HMS Group 3 months 2018 IFRS Results Webcast presentation. 8 June 2018

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Transcription:

HMS Group 3 months 2018 IFRS Results Webcast presentation 8 June 2018

Financial results Business & Outlook 2

FINANCIAL HIGHLIGHTS HIGHLIGHTS Rub bn 2018 3m 2017 3m chg, yoy Revenue 8,726 9,760-11% EBITDA 1,080 1,047 3% Gross profit 2,178 2,047 6% Operating profit 430 557-23% Profit for the period 19 77-75% EBITDA margin 12.4% 10.7% 165 bps Gross margin 25.0% 21.0% 399 bps Operating margin 4.9% 5.7% -79 bps Net income margin 0.2% 0.8% -57 bps Total debt 17,140 15,842 8% Net debt 14,842 12,981 14% EBITDA LTM 6,872 6,235 10% Net debt to EBITDA LTM 2.16 2.08 10.7% 9.8 8.7 12.4% Revenue and EBITDA Rub bn 14.2% 13.0 12.4% 8.7 1.0 1.1 1.9 1.1 14.8% 42.3 43.4 1Q'2017 1Q'2018 4Q'2017 1Q'2018 3m'2017 LTM 15.8% 6.2 6.9 3m'2018 LTM Revenue, Rub bn EBITDA, Rub bn EBITDA margin, % 21.8% 19.4% 20.0% 16.2% 16.3% 15.3% 15.4% 41.6 31.5 32.4 32.4 37.3 44.4 25.5 5.6 6.1 5.2 5.3 7.4 6.4 6.8 12.7 2.12 2.36 1.66 2.10 17.0 15.9 16.3 16.0 11.1 12.4 12.4 13.3 1.67 11.4 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 Revenue adj., Rub bn EBITDA adj., Rub bn EBITDA margin 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 Total debt, Rub bn Net debt, Rub bn Net debt-to-ebitda LTM ratio, x Source: Company data, IFRS accounts 3

SEGMENTS OVERVIEW PUMPS OIL AND GAS EQUIPMENT & PROJECTS 3,530 16.3% 2,997 11.8% Revenue -15% yoy EBITDA -39% yoy 4,661 9.6% 5,111 16.2% Revenue +10% yoy EBITDA +85% yoy 576 354 447 828 Revenue Pumps, Rub bn EBITDA Pumps, Rub bn EBITDA margin Pumps, % Revenue down 15% yoy due to a decline in recurring business EBITDA declined 39% yoy and EBITDA margin decreased to 11.8% due to less EBITDA generated by both recurring business and large contracts Revenue OGE, Rub bn EBITDA OGE, Rub bn EBITDA margin OGE, % Revenue up 10% yoy because of growth of large projects EBITDA up 85% yoy due to an increase in large contracts EBITDA margin up to 16.2% COMPRESSORS CONSTRUCTION 1,653 1,880 Revenue +14% yoy EBITDA -42% yoy 382 Revenue +199% yoy EBITDA na 10.4% 172 5.3% 99 128 (53) (122) Revenue Compressors, Rub bn EBITDA Compressors, Rub bn EBITDA margin Compressors, % -41.5% -31.8% Revenue Construction, Rub bn EBITDA Construction, Rub bn EBITDA margin EPC, % Revenue grew 14% yoy to Rub 1.9 bn due to large contracts EBITDA down 42% yoy because less EBITDA generated by recurring business EBITDA margin decreased to 5.3% Revenue up 199% yoy vs declining EBITDA Source: Note: Company data, IFRS accounts Segments revenue include intersegment revenue 4

COSTS COST OF SALES 2018 3m 2017 3m chg, yoy Cost of sales 6,548 7,713-15% % of revenue 75.0% 79.0% Materials and components 3,672 5,362-32% % of revenue 42.1% 54.9% Labour costs 1,359 1,127 21% % of revenue 15.6% 11.6% Social taxes 376 317 19% % of revenue 4.3% 3.2% Other expenses 1,140 907 26% % of revenue 13.1% 9.3% Comments Cost of sales decreased 15% yoy to Rub 6.5 bn from Rub 7.7 bn: - Materials and components were down 32% yoy - Labour costs increased by 21% * Herein, Materials & components, Labour costs and Social taxes were additionally derived from Change in work in progress and finished goods, thereby do not coincide with the note in the financial statement DISTRIBUTION & TRANSPORTATION 2018 3m 2017 3m chg, yoy Distribution and transportation expenses 460 431 7% % of revenue 5.3% 4.4% Labour costs 140 126 11% % of revenue 1.6% 1.3% Transportation expenses 114 130-12% % of revenue 1.3% 1.3% Social taxes 35 32 36% % of revenue 0.4% 0.3% Other expenses 171 143 19% % of revenue 2.0% 1.5% Distribution and transportation costs: - up 7% yoy, due to growth in labour costs and social taxes GENERAL & ADMINISTRATIVE 2018 3m 2017 3m chg, yoy General and administrative expenses 1,227 1,057 16% % of revenue 14.1% 10.8% Labour costs 644 576 12% % of revenue 7.4% 5.9% Social taxes 155 141 10% % of revenue 1.8% 1.4% Taxes and duties 59 48 22% % of revenue 0.7% 0.5% Other expenses 368 291 27% % of revenue 4.2% 3.0% General and administrative expenses: - up 16% yoy, due to growth in labour costs and social taxes - up to 14.1% as a percentage of revenue, also impacted by quarterly volatility of revenues Source: Company data, IFRS accounts Note: Differences in calculations can occur due to the rounding-off rule 5

CAPEX & Working Capital CASH FLOW PERFORMANCE CAPEX Cash flow performance, Rub bn 2018 3m 2017 3m Chg, yoy Operating cash flow (2,648) 1,086-344% Investing cash flow (258) (289) -11% Free cash flow (FCF) (2,906) 797-464% 334 RUB mn +13% yoy 297 0.8x 0.8x 376 334 428 Financing cash flow 574 (894) -164% Cash and cash equivalents 2,298 2,861-20% Source: Company data, IFRS accounts 0.3 0.3 Source: Company data, IFRS accounts Organic capex, Rub bn Depreciation & amortization, Rub bn Capex to D&A ratio Comments WORKING CAPITAL Working capital increased 26% yoy due to execution of large contracts HMS generated Rub 2.6 bn operating cash out flow vs. cash inflow of Rub 1.1 bn last year Organic capex grew to Rub 334 mn (+13% yoy) Free cash flow turned negative Rub 2.9 bn 11.5 RUB BN +26% yoy +0.5 +2.4-0.5 9.1 7.8 9.1 11.5 WC 2016 FY 21% of revenue 2014 FY WC 2017 FY 24% of revenue 2015 FY WC Inventories Receivables 3m 2017 FY change change & other adj. 22% of revenue 3m2017 LTM Payables change & other adj. WC 3m2018 FY 27% of revenue 3m 2018 LTM Note: Differences in calculations can occur due to the rounding-off rule Source: Company data, IFRS accounts 6

STABLE FINANCIAL POSITION LEVERAGE DEBT REPAYMENT 14.8 RUB BN +14% yoy 1.98 12.1 2.12 11.1 2.36 1.66 12.4 12.4 2.10 13.3 1.67 11.4 2.08 13.0 2.16 14.8 17.7 RUB BN As of 01 May 2018 8,945 7,738 Includes Rub 3 bn bonds 212 614 233 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 3m 2017 3m 2018 Net debt, Rub mn Net debt-to-ebitda LTM ratio, x 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 Debt to be repaid as of 01.04.2018, Rub mn Source: Company data on 01 April, 2018, IFRS accounts Source: Company data, management accounts BANKS Comments 17.7 RUB BN As of 01 May 2018 2.8% 3.1% 2018 3m Total debt increased to Rub 17.1 bn 2018 3m Net debt equaled Rub 14.8 bn 2018 3m Net Debt-to-EBITDA LTM ratio amounted to 2.16x Long-term debt: 99% of total debt portfolio Borrowings in Rub: 98% of total debt portfolio 16.5% 35.8% VTB Bank Sberbank 12.5% 12.4% 16.9% RUB Bonds Raiffeisenbank 10.3% Fund of Industrial Development Others 9.5% 10.9% 10.1% 11.4% 12.2% 9.9% 9.1% 9.8% 8.9% Ave interest rates as of 01 May 2018 Source: Company data, management accounts 24.9% 1-Jan-14 1-Jan-15 1-Jan-16 1-Jan-17 1-Jan-18 HMS Debt average interest rate HMS Rub-denominated debt average interest rate Source: Company data as of 01 April 2018, management accounts, IFRS accounts 7

Financial results Business & Outlook 8

BACKLOG & ORDER INTAKE BACKLOG ORDER INTAKE 46.0 RUB BN +28% yoy 10.4 RUB BN -54% yoy 36,036 719 +419% +14% 45,953 3,736 7,777 22,495 121 4,903 6,819 +2% -310% 18,351 18,743 14,044-39% -76% 10,408 2,995 3,436 10,147 +55% 15,699 +23% 3,427 4,229 (253) Pumps OGEP Compressors Construction Pumps OGEP Compressors Construction 3m 2017 chg 3m 2018 Total Backlog, where 36.0 +28% 46.0 Recurring business 20.1 +24% 25.0 Large integrated projects 16.0 +32% 21.0 3m 2017 chg 3m 2018 Total Order intake, where 22.5-54% 10.4 Recurring business 7.5 +1% 7.6 Large integrated projects 15.0-81% 2.8 Source: Company data, management accounts 9

HMS REVENUE STRUCTURE REVENUE BY TOP-7 CLIENTS REVENUE 3m 2017 9.8 RUB BN 29.5% 27.7% Rosneft 0.7% 1.5% 2.4% 6.0% 11.0% 21.2% Gazprom Neft Gazprom Lukoil Transneft Surgutneftegaz Nizhnekamskneftehim Others REVENUE BY PRODUCTS TYPE 9,760 387 250 1,964 7,159 8,726 693 293 3,487 4,252 Project & construction Export Large contracts Machine-building only recurring products (domestic sales) Source: Company data, IFRS accounts REVENUE 3m 2018 8.7 RUB BN Comments A stable number of large clients generates revenue from both large contracts and recurring business 33.1% 35.1% Gazprom Rosneft Gazprom Neft Slavneft Transneft Around 6 thousand of other clients create a safety cushion with recurring business Revenue was down due to a decline in revenue, generated by machine-building only recurring products 0.9% 2.8% 3.2% 4.4% 5.7% 14.8% Lukoil Tatneft Others Source: Company data, Management accounts 10

CONTACTS Capital markets Phone +7 (495) 730-66-01 ir@hms.ru http://grouphms.com/shareholders_and_investors/ Company address: 7 Chayanova Str. Moscow 125047 Russia HMS Hydraulic Machines & Systems Group Plc is listed on the London Stock Exchange (Main market, IOB): Identifier Number Number of shares outstanding ISIN RegS: US40425X4079 117,163,427 144A: US40425X3089 Ratio 1 GDR : 5 Shares Ticker HMSG Bloomberg HMSG LI Reuters HMSGq.L 11

Disclaimer The information contained herein has been prepared using information available to HMS Group ( HMS or Group or Company ) at the time of preparation of the presentation. External or other factors may have impacted on the business of HMS Group and the content of this presentation, since its preparation. In addition all relevant information about HMS Group may not be included in this presentation. No representation or warranty, expressed or implied, is made as to the accuracy, completeness or reliability of the information. Any forward looking information herein has been prepared on the basis of a number of assumptions which may prove to be incorrect. Forward looking statements, by the nature, involve risk and uncertainty and HMS Group cautions that actual results may differ materially from those expressed or implied in such statements. Reference should be made to the most recent Annual Report for a description of the major risk factors. This presentation should not be relied upon as a recommendation or forecast by HMS Group, which does not undertake an obligation to release any revision to these statements. This presentation does not constitute or form part of any advertisement of securities, any offer or invitation to sell or issue or any solicitation of any offer to purchase or subscribe for, any shares in HMS Group, nor shall it or any part of it nor the fact of its presentation or distribution form the basis of, or be relied on in connection with, any contract or investment decision. 12

NOTES Notes to the presentation and formulas used for some figures calculations All figures in millions of Russian Rubles, unless otherwise stated Management of the Group assesses the performance of operating segments based on a measure of adjusted EBITDA, which is derived from the consolidated financial statements prepared in accordance with IFRS EBITDA is defined as operating profit/loss from continuing operations adjusted for other operating income/expenses, depreciation and amortisation, impairment of assets, excess of fair value of net assets acquired over the cost of acquisition, defined benefits scheme expense and provisions (including provision for obsolete inventory, provision for impairment of accounts receivable, unused vacation allowance, warranty provision, provision for legal claims, tax provision and other provisions). This measurement basis, therefore, excludes the effects of a number of non-recurring income and expenses on the results of the operating segments EBIT is calculated as Gross profit minus Distribution & transportation expenses minus General & administrative expenses minus Other operating expenses Total debt is calculated as Long-term borrowings plus Short-term borrowings Net debt is calculated as Total debt minus Cash & cash equivalents at the end of the period ROCE is calculated as EBIT LTM divided by Average Capital Employed (Total debt + Total equity) ROE is calculated as Total equity period average divided by Profit for the period Operating profit adj. & Profit for the year adj. are deferred as adjusted by impairment of PPE, investment property and goodwill Working capital is calculated as Inventories plus Trade and other receivables, excluding Short-term loans issued, Bank deposits and Promissory notes receivable, plus Current income tax receivable minus Trade and other payables minus Short-term provisions for liabilities and charges minus Current income tax payable minus Other taxes payable Capex = Organic capex = Purchase of PPE + Purchase of intangible assets Backlog is calculated as the preceding backlog plus new or additional customer orders booked during the reporting period, less amounts of contract value booked as revenue under Russian GAAP on an unconsolidated basis under the relevant contracts, plus or minus adjustments made in the judgment of the Group s management. The Group may also make certain adjustments to bookings to reflect amendment, expiry or termination of contracts, cancellation of orders, changes in price terms under contracts or orders, or other factors affecting the amount of potential revenue which the Group believes may be recognized under such contracts. The Group s backlog estimates are not an indication of potential revenues. Actual revenues and other measures of financial performance under IFRS may differ materially from any estimate of backlog, and changes in backlog between periods may have limited or no correlation to changes in revenue or any other measure of financial performance under IFRS At 31 December 2017 and 2016, the unsecured non-bank loan in amount of RR 500,000 with initial maturity in 2018-2020 was presented within the current portion of long-term borrowings due to the breach of certain financial covenants related to operational performance of the large investment project, financed by this loan (Notes 34, 36). The creditor had not requested early repayment of the loan as of the date when these consolidated financial statements were authorised for issuance. The schedule of debt repayment on the slide 7 is shown in accordance with agreements with lenders, without covenants breach 13