Chart Collection for Morning Briefing

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Transcription:

Chart Collection for Morning Briefing April 19, 218 Dr. Edward Yardeni 16-972-7683 eyardeni@ Mali Quintana 48-664-1333 aquintana@ Please visit our sites at www. blog. thinking outside the box

1 Figure 1. S&P SECTORS PERFORMANCE: 218 (percent change ytd) S&P Sectors S&P Index (1.2) Consumer Discretionary (.3) Consumer Staples (-6.6) Energy (.3) Financials (-1.4) Health Care (.6) Industrials (-.7) Information Technology (7.) Materials (-1.6) Real Estate (-.9) Telecom Services (-7.9) Utilities (-3.3) 1 - - -1-1 - Latest data thru: 4/17/18 Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun 218 Source: Standard & Poor s. - 3. Figure 2. TEN-YEAR TREASURY NOTE YIELD (percent) 3. 3. 4/18 3. 2. 2. 2. 2. 1. 1. 1. 214 2 216 217 218 Source: Federal Reserve Board. 1. Page 3 / April 19, 218 / Chart Collection for Morning Briefing www.

4 3 Figure 3. 1-YEAR LESS 2-YEAR TREASURY YIELD (basis points, daily) F Q F B T F F 4 3 2 2 1 1 4/18-1 2 21 22 23 24 2 26 27 28 29 21 211 212 213 214 2 216 217 218 219 22 Note: Q = QE terminated. F = federal funds rate hike. B = Brexit vote. T = Trump elected. Source: Federal Reserve Board. -1 2 2 Figure 4. COMMERCIAL BANKS: C&I LOANS (yearly percent change) 2 2 1 1 4/4 - - -1-1 - - -2-2 9 91 92 93 94 9 96 97 98 99 1 2 3 4 6 7 8 9 1 11 12 13 14 16 17 18 19 2 Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System. -2-2 Page 4 / April 19, 218 / Chart Collection for Morning Briefing www.

46 39 3 24 Figure. S&P INVESTMENT BANKING & BROKERAGE INDEX, FORWARD EARNINGS, & VALUATION Investment Banking & Brokerage Index 4/17/18 Blue Angels Implied Price Index* 4/12/18 x x1 46 39 3 24 9 9 x 199 1996 1997 1998 1999 2 21 22 23 24 2 26 27 28 29 21 211 212 213 214 2 216 217 218 219 * Implied price index calculated using forward earnings times forward P/Es. Source: Standard & Poor s and Thomson Reuters I/B/E/S. 26 2 1 Figure 6. S&P REGIONAL BANKS INDEX, FORWARD EARNINGS, & VALUATION Regional Banks Index 4/17/18 Blue Angels Implied Price Index* 4/12/18 x 26 2 1 x1 6 6 x 1996 1997 1998 1999 2 21 22 23 24 2 26 27 28 29 21 211 212 213 214 2 216 217 218 219 * Implied price index calculated using forward earnings times forward P/Es. Source: Standard & Poor s Corporation and Thomson Reuters I/B/E/S. Page / April 19, 218 / Chart Collection for Morning Briefing www.

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