EAST AFRICAN BREWERIES LIMITED. F 11 Full Year Results. Investor Briefing. Group Managing Director & CEO. 26 th August 2011

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Transcription:

EAST AFRICAN BREWERIES LIMITED F 11 Full Year Results Investor Briefing Seni Adetu Group Managing Director & CEO Peter Ndegwa Group Finance Director 26 th August 2011

Our vision EABL is the most celebrated business in every market in Eastern Africa Our Intent Employer of choice Delivering superior total shareholder returns Force for good in every market in East Africa

Business Update Group MD and CEO Mr. Seni Adetu

Macroeconomic and political environment showed mixed fortunes in F 11 Positive GDP Growth Upside > Positive economic growth across East Africa but, sluggish in H 2 > Increased infrastructural development > Increased FDI in the region > Emerging middle class population > Increased investor confidence >Successful elections in Tanzania, Uganda and cessation of S. Sudan Source: IMF, World economic outlook, IMF & Africa development database Consumer Price Infation Region / Country 2011 Percentage World 3.1 US 1.7 Eurozone 2.8 UK 3.3 Japan 1.3 Emerging markets and 6.0 developing countries Developing Asia 4.2 China 6.3 India 6.9 East Africa 9.2 Sub-Saharan Africa 7.9 South Africa 3 4.9 1. GDP pr oject ion s: I M F Wor ld Econ omic Out look Downside > Poor rainfall and drought across East Africa > High Inflation, currency depreciation, energy crisis and rising interest rates > Slow EAC regional integration process > Increased legislation & regulation in Kenya & Uganda > Intense political environment across East Africa due new or forthcoming elections > Competitor play on all fronts

F 11 Operating environment we faced other challenges across the region ADCA* last November in Kenya and loss of sachets in Uganda Pricing in Kenya to recover excise tax impact, in spite of depressed consumer disposable income Intense competition in Uganda, Tanzania and S. Sudan Forex scarcity in S. Sudan Operating cost increases on fuel, electricity and high cost of raw materials ADCA*- Alcohol Drinks Control Act

Notwithstanding, our business is stronger today as shown by our organic business results M KES F 11 % vs PY Headlines Sales Volume 7,698 keus +8% > Expanded volume in the Beer and spirits categories Net Sale Value 40,918 +6% > NSV growth largely driven by price and brand mix Marketing Spend 2,952 +15% > Reinforced our focus on generating growth through investment behind COGs 19,997 +2% our brands (including renovation and customer partnering) Operating Profit 12,946 +17% PBIT Net Cash generated from Operating activities* 12,946 KES 14.9 bn +6% 13% > We strengthened the business for the future through Capex investment in manufacturing assets and governance > We upgraded our talent capability and employee engagement > Sustained our strong cash position *before tax, interest and Capex

On an inorganic basis (results consolidating SBL) M KES F 11 % vs PY Headlines Sales Volume 8,263 keus +15% > Includes SBL performance for last 8 months Net Sale Value 44,895 16% > Significant spend in SBL on Marketing Spend 3,491 +36% Integration Governance and Compliance COGs 22,831 +17% Capex : New Moshi Brewery Operating Profit 12,412 10% A&P to protect share PBIT 12,245 0% SBL will be a key driver of our future growth Net Cash generated from Operating activities* KES 14.9 bn 13% *before tax, interest and Capex

With SBL EABL well poised to consolidate its position EABL acquired 51% equity stake in SBL in November 2010 SBL is clearly a future driver of growth 2 nd largest beverage alcohol company in Tanzania Expanded, popular and adored portfolio brands (PSL, Tusker, Guinness etc.) 3 Functioning breweries in Dar es Salaam, Mwanza and Moshi SBL contribution to EABL performance in F 11 Volume contribution of 7% to the Group NSV contribution of 9% to the Group EABL has invested significantly in integrating the business to EABL/ Diageo standards Systems & Processes (including financial reporting) IT infrastructure Talent and Culture Health & Safety Supply (including the new Moshi Plant) Brands to protect share The one-off integration and Capex costs in F 11 affected SBL s profitabilty SBL remains an accretive acquisition and is expected to deliver incremental sales and profit growth for EABL in the future

All our core brands grew over LY on impactful commercial interventions +5% +3% >Tusker Project fame 4 & Tusker All Stars >Tusker CECAFA East Africa football challenge >Brand Mentorships & consumer experience for Johnnie Walker >Smirnoff cocktails experience & outdoor campaigns >Senator Keg footprint expansion >Brand renovations Tusker & Bell new look +9% +18% +158% +18% Pegged on great sales & marketing initiatives platform +18% +35%

The commercial interventions

Supported by strategic CAPEX investment & cost-value management Supply Chain Excellence Cost-value Management > Supply chain optimisation Logistics and warehousing outsourced > Sorghum agenda rolled out large-scale production after successful pilot runs > Rigorous price hedging for sugar and cereals > Great focus on operational efficiencies Sorghum Agenda New Moshi Brewery CAPEX investments New Line 4 - Uganda > Commissioning of Moshi brewery in Tanzania > Installation of new packaging line in Uganda > Increased water storage facilities & new 66 KV power sub-station in Kenya > New mash filter in progress for Uganda

Bolstered by an engaged and capable workforce and improved organisational effectiveness All Staff Conference forum Team building Sessions Key People Initiatives Restructured organization simpler, faster, better service delivery All Staff conference Tanzania team joining for the first time Increasing employee engagement as shown in value survey results Step changed safety levels in all our subsidiary companies Dialed up Compliance agenda across the patch Additional early & mid career joiners, effective retention and reward policies

and we reinforced our force for good positioning in the community Environment Skills for Life > Water of life program - Provided for over Responsible Drinking 690,000 people this year alone > Environment E green team eg. save the Mau, Karura forest campaigns > Skills for life initiative Scholarships > Responsible drinking campaign in the region

Summary for F 11 achievements Delivered positive growths in volume (+8%), NSV (+6%) and OP (+17%) on our organic business. Spirits portfolio grew at +56% Group wide, with all businesses showing different levels of growth in this category. We have seen a turnaround in Uganda with strong volume, share and profit performances. We implemented a number of operational tools to enable us sustain performances into the future : In-touch, P2C etc. We have materially improved the culture and employee engagement within the organization, as manifested in our annual value surveys We completed the SBL acquisition last November, advanced the integration processes, involving employees, assets, systems & operations. Became the number 1 company by market capitalization on the NSE* *NSE-Nairobi Stock Exchange

Forging ahead

The future remains strongly positive given economic outlook in Sub-Saharan Africa and our strong company fundamentals GDP Closer Home--Sub Saharan Source:EIU GDP Growth figures 011-13 The Economy reasons to believe GDP growth Investor confidence in Sub-Saharan Africa remains high Heightened EAC Integration process FDI s increase & improving infrastructure Growing middle class and increasing consumer affluence Better rains forecast Inflation, Population forecast Market 2011 2012 Inflation Population Inflation Population Kenya 15% 40m 10% 41m Uganda 16% 33m 12% 35m Tanzania 14% 43m 11% 44m Sudan 11% 44m 12% 45m Ethiopia 15% 76m 10% 77m Rwanda 9% 10m 8% 10m Burundi 13% 8m 11% 8m Increased EAC population base of 6m Source:EIU GDP Growth figures 011-12 Our Fundamentals > Strong brands and established RTM footprint > Strong balance sheet and cash position > Capable and engaged talent > Leveraging on Diageo expertise > Belief in governance Compliance > Dedication to our community

We are positioned to continue delivering superior shareholder value By Leveraging on & Overcoming Growing economies Increasing population, growing middle class & affluence Increased integration (EAC) Strong brands & good reputation Significant Spirits opportunity Technological advancement Headroom growth in new markets Regulatory concerns ( Excise Tax/ Alcohol Act/ Anti-Trust laws) Fiscal pressures in our markets Growing competition Political uncertainties across the region Complexities of new Market entry Cost inflationary pressures Growth of illicits/ Parallels/ Counterfeits In order to win in every market, and become the Most Celebrated Business in Eastern Africa

Our vision and consistently dynamic strategic imperatives will provide the impetus for future growth Purpose Celebrating life everyday, everywhere Vision The Most Celebrated Business in Every Market in Eastern Africa Strategic Focus Areas Amazing Relationships Bringing Out the Best Great Times, Great Experiences Enriched Communities [Talent/People/Safety] [Geographic Expansion] [Responsible enjoyment of alcohol] [Amazing Customer partnerships] [World Class RTM] [Supporting Local Talent] Outcomes [Supply/Cost Leadership] [Total Adult Beverage] [Environment (Water/E-green)]

Financial Update Group FD Peter Ndegwa

Sustained Performance in a tough environment + - > Solid Spirits performance in Kenya > Rebound of Uganda business in H2 > Enhanced Cost management > Acquisition of SBL > Good management of working capital >Tough Regulatory Landscape >Higher excise taxes on beer in Kenya > Depressed Economic landscape in Q 4 emerging risks (Fx, inflation, cereal shortage) > Impact of one off integration cost in SBL

Solid organic operating profit delivery Key KPI performance vs. LY 17% 8% 6% Volume NSV OP > Volume growth driven by spirits and turnaround in UBL > NSV increase on the backdrop of selective pricing & mix > Improved gross margins with aggressive COGS focus > SOA in TBL not recognised in F11

Inorganic results...including SOA & SBL Key KPI performance including SBL vs. LY 10% Volume NSV OP > Increased volume contribution > Positive contribution by SBL to NSV (9% contribution) > SBL Integration costs - impact on operating profit

Great COGS delivery, resulting in +2points growth in operating margins 2% COGS growth versus 8% volume growth Total COGS 2% Key COGS Drivers > Local cereals availability in market > Improved operating line efficiencies > Hedging key input materials (sugar, fuel oil) > Reduced waste through better operational controls

Kenya: Solid spirits performance, flat beer out-turn Kenya- Beer -1% 2% 2% > Large tax increase in beer rate for malt and non malt harmonised Vol Eus 'k NSV Kes 'm F10 F11 OP Kes 'm > Impact of ADCA > Tactical pricing to deliver NSV growth Kenya- Spirits 78% 58% 64% > Stable tax regime in spirits category > Focus on distribution Vol Eus 'k NSV Kes 'm F10 F11 OP Kes 'm > Growth of premium and mainstream brands > Improved operating margin

Uganda: A tale of two halves, significant turnaround in H2 F11- H2vs H1-2% 69% Vol Eus 'k NSV Kes 'm OP Kes 'm > Investment in new packaging line resulted in improved product availability > Enhanced line efficiencies 4% H1 H2 H1-F11 vs F 10 14% -21% > Re-launched Bell in new pack > Better cost management (lower waste and increased controls) Vol Eus 'k NSV Kes 'm OP Kes 'm F10 F11

EABLi: A challenging year but promising future Great Lakes Region (GLR) 3% > Impact of uncertainty over referendum -10% -1% > Scarcity of forex constraining trading > Improved performance in H2 Vol Eus 'k NSV Kes 'm OP Kes 'm > New Nation in SoSS future more optimistic F10 F11

Tanzania: SOA excluded, SBL consolidated We have not recognised share of associates in F11 reclassified as available for sale [2010: Kshs 1.1bn) Shareholding in TBL in the process of disposal through a public offer for sale expected to complete by October Acquired 51% stake in SBL for Kshs 4.9bn on 1 November 2010 mostly funded from internally generated funds Consolidated eight months of SBL into EABL - contributing Kshs 4bn in NSV During the year SBL reported net loss mostly driven by one-off integration costs of Kshs 300m and interest cost of Kshs 200m We have spent KShs 2bn in capital expenditure on completing Moshi plant and on additional crates and bottles required for SBL

Detailed results East African Breweries Limited Financial Report for the year ended 30 June 2011 (Audited) Consolidated Profit and Loss Account Year ended Year ended 30-Jun-11 30-Jun-10 Kshs M Kshs M Change % Net Revenue 44,895 38,679 16% Cost of Sales (22,831) (19,537) 17% Gross profit 22,064 19,142 15% Other operating income / (expense) 321 (474) 168% Selling and distribution costs (3,491) (2,570) 36% Administrative expenses (6,481) (4,842) 34% Profit from operations 12,412 11,256 10% Net finance (cost) / income (163) 169-196% Income from associate - 1,144-100% Profit before taxation 12,249 12,569-3% Income tax expense (3,235) (3,731) -13% Profit after taxation 9,014 8,838 2% Minority interest (1,661) (1,659) 0% Net profit 7,353 7,179 2% Basic earnings per share 9.30 9.08 2% Diluted earnings per share 9.30 9.08 2%

Our Proposed Dividends F 11 F 10 Kshs per share Kshs per share Interim Dividend 2.50 2.50 Final Dividend 6.25 6.25 Total Dividend 8.75 8.75

In summary Strong financial performance in F11 with NSV, PBIT and cash growth vs LY: On an organic basis: Volume = 8% NSV = 6% PBIT = 6% (Operating Profit of +17%, and PBIT of 6%) This performance was driven by: Fantastic growth in our Brands Increased investment in A&P and Capex Continued focus on customer relationships and market development initiatives Our quality talent in all Functions Investment in SBL to position for future growth led to an increased cost input Our public policy and CSR initiatives continue to inspire life in our communities Despite increasing macro-economic challenges, our future looks ever more promising Well laid out Strategy Strong business fundamentals SBL acquisition Opportunity in Spirits and new geographies The regional integration potential

EABL F 11 Full Year Results Investor Briefing Welcome Q&A Session

EABL F 11 Full Year Results Investor Briefing THANK YOU 26 th August 2011