Interim January June 2005: Abridged cash flow 1-6 1-6 1-12 2005 2004 2004 Cash flow from operations Net profit for the period +34.0 +34.1 +88.4 Sales gains -1.5-1.4-31.2 Depreciation +17.0 +21.5 +45.0 Change in net working capital -42.2-40.5 +7.8 Cash flow adjustment items +4.1 +7.3 +13.7 +114.1 Cash flow from investments Share acquisitions Share divestments +14.6 +86.3 Investment in fixed assets -18.9-16.2-37.8 Income from sales of fixed assets +7.7 +7.9 +27.9 +3.4-8.3 +76.4 Cash flow before financing +10.7 +5.4 +190.5 Cash flow from financing Dividends -52.0-74.1-106.9 Net change of loans +27.4 +58.7-69.5 Subscription of shares +1.8 +4.6 Purchase of own shares -4.4-4.9 Finance lease payments -1.1-1.1-1.3 Other financial items +0.8-0.1 +0.1-29.3-14.8-177.9 Change in cash -18.6-9.4 +12.6 26

Interim April June 2005: Abridged cash flow 4-6 4-6 2005 2004 Cash flow from operations Net profit for the period +24.7 +22.8 Sales gains -0.3-0.8 Depreciation +8.4 +10.5 Change in net working capital -13.0-12.6 Cash flow adjustment items +19.8 +19.9 Cash flow from investments Share acquisitions Share divestments Investment in fixed assets -11.0-8.1 Income from sales of fixed assets +5.7 +2.6-5.3-5.5 Cash flow before financing +14.5 +14.4 Cash flow from financing Dividends Net change of loans -13.6-20.9 Subscription of shares +1.8 Purchase of own shares -4.4 Finance lease payments -0.6-0.6 Other financial items +0.6-0.3-18.0-20.0 Change in cash -3.5-5.6 27

Interim January June 2005: Financial indicators 1-6 1-6 1-12 2005 2004 2004 Earnings per share (diluted), EUR 0.46 0.46 1.19 Return on equity, % 17.4 16.9 21.7 Return on investment, % 22.8 19.4 27.0 Solvency ratio, % 55.3 46.5 57.7 Gearing, % 18.7 43.8 8.5 Equity per share (diluted), EUR 5.17 5.17 5.34 Net interest-bearing debt 71.5 169.2 33.6 28

Interim Jan June 2005: Outlook

Market update: Current developments Developments in residential construction market demand: German market down on the lowest level since 1995 Nordic economies sustain a healthy building demand UK and Ireland building markets continue to develop favourably Spain doing well but Portugal GDP slows down Italy stable USA continues strong supported by low long-term rates Canada healthy with occasional softness Resident. new building 2005 vs. 2004 Germany Nordic UK & Ireland Iberia Italy USA Canada Outlook 2006?? 31 Uponor analysis based on Euroconstruct (June 2005) and Global insight (2005).

Residential construction trends: Europe units Housing starts - Europe 1,000 800 in 1,000 units 600 400 200 Nordic Iberia* Italy France UK & Ireland Germany* * = permits - 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 32 Source: Euroconstruct June 2005

Residential construction trends: U.S. Residential construction Housing Starts (in millions) 3.00 2.75 2.50 2.25 2.00 1.75 600 550 500 450 400 350 Housing Volume (in billion USD) 1.50 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 Year 300 Housing Starts Housing Volume 33 Source: Global Insight 2005

Market update: Penetration continues stable 100 80 plastics % 60 40 20 0 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005F 2006E 2007E Tap water, Europe Radiator connections, Europe 34 Source: KWD 9/2004

H2/2005 market outlook Apart from Germany, near-term prospects look stable No positive surprises expected in the German market in 2005 Nordic, Europe WES and North American markets expected to sustain current trends in 2005 No other abrupt changes affecting business in sight 35

Guidance unchanged No changes to the current guidance from 2 Feb (repeated 27 Apr) Business for 2005 as a whole is expected to develop according to guidance previously provided Forecasting more challenging due to the German market situation Organic growth in continuing operations is expected to be in line with long-term targets, and operating profit and margin to improve from 2004 levels. Similarly, full year cash flow from business operations is expected to remain strong. 36

Strategic focus areas in 2005 Uponor s strategic focus areas aim at improved profitability: Organic growth by increased efficiency in operations Strong customer relations and development of product and service offering Europe and North America Core competencies in housing solutions are underfloor heating and tap water systems, in municipal infrastructure especially sewer systems Product and service offering is focused around core competence More unified Group structure through integration Transfer of know-how within the Group Common supply chain (ERP programme, common processes) Strengthening of the Uponor brand continues with development of identity and supporting coherent communications 37